Stink Week 11

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Sister kisser on Thursday.

Add Sunday:

Washington +3 -101 (vs Hou)
THe top three teams with +11, +12, and +13 turnover differential are 6-2 Ats when Home Dogs; 11-5 ATS all games when lined as a dog. Those three teams are Chicago, Cleveland, and Washington.

Detroit +4 -101 (vs Car)
These Lions beat New England and Green Bay at Ford Field. I'll take the points as the Lions try to revenge a 24-27 loss to these Panthers last year in Motown. Carolina is 2-9-1 ATS their last 12 games when lined as a road fav.

Indy -2 -102 (vs Tenny)
The Titties have to be hard after pounding the mighty Patriots last week. But this week they go into the den of a Division rival in a must win spot. I'll take the must win Colts as they catch the Titans still beating their chests as they get tackled for a loss.

NY Giants -3 +102 (vs TBy)
THere is an NFL team whose QBs have thrown 19 interceptions (at least 2 in 7 consecutive games now) while their defense has only one measly pick all season. Betting against Tampa Bay here.

Baltimore -6' -105 (vs Cincy)
The Ravens aren't playing the Saints, the Panthers, or the Steelers today (their last 3 opponents). Balty is 1-3 in the Division to Cincy's 1-1. The Ravens need this game badly. And Lamar Jackson is just the pill to turn the glass of Raven urine to sweetwater.

more later

 
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Add this info and play stolen from my friend OMAR, another handicapper extraordinaire.

Jacksonville +4 -103 (vs Pit)

Tomlin as an away favorite outside the division: 14-22-0 ATS
Add in the line is between -3.5 and -7.5: 3-10 ATS
Add in that the opponent is off a loss and the Steelers won their last game: 2-7 SU and 2-7 ATS. Take out a week 17 game: 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS.

Tomlin's troops have not won SU in this spot since week 7 of 2011.
 
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Add Sunday:

Denver +7 -105 (@ LA Ch)
Teams coming off their bye as a road dog are 23-10-1 ATS since and including 2015.

Arizona -4' +102 (vs Oak)
Oakland just sucks. Even Arizona is looking forward to playing them.

New Orleans -7' +113 (vs Philly)
Philly was last year. The Ain'ts are this year. Love me that extra juice my way.
 
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My stuff says Minny, but my soul says that the Bears get the upper hand after going 1-6 in their last 7 meetings with the Vikings.

This Bears team is much improved on both sides of the ball. They are ballhawks (+13 turnover differential. best in the NFL) and they can score.

Gonna pass and watch.
 
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Monday:

Kansas City +3 +112 (@ LAR)
They're giving me nice plus juice again. I'll take it. This is no game to go cxrazy over. The only thing I can come up with after all day mindthink is that the perception is that both teams can score but only one can play Defense. I'm not so sure of that. This is one area that the Rams have slipped at as the season has gone on, while the Chiefs have improved. I'll take the free points and pray.
 

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