Delta Downs 11-01-2018
Last post (MVR) was a loser .... 2 of 8 winners ($16.80) and just 1 exacta.
(FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY)
Today we're going to Delta Downs because of the dream I had last night. Dream following usually doesn't work for me but this seemed very specific and since it involved hitting a 95-1 shot ... why not?
Dream Specifics: Delta Downs, 2-turn race, wire-to-wire winner, race class figure 55-59, preliminary handicapping showed horse with (what I call) a Gate Advantage lead followed by a likely fade thruout, I did not like the horse but it more than doubled my "value line" making it an automatic play, and of course 95-1 odds.
I had not handicapped any DED races the night before so it was an easy check this morning to see if any horses would meet such criteria. Seemed unlikely yet there is 1 match .... race 5 - #2 (20-1) MYLIE IDEL : I do not like the horse (at all), gets gate advantage, should fade, race class 58.6, 2-turn race, value line 43-1 (so, automatic play at 86-1).
So will I play it?? ... at 86-1, for sure. Because of the dream I will probably take 43-1 to be safe.
(END OF ENTERTAINMENT)
race #1 - 7f
... very cheap 2yo maiden claimers.
#2 8-5 UPTOWN BLING - drops, adds Saenz
#1 15-1 SEE DAT - private acquisition for low% barn, drop with better jock should help
#5 8-1 JOEMO
race #2 - 7.5f
#6 5-2 REAL TIME - hi% connections
#3 6-1 FREDDIESLILWILDCAT - solid
#8 7-2 LUCKY INFERNO
#2 20-1 E PORTO - exotic booster
race #3 - 5f
... field of unraced statebred 2yo MSW fillies. Oh-boy.
#10 3-1 TUMBLE ALONG - good works
#8 5-1 MISS BITTERS - trainer usually sends ready
#2 7-2 SKYLAR'S WAY - Broberg/Thorton
race #4 - 8f
#2 3-1 ROCKNBOWL
#3 2-1 SHEER MAYHEM - fiddler, easily best on paper but Diodoro/Thorton have stiffed there last 6 favorites
#9 12-1 NATE'S ATTACK - repeat not impossible
race #5 - 6.5f
... very tuff race. Dream race??
#6 6-1 GLORIETA
#1 9-2 WILD BOTTOM BLUES - FTS, Saenz/Breaux generally means business
#3 30-1 SMOOTHOUTTHETRACK - improved works might be tip-off, wouldn't mind seeing 95-1 on this one
#7 3-1 CADILLAC MAGIC
race #6 - 5f
#5 20-1 BETA CAPO SONG - price play
#8 2-1 CARLSBAD - big drop after 3 wins in a row is why I don't have on top, will be huge favorite
#6 4-1 GRAY RANSOM
#1 12-1 CARSON CITY CAT
race #7 - 7f
#1 8-1 DON'T SPLIT TENS
#5 6-1 IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT - is likely ready
#4 6-1 WARNED
... rest to follow shortly ...
Last post (MVR) was a loser .... 2 of 8 winners ($16.80) and just 1 exacta.
(FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY)
Today we're going to Delta Downs because of the dream I had last night. Dream following usually doesn't work for me but this seemed very specific and since it involved hitting a 95-1 shot ... why not?
Dream Specifics: Delta Downs, 2-turn race, wire-to-wire winner, race class figure 55-59, preliminary handicapping showed horse with (what I call) a Gate Advantage lead followed by a likely fade thruout, I did not like the horse but it more than doubled my "value line" making it an automatic play, and of course 95-1 odds.
I had not handicapped any DED races the night before so it was an easy check this morning to see if any horses would meet such criteria. Seemed unlikely yet there is 1 match .... race 5 - #2 (20-1) MYLIE IDEL : I do not like the horse (at all), gets gate advantage, should fade, race class 58.6, 2-turn race, value line 43-1 (so, automatic play at 86-1).
So will I play it?? ... at 86-1, for sure. Because of the dream I will probably take 43-1 to be safe.
(END OF ENTERTAINMENT)
race #1 - 7f
... very cheap 2yo maiden claimers.
#2 8-5 UPTOWN BLING - drops, adds Saenz
#1 15-1 SEE DAT - private acquisition for low% barn, drop with better jock should help
#5 8-1 JOEMO
race #2 - 7.5f
#6 5-2 REAL TIME - hi% connections
#3 6-1 FREDDIESLILWILDCAT - solid
#8 7-2 LUCKY INFERNO
#2 20-1 E PORTO - exotic booster
race #3 - 5f
... field of unraced statebred 2yo MSW fillies. Oh-boy.
#10 3-1 TUMBLE ALONG - good works
#8 5-1 MISS BITTERS - trainer usually sends ready
#2 7-2 SKYLAR'S WAY - Broberg/Thorton
race #4 - 8f
#2 3-1 ROCKNBOWL
#3 2-1 SHEER MAYHEM - fiddler, easily best on paper but Diodoro/Thorton have stiffed there last 6 favorites
#9 12-1 NATE'S ATTACK - repeat not impossible
race #5 - 6.5f
... very tuff race. Dream race??
#6 6-1 GLORIETA
#1 9-2 WILD BOTTOM BLUES - FTS, Saenz/Breaux generally means business
#3 30-1 SMOOTHOUTTHETRACK - improved works might be tip-off, wouldn't mind seeing 95-1 on this one
#7 3-1 CADILLAC MAGIC
race #6 - 5f
#5 20-1 BETA CAPO SONG - price play
#8 2-1 CARLSBAD - big drop after 3 wins in a row is why I don't have on top, will be huge favorite
#6 4-1 GRAY RANSOM
#1 12-1 CARSON CITY CAT
race #7 - 7f
#1 8-1 DON'T SPLIT TENS
#5 6-1 IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT - is likely ready
#4 6-1 WARNED
... rest to follow shortly ...
