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Opening Line Report - Week 7
Joe Williams

Sunday, Oct. 21

Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5, 45.5)

Last week's London battle between the Oakland Raiders and Seattle Seahawks featured two West Coast teams playing at 1:00 p.m. ET, or 10:00 a.m. PT. This week, the Chargers will be playing at 6:30 a.m. PT, which is sure to have some kind of effect, especially after thousands of miles of travel. Most shops have the Bolts holding steady at 6 1/2, although if you hurry you can catch them at Treasure Island at -6.

New England Patriots (-3.5, 49.5) at Chicago Bears

The Patriots beat back a challenge from the Kansas City Chiefs by a 43-40 score last Sunday night, the first time in NFL history a game was decided by that score, by the way. Now, the Pats are on to Chicago, facing a Bears team which really punched themselves in the goodies in Miami, falling to old friend Adam Gase.

The Strat opened this game at -4, and it was bet down to -3 1/2, while TI had this game at -3 and it was bet up to -3 1/2. That appears to be where all of the shops will settle for now. Bettors appears to be trusting of the Bears defense, or expect the Pats offense not to be as prolific, as the line has been driven down from 50 to 49 or 49 1/2 at most shops.

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 49.5)

The Browns fell back to Earth at home against the Chargers, and now they face the tough task of playing in the heat and humidity of Central Florida against a Bucs team which has shown the potential to score in bunches. The Bucs opened at -3 at most shops and it has held steady with little action, although at Treasure Island the line moved slightly from an open of -2 1/2 to get in line with everyone else.

Detroit Lions (-1, OFF) at Miami Dolphins

The uncertainty of the Miami quarterback situation has the total OFF at the moment. It was Brock-toberfest last week against the Bears, as QB Brock Osweiler surprised with an overtime win at the helm in place of the injured QB Ryan Tannehill. To make matters worse for the Fins, they catch a rested Lions team which is 5-1 ATS in their past six coming off a bye.

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 45.5)

The Panthers stumbled in their comeback attempt in D.C. last week, now they will have their hands full against the defending Super Bowl champs. Philly opened at -4 or -4 1/2 at most shops, although TI had it at -3 1/2 for a brief time on Monday. It appears the public is heavily backing the champs at home against the Panthers, who have struggled defensively at times.

Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts (-6.5, 42.5)

The Bills have some uncertainty at the quarterback position, as QB Josh Allen banged up his elbow and is a question mark. Will newly-signed Derek Anderson start? Will the mistake-prone Nate Peterman get the nod? Or will the rookie Allen play through pain? Only CG Technology and Westgate Superbook are offering the line, and CG now has the Colts laying a touch. If you like the high-scoring Colts to lay the 6 1/2, go offshore.

Minnesota Vikings (-3, 47) at New York Jets

The Vikings are a hard team to figure. They appear to be a Super Bowl contender sometimes, and other times they're just good, but not great. The Jets lost to the Cleveland Browns a couple of Thursdays ago, but they have looked impressive in their past two weekends. It's too bad this isn't the QB Teddy Bridgewater game against his former team, as he was shipped to NOLA after an impressive preseason with Gang Green. That would've been fun.

Anyway, this game has bounced back and forth between 3 1/2 and 3, with Treasure Island opening it at -4. If you're feeling the Jets at home and like the hook, you can still get it at Jerry's Nugget. There has been very little movement or interest in the total, which has not changed across the board from an open of 47.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.5, 42.5)

Both of these teams struggled in the Lone Star State last week. The Texans eeked out a 20-13 win thanks to a pick-six against the Bills, while the Jags were emasculated by the Dallas Cowboys. Bettors seem to like the Jags to bounce back, as the line rose from an open of -4 to -4 1/2 at Mirage-MGM, which is in line with all other Vegas shops. There is confidence the Jags' D will bounce back, too, after giving up a 40-burger in Big D, too, as the total is down from 42 1/2 to 42 at Atlantis as well as Jerry's Nugget.

