NCAAF Betting Info

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Unranked vs. Ranked: 104-75-2


30+ Pt Underdogs: 50-36-1


<30% Bets: 89-75-2


Washington St 9-1 / Utah St 9-1 / Louisville 1-9


1H ... Alabama 10-0 / Utah St 9-0-1


2H ... Arizona 9-1 / San Jose St 8-1-1 / New Mex St 1-8-1
 

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Northwestern football as an underdog since 2005


50-35-1 ATS for +12.51 units

37-49 straight up for +57.98 units
 

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NCAAF Best Over Teams

Oklahoma 9-1
Utah St 9-1
Old Dominion 8-2
Texas Tech 8-2
New Mexico 8-2


NCAAF Best Under Teams

North Texas 9-0-1
Mississippi St 8-1
Tulane 8-2
California 8-2
BYU 8-2
Washington 8-2
 

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Alabama 1H this season ... 10-0 ATS

Bama is currently -34.5 in the first half tomorrow against the Citadel
 

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Miami is 2-11 ATS in its past 13 games against ACC opponents and 2-13 ATS in its past 15 games against Power 5 opponents.


Northwestern is 12-2 ATS in its past 14 games in Big Ten play. The Wildcats are also 5-1 ATS as a dog this year. Wildcats now a 2-point dog after the line move in a game which means everything to Minnesota and nothing from a standings viewpoint for the Wildcats.


Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in its past six games after starting 0-4 ATS this season and is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings vs Michigan State.


Utah is 1-4 ATS with three outright losses in its past five games as a road favorite. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the seven meetings between Utah and Colorado since they both joined the Pac-12 in 2011.


Syracuse is 3-0 ATS with two outright wins in three games as an underdog this season. The only outright loss came at Clemson, a game that the Orange lost 27-23 as 25-point underdogs. Syracuse is also 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as a dog of more than seven points.


Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS with six outright wins in its past eight games as an underdog. This includes home upsets of Boise State and Texas this season and a 37-20 win as four-point underdogs when the Cowboys last hosted West Virginia in 2016.


Boston College is 11-1-1 ATS in its past 13 games in ACC play. Florida State is 2-12-1 ATS in its past 15 games in ACC play.


In the last 40 years, FSU has been a home dog 13 times. Each of those games came against a Top-15 team. This would be the first time the Noles are a home dog vs a team outside the Top 15. It’s the first time since 2011 FSU is a home dog to someone other than Miami or Clemson.


USC is 5-16-1 ATS in its past 22 games. The under is 11-1 in the past 12 meetings between these USC and UCLA


California is 11-4 ATS in 15 games as an underdog under head coach Justin Wilcox. This includes a 17-14 loss as 13.5-point underdogs at Stanford last season.


Iowa State is 17-6 ATS in 23 games as an underdog under head coach Matt Campbell. Texas is 2-7 ATS in its past nine games as a favorite.


Pitt has been a road favorite once this year – when it lost 38-35 at North Carolina as a three-point favorite.


Wisconsin is 2-8 ATS this year and has lost both games in which it was a dog by double-digits (22-10 at Penn St, 38-13 at Michigan). The Badgers have failed to cover each of the last 3 games in which they were a dog. Wisconsin had covered the prev 5 games in which it was a dog.


Purdue is 2-10 ATS in its 12-game losing streak to Wisconsin. Last year’s 8-point loss as a 17-point dog is the only one of the 12 losses decided by single digits.
 

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NYK...…..appreciate the info buddy...…..BOL this weekend......indy
 

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Teams like UCF have typically been successful in this spot. The favorite in games between ranked teams covers 55% of the time, per Bet Labs data. And when the underdog is getting the majority of bets, like Cincy is, the favorite hits at a 61% clip.


Market info from The Action Networks contributing Books ...

After opening as an 8-point favorite, Central Florida has drawn only 39% of bettors, which would be its smallest backing of the season if it holds. The Knights have also generated only 38% of dollars wagered on the game, which has contributed to the line move from -8 to -7

As for the total, the over has been one of the most popular bets of the week. It’s attracted 86% of bets and 89% of dollars, moving this number from 58.5 to 61.

