Sunday 10/28/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

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Jan 17, 2007
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NFL
Long Sheet

Sunday. October 28

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) vs. JACKSONVILLE (3 - 4) - 10/28/2018, 9:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (2 - 4 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 2 - 1) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (3 - 4) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 1) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (3 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 3) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (4 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 6) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 62-96 ATS (-43.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 3) at DETROIT (3 - 3) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 3) at CINCINNATI (4 - 3) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (4 - 3) at CAROLINA (4 - 2) - 10/28/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 115-85 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 159-125 ATS (+21.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 5) at OAKLAND (1 - 5) - 10/28/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 38-79 ATS (-48.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 6) at ARIZONA (1 - 6) - 10/28/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 5-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (3 - 2 - 1) at LA RAMS (7 - 0) - 10/28/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 189-136 ATS (+39.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 188-234 ATS (-69.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 188-234 ATS (-69.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 134-184 ATS (-68.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 146-185 ATS (-57.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-98 ATS (-41.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 1) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2 - 1) - 10/28/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
Joined
Jan 17, 2007
Messages
99,709
Tokens
Week 8

Trend Report

Sunday. October 28

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


Denver Broncos
Denver is 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Denver is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver


New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Jets is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
NY Jets is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Chicago is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games at home
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing NY Jets


Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 2-21-1 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Pittsburgh is 13-4-1 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Washington Redskins
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games on the road
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 14 games
NY Giants is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 15 games at home
NY Giants is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Giants's last 15 games when playing at home against Washington


Seattle Seahawks
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


Baltimore Ravens
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Baltimore


Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 15 games
Indianapolis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Indianapolis's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 5-13-2 ATS in its last 20 games
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 13 games
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis


San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco


Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Green Bay is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games at home
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
LA Rams is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
LA Rams is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay
LA Rams is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay


New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 16-4-1 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Minnesota is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
 
Joined
Jan 17, 2007
Messages
99,709
Tokens
NFL
Dunkel

Week 8

Sunday October 28, 2018

Philadelphia @ Jacksonville

Game 251-252
October 28, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
133.853
Jacksonville
125.137
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
42
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-3); Under

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Game 253-254
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.655
Pittsburgh
139.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 13 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-7 1/2); Over

Denver @ Kansas City

Game 255-256
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
130.249
Kansas City
143.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 13
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 9 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-9 1/2); Under

NY Jets @ Chicago

Game 257-258
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
129.445
Chicago
134.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+7 1/2); Over

Washington @ NY Giants

Game 259-260
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
126.712
NY Giants
129.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 3
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+1); Under

Seattle @ Detroit

Game 261-262
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
129.622
Detroit
137.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 8
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Over

Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati

Game 263-264
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
121.893
Cincinnati
134.788
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 13
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 4
54
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-4); Over

Baltimore @ Carolina

Game 265-266
October 28, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.630
Carolina
139.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 6 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+2); Over

Indianapolis @ Oakland

Game 267-268
October 28, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
125.459
Oakland
126.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
50
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+3); Under

San Francisco @ Arizona

Game 269-270
October 28, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
123.601
Arizona
121.670
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+1); Over

Green Bay @ LA Rams

Game 271-272
October 28, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
134.329
LA Rams
134.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 10
57
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+10); Under

New Orleans @ Minnesota

Game 273-274
October 28, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
134.679
Minnesota
140.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
Pick
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
Over
 
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Week 8

Sunday
Eagles (3-4) vs Jaguars (3-4) (@ London)— Jacksonville won its last three London games, by 3-3-37 points, scoring 36 ppg; this is Eagles’ first trip across pond. Both teams are struggling as they travel; Eagles lost three of last four games; they’ve blown 17-3/17-0 leads in losses to Titans, Panthers; under Pederson, Philly is 9-7 in game with spread of 3 or fewer points. Six of Eagles’ seven games this year were decided by 6 or fewer points. Jax lost its last three games (scoring four TD’s on 33 drives); they benched Bortles in 3rd quarter Sunday for Kessler- they lost field position in five of last six games, last two by 12-16 yards. Jaguars are 3-2 in series, losing 28-3/34-17 in last two meetings.

