Stats on Double Digit Home Dogs

TheComputerGroup

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• Oct 16, 2018

• #1

49ers are +11 as a home dog vs Rams......this is what I've seen but haven't updated it.

Past 25 years covering over 130 games, double-digit home underdogs have covered the point spread 61% of the time? In fact, from 2009-2013, double-digit home underdogs have gone 18-2 ATS......anyone have any updates on this since 2013?

 

seldomseen

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HD and line > 9.5 and season >= 2014 SU: 4-10-0 (-9.29, 28.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-6-1 (1.61, 53.8%) avg line: 10.9 +6: 10-4-0 (71.4%) -6: 7-7-0 (50.0%) +10: 11-3-0 (78.6%) -10: 4-10-0 (28.6%) O/U: 2-12-0 (-7.64, 14.3%) avg total: 46.8 +6: 1-13-0 (7.1%) -6: 7-7-0 (50.0%) +10: 0-14-0 (0.0%) -10: 9-5-0 (64.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 84.5 33.4 202.2 19.9 1.3 2.8 5.9 1.9 4.2 14.9 Opp 26.5 97.4 36.9 260.6 24.1 1.1 4.2 7.4 5.1 7.6 24.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 09, 2014 view Sunday 10 2014 Raiders Broncos home 3-3 7-17 0-21 7-0 17-41 12.0 50.5 -24 -12.0 7.5 -2.2 9.8 L L O 0 Dec 21, 2014 view Sunday 16 2014 Buccaneers Packers home 0-7 3-3 0-0 0-10 3-20 11.5 48.5 -17 -5.5 -25.5 -15.5 -10.0 L L U 0 Dec 21, 2014 view Sunday 16 2014 Jets Patriots home 0-0 10-7 3-3 3-7 16-17 10.0 47.0 -1 9.0 -14.0 -2.5 -11.5 L W U 0 Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Ravens Seahawks home 0-7 6-7 0-7 0-14 6-35 11.5 42.0 -29 -17.5 -1.0 -9.2 8.2 L L U 0 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Ravens Steelers home 7-0 6-3 0-7 7-7 20-17 10.5 47.5 3 13.5 -10.5 1.5 -12.0 W W U 0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Browns Steelers home 3-7 6-7 0-3 3-11 12-28 12.0 47.0 -16 -4.0 -7.0 -5.5 -1.5 L L U 0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Dolphins Patriots home 3-0 7-3 0-7 10-0 20-10 10.0 46.5 10 20.0 -16.5 1.8 -18.2 W W U 0 Oct 09, 2016 view Sunday 5 2016 Browns Patriots home 7-16 0-7 0-7 6-3 13-33 10.5 47.5 -20 -9.5 -1.5 -5.5 4.0 L L U 0 Nov 20, 2016 view Sunday 11 2016 Fortyniners Patriots home 3-6 7-7 0-0 7-17 17-30 13.0 51.5 -13 0.0 -4.5 -2.2 -2.2 L P U 0 Jan 01, 2017 view Sunday 17 2016 Fortyniners Seahawks home 7-3 7-16 2-3 7-3 23-25 10.5 45.0 -2 8.5 3 5.8 -2.8 L W O 0 Nov 12, 2017 view Sunday 10 2017 Colts Steelers home 0-0 10-3 7-6 0-11 17-20 10.0 44.5 -3 7.0 -7.5 -0.2 -7.2 L W U 0 Nov 19, 2017 view Sunday 11 2017 Giants Chiefs home 0-0 6-3 0-0 3-6 12-9 10.0 45.5 3 13 -24.5 -5.8 -18.8 W W U 1 Dec 11, 2017 view Monday 14 2017 Dolphins Patriots home 6-0 7-10 14-0 0-10 27-20 11.0 47.5 7 18.0 -0.5 8.8 -9.2 W W U 0 Dec 25, 2017 view Monday 16 2017 Texans Steelers home 0-10 0-10 0-7 6-7 6-34 10.0 44.5 -28 -18 -4.5 -11.2 6.8 L L U 0 Oct 21, 2018 view Sunday 7 2018 Fortyniners Rams home 10.5