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, 49.5)

The Ravens fell in Cleveland in Week 5, and blanked Tennessee in Week 6. They're hard to figure. There hasn't been much movement on this game, with the Ravens opening and holding steady as 2 1/2-point favorites at most shops. The Saints are coming off a rest, and they're 9-1 ATS in their past 10 following a bye week.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 41.5)

The Cowboys have owned this series in recent seasons, covering their past four trips to Washington, while going a perfect 5-0 SU in the nation's capital since their last loss there on Dec. 30, 2012. The public has taken notice, as the game opened at -2 1/2 at the Strat, dropping a point in less than 24 hours. The same happened at the Westgate Superbook, toin from 2 1/2 to 1 1/2.

Los Angeles Rams (-10.5, 53) at San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are 2-0 ATS this season when they're an underdog by 7 or more points. The 'over' has also cashed in each of their past five. That will be put to the test against a Rams defense which has been very good. For whatever reason, the 49ers have played them well over the years, though, and they're 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS i nthe past five meetings with the 'under' going 4-1 in the past five played in the Bay Area.

The solid showing of the 49ers on Monday has made an impression on bettors, as the line has fallen slightly from -11 to -10 1/2 at most shops. William Hill even opened this one at -11 1/2, and it's down a full point.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-6, 58.5)

This game was flexed into the Sunday night spot, as the Chiefs are the Flavor of the Month right now. Sorry Rams and 49ers fans. After an emotional three-point loss in New England, the public seems to be feeling the Bengals against the Chiefs, expecting some sort of a hangover. The Strat opened this game at -6, and money has come in on the Bengals to push it to -5 1/2. Caesars/Harrah's has toggled between -6 and -5 1/2, but to -6. If you're feeling the Bengals, who have shown an ability to score, you might want to wait it out.

The 'under' had been 3-0 in the past three SNF games until involving the Chiefs in Week 6. The total is on the move in this one, opening at 58 at Caesars, up to 59 at Coasts, and 58 1/2 offshore. It wouldn't be surprising to see the 60-mark broken on this one before the close on Sunday night.
 

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Patriots should attract public bettors as short faves vs. Bears in NFL Week 7 odds
Patrick Everson

Tom Brady and New England outlasted Kansas City on Sunday night, but didn't cover. The Patriots opened as 3-point favorites at Chicago in Week 7, the same number as last week's lookahead line.

Week 7 on the NFL schedule doesn’t have a game that just leaps off the page, but there are some intriguing matchups nonetheless. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four such contests, with insights from John Murray, sportsbook manager at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears (+3)

New England put up tons of points in each of the last three games, and in Week 6 needed pretty much all of them. The Patriots (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) blew a 24-9 halftime lead in a Sunday night shootout with Kansas City, but escaped with a 43-40 victory as 3.5-point home favorites

Chicago had plenty of time to rest up for Week 6, with a Week 5 bye, and got to face a backup quarterback. All that wasn’t enough, though, as the Bears (3-2 SU and ATS) lost to Brock Osweiler and Miami 31-28 in overtime as 7.5-point road faves.

“We saw a lot of money show up on the Bears +3 when we put up the lookahead line for this game last Tuesday,” Murray said early Sunday evening, prior to the Chiefs-Patriots contest. “This will be the Patriots’ first road game in a month, and the Bears crowd should be wild. But the public perception of the Bears may change a lot after that terrible loss to Osweiler and the Dolphins. The public will be all over the Patriots in this game if they have an impressive showing against the Chiefs.”

The offense was certainly impressive, but the New England defense got torched.

Per Superbook policy, the Pats-Bears line was taken down during the Sunday night game and will be rehung Monday morning.

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)

Philadelphia is the defending Super Bowl champion, but sits at just 3-3 SU and ATS through six weeks. The Eagles hope they’re back on track after rolling over the New York Giants 34-13 as 1.5-point road chalk in the Thursday night game.

Carolina barely escaped against the visiting Giants in Week 5, winning on a 63-yard field goal as time expired, but didn’t have such luck in Week 6 at Washington. The Panthers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) fell behind 17-0 in the first half and had their rally fall short in a 23-17 setback as 1-point faves.

“Philadelphia has three extra days to prepare for this game, and Carolina struggled for a second week in a row in its loss to the Redskins,” Murray said. “The Panthers would be on a two-game losing streak without the heroics of Graham Gano.”