Browns (2-4-1) @ Steelers (3-2-1)— Cleveland has already played four OT games; only one of their games was decided by more than 4 points. Teams tied 21-all in season opener; Browns were +5 in turnovers but still didn’t win- they’ve lost 24 straight road games, are 4-32-1 in last 37 games vs Steelers, losing last 19 visits here (27-24/28-24 last two years). Cleveland is 8-17-1 in last 26 games as road dogs, 1-1-1 this year- under is 5-2 in their ’18 games. Steelers scored 41-28 points in winning its last two games before their bye; they’re 4-8 in last dozen games as home favorites. Steelers are 1-6 vs spread in last seven post-bye games, 0-5 in last five as a favorite. Under is 5-2 in Cleveland games, 3-3 in Steeler games.

Broncos (3-4) @ Chiefs (6-1)— Chiefs (-3.5) won first meeting 27-23 in Denver four weeks ago; KC won last six series games (3 of 6 wins by 4 or fewer points)- Broncos lost 33-10/29-19 in last two visits to Arrowhead. Denver lost four of its last five games overall, with road losses by 13-18 points; under Joseph, Broncos are 1-9 vs spread in true road games, 0-6 as road underdogs. Chiefs are 7-0 vs spread this season, winning home games 38-27/30-14/45-10; KC covered 10 of its last 12 games as home favorites. In three home games this year, Chiefs scored 12 TD’s on only 26 drives, outscoring visitors 79-17 in first half of those games. Four of last six Denver games, three of last four Chief games stayed under total.

Jets (3-4) @ Bears (3-3)— Jets are on road for first time in four weeks; they scored 34+ points in their three wins, 17 or fewer in four losses. In their losses, Jets went 3/out 23-50 times (46%); in their wins, only 9-35 (25.7%) times. Bears are 0-2 since bye, giving up 31-38 points- they turned ball over five times in last two games. Chicago is 2-1 at home this year, 2-0 as home favorites, after being 15-26-3 in that role from ’08-’17. Chicago is 8-3 in this series, winning last four by 7-10-4-8 points; Jets lost four of six visits to the Windy City. Last four Jet games, last three Chicago games went over total; AFC East road underdogs are 3-6 vs spread outside the division; NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 4-2.

Redskins (4-2) @ Giants (1-6)— Giants lost last four games, allowing 33+ points in three of them; Big Blue has only 26 points on eight red zone drives in last two games- they’re 0-3 at home, losing by 5-15-21 points while scoring 15.3 ppg. Giants are 9 for last 33 on third down. Washington won three of its last four games; they were held to 9-19 points in their losses, scored 24.5 ppg in their wins- Redskins won field position by 14-12 yards last two weeks; they split their two road tilts. Under Gruden, Skins are 2-2 as road favorites. Giants are 7-3 in last ten series games, winning five of last six series games played here- four of those five wins were by 8+ points. Under is 4-2 in Redskin games,

Seahawks (3-3) @ Lions (3-3)— Both teams won three of last four games after an 0-2 start; Seattle won five of last six series games, but they lost three of last four visits here, with win in Motor City in ’06- last meeting was 26-6 Seattle win in ’15 playoffs. Seattle is 5-3 vs spread in last eight post-bye games. Seahawks won three of last four games overall; they allowed 17 or less points in their wins, 27-24-33 points in losses. Lions scored 31-32 points in winning last two games; they’ve scored 24+ points in their last five games. NFC West teams are 3-7 vs spread in non-divisional road games; NFC North home teams are 4-3 outside the division. Four of last five Seahawks games stayed under; last three Lion games went over.