 

seldomseen

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HD and line > 9.5 and season >= 2009 and season <= 2013
SU: 6-25-0 (-9.10, 19.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-10-0 (2.23, 67.7%) avg line: 11.3 +6: 24-7-0 (77.4%) -6: 13-16-2 (44.8%) +10: 25-6-0 (80.6%) -10: 6-24-1 (20.0%) O/U: 14-17-0 (-1.47, 45.2%) avg total: 44.4 +6: 9-22-0 (29.0%) -6: 21-10-0 (67.7%) +10: 5-25-1 (16.7%) -10: 21-9-1 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.7 117.0 34.0 200.6 19.0 2.0 3.8 4.7 2.7 5.5 16.9 Opp 26.4 108.9 34.5 258.7 23.3 1.0 4.8 7.7 6.5 6.9 26.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 20, 2009 Sunday 2 2009 Lions Vikings home 3-0 7-7 0-10 3-10 13-27 10.0 45.5 -14 -4.0 -5.5 -4.8 -0.8 L L U 0 Oct 11, 2009 Sunday 5 2009 Lions Steelers home 6-7 7-14 0-7 7-0 20-28 10.5 44.0 -8 2.5 4.0 3.2 0.8 L W O 0 Oct 11, 2009 Sunday 5 2009 Rams Vikings home 0-14 3-3 0-7 7-14 10-38 10.5 41.0 -28 -17.5 7.0 -5.2 12.2 L L O 0 Oct 18, 2009 Sunday 6 2009 Raiders Eagles home 7-3 3-3 0-0 3-3 13-9 14.0 40.5 4 18.0 -18.5 -0.2 -18.2 W W U 0 Oct 25, 2009 Sunday 7 2009 Rams Colts home 3-14 0-7 3-7 0-14 6-42 14.0 45.0 -36 -22.0 3.0 -9.5 12.5 L L O 0 Nov 15, 2009 Sunday 10 2009 Rams Saints home 0-0 14-14 3-7 6-7 23-28 13.5 50.5 -5 8.5 0.5 4.5 -4.0 L W O 0 Nov 16, 2009 Monday 10 2009 Browns Ravens home 0-0 0-0 0-16 0-0 0-16 11.0 39.5 -16 -5.0 -23.5 -14.2 -9.2 L L U 0 Nov 22, 2009 Sunday 11 2009 Chiefs Steelers home 7-0 0-17 10-0 7-7 27-24 10.5 40.0 3 13.5 11.0 12.2 -1.2 W W O 1 Nov 22, 2009 Sunday 11 2009 Buccaneers Saints home 7-7 0-10 0-14 0-7 7-38 10.5 50.5 -31 -20.5 -5.5 -13.0 7.5 L L U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Lions Packers home 7-0 0-13 0-14 5-7 12-34 11.0 48.0 -22 -11.0 -2.0 -6.5 4.5 L L U 0 Dec 06, 2009 Sunday 13 2009 Browns Chargers home 7-10 0-3 0-14 16-3 23-30 13.0 43.0 -7 6.0 10.0 8.0 2.0 L W O 0 Dec 10, 2009 Thursday 14 2009 Browns Steelers home 3-0 10-3 0-3 0-0 13-6 10.0 33.0 7 17.0 -14.0 1.5 -15.5 W W U 0 Dec 13, 2009 Sunday 14 2009 Falcons Saints home 6-3 3-13 7-7 7-3 23-26 10.0 50.5 -3 7.0 -1.5 2.8 -4.2 L W U 0 Dec 20, 2009 Sunday 15 2009 Lions Cardinals home 0-7 0-10 17-0 7-14 24-31 13.0 47.0 -7 6.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 L W O 0 Dec 20, 2009 Sunday 15 2009 Rams Texans home 0-3 10-3 3-7 0-3 13-16 13.0 43.5 -3 10.0 -14.5 -2.2 -12.2 L W U 0 Jan 03, 2010 Sunday 17 2009 Raiders Ravens home 0-7 10-7 3-0 0-7 13-21 10.0 39.0 -8 2.0 -5.0 -1.5 -3.5 L W U 0 Nov 21, 2010 Sunday 11 2010 Panthers Ravens home 0-10 3-7 3-3 7-17 13-37 12.0 37.0 -24 -12.0 13.0 0.5 12.5 L L O 0 Jan 08, 2011 Saturday 18 2010 Seahawks Saints home 7-10 17-10 10-0 7-16 41-36 10.0 45.5 5 15.0 31.5 23.2 8.2 W W O 0 Sep 18, 2011 Sunday 2 2011 Panthers Packers home 10-0 3-7 0-16 10-7 23-30 10.0 45.0 -7 3.0 8.0 5.5 2.5 L W O 0 Sep 25, 2011 Sunday 3 2011 Colts Steelers home 0-10 13-0 0-0 7-13 20-23 10.5 39.5 -3 7.5 3.5 5.5 -2.0 L W O 0 Oct 23, 2011 Sunday 7 2011 Vikings Packers home 7-7 10-6 0-20 10-0 27-33 10.0 46.5 -6 4.0 13.5 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 Oct 30, 2011 Sunday 8 2011 Rams Saints home 0-0 17-0 7-7 7-14 31-21 13.5 48.5 10 23.5 3.5 13.5 -10.0 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2011 Sunday 12 2011 Chiefs Steelers home 3-0 3-13 0-0 3-0 9-13 10.5 40.5 -4 6.5 -18.5 -6.0 -12.5 L W U 0 Dec 18, 2011 Sunday 15 2011 Chiefs Packers home 6-0 0-0 3-7 10-7 19-14 12.0 46.0 5 17.0 -13.0 2.0 -15.0 W W U 0 Jan 01, 2012 Sunday 17 2011 Rams Fortyniners home 7-7 0-13 3-7 17-7 27-34 11.0 35.5 -7 4.0 25.5 14.8 10.8 L W O 0 Nov 25, 2012 Sunday 12 2012 Chiefs Broncos home 6-0 0-7 3-7 0-3 9-17 10.0 43.0 -8 2 -17 -7.5 -9.5 L W U 0 Dec 06, 2012 Thursday 14 2012 Raiders Broncos home 0-10 7-3 0-13 6-0 13-26 10.5 49.0 -13 -2.5 -10 -6.2 -3.8 L L U 0 Dec 23, 2012 Sunday 16 2012 Jaguars Patriots home 10-3 3-10 0-3 3-7 16-23 14.0 50.0 -7 7 -11 -2.0 -9.0 L W U 0 Oct 28, 2013 Monday 8 2013 Rams Seahawks home 3-0 0-7 3-7 3-0 9-14 11.5 43.0 -5 6.5 -20 -6.8 -13.2 L W U 0 Dec 22, 2013 Sunday 16 2013 Texans Broncos home 3-3 3-13 7-0 0-21 13-37 10.0 52.5 -24 -14.0 -2.5 -8.2 5.8 L L U 0 Dec 29, 2013 Sunday 17 2013 Raiders Broncos home 0-14 0-17 0-0 14-3 14-34 11.0 53.5 -20 -9.0 -5.5 -7.2 1.8 L L U 0