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-2.5)

With Philadelphia out of the gate slow, Washington is actually atop the NFC East at 3-2 SU and ATS. The Redskins went off as 1-point home ‘dogs against Carolina in Week 6 and held on for a 23-17 victory after blowing much of a 17-0 lead.

Dallas has been tough to peg this season, but put together its best scoring output of the season in Week 6, and against a good defense, no less. The Cowboys (3-3 SU and ATS), catching 3 points at home, darted out to a 24-0 halftime lead and coasted past Jacksonville, 40-7.

“Great win for Dallas at home over Jacksonville,” Murray said, before turning his attention to next weekend. “This feels like the kind of home game the Redskins always lose. I expect the public to back the Cowboys pretty heavily on the road here.”

In fact, the early move in this division clash was toward Dallas, with the line dipping to 2 at the Superbook.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-6)

Kansas City was the talk of the league through five weeks, and rightly so, winning on the field and cashing for bettors every week. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs (5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS) continued to cash in Week 6 with a big rally at New England, but fell short on the scoreboard, losing 43-40 as a 3.5-point pup.

Cincinnati blew a great opportunity to prove it was the best team in the NFC North. The Bengals (4-2 SU and ATS) went off as 1.5-point home favorites against Pittsburgh and took a 21-20 lead with 1:18 remaining in the game, then gave up a waning-seconds touchdown in a 28-21 loss.

“Marvin Lewis always finds a way to blow a few games every season,” Murray said. “Sunday’s loss to Pittsburgh was particularly brutal. A win there would’ve made the Bengals 5-1 and put them in great position in the AFC North. This line may change depending on the result of the Sunday night game.”

The Superbook took down the Cincy-KC line during the Chiefs-Patriots game and will repost the number Monday morning.
 

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National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 58-32-2
Against the Spread 41-49-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 57-33-2
Against the Spread 50-40-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 50-42
 

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The Buffalo Bills do not seem to care being double-digit underdogs. They headed to the Gulf Coast to battle the Houston Texans, and they were tied 13-13 late despite losing their starting QB Josh Allen (elbow) to an injury. A late pick-six gave the home team the win, but the Bills were able to cover as double-digit underdogs. As a single-digit underdog the Bills are 1-3 ATS. As a 'dog by 10 or more points the Bills are 2-0 ATS. Buffalo has been a favorite of total bettors, too, as the 'under' has connected in four straight.
 

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Injury Report

-- Bills QB Josh Allen (elbow) left Sunday's game in Houston with an elbow injury, forcing QB Nate Peterman into action. He ended up tossing a pick-six in the final two minutes, costing the team in a 20-13 loss.

-- Falcons WRs Calvin Ridley (ankle) and Muhammad Sanu (hip) were each forced out of the Week 6 battle against the Buccaneers.

-- Jets WR Quincy Enunwa (ankle) turned an ankle in the shootout against the Colts and he was unable to return.

-- Raiders WRs Amari Cooper and Seth Roberts were each forced out of the battle with the Seahawks in London due to concussions.
 

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The suddenly hot Texans, winners of three in a row, battle the Jaguars in Northeast Florida. The Jags head home from Dallas with their tails between their legs after a sound 40-7 beating. It might get worse, as they're just 2-6 ATS in their past eight home meetings against the Texans. The 'over' has cashed in three of the past four meetings overall, and three straight in Jacksonville.
 

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The Titans and Chargers will lock horns in London. The 'under' cashed in the Week 6 battle between the Seahawks and Raiders, and the total has gone under in 50% (11-11) the first 22 contests played in the United Kingdom.
 

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The 49ers return from home from Wisconsin to find the Rams waiting for them. That isn't a bad thing for San Francisco, as the Niners have covered five straight in this series, last failing to cover Nov. 1, 2015 on the road. They're 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, and the 'under' is 4-1 during the past five meetings in the Bay Area, too
 

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The Cowboys will travel to D.C. looking to take care of their rivals, the Redskins. Lately, they have been a nightmare for Washington. The Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their past four meetings at home against the Cowboys, and they haven't beaten the Cowboys in five tries at FedEx Field since Dec. 30, 2012. The over has also cashed in three of the past four meetings in D.C., and five straight in this series.
 

