Saturday Betting Info

Search

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
BC is a 20-pt dog vs Clemson. The last time a Top-20 team was this big of an dog was 97 when No. 16 Clemson was a 20-pt dog vs No. 5 FSU and lost 35-28. Last time a Top 20 team was a bigger home dog than this – 96 when No. 17 Arizona St was a 24.5-pt dog and beat Nebraska 19-0.


Since 2016, 22 times a 20-pt favorite has lost outright. 2 teams have done it twice – Virginia Tech – which lost at ODU and in 2016 at Syracuse. The other team is – Clemson. The Tigers lost at Syracuse last year as a 23.5-pt favorite and in 2016 as a 21-pt favorite vs Pitt.


The last time Michigan visited Rutgers, the Wolverines were 30-pt favorites and won 78-0. UM is currently a 40-pt favorite and will enter as the biggest road fave in Big Ten play since 78. The previous 3 Big Ten teams favored by more than 35 on the road in conf play went 3-0 ATS.


Miami is 2-10 ATS in its past 12 games against ACC opponents and 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games vs Power 5 opponents.


Duke is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games as an ACC favorite, including losses this year to Virginia, Virginia Tech and Pitt.


Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS with six outright wins in its past seven games as an underdog. Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS with two outright wins in its past four games as an underdog of at least 20 points.


Oklahoma is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 Bedlam meetings. The last time OU was this big a favorite, the Sooners lost to the Cowboys 38-35 as a 20-point favorite.


In its last 29 games as an underdog, Michigan State is 21-8 ATS with 16 outright wins.


Under Ed Orgeron, LSU has won and covered each of the last two years vs Arkansas the week after Alabama. LSU is 10-2 ATS in its past 12 SEC games.


Georgia has won ten straight home games by an average of 28.6 PPG. Nine have been by at least 21 points and all have been by at least 14 points.


This is the 3rd straight game Florida State is an underdog – and the Noles have been at least a 9-point dog in all three games. It’s the first time since 1982 Florida State is an underdog in three straight regular season games.


TCU is 11-2 ATS with five outright wins in 13 games as a double-digit underdog under head coach Gary Patterson.


South Carolina is 9-3 ATS with six outright wins in its past 12 games as an underdog.


Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its past six games as a double-digit underdog. The under is 9-2 in the 11 meetings between these SEC rivals since Nick Saban took over as Alabama’s head coach.


Texas is 1-7 ATS in its past eight games as a favorite.
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
Market Moves for Oklahoma / Oklahoma State

After opening as 17.5-point favorites, the Sooners are now favored by three touchdowns. They’ve drawn 58% of bettors and 54% of dollars in the game thus far.

The total has been the more interesting story, as it’s already one of the highest numbers of the year, and rising.

After opening at 76.5, it’s up to 79 at Pinnacle and 80 at Bookmaker behind 72% of bets and 85% of dollars. The highest total of the year to this point belongs to Oregon’s meeting with Portland State back in September, which closed at 81.
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
North Texas @ Old Dominion
2 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Old Dominion (moved from +14.5 to +14)

The first game on this week’s sharp card is probably not one you’d have circled as must-watch Saturday TV. Of course, that doesn’t mean it can’t hold any betting value, though, and in this case that value has come on Old Dominion.

The Monarchs have drawn only 33% of bettors, but those bettors have accounted for 40% of money wagered, meaning bigger bets — more likely to be the ones from sharps — are behind Old Dominion.

They’ve also been on the receiving end of seven Sports Insights Bet Signals — triggered when sharp action causes market-wide line movement. That’s more than any other team on Saturday’s slate.
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
Since 1980, as underdogs of more than 20 points ...

Navy: 34-14 ATS
Army: 26-15-3 ATS
Air Force: 9-3 ATS

All together, that’s a 69-32-3 record against the closing number, good for almost 70%.

This weekend, Navy plays UCF (12 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Knights are 24-point favorites.

This situation doesn’t happen as often as it did in the past since the service academies have improved, but as underdogs of more than 20 points they’re still 11-2-1 ATS since 2009 and 20-6-1 since 2005, per data at Bet Labs.
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
77,240
Tokens
Since 1980, as underdogs of more than 20 points ...

Navy: 34-14 ATS
Army: 26-15-3 ATS
Air Force: 9-3 ATS

All together, that’s a 69-32-3 record against the closing number, good for almost 70%.

This weekend, Navy plays UCF (12 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Knights are 24-point favorites.

This situation doesn’t happen as often as it did in the past since the service academies have improved, but as underdogs of more than 20 points they’re still 11-2-1 ATS since 2009 and 20-6-1 since 2005, per data at Bet Labs.

1980...LMAO

That's funny.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,295
Tokens
NYK...….appreciate the added info buddy...…...BOL with all your Sat. action...…….indy
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
LV SuperBook ... on OHIOST-MICHST


“The action has been pretty evenly split on this game. It’s surprising to us, because we thought the wiseguys would like Ohio State. I guess that’s why I’m not a wiseguy."


Buckeyes open -4, dip to 3.5, back to 4


"Right now, it’s a break-even game for us.”
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
MGM Race and Sports ... on OHIOST-MICHST


Buckeyes at -3.5 all week, but 4 could be looming.


“We’re gonna need Michigan State. Ticket count and money is 3/1 on Ohio State.”
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
LV SuperBook ... on AUB-GA


Bulldogs open -14.5, down to 13.5


“We need Georgia. All the liability is on Auburn right now. That’s why the line has dropped below two touchdowns.”
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
MGM Race and Sports ... on AUB-GA


“Ticket count is close and the money is really close.

We’re a small loser to Georgia right now, but that is a later game.” 7 p.m. ET kickoff.

Georgia opens 14.5, steady at 14 since Wednesday.
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
MGM Race and Sports ... on CLEM-BC


"We're gonna need the 'dog, surprise surprise. The public is gonna be all over that."


Line from Clemson -18.5 to -20, now -19.


"Medium-sized loser to Clemson, but we got a sharp bet on BC at +20 Friday."
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
LV SuperBook ... on CLEM-BC


Clemson opens -17.5, peaks at 20.5.


"Action is heavily on Clemson, and that’s why the line moved so much. Both sharp action and public"


However, line has dialed down to 19 over last day.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,295
Tokens
NYK......appreciate the added info buddy...….BOL with your action today...….indy
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
MGM Race and Sports ... on OKLAST-OKLA


“This game is seeing a lot of play. One of the sharpest players we have is on Oklahoma State moneyline, believe it or not. But public is on Oklahoma.


Oklahoma opens 17.5, surges to 21.


"We need Oklahoma to win but not cover.”
 

When you're broke, you Break
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Messages
12,451
Tokens
LV SuperBook ... on OKLAST-OKLA


“Everybody is on the favorite, even though we moved the line up 3 full points," from 18 to 21.


"We need Oklahoma State pretty bad right now.” Sooners up to -21.5 overnight.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,228
Messages
13,449,787
Members
99,403
Latest member
dgtlmkt.lyncotek
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com