Buccaneers (3-3) @ Bengals (4-3)— Cincy lost its last two games after a 4-1 start; their offense misses injured TE Eifert. Bengals are 4-0 when they run ball for 99+ yards; they ran for 66 or less yards in their losses- they were outscored in 2nd half in five of last six games. Buccaneers snapped 3-game skid with an OT win LW, but lost MLB Alexander for year (ACL). Bucs are 1-2 on road, allowing 40-48-34 points; they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Tampa Bay won six of last seven series games; they won their last four visits here. Last three series games were decided by total of five points. Bengals’ last three games stayed under total; five of last six Tampa Bay games went over.

Ravens (4-3) @ Panthers (4-2)— Baltimore is 4-1 when it allows 14 or fewer points, 0-2 when it allows more; Ravens are 2-2 on road- underdogs covered 3 of those 4 games- since ’13, they’re 6-11-1 vs spread as a road favorite. Carolina rallied to beat Eagles LW after being down 17-0 in 4th quarter; Panthers won three of last four games, are 3-0 at home, winning by 8-10-2 points. Carolina covered five of last seven games as home underdogs. Baltimore won last two meetings 37-13/38-10, after losing first three meetings; Ravens lost two of three visits here, with last one in ’10. Last five Raven games stayed under total. Carolina is 16-8-1 in last 25 games where spread was 3 or fewer points; Ravens are 7-4-1 in their last dozen such games.

Colts (2-5) @ Raiders (1-5)— Oakland has thrown in the towel, trading WR Cooper to Dallas on Monday; they’re 1-1 at home, beating Browns by 3 in OT- since then, Raiders scored only one TD on 17 possessions in losses to Chargers/Seahawks. In their five losses, Oakland was outscored 83-27 in 2nd half. Colts lost four of their last five games; they’re 1-3 on road, 2-2 vs spread, losing by 4-14-8 points. Indy won four of last five series games; teams split last four series games played in Oakland. Oakland covered five of last six post-bye games. Under is 4-2 in Oakland games, 1-3 in last four Indy games. AFC South teams are 7-12 vs spread outside the division; AFC West teams are 11-7.

49ers (1-6) @ Cardinals (1-6)— Arizona’s only win was 28-18 (+4) in Santa Clara three weeks ago; Cardinals were +5 in turnovers that day (are -8 in their other games), had only one TD drive longer than 26 yards. Arizona is 0-4 at home, scoring only 11.8 ppg (6 TD’s on 44 drives); they fired their OC after their last game, a 45-10 home loss to Denver. 49ers lost their last five games; they’re 2-2 as road dogs this year, losing by 8-11-2-3 points. In their last three games, Niners turned ball over 12 times, with zero takeaways. SF lost field position in six of seven games, losing by 14+ yards in three of last four games. Redbirds won last seven series games, taking last four here. Over is 5-1 in 49ers’ last six games, 3-0 in Cardinals’ last three games.

Packers (3-2-1) @ Rams (7-0)— Green Bay allowed 30+ points in three of last four games; they’re 0-2 on road, losing 31-17 at Washington, 31-23 in Detroit. Since ’13, Green Bay is 6-11 as road underdogs, but they’ve got Aaron Rodgers- over is 15-3 in their last 18 road games. In their last four games, Packers outscored opponents 49-16 in second half. Rams are 3-0 as home favorites this year, winning by 34-12-7 points. LA scored 33+ points in every game but the one played in 20-degree weather in Denver. Packers won last five series games, all by 10+ points; Rams’ last series win was in ’06. Green Bay is 0-2-1 vs spread in last three post-bye games. Four of last five Packer games went over total;

Saints (5-1) @ Vikings (4-2-1)— Minnesota is 10-5 in last 15 series games, stunning Saints 29-24 in playoff game LY, when Diggs caught 61-yard TD pass at gun; home side won five of last six series games. Saints lost seven of last eight visits to Twin Cities. New Orleans won LW when star K Tucker missed his first-ever PAT; Saints covered their last four games, are 3-0 on road, scoring 43-33-24 points- they average 34.3 ppg in domes this season (28.5 outside). NO scored 17 TD’s on their last 36 drives. Minnesota won/covered its last three games; Vikings are 2-1 at home, somehow losing to Buffalo- three of their last four games went over total. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 20-6 vs spread as a home favorite. Saints are 9-4 in last 13 games as road dogs.
 