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Sunday. October 21

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TENNESSEE (3 - 3) vs. LA CHARGERS (4 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 9:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 114-149 ATS (-49.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 29-4 ATS (+24.6 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) at CHICAGO (3 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (2 - 3 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 3) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (2 - 3) at MIAMI (4 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 3) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 114-85 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (2 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 5) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (4 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 1) - 10/21/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (3 - 2 - 1) at NY JETS (3 - 3) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (3 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 1) at BALTIMORE (4 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 62-96 ATS (-43.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (6 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 4) - 10/21/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 187-234 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 187-234 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 133-184 ATS (-69.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 145-185 ATS (-58.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 65-98 ATS (-42.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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NFL

Week 7

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Trend Report

Sunday, October 21

Tennessee Titans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Tennessee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tennessee
LA Chargers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Tennessee


New England Patriots
New England is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
New England is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
New England is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Chicago is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Chicago is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New England


Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Cleveland is 2-20-1 SU in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games at home


Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Philadelphia is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina


Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 15-4-1 SU in its last 20 games
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games at home
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
NY Jets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Minnesota


Detroit Lions
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games at home
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit


Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 14 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 15 games at home
Indianapolis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Indianapolis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Houston Texans
Houston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Jacksonville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Jacksonville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
New Orleans is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans


Dallas Cowboys
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Redskins
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 12 games
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 11 games on the road
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
LA Rams is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
San Francisco is 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams


Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
Kansas City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati



Monday. October 22

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 13 games
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Giants is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing NY Giants
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
 

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

SUNDAY OCTOBER 21, 2018

Tennessee
@
LA Chargers

Game 451-452
October 21, 2018 @ 9:30 am

Dunkel Rating: Tennessee
128.301
LA Chargers
136.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Chargers
by 8 1/2
28
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Chargers
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Chargers
(-6 1/2); Under

New England
@
Chicago

Game 453-454
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: New England
137.559
Chicago
136.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New England
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New England
by 3 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago
(+3 1/2); Over

Cleveland
@
Tampa Bay

Game 955-956
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
126.373
Tampa Bay
126.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Cleveland
Even
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Tampa Bay
by 3
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland
(+3); Under

Detroit
@
Miami

Game 457-458
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Detroit
00.000
Miami
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Detroit

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Detroit

Dunkel Pick: Detroit
( );

Carolina
@
Philadelphia

Game 959-960
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Carolina
132.813
Philadelphia
135.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick: Carolina
(+4 1/2); Over

Buffalo
@
Indianapolis

Game 461-462
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Buffalo
120.722
Indianapolis
130.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Indianapolis
by 10
30
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Indianapolis
by 6 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis
(-6 1/2); Under

Cincinnati
@
Kansas City

Game 463-464
October 21, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cincinnati
134.581
Kansas City
137.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Kansas City
by 2 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Kansas City
by 6
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati
(+6); Over

Minnesota
@
NY Jets

Game 465-466
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Minnesota
137.339
NY Jets
126.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Minnesota
by 11
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota
(-3); Over

Houston
@
Jacksonville

Game 467-468
October 21, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Houston
123.310
Jacksonville
133.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Jacksonville
by 10 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Jacksonville
by 4 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville
(-4 1/2); Under

New Orleans
@
Baltimore

Game 469-470
October 21, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: New Orleans
134.941
Baltimore
142.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Baltimore
by 7 1/2
29
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Baltimore
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore
(-2 1/2); Under

Dallas
@
Washington

Game 471-472
October 21, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating: Dallas
133.132
Washington
130.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Dallas
by 2 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Washington
by 2
42
Dunkel Pick: Dallas
(+2); Under

LA Rams
@
San Francisco

Game 473-474
October 21, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating: LA Rams
135.512
San Francisco
127.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Rams
by 8
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Rams
by 11
52
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco
(+11); Over
 

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Sunday
Titans (3-3) vs Chargers (4-2) (in London)— Longer trip across pond for Charger squad that won 10 of last 11 series games, but they played in Cleveland Sunday so trip was broken up; LA scored 33+ points in six of last eight series wins. Tennessee is 3-3, with all three wins by three points; they lost their last two games, scoring no TD’s on 18 drives on 13-12/21-0 losses- Mariota was sacked 11 times by the Ravens LW. In their last four games, Tennessee had 3-3-6-0 points at halftime. Chargers are 4-2, losing to Chiefs/Rams, who are a combined 11-1; Bolts allowed 35-38 points in their losses. Four of last five Titan games stayed under total; over is 5-1 in Charger tilts. Chargers were last over pond 10 years ago; this will be Titans’ first trip overseas.

