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NFL Previews 16th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/16/2018

The Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos went shopping in the offseason to fix their respective quarterback issues and came away with a pair of players who spent last season with the Minnesota Vikings. Neither move has panned out for the Cardinals and Broncos, a pair of teams who have a collective three wins entering Thursday's matchup at Arizona.

Denver has dropped four in a row since opening the season with a pair of narrow victories at home, but Pro Bowl linebacker Von Miller all but guaranteed a win over the Cardinals. "I wouldn't say it's a must-win, we're going to kick their (butt), though," Miller told reporters Tuesday. "Make sure you put that up there. We're going to kick their (butt)." Cardinals rookie quarterback Josh Rosen, who supplanted Sam Bradford as the starter in Week 3, said their was no "sense of desperation" to win after his team's 1-5 start, but first-year coach Steve Wilks disagreed. "I would say all our jobs are in jeopardy, including mine, if we don't win," Wilks said.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX, NFL Network. LINE: Cardinals -1.5. O/U: 41.5

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2-4): Denver has to tighten up against the run, ranking last in the league with an average of 161.3 yards permitted on the ground after allowing a 200-yard rusher for the second straight week in a 23-20 loss to the unbeaten Los Angeles Rams. The Broncos' pass rush did generate five sacks in the latest setback, including 3.0 by rookie linebacker Bradley Chubb. Case Keenum threw scoring passes to wide receivers Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas on Sunday but still has more interceptions (8) than TDs (7) through the first six games. Rookie running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman were held to a combined 40 yards on 13 carries last week.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (1-5): Arizona ranks last in the league in total yards (220.5) and rushing (64.0) under offensive coordinator Mike McCoy, who was fired by the Broncos during the 2017 season following a six-game slide. Rosen did throw for a career-high 240 yards but failed to throw a touchdown pass in last week's 27-17 loss at Minnesota. Rosen connected with fellow rookie Christian Kirk six times for 77 yards against the Vikings, but running back David Johnson has surpassed 55 yards rushing just once in six games despite scoring six touchdowns. The offensive woes are magnified by a defense that ranks 31st against the run by surrendering an average of 151.2 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Denver has won eight of the past nine meetings against the Cardinals.

2. Johnson has had at least 100 yards from scrimmage in nine of his last 11 at home, scoring 13 TDs in that span.

3. Miller has 8.5 sacks and four forced fumbles in his last six games versus NFC opponents.

PREDICTION: Broncos 23, Cardinals 20
 
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Joe Williams

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs were flexed into the Sunday Night Football spot this week in place of the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. The way the Niners played on Monday in Green Bay, perhaps that's bad idea. Now, the Niners will face another postseason hopeful on their own home turf as double-digit underdogs.

Four more teams are enjoying their bye week this week, and we'll get our first London game at 9:30 am ET, after a primetime battle in England this past weekend. The Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Chargers will square off in Jolly Old England, and the Titans hope they can fare a little better than they did in the Music City last week when they put up a goose egg against the Baltimore Ravens.

Thursday, Oct. 18

Denver Broncos (-2.5, 41) at Arizona Cardinals

This game looked to be a little more attractive during the offseason, but after a few good Thursday matchups we get a dog. The Broncos have shown some signs of life on offense lately, and they opened as a 2 1/2-point favorite at most shops. The Mirage-MGM and Stratosphere opened the Broncos at just 1 1/2, but that quickly changed in a matter of minutes to fall in line with everyone else.
 
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Week 7

Thursday. October 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (2 - 4) at ARIZONA (1 - 5) - 10/18/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
 
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Week 7

Trend Report

Thursday. October 18

Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Denver is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Denver
 
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DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Denver at Arizona - Thursday October 18, 2018
The Broncos head to Arizona on Thursday night and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus the Cardinals. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2).

THURSDAY OCTOBER 18, 2018

Denver
@
Arizona

Game 301-302
October 18, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Denver
130.196
Arizona
122.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Denver
by 7 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Denver
by 2 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver
(-2 1/2); Over
 
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Week 7


Thursday
Broncos (2-4) @ Cardinals (1-5)— Denver lost its last four games; they’re first team since ’66 Giants (who finished 1-12-1) to allow 270+ RY in consecutive games. Broncos are 0-2 on road, losing by 13-18 points at Ravens/Jets; since ’12 they’re 19-11-1 vs spread as road favorites, 16-9-1 vs NFC teams. Arizona is 0-3 at home, scoring 12.3 ppg (5 TD’s on 30 drives); they’ve yet to gain more than 269 yards in any game this season. Cardinals averaged 0.69 pts/drive on 39 drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, by far worst in NFL. Denver is 8-1-1 in series; last six series games were all decided by 17+ points. Broncos are 3-1 in Arizona, losing last visit here in 2010. Four of last five Bronco games, four of six Cardinal games stayed under.
 
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Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Oct. 18

DENVER at ARIZONA (FOX/NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Vance Joseph 3-14-1 last 18 on board, 1-9 SU and vs. spread as visitor since LY. Denver now 1-11 SU and vs. spread on road since late 2016. Cards 3-0-1 vs. line last four in 2018. Broncos “under” 9-4 last 13, Cards “under” 7-3 last 10.
Tech Edge: Cards and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
 
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Joe Williams

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs were flexed into the Sunday Night Football spot this week in place of the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. The way the Niners played on Monday in Green Bay, perhaps that's bad idea. Now, the Niners will face another postseason hopeful on their own home turf as double-digit underdogs.

Four more teams are enjoying their bye week this week, and we'll get our first London game at 9:30 am ET, after a primetime battle in England this past weekend. The Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Chargers will square off in Jolly Old England, and the Titans hope they can fare a little better than they did in the Music City last week when they put up a goose egg against the Baltimore Ravens.

Thursday, Oct. 18

Denver Broncos (-2.5, 41) at Arizona Cardinals

This game looked to be a little more attractive during the offseason, but after a few good Thursday matchups we get a dog. The Broncos have shown some signs of life on offense lately, and they opened as a 2 1/2-point favorite at most shops. The Mirage-MGM and Stratosphere opened the Broncos at just 1 1/2, but that quickly changed in a matter of minutes to fall in line with everyone else.
info
the strat is a joke
 

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