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Thread: Brooklynworm's picks and predictions nfl week #10.

  1. #1 Brooklynworm's picks and predictions nfl week #10. 
    RX Senior BROOKLYNWORM's Avatar
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    DETROIT (45.0) @ CHICAGO (-6.5)
    Detroit’s QB Stafford, was sacked 10 times 45.0) @ CHICAGO last weekend. Trading away his go to guy, Golden Tate, may have something to do with it. Tate, gave Stafford, the ability to make a big downfield plays. All the other Lion receivers have trouble separating from their coverage, especially when they play Chicago’s secondary. In addition, the Bear’s front seven will win the matchup pass rushing, and pressuring Stafford throughout the game. The Bears defense in this game is so good, they should be able to neutralize the Detroit offense. Detroit’s secondary is terrible, not to mention how bad their safeties are. QB Trubisky, as inconsistent as he has been this season, should be able to pick apart this Detroit defense. He should get open looks at his wide outs, and all he needs to do is be accurate. When pressured in the pocket, Trubisky has good enough legs to scramble, and avoid sacks, and pick up yardage. Here is a good trend that I have found. Detroit , when they are playing good teams (above .500) ,are only 2-13 against the spread, as dogs, 6.5 points or more since 2011. Predicted score. Chicago 28 Detroit 13, Chicago (-6.5), Under (45.0).

    BUFFALO (37.0) @ NEW YORK JETS (-7)
    The latest. QB Darnold, was placed in a boot, after injuring his ankle. He will be replaced by Josh McCown, which may benefit the Jets in this game. Darnold, has been losing confidence, each week that passes. He threw 4 interceptions last Sunday against Miami. McCown, is a veteran, with NFL experience, that is much better than advertised. The other good news for the Jets is, they will get back their wide receivers, Anderson, and Enonwa, by game time. With their return, and add Chris Herndon to their offensive attack, they should be able to move the chains. Buffalo will start Derek Anderson at quarterback, and shouldn’t pose a problem for the Jets suspect secondary. Buffalo, offensively, Shady McCoy, as their only weapon. The one thing the Jets do well, is defend against the run. Both teams will be limited in scoring. Predicted score. New York Jets 20 Buffalo 10. NY Jets (-7), Under (37.0).

    ATLANTA (50.5) @ CLEVELAND (+6)
    Browns, lost more than a game last weekend, they lost their best corner, and linebacker, and other players to injury. Atlanta, showed life in week nine, beating the Redskins on the road handily. It appears that Atlanta is starting to heal, and make a run at the playoffs. With a banged up Cleveland defense, QB Matt Ryan, and Julio Jones, will take advantage, along with the rest of their wide outs. The Browns defense is awful stopping the run, and overall, Cleveland’s defense in this matchup will be exploited. Atlanta’s defense isn’t much better due to injuries. However, their offense will carry the load, and outscore Cleveland. I expect a higher score in this game. Predicted score. Atlanta 27 Cleveland 24, Cleveland (+6), Over (50.5).

    NEW ORLEANS (54.0) @ CINCINNATI (+5.5)
    I normally in this spot, would look to play the dog in this contest. However, the injury bug in Cincinnati, has presented big problems comes Sunday. The Bengals will not be at full strength. Injuries to key players such as LB Burfict, Vigil, and AJ Green, are expected to be out. This means that the Saints, with Kamara, and Ingram, will run all day on the Bengal front seven. Once the Saints establish the run, if Cincinnati plays eight in the box, the Bengal corners cannot cover the Saints wide receivers. Cincinnati’s offense is crippled without AJ Green, and the Saint front seven is stout versus the run. Beware! Saints came off a huge emotional win over the Rams last week, and may be complacent in this contest. Predicted score. New Orleans 27 Cincinnati 20, New Orleans (-5.5), Under (54).

    JACKSONVILLE (46.5) @ INDIANAPOLIS (-3)
    This is a difficult game to call. Last I looked, RB Fournette, returns from injury, and will play this Sunday. The Colts are lousy at stopping the run. Fournette’s presence, should help QB Bortles, once the Jags establish the running game. This will enable Bortles, to effectively use play action passing, and slow the pass rush down. The Colt’s secondary has played poorly, and this will only help an inept Bortles. Andrew Luck, likes to hookup with his number one receiver, TY Hilton. However, he draws Jag’s Jalen Ramsey into coverage, and may be limited. Since both these teams last met this season, the Colts offensive line has improved, and will be better in the trenches, pass blocking. I am banking on QB Luck, will get the pass protection needed, to overcome the Jags in this game. Predicted score. Indianapolis 24 Jacksonville 20, Indianapolis (-3), Under (46.5).