During UCF’s 22-game winning streak, they are 14-7-1 against the spread (66.7%) and has only played five games prior to Cincinnati with a spread under double-digits. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in those games, covering by 13.1 points per game.

Cincinnati’s margin of victory is 20.1 entering this game, and yet, the Bearcats are touchdown underdogs.

Since 2005 (regular season only), 14 teams have entered a game in November or later with similar qualifications. Those teams are a dead-even 7-7 ATS, but only three have been able to pull off the upset.
 

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In top 25 matchups featuring conference opponents, the favorite is 277-221-12 (56%) against the spread since 2005. That would seem to bode well for Texas.

But under Tom Herman, the Longhorns are 15-20 ATS as a favorite, including 7-13 ATS as a home favorite.

Then there is Matt Campbell. As the head coach at Iowa State and Toledo, he has compiled a 26-12 (68%) ATS record as a underdog, including 16-6 ATS when getting points with the Cyclones.

Iowa State enters this game against Texas allowing 20.4 PPG this season, which is 22nd in FBS and 15th in the Power 5.

In Tom Herman’s career as a head coach with both Houston and Texas, his teams have faced opponents allowing less than 21 PPG thirteen times. He is 9-4 SU and 9-3-1 ATS in those games, covering the spread by 9.9 PPG.

Herman is the fourth-most profitable coach in FBS in this spot (+5.6 units), averaging 33.6 PPG in those thirteen games, too.
 

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The Greek Sportsbook


Sharp Action


Penn State (small)
PSU-RUT over
Minnesota
Kentucky
MTSU-KY over
TCU
Miss State
Nebraska
Maryland
NC State
UTA-COL under
Utah State
USU-CSU under
SYR-ND over
Wisconsin
MIZ-TEN over
Southern Miss
Miami
IU-MICH over
Clemson
MISS-VAN over
 

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Betonline ...

Sharp CFB

Wake +6 ... now +5
Minnesota Over 47.5 ... now 48.5
Minnesota -2.5 ... now -3
Iowa -14 ... now -15.5
Nebraska pk ... now -1
 

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William Hill ... on WIS-PUR

“It looks like the sharps on are on Wisconsin."

Purdue opens -5.5, Badgers money takes number down to 4.
 

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LV SuperBook ... on OHIOST-MD

"We took a sharp bet on Maryland +17 Monday, and the line has steadily come down this week, with more sharp money showing up at +14. Currently, we have the Buckeyes as a -14 road favorite."


"This is a very tough sandwich spot for Ohio State. Buckeyes had the big win last Saturday in East Lansing and have the showdown with Michigan looming next week. Tough to keep them focused."
 

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William Hill ... on OHIOST-MD

Buckeyes open -17, Terrapins money takes it down to -14.

“We’re actually high on Maryland. Sharps obviously on Maryland, and the public is on Ohio State.”
 

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William Hill ... on USC-UCLA

"That's gonna be a two-way action game, and we're dead even to it."

Southern Cal opens -3.5, down to -3.
 

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LV SuperBook ... on USC-UCLA

“The money has all been on UCLA, and the number down from the Bruins +3.5 to +2.5. Seems very cheap to me. We like USC at that number.” Others did too, as line went back to USC -3 later Friday night.
 

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LV SuperBook ... on MICHST-NEB

"We’ve seen sharp money on both sides of this game, and the number has bounced around a little bit, getting as high as Michigan State -2.5.”


By middday Friday, line was down to pick. Jumped fence to Nebraska -1 Friday night. "We lean Nebraska here at home."
 

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William Hill ... on MICHST-NEB

"All the money’s for Nebraska. We think it’s the public and sharps both on Nebraska.”

Michigan State was as high as -2, line jumped fence this morning to Nebraska -1.
 

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William Hill ... on IOWAST-TEX

Texas opens -2.5, goes to 3, but Iowa State money takes it back to 2.5 Thursday.

"That could be a combination of both sharp and public money."
 

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Sunset Station ... on IOWAST-TEX

"Opening line Texas -3, currently -3. However, game is trending downward. Early ticket count favors the Horns,. But don’t expect this game to sit at -3 too long. It wouldn’t surprise us to see this close -2 or lower."
 

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