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Joe Williams

Sunday, Oct. 28

Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 41.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags are in their second 'home', playing overseas in London in the morning game. Both of these teams desperately need a win, as each of the Super Bowl contenders from the preseason arrive in England's capital city with a 3-4 record. Vegas likes the defending champs, as they opened as a field-gial fave at most shops, and Caesars/Harrah's has it up to -3 1/2. If you're feeling the Eagles and want a bargain, Mirage-MGM had it down to -2 1/2 as of early Monday evening from an open of -3.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-8, 51)

These two sides met in Week 1 on the shores of Lake Erie, and they decided nothing in a 21-21 tie to open the season. Cleveland has posted a 3-0-1 ATS mark over the past four meetings in this series. The Browns have been involved in four overtime games, including Week 1 obviously, in their seven battles. Pittsburgh is coming off a bye, and the public is feeling the Steelers at home. The line opened at -7 1/2 at most shops and rose to -8 at Atlantis, Jerry's Nugget, Southpoint and Stratosphere.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 55)

These teams met in a Monday nighter earlier this season, with Kansas City winning 27-23 on a -3 1/2-point line. They opened as 10-point favorites everywhere except for -9 at Westgate Superbook, while Mirage-MGM opened the Chiefs as high as -10 1/2.

New York Jets at Chicago Bears (-7, 46)

The Jets were routed at home by an NFC North team last week, while the Bears came up a yard short at home on a near miracle to at least tie their game against an AFC East foe and perhaps force overtime. TI opened htis game at -6, and most other shops opened it at -6.5, and the money has been on the home side, driving the Bears up to -7 at most books.

Washington Redskins (-1, 42) at New York Giants

The 'Skins squeaked by the Cowboys on a missed field goal off the upright, while the Giants scratched back for a backdoor, raw bad beat cover in the ATL on Monday night, losing 23-20. While the books give the slight edge to the first-place Redskins, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series. The 'under' is also 12-3 in the past 15 meetings in metro NYC.

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-3, 49.5)

A pair of .500 clubs hook up in the Motor City, and the public is feeling the home side. Detroit opened at -2 1/2 at Coasts, Golden Nugget, Mirage-MGM, the Strat and Wynn, among others, but it's up to the Lions -3 nearly across the board. TI opened the game at -2 and you can still catch the home side at -2 1/2 if you hurry.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5, 54)

The Buccaneers snuck by the Browns in OT, while the Bengals were emasculated in K.C. by the Chiefs. The Bengals opened at -6 on Monday afternoon, but the money has streamed in on the underdog, dropping the Bengals to -4 1/2 at Atlantis, Coasts, the Strat, Westgate and Wynn. There are still a few places you can catch the Bucs with five still, but no one appears to be buying the home side.

Baltimore Ravens (-2, 43) at Carolina Panthers

This is a curious line, as the Ravens fell at home on a missed extra point in the final minute of regulation, while the Panthers won a road game against the defending champs in miraculous comeback fashion. Baltimore opened as a Pick 'em at Westgate, and quickly rose to Ravens -1 1/2. Mirage-MGM, Stations and Wynn has the Ravens all the way up to -2. It's likely the public weighs in and drops this line back down, backing the home side, but we'll see. The sharps are likely a bounce-back for the boys from Charm City after a Week 7 gut punch.

Indianapolis Colts (-3, 50) at Oakland Raiders

The Colts blasted league punching bag Buffalo, while the Raiders are careening out of control and they just traded WR Amari Cooper to the Dallas Cowboys. Indy opened at -1 1/2 at most shops and were quickly bet up to -3 at nearly all shops. Jerry's Nugget and TI still had Indy at -2 1/2 as of early Tuesday morning, but you better act quickly if you like the road side.

