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Thread: Heads up. Ventspils 7-1 Over and average 178/game in those overs.

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  1. #26  
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    finally... over

    if they had got nothing on that possession, time expires at 160 total



    what kind of fucking coach doesn't foul with 30 seconds left and down 6. fucking retarded?
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  2. #27  
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    Good hit
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  3. #28  
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    Ventspils back at it again!

    After this game they hit the over the again to make it 7-0 over last 7.


    Today they play Le Mans. Total is 161.5.

    Le Mans is a -8.5 fave. Logic here would dictate Le Mans are believed to easily get more points than Vents. Vents recent games:

    100
    86
    110
    85
    90
    78
    94
    97
    92
    85


    9-1 on the over. Only one time they were held to less than 85. Averaging 91.7/game.

    Don't think Le Mans can cover this without the total going over. Good situation. Would be a lock if Vents was a home dog, but give Vents minimum 78 points again here. Jacking 3's, driving to the hoop, fouls, free throws and resulting careless defense on the other end.



    330 PM start EST
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  4. #29  
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    thanks
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  5. #30  
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    46-35 ht

    Vents losing. Scored 81 with pretty much a walk-up pace.


    Vents should dump in their share in the 2nd half and Le Mans will not be stopped for getting their share.

    Live at HT is 161.5.


    Hard to not see this going over.
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  6. #31  
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    91-76 final. Over


    Think that' s 8-0 and 10-1 over now.


    Le Mans just a class above Vents talent-wise. Nothing wrong with that, but hence the decrease in points.

    Still, Vents has an excellent mix of attacking the rack, jacking 3's and an uncanny ability to garner lots of FT's. This over was the perfect recipe to keep the books from jacking up the total, which is usually what happens. An over team's totals will keep rising until the newest number is simply unattainable and then things fall off to .500 range or less for the overs.


    Next up:

    11/03 Latvijas
    11/06 Ludwig
    11/09 @ Valga


    But none of those games really look like overs..... Ludwig lost 8 in a row haven't won this year yet.
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  7. #32  
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    Quote Originally Posted by RunMaker View Post


    Think that' s 8-0 and 10-1 over now.



    Next up:

    11/03 Latvijas -- under
    11/06 Ludwig -- over
    11/09 @ Valga -- live
    Forgot about this.

    9-1 last 10. 11-2 last 13.

    Think total for today's game was 155.5
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  8. #33  
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    1-2 on the over for those 3 games. But that was expected. Vents still does what they do. But you can't get an over if you're playing a team that plays like an old Navy team and literally runs the ball on every play.

    This was actually a good thing for the total b/c it will artificially suppress the true total for their next games. It's not a scenario where they're priced out of a achieving a certain total b/c the new totals went spiraling upwards out of control. You can see this in the fact that Vents still
    dumped in 78, 93 (84 in regulation), 82 in these last 3 games... (I mean to say they're still good in keeping up their end of the bargain)


    11/14 Nizhny
    11/17 Valmiera
    11/21 @ Sidigas


    Nizhny game is a more or less kind of deal. Don't expect a smashing. But the Valmiera and Sidigas games are dead on huge point games. Hopefully a lower total in Nizhny and that sets up a Valm game where they put the estimated total a few points less than what it really should be. Vents can dump in 90+ on Valm and Sidigas.
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  9. #34  
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    Well, here we go! The moment has arrived.

    The pure matchup of over-smashers has arrived. Total is set at 166.5.


    Vents gets 90+. Can Valm dump in 77 or better? Game has almost a 100% guarantee to get at least 160.

    So lose on 161, 162, 163, 164, 165, 166. Those are the only numbers you lose on, but that still a wide range.


    I'd imagine this'll win 6 times out of 10 easy. But that's not strong enough for a guarantee.
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  10. #35  
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    Gl
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  11. #36  
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    60 points in the 2nd quarter. And o/c I didnt' get my bet in time.... sigh.
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  12. #37  
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    Damn that sucks looks like a winner
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