Bruce Marshall
Saturday, Oct. 27
MTSU at OLD DOMINION... MTSU 1-4 vs. spread last 5 as visitor. ODU however only 3-7 vs. spread last ten at Norfolk.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.
NC STATE at SYRACUSE...Road team has covered all five meetings since 2013. Cuse was 4-9 vs. spread for Babers at home entering this season but 2-0-1 at Carrier Dome TY.
Slight to NC State, based on series road trends.
NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA...Mendenhall 6-1 vs. line TY, and Cavs 6-2 vs. spread last 8 at Charlottesville. Fedora 14-19-1 as dog at UNC (4-1 TY).
Slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at AKRON...CMU surprising 3-0 vs. line away TY, 8-2 vs. points as visitor since LY. Zips 0-2 vs. number at Infocision TY, 2-10-1 vs. spread last 11 at home.
CMU, based on team trends.
LA TECH at FAU... Kiffin 10-2 SU in C-USA games since LY, 5-1 vs. points as C-USA host, yet Owls only 1-6 vs. line TY. Skip Holtz 14-5 as dog since 2014 (2-0 TY).
La Tech, based on team trends.
DUKE at PITT...Duke 3-0 vs. line away TY, and has covered last five away from Durham. Narduzzi just 8-16 vs. spread at Heinz Field since taking over Pitt in 2015. But Panthers have covered last three in series.
Duke, based on team trends.
ILLINOIS at MARYLAND...Lovie on 7-15 spread skid since late 2016. Lovie 6-11 as DD dog with Illini. Terps 3-1 as chalk TY.
Maryland, based on team trends.
WAKE FOREST at LOUISVILLE...Deacs only 1-5 vs. line TY though they have covered last four years vs. Petrino. Clawson 9-5 vs. spread last 13 away. Petrino 1-6 vs. line TY, 6-18 last 24 on board since late 2016.
Wake Forest, based on team and series trends.
WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN...Badgers only 2-5 vs. line TY, and have failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Cats. Though Wiscy 9-1 as visiting chalk since 2015 (1-0 TY). Pat Fitz 19-9 as dog since 2014.
Northwestern, based on team and series trends.
ARMY at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU 18-3-1 as dog since 2016, 4-1-1 as Ypsilanti dog that span. Army on 4-1-1 spread run, 7-2 last nine vs. points away from Michie. Eagles covered at West Point LY.
Eastern Michigan, if dog, based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at CHARLOTTE... 49ers 4-1 as home dog since LY. USM just 3-5 vs. points last 8 on C-USA road.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.
TCU at KANSAS...Ugh! Frogs no covers last three TY, 2-7 last nine vs. number. Jayhawks have covered 5 of last 6 in series!
Kansas, based on series and team trends.
UMASS at UCONN...Huskies 1-5-1 vs. line TY, 6-17-1 last 24, including Edsall and Diaco. Mass 0-4 vs. line away TY.
Slight to UMass, based on team trends.
COASTAL CAROLINA at GEORGIA STATE... Panthers on 2-8-1 skid vs. line last 11 reg season games. Coastal 5-2 vs. line last 7 away.
Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
NEW MEXICO at UTAH STATE... Utags 5-1-1 vs. line TY. Davie however has covered 3 of last 4 meetings.
Slight to Utah State, based on recent trends.
OREGON STATE at COLORADO...Coach Mac has covered 3 of last 4 meetings. Beavs no covers last four this season, CU 2-1 vs. spread at Boulder TY.
Slight to Colorado, based on team and series trends.
UAB at UTEP...UAB 6-1 vs. line TY, 16-5-1 last 22 on board since late 2014 for Bill Clark. UAB has covered 6 of last 7 on C-USA road. UTEP has covered 4 of last 5 TY, but Miners just 4-10 vs. points last 14 at Sun Bowl.
UAB, based on team trends.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BYU... NIU 11-5 as visiting dog for Carey since 2013. Cougs 3-7 vs. spread at Provo for Sitake since LY.
NIU, based on team trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA...Aztecs 12-3 vs. points last 15 as MW visitor. SDSU 6-1 vs. line last 7 as visitor overall. Pack 7-4 vs. spread last 11 at Reno.
San Diego State, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at STANFORD...Leach has won last 2 and covered last 3 vs. Tree. Leach on 13-4 spread uptick last 17 in reg season play. Shaw 5-9 vs. spread as home chalk since 2016 (2-2 TY).
Washington State, based on team and series trends.
ARIZONA STATE at USC...SC now 5-15 vs. line last 20, Trojans 2-7 last nine as Coliseum chalk (though SC on 19-game SU home win streak for Helton). SC has destroyed ASU last three seasons though Sun Devils on 11-5 spread uptick last 16 reg season games (4-3 for Herm).
Slight to Arizona State, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON at CAL...Huskies have won and covered last two meetings but U-Dub 1-4 vs. spread last 5 as Pac-12 visitor. Cal however only 2-5 vs. spread this season.
Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.
GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...Dan Mullen 6-1 vs. line this season, now 8-4 last 12 as dog. Kirby Smart only 3-4 vs. spread this season. Gators 3-1-1 last five in series.
Florida, based on team and series trends.