San Francisco 49ers (at Arizona Cardinals (PK, 43)

These teams just met a few weeks ago in San Francisco, and it was rookie QB Josh Rosen and the Cards coming away with the a victory, 28-18. San Francisco has posted a 5-2 ATS mark in their past seven on the road, and they're 7-3 ATS in the past 10 inside the NFC West. They have also covered nine of their past 12 trips to Arizona. This game is listed as a pick 'em mostly across the board, although Coasts and Jerry's Nugget had the game with the Cards -1. Expect movement in this one.

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (-9, 57)

The Golden Nugget opened the Rams at -9 1/2, and the line dropped to -9 in the matter of three hours on Monday evening. Most every shop has this game with the home side laying the nine, except for TI, which had the line down to -8 1/2. The Packers are coming off their bye week, so they will enter the game well rested.

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-1, 53)

It's a rematch of a playoff game last season which was won in miraculous fashion on the final play of the game. Case Keenum isn't walking through that door, though, although Kirk Cousins is likely an upgrade. The money has been on the Saints, as the line was driven down from -1 1/2 to a Pick 'em at Stations. Westgate opened the Vikings at -2 1/2, and it's down to -1 as of the overnight Tuesday. Early bettors just aren't feeling the home side in this one.
 
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Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Oct. 28

PHILADELPHIA vs. JACKSONVILLE - at Wembley Stadium, London (NFL, 9:30 a.m. ET)
Jags slumping, 1-4 SU and vs. line last five. Jags also 1-5 vs. spread last six in reg season away from Everbank. Birds “over” six straight away from Linc.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Eagles, based on “totals” and team trends.


CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Brownies have covered 3 of last 4 at Pittsburgh and ride a 4-game cover streak against Steelers. Tomlin 1-7 vs. spread last 8 at home. Steel 6-2 “over” last 8.
Tech Edge: Browns and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.


DENVER at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Andy Reid on 11-game spread cover streak in reg season and has now covered last six vs. Denver. Broncos broke road drought at Arizona but Vance Joseph still 2-9 SU and vs. spread away (Denver 2-11 last 13 away). “Overs” 5-1-1 last seven in series.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.


NY JETS at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Todd Bowles 11-7-2 last 20 as dog since late in 2016. Bears however 10-4-2 last 16 vs. spread at Soldier Field (2-1 for Nagy).
Tech Edge: Slight to Bears, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Colts 3-1 vs. line last four away. Jets 3-5-1 last nine vs. line since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Colts, based on recent trends.


SEATTLE at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions have covered five straight since debacle of an opener vs. Jets. Detroit also “over” 6-1 dating to late 2017. Seahawks “under” 9-3 last 12 away from CenturyLink.
Tech Edge: Slight to Lions, based on recent trends.


TAMPA BAY at CINCINNATI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bucs “over” 6-1 since late 2017, Cincy “over” 6-2 last eight. Bucs 2-5-1 vs. line last eight away.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


BALTMORE at CAROLINA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens 5-2-1 last eight as dog. Cam 3-5 vs. points last seven in reg season. Panthers also “over” 9-5 last 14 since late LY.
Tech Edge: Ravens and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


INDIANAPOLIS at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Raiders 4-13-3 vs. line since early 2017, also “under” 11-2 last 13 since mid 2017.
Tech Edge: Colts and “under,” based on Raiders trends.


SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards were actually 3-0-1 vs. spread in the four previous to Denver fiasco. Niners have covered last two on road and are 6-3 vs. spread last nine away. Road team has covered last five in series. Niners “over” 8-1 last nine since late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Over” and 49ers, based on “totals” and series road trends.


GREEN BAY at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Pack “over” 12-3 last 15 since mid 2017, Rams “over” 8-4 last 12 reg season games.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


NEW ORLEANS at MINNESOTA (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Vikes picking up pace, now 3-0-1 last four vs. spread, but Saints have covered 4 in a row. Saints 12-5 last 17 as dog, Vikes 13-3-2 last 18 on board reg season.
Tech Edge: Slight to Saints, based on team trends.
 
