NFL week 10

Search

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Wow what a horrible week 6-8 -1251 YTD 39-43 -1004

If that damn FG goes through in Denver things aren't so bad, but that is gambling - Thanks TCG for posting this article explains why some of us were on a tilt last week.

After a week when the public does well they usually tale a dive the following week.



[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/betting/nevada-sports-books-lose-10m-on-sundays-nfl-games-1519488/

[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]I am confident i will get the money back.

On a positive note I keep my head above water in the super contest going 3-2 now at 26 points hitting 60% is one of best years ever.

Here are my notes on week 10.

[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]Public dogs - 15-4 over the last 5 years in week 10...looks like there might be only 2 Carolina and Buffalo...I take my final read of these Friday or Game day when there is a Thursday game
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]Public favs 50% 0-5 if the line holds or moves up
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]Public Favs 60% 6-13 if the line moves up or down if holds no move the fav is 6-2
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]70% Public favs 6-10 if the line moves up or down

* So far there are a lot of heavy public fav's & Under valued favs ( 9 out of 14 teams opened below their PR) which leads me to believe the public will lose this week
Teams that open 1-5 points below my PR are 20-23 ATS after week 1....JET FALCON SAINT BUCC COLT BEAR CHEIF CHARGER EAGLE
Teams that open 1-5 points above my PR are 8-16 ATS after week 1....PATS RAM

* some juicy divisional dogs this week BUFF +8 JAX +3 DET +7 OAK +10 SEA +10 DALLAS +6.5.....

[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]The Super contest top 5 picks is on 14-1 run the last 3 weeks but 12-13 in week 10 expect a turn of fortune here
[/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]The bottom 5 picks are 8-2 the last 2 years in week 10.

[FONT=verdana, sans-serif]Heres something to ponder Buffalo gives up 27 points a game or 243 YTD - How many of those points have been scored on the offense with Pick sixs? I know of at least 4 and numerous times last week CHIC had a short field
So lets take a closer look at their defense....YARD / Play Allowed 5.3 good for #3 in the league..they are ranked #6 in RY/ATT and #3 in PY/ATT...I think +7.5 is too much in this game which could end up being 12-6 or 13-9 two bad football teams
[/FONT]
ONE play so far this week CAROLINA +4 $222 / $200....Been terrible of Thursday's but I think the the Panthers sneak one here...

Steelers 7-8 L3 years off a divisional rival...Panthers 9-3
Steelers 6-4 L3 years in non conference... Panthers 7-2
Steelers 18-17 L3 years as a Fav ....Panthers 11-5 as a dog


gl guys back on SATURDAY

[/FONT]
 

Member
Joined
Jul 27, 2010
Messages
8,011
Tokens
Darnold out for the Jets pal.. Just FYI... Josh McNown will start for Jets
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
18,959
Tokens
We got a decent line on Carolina +4......its down to +3 at several places + +3.5 at others. Carolina should win SU
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Darnold out for the Jets pal.. Just FYI... Josh McNown will start for Jets

I saw that and Josh Allen was been throwing again so far both teams have not announced QB's official but I think your right McNown will go for NY - Dont sleep on that bills defense in a rivarly game i think they could win SU will have a clearer understanding of that game tmr

We got a decent line on Carolina +4......its down to +3 at several places + +3.5 at others. Carolina should win SU

Agreed but the line move has lost 6 out of 7 times on TNF buyer beware.....Remember Big Ben a bit dinged up in that Ravens game.

Already sent my contest plays in you know what that means


gl this week guys
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
1-1 +78 so far this week but that is good usually playing from behind.

Shout out to BIG CAT 7-3 and Lsu Pete 5-3 for another good day in CFB when those goes line up always make it a dbl play ...Txas and indy Yesterday both nail biters but they cashed

On to SUNDAY

PATS O46.5 220 / 200
TENN +6.5 -115 230/200
TENN ML +230 50/130

This is one of those games when you back and say how did the Pats get to 12-4 - Oh yeah that game in Tenn

BUFF +6 +112 $100/112
BILL O38 -103 $103/100

SAINTS U53.5 -122 $244/200

JAX +3 -103 $103/100
JAX ML +143 $50/73

GL powerz
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Super contest plays

Car +4 - LOSER
TENN +6.5
PHILL -6.5
SEATTLE +9.5
NYG +3

GL GUYS
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
49,942
Tokens
PWZ...….BOL with all your action today and contest buddy...…...indy
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Seattle +10 -114 $285/250
Seattle ML +378 $50/189
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Another 171 / 150 on Seattle +10...they are going win SU
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Sweet after Russell Fumble with 5 minutes I thought I would be toast....But they pull it out

8-5 on the day +418 so far

NITE cap Eagles -4 FH -119 $238/200

Need the eagles to win to finish off a few parlays
Need the eagles -6.5 in the contest

Fly eagles fly

gl guys

Powerz
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
Stupid eagles

Played gmen +3 +100 $200
Gmen ml +130 $50

GL gents

Powerz
 

Member
Joined
Jul 27, 2010
Messages
8,011
Tokens
Good luck buddy
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,898
Messages
13,439,277
Members
99,339
Latest member
billcunninghamhomeloans
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com