Patriots (4-2) @ Bears (3-2)— Chicago hammered the Patriots 46-10 in Super Bowl XX, but since then they’re 1-7 vs New England, losing 36-7/51-23 in last two series games. Bears are 2-0 at home this year, beating Seattle/Tampa; over last 2+ years, they’re 8-1-2 as home underdogs. Chicago’s two losses this year are by total of four points; three of Chicago’s five games this year were decided by 3 or fewer points. Patriots are 3-0 since Edelman/Gordon were activated, scoring 38-38-43 points. Since ’16, Patriots are 11-6 as road favorites, but they’re 0-2 on road this year, scoring 20-10 in losses to Jaguars/Lions. AFC East teams are 10-8 vs spread outside their division, but 2-6 on road. NFC North teams are 7-6 outside the division, 4-2 at home.

Browns (2-3-1) @ Buccaneers (2-3)— Tampa Bay fired its DC Monday; they allowed 30-48-34 points in losing last three games after a 2-0 start; they were -8 in turnovers in last three games, allowing 30-38-24 first half points- they have zero takeaways in last two games.. Bucs allowed 21 TD’s on 55 drives this season, 10 TD’s on 20 drives in last two games. Cleveland got whacked by the Chargers last week, only game they’ve played this year that was decided by more than four points. Browns are 0-2 on road, losing 21-18 at Saints, 45-42 at Raiders- they’ve already played three OT games. Bucs won three of four series games, with Browns losing 17-3/17-14 in two visits here. Over is 5-0 in Tampa games, 2-4 in Cleveland games this season.

Lions (2-3) @ Dolphins (4-2)— Osweiler threw for 380 yards LW in his first Miami start, so doubt it matters if Tannehill plays or not. Miami is 3-0 at home, winning by 7-8-3 points; under Gase, Dolphins are 9-6-3 vs spread at home, 3-0 this year. Lions won/covered five of last six post-bye games; while with Patriots, Patricia’s defense held Miami to 17 or fewer points in five of last seven meetings. Lions covered their last four games but are 0-2, with losses by 3-2 points at 49ers/Cowboys- they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four games on natural grass. Detroit won last two meetings 34-27/20-16, after losing seven of first nine meetings; Lions are 1-4 in South Beach, winning last visit here in ’10. Four of last five Detroit games went over total.

Panthers (3-2) @ Eagles (3-3)— Philly won five of last seven series games, winning 28-23 in Charlotte LY; Panthers lost four of six visits here, with last one in ’14. Carolina is 0-2 on road (3-0 at home), losing 31-24 in Atlanta; 23-17 at Redskins; since ’12, Panthers are 20-9 as road underdogs- they allowed 26.5 ppg in last four games. Philly had three extra days to prep after being Giants last Thursday; under Pederson, Eagles are 6-4-1 as home favorites, 0-2 this season. Eagles allowed 12-16-13 points in their wins, 23+ points in losses; they outscored opponent in 2nd half in five of six games. Philly has 2nd-best red zone defense (3.52/drive), trailing only Miami. Three of last four Carolina games went over total.

Bills (2-4) @ Colts (1-5)— Rookie QB Allen (elbow) is out here; Bills have to start Anderson, as Peterman is hideous. In their last three games, Buffalo scored two TD’s on 31 drives, with TD drives of 47-32 yards; they’ve converted 27.9% on 3rd down this year. Bills were +3/+2 in turnovers in their wins, are combined -4 in four losses; they’re 2-2 as road dogs, with losses by 44-22-7 points on road, and an upset win in Minnesota. Indy lost its last four games, giving up 37-38-42 points in last three games; they scored 20+ pts in second half of last three games. Home side won last five series games; Bills lost their last five visits here, with three of those losses by 16+ points. Last four Buffalo games stayed under; Colts’ last three games all went over.

