Betting guide for Titans-Cowboys

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hacheman@therx.com
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[h=1]Betting guide for Titans-Cowboys[/h]
Warren Sharp & Preston Johnson
ESPN PLUS ($ MATERIAL)


Where does the betting value lie in Monday's prime-time matchup between the Titans and Cowboys? Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson provide their picks to help you place your bets.


Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday evening.

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[h=3]Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys(-4.5)[/h]Total: 40
PickCenter public consensus pick: 53 percent picked Dallas

Sharp: The Titans' offense hopes the bye will help them get back on track now that quarterback Marcus Mariota is healthy. Tennessee has the NFL's fifth-worst offense and is extremely run-heavy. That's a bad recipe for success against the Cowboys, because they have a highly underrated run defense, ranking No. 4 in the league. I've been extremely down on offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur's offense, which looks nothing like the diverse offenses of the Rams or 49ers after studying under Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan.



Dallas ranks just 12th in rushing efficiency but has faced the third-most difficult run defenses this season. This week, the Cowboys hope to produce against the 17th-ranked Titans run defense. Tennessee ranks as the seventh-best run defense the past three weeks and No. 2 at preventing explosive gains. I'm not as excited about the insertion of wide receiver Amari Cooper, primarily because of the Cowboys' run rate and that their offensive line ranks sixth worst in pass protection after historically being one of the best. And as a result, quarterback Dak Prescott doesn't have time to generate as much pass offense as he once did, and additionally, the team has minimal explosive potential.


Lean: Titans +4.5


Johnson: This game is shaping up to be one that I can sit back, relax and enjoy without the stress of money involved in the side or total. My raw number is Cowboys -4.9, and my total comes out at 39.6. These are both pretty close to where the market lies.


Tennessee and Dallas each had their bye in Week 8 with extra time to prepare for this particular game. That could be argued as a case to look at the under, but unless this was 42 the numbers don't determine there is a big enough edge to get involved. Both teams rank in the bottom eight in the NFL in offensive efficiency, and the Cowboys field the third-best defense (Titans rank 11th). I don't anticipate a move up on this total after already getting bet down from 42.5 earlier in the week, but if it does, under would be the best look in this matchup at 42 or better.


Pick: Pass
 

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Thank you HM
 

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You can't blow that whistle

Fumble for sure
 

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Up the gut Marcus
 

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Over 40.5 cashes

Bring it home Titans
 

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Titans started very sloppy.

Got it together though.

Good win
 

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