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NFL's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Chiefs 7-0 ATS
2. Lions 5-1 ATS
3. Browns 5-2 ATS
t4. Saints 4-2 ATS
t4. Redskins 4-2 ATS
6. Vikings 4-2-1 ATS

NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

t29. Texans 2-5 ATS
t29. Falcons 2-5 ATS
t29. Eagles 2-5 ATS
t29. 49ers 2-5 ATS
t26. Packers 2-4 ATS
t26. Buccaneers 2-4 ATS
t26. Raiders 2-4 ATS
 
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By: Brandon DuBreuil


NEWTON CLEARED

Carolina left Cam Newton (shoulder) off of its injury report on Friday, meaning he’ll be ready to go on Sunday as the Panthers host Baltimore. But Newton is in a very tough spot in Week 8 against a Ravens defense that ranks second in the NFL in giving up just 190.4 passing yards per game. The Ravens also bring pressure on 37.2 percent of snaps, which is the second-highest rate in the league. It just so happens that Newton isn’t great when under pressure — in fact, he ranks 30th among quarterbacks in yards per dropback when blitzed. We’re not completely fading Newton as he’s always a threat with his feet but we don’t see a big day coming from him through the air. Take the Under on his passing yards total of 245.5.


NJOKU’S JUST FINE

After being limited in practice all week, Cleveland tight end David Njoku (knee) was removed from the injury report on Friday and is a go for Sunday’s tilt at Pittsburgh. Njoku has been a solid offensive tight end since Baker Mayfield took over at quarterback, averaging 5.5 receptions for 57 yards on nine targets per game.

On Wednesday, we backed Jimmy Graham with the analysis that teams target their tight ends at the second-highest rate when they play the Rams (25.1%). Well, the only team that has opponents who target their tight ends at a higher rate is the Pittsburgh Steelers (26.5%). In addition, 30.3 percent of passes completed against the Steelers have gone to tight ends, which is the highest rate in the league. Njoku is in a great spot on Sunday and we’re backing the Over 4.5 on his receptions total


BRYANT GETS TALKED UP

Raiders offensive coordinator Greg Olson had some encouraging things to say about receiver Martavis Bryant on Thursday when asked about Bryant stepping into a starting position now that Amari Cooper is gone. "I think it helps a player like Martavis Bryant because he’s got tremendous skills, tremendous size and speed, and he’s still really kind of learning the system."

There’s no doubting Bryant’s talent and Sunday against Indy could actually be a decent spot to back Bryant while he’s cheap. The Colts do not have a good pass defense as they rank 31st in pass completion rate at 72.1 percent and are allowing 280.1 passing yards per game. We mentioned earlier in the week that we like the Colts to win big in this game and that would actually help Bryant’s cause as he’d be able to pick up a couple cheap completions late in garbage time. We’re backing Bryant while his price is still low and taking the Over 3.5 on his receptions total.


STAYING AWAY FROM ENGRAM

Earlier in the week, we talked about fading Eli Manning and the Giants in general, partly due to a tough matchup and partly due to the Giants throwing in the towel on the season. Today, we’re going to double down and fade New York tight end Evan Engram.

Engram is talented but he’s having a rough season, partially due to injury as he missed Weeks 4-6. He just hasn’t gotten into a rhythm with the offense yet, as proven by the fact that he has received just 13.4 percent of targets from Manning in the games he has played. On Sunday he goes against Washington and a defense that is allowing just 5.93 yards per attempt to tight ends (best in the league) and hasn’t yet allowed a tight end to gain over 50 yards. It could be ugly for the Giants offense on Sunday and we’re taking the Under on Engram’s receiving yards total.


TOUGH RUNNIN’ IN LONDON

The Philadelphia Eagles have only allowed one running back 50 or more rushing yards this season and that was Saquon Barkley. The Jaguars head to London with questions about how they’ll use their backfield as Carlos Hyde makes his Jacksonville debut and T.J. Yeldon still around to take away some touches. But one thing is for sure: the outlook isn’t great for either one on Sunday at Wembley.