Bengals (4-2) @ Chiefs (5-1)— KC scored 31 second half points in Foxboro Sunday but still lost; they’re 6-0 vs spread this year, 2-0 as home favorites, winning 38-27/30-14 over 49ers/Jaguars. Chiefs covered eight of last ten games as home favorites. Bengals scored 27+ points in their four wins, 21-21 in their two losses; Cincy is 18-13-4 vs spread in last 35 games as road underdogs. Last couple years, Bengals are 0-4 vs spread week after losing to the rival Steelers. Cincy won last four series games by average score of 24-11; they split last six visits here. Under Reid, Chiefs are 12-10 vs spread coming off a loss. Over is 4-2 in Chief games, 4-2 in Bengal games. This game got flexed into the Sunday night slot; NBC probably expects another shootout.

Vikings (3-2-1) @ Jets (3-3)— Minnesota allowed 16-21-17 points in its three wins; 27+ in its losses/tie; their three road games were decided by total of nine points. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 8-6 vs spread as road favorites; they have eight takeaways (+4) in their wins, zero (-5) in the other games. Minnesota ran ball for 126 yds/game in wins, tried only 18-6-17 runs in other three games. Jets scored 34-42-48 points in their wins, 12-17-12 in losses (18-40 (45%) on 3rd down in wins, 12-38 (31.6%) in losses). Under Bowles, Gang Green is 17-9-1 vs spread at home, 10-4-1 as home dogs. Jets won eight of 10 series games; Vikings are 0-5 here, with last visit here in ’10. Last three Jet games went over total.

Texans (3-3) @ Jaguars (3-3)— Houston won its last three games by 3-3-7 points, with couple of OT wins and then a late defensive TD beating Bills LW; team that led at half won all six Texans games. Since 2015, Houston is 10-15 as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Jaguars were outscored 70-21 in losing road games last two weeks; Jags are 2-1 at home- they scored 20+ in their wins, were held to 6-14-7 points in losses. Jax is 5-3 in last eight games as home favorites. This series has been swept the last seven years; Jaguars swept Texans 29-7/45-7 LY, after going 0-6 vs Houston the previous six years. Under is 4-2 in Texan games this year. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 6-11 vs spread so far this season.

Saints (4-1) @ Ravens (4-2)— Baltimore has outscored opponents 62-15 in 2nd half this year; Ravens won three of last four games, allowing two TD’s on 35 drives in their last three tilts- they’re 2-0 at home, winning 47-3/27-14 over Bills/Broncos. Ravens are 9-6 in last 15 games as home favorites. Saints won last four games, covered last three; they’re 2-0 on road, winning 43-37/33-18 at Falcons/Giants. Baltimore won five of last six meetings, with average total in last four meetings, 58.5. Saints are 1-3 vs Ravens here, losing by 7-23-6 points; their lone win was in ’02. Last four Raven games stayed under total; over is 3-2 in Saints games. New Orleans is 7-1-1 vs spread in its last nine post-bye games, 12-7 in last 19 games as road underdogs.

Cowboys (3-3) @ Redskins (3-2)— Dallas won eight of last ten series games, winning last four by average score of 32-21; Cowboys won their last five visits here, three by 4 or fewer points, but this year, Dallas is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road, losing by 8-11-3 points, at Panthers, Seahawks, Texans- they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten pre-bye games. Since ’15, Cowboys are 6-8 as road dogs- they’re 11-5-2 in last 18 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Redskins are 2-10 vs spread in game following their last 12 wins; they scored 23+ points in their three wins, 9-14 in their two losses. Skins are 4-2 in last six games as home favorites- they scored 6 or fewer points in second half of every game this season, outscored 45-24. Under is 4-2 in Dallas games this season.

Rams (6-0) @ 49ers (1-5)— Under McVay, Rams are 4-4 as road favorites, 1-2 this year, winning on foreign soil by 20-2-3 points at Oakland-Seattle-Denver. LA ran ball for 155-270 yards in last two games, expect them to throw more here, after Rodgers riddled Niners for 425 PY in Monday night’s 33-30 win. 49ers allowed 31 ppg in their last five games, losing last four; they’re 5-8 in last 13 games as home underdogs, splitting pair of home tilts SU this year. Niners ran ball for 147-174 yards in last two games. 49ers are 7-3 in last ten series games, with three of last five games decided by 3 or fewer points. Teams split last four games played here. Rams are first team since ’96 Packers to be double-digit road favorite while playing third straight game on road.
 

