As I’ve said before, ATS Wins and Losses are based on Vegas Insider’s closing lines. The week’s “final” MOV projections do not change; however, depending on line changes, the model can and does, occasionally flip the pick. Last Sunday is an example. For the DAL @ WSH game, the final MOV projection was Dallas by 1.2, and while the line was Pick’em, the model’s pick was obviously Dallas; however, the closing line was Dallas -1.5, which flipped the model’s pick to Washington – a win, thanks to the zebras. I use the closing line because I have to use something to grade the model’s performance, and VI’s closing lines are online and public. Although this past week the model benefitted from a pick flip, it has been the other way for most of the season thus far.
Anyway, going 8-6 ATS this past week brings the model’s record from Week 5 (when the data was no longer poisoned by old numbers) to 46.5%, and I’m hoping Week 8 gets the Limper over the hump.
GLTA
PS. My super-duper Over/Under picks last week were a perfecto 5-0!!! This, however, is a case of ‘I’ve-been-to-this-movie-before’, where in the past a big flop always seems to happen. That said, I have run the OUs since Week 5 and the model has gone 13-2 thus far, so my fingers are crossed for a continuation.
Week 8 OU picks will post either Thursday or Saturday.
Anyway, going 8-6 ATS this past week brings the model’s record from Week 5 (when the data was no longer poisoned by old numbers) to 46.5%, and I’m hoping Week 8 gets the Limper over the hump.
GLTA
PS. My super-duper Over/Under picks last week were a perfecto 5-0!!! This, however, is a case of ‘I’ve-been-to-this-movie-before’, where in the past a big flop always seems to happen. That said, I have run the OUs since Week 5 and the model has gone 13-2 thus far, so my fingers are crossed for a continuation.
Week 8 OU picks will post either Thursday or Saturday.