Hyde had decent total numbers in Cleveland this season but that was only because of how often he got the ball. He rushed for 60-plus yards in four of six games this season but is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry on the season. At that clip, Hyde would need 18 carries to get near the 60-yard mark on Sunday, and he won’t get anywhere near that total on Sunday with Yeldon in the mix. We’re taking the Under on Hyde’s rushing yards total in his Jacksonville debut.
 
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The Redskins will travel to meet the Giants in Week 8. Washington is a dismal 1-4 ATS over their past five on the road, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven inside the NFC East Division. They're also 1-7 ATS in their past eight following a straight-up win. As far as the Giants, they're just 3-8 ATS across the past 11 at home and 3-9 ATS in their past 12 against NFC foes, pending Monday's result. In this series, the under is 12-3 in the past 15 in New Jersey, while the Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their past five visits against the Giants. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven, while Washington is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in this series.

**************************************************************************************************************************

The Broncos and Chiefs meet for the second time this season. Kansas City won 27-23 in the Mile High City on a Monday night in Week 4, barely covering as 3 1/2-point favorites as the 'under' (53) cashed. The Broncos are 3-12-1 ATS in their past 16 against divisional foes, and 2-11 ATS in their past 13 on the road. The Chiefs have covered 10 of the past 11, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six at Arrowhead. While the road team is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 meetings, the Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their past six trips to K.C. The over is 4-1 in the past five at Arrowhead, and 5-1-1 in the past seven meetings in this series.
 
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After a Week 1 tie, the Browns and Steelers will square off in the second meeting of the year in the Steel City. Despite that cover, Cleveland is still just 4-14-1 ATS in their past 19 inside the AFC North. The Steelers are just 4-9 ATS in their past 13 overall, and 1-5 ATS in the past six inside the division. Surprisingly, they're also 0-5 ATS in the past five following a bye. Cleveland is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and the 'over' is 11-5-1 in the past 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.
 
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If it seems like the 49ers and Cardinals just met, it wasn't that long ago. Arizona won 28-18 in San Francisco for QB Josh Rosen's first NFL win on Oct. 7, covering as three-point 'dogs. Frisco is 5-2 ATS in their past seven on the road, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 inside the division. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 ATS in their past five overall. The road team has covered five in a row in this series, and the 49ers are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 trips to the desert.
 
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Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott confirmed the Bills will start Derek Anderson in Week 8 against the Patriots.
Nathan "Pick Six" Peterman is back to the bench...again.
Week 8 spread: +13.5 at home vs. Pats
 
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The Oakland Raiders have placed RB Marshawn Lynch on IR (groin) and he will miss at least eight weeks. May have played his last game as a Raider.
Oakland +3 vs. Colts in Week 8.

***********************************************************************************************


Bengals list LB Vontaze Burfict (hip), RB Giovani Bernard (knee), and WR John Ross (groin) as out for this Sundays match-up with the Buccaneers.
Cincinnati opened at -6, now sitting at -3.5
 
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Green Bay is getting healthier coming out of its bye as receivers Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison both practiced on Tuesday and are on track to face the Rams on Sunday. This is good news for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense and it will hopefully open up some additional space for tight end Jimmy Graham.

We got a winner by fading the Rams’ ability to cover tight ends by backing George Kittle to go over 4.5 receptions last week and we’re employing a similar strategy this week. L.A.’s opponents are targeting their tight ends on almost 25 percent of their passes. Graham has 20 total targets over his last two games and turned them into stat lines of 6-76 and 5-104. All the injuries at receiver helped force a chemistry between Rodgers and Graham and we expect the two to connect often on Sunday in a game that’s looking like a shootout with a total of 56. We’re backing the Over on Graham’s receptions total.
 
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Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

The Arizona Cardinals are a mind-boggling 17-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 4 points when coming off consecutive SU/ATS losses.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, October 28, 2018

NFL (273) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS (274) MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Take: (274) MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, October 28, 2018 is in the NFL contest between the New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings. Your Bonus Play is on the VIKINGS.
 

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