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Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp has been diagnosed with an MCL sprain, which is actually good news considering how it looked when he was carted off the field in Sunday’s win at Denver. Although no announcement has been made, Kupp is likely out for at least Week 7.

In Kupp’s absence, Josh Reynolds had his highest snap count of the season at 62 percent but only managed to turn two targets into one catch for minus-two yards. Kupp’s production instead went to Robert Woods, who had his best game since Week 2, grabbing seven balls for 109 yards on a day where no other Rams receiver had more than two grabs. Woods has now gone over 100 receiving yards in three of his last four games and has gone over 90 yards in four straight. In Week 7, the Rams visit the 49ers in a game where they shouldn’t have an issue putting up another big offensive number. Bettors should look to the Over for Woods’ receiving yards total.
 

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Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is “week to week” with an elbow injury to his throwing arm after he was knocked out of Sunday’s loss at Houston. Coach Sean McDermott wouldn’t rule Allen out for Week 7 but referring to the injury in the manner he did is a pretty good sign that Allen will miss some time. As soon as Allen left Sunday’s game, so did Buffalo’s chances of pulling off another big road upset as Nathan “Pick” Peterman came in to throw two interceptions in just 12 attempts, including the pick-six that broke a 13-13 tie with just 1:23 remaining.

The Bills’ offense has a decent matchup in Week 7 against the injury-ravaged Colts who just had the Jets put up 42 points against them. To be fair to the Indianapolis defense though, the offense put them in very tough spots with four turnovers, including a pick-six. That’s unlikely to happen again at home this week. The Colts should also have safety Clayton Geathers back for Week 7, which would be a boost for their defense. The markets for this matchup are still off the book, but if Allen is out, we don’t see Buffalo scoring much and we’ll be taking the Under for the Bills’ team total.
 

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Falcons coach Dan Quinn said on Monday that running back Devonta Freeman has already been ruled out of Week 7 when Atlanta hosts the New York Giants on Monday night. In Freeman’s absence in Week 6, we got a winner by backing Ito Smith to score a touchdown at any time and we’re going back to the well once again this week.

Smith struggled against Tampa Bay, rushing 11 times for just 22 yards and adding two receptions for minus-one yard. But he did have the touchdown and continued getting more red-zone looks (4) than Telvin Coleman (2). In the four games without Freeman so far this season, Smith now has 15 red-zone looks to Coleman’s nine. The Falcons seem to prefer Smith inside the 20 and we’re going to back him to score a touchdown once again this week.
 

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New Orleans coach Sean Payton addressed Alvin Kamara’s lack of usage in Week 5 where he had just six carries and three receptions for 39 total yards, saying the two long scores of 60 and 40 yards attributed to it. Week 5 also happened to mark the return of Mark Ingram, who got 16 carries and two catches. However, Kamara backers can be optimistic from the fact that he wasn’t sitting on the bench all night, receiving 31 snaps to Ingram’s 36.

The Saints are in a tough situation in Week 7, traveling to Baltimore to face a Ravens team playing its first home game since Week 3 and a defense that just shut out the Tennessee Titans. New Orleans is coming off a bye, though, and has had plenty of time to prepare and come up with an offensive plan that is going to heavily involve Kamara. He’s too important to the offense not to be one of the main pieces. Bettors should expect a big game from Kamara and we’re going to back him to score a touchdown at any time.
 

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OLSEN NOT EASED IN

Panthers tight end Greg Olsen returned on Sunday after missing Weeks 2-5 and got right back into the swing of things by playing 59-of-60 snaps. Olsen didn’t have a huge game but managed to turn seven targets into four catches for 48 yards in the loss to Washington. Carolina has a tough test ahead of itself in Week 7 as it plays its second straight road game at Philadelphia. The Eagles have been better than average against tight ends so far this season, giving up 19 catches for 164 yards on 29 targets, but Cam Newton just doesn’t have many other weapons to go to. Olsen is the clear-cut No. 2 option offensively after Christian McCaffrey and we’re going to back the Over for his receptions total in Week 7.
 