UNLV at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU just 2-6-1 last 9 vs. spread at home. Rebs on 8-2 spread run last 10 away.
Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.
TULANE at TULSA...Tulane humiliated Tulsa LY by 62-28 count. But home team is 6-1 vs. spread in Wave games TY (Tulane 0-3 away). Golden Hurricane just 3-7 last ten vs. line at home.
Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.
TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI STATE... Dan Mullen covered 4 of last 5 vs. Sumlin in this series prior to this season. Jimbo however is 6-1 this season and Ags actually 12-4-1 vs. spread last 17 reg season games.
Texas A&M, based on recent trends.
KENTUCKY at MISSOURI...Stoops 3-1 as dog TY, 12-7 as dog since 2016. UK has won SU last three vs. Mizzou. Tigers 3-3 vs. line TY but 3-0 at home, six straight covers at Columbia for Barry Odom.
Slight to Kentucky, based on team trends.
TENNESSEE at SOUTH CAROLINA...SC covers last three in series, though Muschamp just 4-4 last 8 as chalk. UT has covered last two on SEC trail and 5-14 last 19 on board in reg season ( 3-4 for Pruitt).
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.
TEXAS at OKLAHOMA STATE...Tom Herman only 4-7 vs. spread last 11 reg season games. Though Horns 3-0-1 vs. spread last four against OSU. Gundy 0-4-1 vs. spread last five at Stillwater vs. Big 12.
Texas, based on series and team trends.
RICE at NORTH TEXAS...Owls 5-10 last 14 as DD dog. Note UNT “under” 7-0 this season.
North Texas and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
SOUTH FLORIDA at HOUSTON...Major Applewhite decent 6-3 as home chalk since LY. USF 2-4 vs. line last six as visitor (counts Illinois game at Chicago).
Houston, based on team trends.
IOWA at PENN STATE...Iowa on 8-1 spread run since late 2017, Ferentz 11-5 vs. spread last 16 as visitor. Penn State on 22-8 run vs. line since early 2016 but no covers last 2 TY.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.
PURDUE at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio no covers last five at East Lansing. Brohm 8-2 as dog with Purdue, and Boilermakers 14-4 as visiting dog since 2014 (into the Hazell years).
Purdue, based on team trends.
FIU at WESTERN KENTUCKY...FIU has covered last two meetings, and Butch Davis 7-1 vs. spread last 8 reg season games.
FIU, based on team trends.
CINCINNATI at SMU...Cincy 5-2 vs. line TY. Bearcats 3-1 as chalk TY after 0-4 mark in role for Fickell in 2017.
Slight to Cincy, based on recent trends.
VANDERBILT at ARKANSAS...Derek Mason on 6-11 spread skid, 2-5 last 7 vs. spread as SEC visitor, and 2-10 last 12 vs. line in SEC games. Hogs 5-1 vs. points last six SEC games (3-1 for Chad Morris).
Arkansas, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA...Lincoln Riley 7-2 as Norman chalk since LY. Bill Snyder at it again, covers last three as a dog, now 32-14 last 46 as dog.
K-State, based on team trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at ULL...Ark State on 2-7 spread skid since late 2017. Home team has won and covered last four meetings, Ragin’ Cajuns on 4-0 spread upturn TY.
ULL, based on team and series trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at TEXAS STATE... Bobcats just 1-2 as rare chalk since Withers took over in 2016. TSU also just 5-10 vs. points at San Marcos for Withers. Ags have won and covered last three meetings.
New Mexico State, based on series trends.
TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE...Kingsbury on 5-1 spread uptick, and has won outright as a dog last three on Big 12 road. And 10-4 last 14 as visiting dog. Cyclones however have romped past two seasons in series. ISU also on 11-4 spread uptick.
Slight to Iowa State, based on team and series trends.
BOISE STATE at AIR FORCE... Force 5-1 last six vs. spread in series, won outright as dog for three straight years vs. Broncos prior to 2017. Falcs 3-0-1 as dog in 2018, Calhoun 16-6-1 in role since 2014, 6-1 last seven as home dog.
Air Force, based on team and series trends.
CLEMSON at FLORIDA STATE...Tigers 6-2-1 vs. spread last 9 as chalk away from Death Valley. Dabo 3-0 SU but only 1-2 vs. line last three vs. Noles.
Clemson, based on team trends.
NAVY vs. NOTRE DAME (at San Diego)...Navy has covered 4 of last 5 meetings, and 12-7 last 19 vs. line in series. Niumatalolo 16-9 as dog since 2013. Irish 6-2 vs. spread away from South Bend since LY.
Navy, based on series trends.
OREGON at ARIZONA...Ducks 2-6 vs. line last seven away from Eugene, 2-4 as away chalk (though 1-0 TY). Cats 2-3 as dog TY for Sumlin, 9-19 as dog since 2015.
Oregon, based on team trends.
HAWAII at FRESNO STATE...Tedford 6-1 vs. line TY, 16-3-2 vs. spread since taking over LY. Though only managed a push at Hawaii LY. Back into 2016, Bulldogs 12-2 vs. spread last 14 at home. Hawaii 1-5-1 spread run last six TY, and just 1-6 last seven vs. line on MW road.
Fresno State, based on team trends.