 

TheComputerGroup

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• Oct 16, 2018

• #4

Thanks Seldom......I had seen these stats on a site & didn't know if they were correct, thanks for getting in the right record up.

One more question, can you see how well double digit division home dogs do,I doubt there's many games to sample, but give it a shot if you could. TIA......

 

Willie99

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• #5

I think SF is an undervalued team at this point.

 

hoku808pc

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• #6

Something I noticed over the 10 years I’ve been wagering is that the home dog getting the most points on the week has been $$$. SF +10 this week is largest home dog. Haven’t been keeping track but last week was Den +6.5. Anybody have the stats on this??

 

gtgtTHESPOTPLAYERltlt

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• #7

I feel SF blew their wad vs GB and lost a heart breaker.....they come back down to Earth vs Rams. This one will get ugly

 

TheComputerGroup

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>>THE SPOT PLAYER<< said:

I feel SF blew their wad vs GB and lost a heart breaker.....they come back down to Earth vs Rams. This one will get ugly

Click to expand...

Yeah, I hear what you're saying, & I'm staying away from this game.

 

exploited17

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Road favorites of 3.5 or more points are 3-9 ATS this year. Double digit dog against a team in their third straight road game. Interesting
To me this has SF straight up or a blowout written all over it. The problem is double digit home dogs rarely win SU

 

Michelangelo

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From the above logs.

11-8 ATS when playing a Division foe.

 

sportsfantatic44

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Rams playing 3rd straight week on the road. Didn’t cover at Seattle or Denver. 11 seems like a big number to me at least.

 

gtgtTHESPOTPLAYERltlt

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exploited17 said:

Road favorites of 3.5 or more points are 3-9 ATS this year. Double digit dog against a team in their third straight road game. Interesting
To me this has SF straight up or a blowout written all over it. The problem is double digit home dogs rarely win SU

Click to expand...

Niners are absolutely NOT winning this game....no chance whatsoever. I know any given Sunday yada yada yada and I do believe in the underdog I love taking dogs, but this spot for SF is awful! Rams D has been a little vulnerable last 2 weeks....emphasis this week will be the D!!! Their defense is going to dominate this game and create TO's that SF will not be able to recover. Niners D is very soft Rams could name this score if they wanted. I will be taking the LAR and laying the DD's and feel very confident in doing so. There are better spots for dogs this week not this one