Mahoning Valley 10-30-2018

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Mahoning Valley 10-30-2018

Last post at GPW turned a small profit but was a huge disappointment ... after pegging the first 2, I thought we'd steamroll thru the card for a big day. Not so. I will be looking forward to playing that track again very soon!
Today we slither up to Mahoning. One of the toughest tracks with some of the slipperiest slimeballs around. They started the "double-check-the-tattoo-of-that-winner" practice thanks to a couple of Spiess switch-a-roo mega-priced horses a few years back.


race #1 - 6f
... first race might set the tone for the day
#2 3-1 AL'S BRIDE
#6 5-2 PAPPIAS PLEASURE - turn moves do well at this track
#1 8-5 ROSES FOR SHARON - heavy fav was easy winner in debut, adds distance, weight, and stiffer pace .... we shall see

race #2 - 5.5f
#3 8-1 MADE IN HER IMAGE - strictly a hunch play ... not even sure why
#5 2-1 MIDNIGHT STROLLYNN - figures to clear off by a million lengths and coast home, should be well bet
#4 7-2 LANTANA MOLL - long layoff 3yo can't possibly be as bad as works indicate

race #3 - 8f
... 2yo MSW
#1 8-1 THAT'S MY POINT - might be shooting myself in the foot ... firster in a 2-turn race, say what?!
#6 6-1 KING OLLIE - huge improvement in last
#5 4-1 AWESOMERADICALDUDE - The Good: good distance pedigree and Chapman is 42% at MVR, The Bad: blew chalk at MNR in last and scratched from 10k claimer Friday
#4 5-2 BABESWILDWEEKEND - jock+ ... logical

race #4 - 6f
#3 7-2 BRETT PARK - another layoff horse .... this could be a long day
#5 3-1 TOWN CLASSIC - ships in for a confidence booster
#6 9-2 QUALIFLY

race #5 - 8f
... there are a couple "horse for course" types in here but fav needs to not show up.
#7 2-1 GATEWAY ARCH - logical
#5 15-1 HOARDER - mild bomb alert
#9 7-2 COTTONWOOD CANYON - horse4course
#2 6-1 DONTBOTHERMENOW - can't drop far back or will be done. PEN jock Tunon is 1/1 at MVR but that was a 19-1 frontrunner

... rest to follow shortly ...
 

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race #6 - 6f
... virtually wide open, almost all with some sort of shot
#6 9-2 BRETT'S BOY
#1 12-1 RISKY GUY
#9 7-2 JOCANDY - looks good with Pilares but there is other speed
#8 5-1 CORINTHIAN SPIRE - solid

race #7 - 6f
#8 4-1 BOASTFUL BOY
#6 7-2 NEWS BOX
#4 8-1 HOLTZ

race #8 - 6f
#5 5-2 LUKE THIRTEEN
#10 4-1 DR.RINCON - pace advantage
#9 10-1 VINNY BOY - Ruberto/Quinones
#7 8-1 HIGH GRADE COTTON - should take to track


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, with straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
 

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