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Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Oct. 21

TENNESSEE vs. L.A. CHARGERS - at Wembley Stadium, London (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Titans just 4-9 vs. points last 13 away from Nashville. Titans also “under” 8-4 last 12.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Chargers, based on “totals” and team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at CHICAGO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Belichick 0-2 as road chalk this season but still 11-6 since 2016 in role. Bears however 10-3-2 last 15 vs. line at Soldier Field (2-0 for Nagy) and 8-1-1 as home dog since 2016. Belichick “under” 10-4 last 14 away, Bears “under” 7-3 last ten at home.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Bears, based on “totals” and team trends.

CLEVELAND at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Brownies 4-1-1 vs. line in 2018. Note Bucs “over” 5-0 this season, and Cleveland "over" 7-3 last ten away.
Tech Edge: Browns and “over,” based on recent team and “totals” trends.

DETROIT at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Matt Patricia's Lions working on four covers in a row, and Detroit 6-3-1 vs. spread away since LY. Lions “over” 5-1 since late 2017. If favored here, note Dolphins entered this season 6-14-1 as home chalk since 2013 but 1-0 in role TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Lions and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Colts 3-1 vs. line last four away. Jets 3-5-1 last nine vs. line since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Colts, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bills on 8-4 “under” run since late LY. After “under” last five at Lucas Oil in 2017, Colts “over” first two at home in 2016.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at N.Y. JETS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes might be starting to rev up, now 12-3-2 last 17 on board since early 2017 after brief slump at start of season. Vikes 6-2-1 last 9 away vs. line in reg season. Jets however 9-2-1 vs. spread last 11 at MetLife and were 6-1-1 as home dog LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Vikings, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags crushed Texans twice LY but only got a bit of a look at Watson (who didn’t start) in the opener, Deshaun didn’t play in 45-7 Jags romp. O’Brien 7-13 as dog since 2016. Jags 5-1 vs. spread last six reg season at home.
Tech Edge: Jags, based on team trends.

NEW ORLEANS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Raves 2-0 SU and vs. line at home this season, if Baltimore a dog note 6-2-1 mark last nine in role. Saints 7-3 vs. spread last 10 away from Superdome.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on team trends.

DALLAS at WASHINGTON (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cowboys formful this season, home team 6-0 SU and vs. spread in Dallas games to date. Dallas 0-3 SU and vs. spread away after 5-2-1 vs. spread as visitor in 2017. Dallas 4-1 SU last five vs. Skins at FedEx, and road team 7-1 vs. line last 8 meetings. Skins on 27-15 “over” run since late 2015 and last six “over” in series.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Cowboys, based on “totals” and team trends.

L.A. RAMS at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Rams 10-6-1 last 17 in reg season vs. spread overall. SF however has won and covered 4 of last 5 in series (1-1 vs. McVay). Into GB last Monday, Rams “over” 7-3-1 last 11 reg season, Niners 7-1-1 “over” since late 2017. Last three in series “over” as well.
Tech Edge: ”Over” and slight to Rams, based on “totals” and team trends.

CINCINNATI at KANSAS CITY (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
After thriller vs. Pats, Chiefs have now covered ten in a row in regular-season action, winning nine of those outright. Andy Reid 8-2 last ten as reg season Arrowhead chalk. Marvin Lewis however is 9-4-1 last 14 as dog (3-1 TY). Bengals also “over” 5-2 since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Slight to Chiefs and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
 

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New England coach Bill Belichick said on Tuesday that Josh Gordon’s “role is expanding weekly”. Gordon was on the field for 63-of-78 snaps in Week 6 against K.C. and received nine targets, though he only managed to secure five receptions for 42 yards, causing us to lose a bet after we had suggested taking the Over for his receiving yards total. Gordon also had 90 air yards which were a team high for the Patriots on Sunday night and ran 36 pass routes, which tied for the team-high with Julian Edelman.

All stats considered, it seems a bit unlucky that Gordon couldn’t surpass his receiving yards total last week. Add in Belichick’s comments and we think he’s due for a big game this week against Chicago. We’re going back to the Over for Gordon’s receiving yards once the markets open later in the week.
 

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