    ARIZONA (49.5) @ KANSAS CITY (-16.5)
    Kansas City on paper, has a huge advantage in this game. Kansas City wins every single offensive matchup. RB K. Hunt, is having a good season, and goes against a team, that is probably the worst NFL team defensively against the rush. Although Kansas City has a suspect defense, and can be scored on, Arizona’s offense is so anemic, that they will not be able to match point for point with the Chiefs. Basically, look for Arizona to utilize RB David Johnson for at least 20-25 touches. The Cardinals offensive line is almost nonexistent, and KC’s front seven will bring pressure into the pocket. Predicted score. Kansas City 35 Arizona 13, Kansas City (-16.5), Under (49.5).

    WASHINGTON (51.0) @ TAMPA BAY (-3)
    Washington, when healthy, play a very vanilla, conservative game. The Redskins, are the type of team, that can’t fall too far behind in a contest. This Sunday, Washington travels to Tampa Bay, banged up, with serious injuries. The Redskins, basically lost their entire starting offensive line. Left tackle Williams, Scherff, Lavato, all out ,RT Moses not at 100%. So Washington’s offensive line, will have pass, and run blocking issues in this game. Tampa Bay, besides their problems, has an excellent defensive front seven. TB, will dominate the trenches. QB Alex Smith will not have a prayer when he is pass rushed. As for the Buc’s offense, they have the offensive weapons at wide receiver, to exploit the Redskins weak corners. Predicted score. Tampa Bay 27 Washington 20, Tampa Bay (-3), Under (51.0).

    NEW ENGLAND (46.5) @ TENNESSEE (+6.5)
    After the Super bowl, I delved into the reasons as to why Coach Belichick benched CB Butler. The media, and the sports talk shows had no clue. and practically blamed Belichick for the super bowl loss. What I discovered, Butler during the playoffs, was badly being beaten, on almost every pass play thrown his way. He was allowing in the neighborhood of more than 70% completion rate. That was the real reason, Belichick benched Butler. So now, about one year later, Belichick, and Butler meet this Sunday in Tennessee. Butler is now the corner for the Titans, and he continues to regress at his position. I think he now ranks in the forties, amongst NFL cornerbacks. The completion rate given up to his opponent, remain high. So Belichick, already knows Butler’s weaknesses, and you can expect Brady, and Belichick, to devise a game plan, and will repeatedly attack his side of the field. Brady, will get good pass protection. Their Offensive line going into the season was “iffy”. However, they have done an excellent job the past six weeks. With pass protection, that should enable Brady to throw over 300 yards, and pass for a few TD’s. Besides the Butler issue, keep in mind Belichick knows the tendencies of two other ex-patriots. RB Dion Lewis, and Coach Logan Ryan. The titans on offense, don’t have playmakers at wide receiver. Only QB Mariota with his legs, will scramble, and try to make something happen. Lastly, I love this trend I found. Tom Brady is 11-4 against the spread, heading into a bye week. The last time they failed to cover the spread, was in 2011, when they beat Dallas by 4 points, laying 6 ½ points. Predicted score. New England 27 Tennessee 17, New England (-6.5), Under (46.5).

    LA CHARGERS (50.0) @ OAKLAND (+10)
    Besides the total lack of effort, and scoring, against San Francisco last game, Oakland is face with more problems. On Thursday night, The Raiders basically lost their offensive line to injury. This could help explain the lack of offense. Oakland, has traded away all its pass rushers. Combine this, with their terrible defense, and you should have another blowout. So QB Carr, will be pressured, hurried, and sacked. The Chargers, will take advantage of the Raider woes. QB Rivers, will have all day in the pocket, to set his feet, and pick apart the Oakland secondary. Go back to week five, the last time both these teams met. Rivers, threw for over 300 yards, and that was when Oakland was considered a decent team. Now, they are running neck and neck with Buffalo, as the worst NFL team in 2018. Let’s not forget the Charger’s playmaker carrying the football, Melvin Gordon. Gordon is a superstar, and the Oakland front seven on defense, will not be able to stop him. We now learned that Oakland is a team that plays with poor effort, collapses every fourth quarter, and they have no depth. Predicted score. LA Chargers 41 Oakland 14. LA Chargers (-10), Over (50.0).

    MIAMI (47.5) @ GREEN BAY (-9.5)
    This looks like a trap game. Yet I have many reasons why I am taking Green Bay to win, and cover this contest. Let’s review why GB. GB lost their last 2 games in a row to the LA Rams, and NE, and had a chance to win those games on the road. They lost to above .500 clubs, and flew coast to coast in a two week period. Now, GB plays at home, against the Lowly Dolphins. Don’t let Miami’s victory last week against the NY Jets fool you. Miami , did absolutely nothing to win that game. The Jets rookie QB tossed four interceptions, and they had no playmakers to score any points. This Sunday, they face Aaron Rodgers. You know he is motivated, and driven, to put the Pack in the win column. The question is, how many points will GB score over Miami? Miami is awful stopping the run. Although Aaron Jones, made a key fumble in the Patriot game, GB might have a running back. Jones, can run the football. Just check out his stats. This is a perfect game for Jones to redeem himself. Once Rodgers establishes the run, play action passes will be lethal for the Dolphins secondary, and he has the offensive weapons to do so. Defensively, GB, may be banged up. However, they draw Brock Osweiller at quarterback, who since week six versus Chicago, has been a “no show”. Predicted score Green Bay 35 Miami 10, Green Bay (-9.5), Under (47.5).

    SEATTLE (51.0) @ LA RAMS (-10)
    You get 10 points taking Seattle. In addition, the Rams are thinking a week ahead to play Kansas City, and travel to Mexico City. The last time these two teams met, was in week five. LA Rams won 33-31. When it comes to divisional rivals, I have a rule of thumb. If both teams score high over their total in their first meeting, the second meeting usually means that the final score, will be low scoring. If it was a low scoring game , after their first meeting, the probability would dictate that the score would go higher in their second matchup. So in this case, I expect a low scoring game, and to go under 51 points. Seattle’s defensive front seven, is stout against the rush. Seattle, has some key players returning to the defense this game, and should limit RB Gurley’s progress. QB Russell Wilson, had an outstanding game in their initial meeting. Wilson, threw for three TD’s. LA Rams secondary, is all banged up, and could struggle. LA Rams 23 Seattle 21, Seattle (+10), Under (51.0).

    DALLAS (43.0) @ PHILADELPHIA (-6.5)
    After watching the Cowboys play the Titans, who in their right mind would jump on Dallas’s bandwagon? Philadelphia, looks like they are thinking playoffs, and to win the NFC East. They traded for a top receiver, Golden Tate. Who is a hard dedicated worker, and teammate, that wants to win? Next QB Wentz, is about 100% healthy, and he looks like he is getting his sea legs under him. Tate, had the bye week to study the Eagle playbook, and as a slot receiver, Dallas cannot defend the pass in the slot. Tate, as a Detroit wide receiver earlier this season, played against Dallas, and he caught 8 passes, 2 touchdowns, for 132 yards. The latest news on Sean Lee, looks like he will not suit up. Without Lee in the lineup, the Cowboy defense will suffer. Even if Lee plays, he will not be at 100% with that hamstring, and will not be able to cover TE Zach Ertz. Offensively, the only way I can see the Cowboys move the chains, is passing on a suspect Eagle secondary. Philadelphia, is one of the toughest NFL teams to defend the run, and Elliott should be held in check. On top of that, the Cowboy offensive line, will lose to the Eagles in the trenches, and thus will have difficulty pass protecting their QB Dark Prescott. Lastly, here’s a solid trend. Dallas Coach Garrett, is 0-6 against the spread, after Monday Night games. Predicted score Philadelphia 33 Dallas 20, Philadelphia (-6.5), Over (43.0).

    NEW YORK GIANTS (43.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO (-3)
    After watching week nine’s game. Oakland versus San Francisco, and the Giants during their bye week, I came to this conclusion. The NFL rankings, as bad as these teams are, are ranked week to week. I discovered that the NY Giants, rank higher than San Francisco, and Oakland. Oakland last week played without effort against the 49ers, and mailed the game in. The Giants, even with all their issues, still looks motivated to play, and they won’t play with a lack of effort comes Monday Night. Both teams have awful secondaries, however, Beckham, and Shepard, could make the difference in a NY Giant victory. The only question, will Manning have time in the pocket, to find his offensive weapons down field? Manning has the scrambling ability in the pocket like a Sloth. Watch for Eli, to pass in open spaces to Barkley, with screens, and short passes out of the backfield. This game can go either way, and I will take the points. New York Giants 23 San Francisco21, NY Giants (+3), Over (43.5).
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  2. #2  
    RX Senior BROOKLYNWORM's Avatar
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    brooklynworm's record , after week #9

    straight up: 89-44-0
    against the spread 72-57-6
    over/under 71-63-0
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  3. #3  
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    Good Luck BW!
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    BOL this week BW
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  5. #5  
    RX Senior road2perdition's Avatar
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    Very interesting notes about Butler. Thanks for posting. I always enjoy reading.
    Sports is life..all that other stuff is just filler...
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  6. #6  
    RX Senior he_dblhockeystx's Avatar
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    I look forward to your write ups more than anybody else on here... keep up the excellent work , its dynamite
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  7. #7  
    RX Senior Vituperate's Avatar
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    Simply the best.
    "Is it wrong to gamble, or only to lose?"
    ---Sky Masterson
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  8. #8  
    RX Senior duckhunter's Avatar
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    Manning has the scrambling ability of a sloth. Some funny stuff, lol. Even my daughter liked that one. GL.
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  9. #9  
    RX Local indiana's Avatar
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    B/worm......solid #'s buddy.......BOL with all your action..........indy
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  10. #10  
    RX Junior doctor9's Avatar
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    I know how much work goes into your weekly write ups and I appreciate it very much . thank you for every week
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