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Long Sheet

Friday, November 16

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MEMPHIS (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) - 11/16/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (8 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 81-51 ATS (+24.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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NCAAF

Week 12

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Trend Report

Friday, November 16

Memphis @ Southern Methodist
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Boise State @ New Mexico
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico

New Mexico
New Mexico is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico's last 9 games
 

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Memphis crushed SMU the last four years, by an average score of 54-15; they won last two visits here, 51-7/48-10. Tigers scored 47+ points in their four wins this year, 33 or fewer in their four losses. Memphis is 1-3 SU on road this year; under Norvell, they’re 5-4 as road favorites, 1-2 this season. SMU won three of last four games, needs one more win to go bowling; Mustangs scored 45-62 points in last two games. SMU covered four of its last five games as home underdogs. Last three Memphis games went over the total.
 

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Boise State won its last five games, only once by more than 10 points; Broncos are 13-7-1 in last 21 games as road favorites, 2-2-1 this year. New Mexico lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); Lobos gave up 600+ TY in two of last three games, and gained less than 300 in four of their last five. Boise won five of last six games with New Mexico, but Lobos covered five of the six games. Broncos won last three visits here, by 28-11-3 points. Under is 16-8 in last 24 games on the blue turf; over is 7-2 in Lobos’ last nine games.
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12

Friday, November 16

Memphis @ SMU

Game 315-316
November 16, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
90.881
SMU
80.678
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 10
85
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-7); Over

Boise State @ New Mexico

Game 317-318
November 16, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
96.052
New Mexico
69.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 25 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 19
62
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-19); Over
 

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MEMPHIS at SMU... SMU has been obliterated L4 by Memphis. Tigers however only 1-3 vs. line away TY.
Memphis, based on series trends.
 

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BOISE STATE at NEW MEXICO... Davie has mostly had Boise’s number, covering 5 of 6 vs. Broncos since arriving at UNM in 2012. Boise however 8-4-1 vs. spread last 13 on MW trail, while Lobos only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 as host.
Slight to New Mexico, based on series trends.
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

**Memphis at Southern Methodist**

- -As of early Thursday, most betting shops had Memphis (6-4 straight up, 6-4 against the spread) installed as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 73. The Mustangs were +270 on the money line (risk $100 to win $270).

-- Mike Norvell’s team has dropped three of its four road assignments both SU and ATS. The Tigers are only 3-3 in AAC action, but they are still alive in a four-team race to win the West Division. Houston, SMU and Tulane are tied for the division lead with 4-2 records, but Memphis gets SMU on Friday night and Houston at home next Friday night at the Liberty Bowl. Tulane was a listed as a double-digit underdog at Houston (on Thursday, “tonight” when this column was filed) and hosts Navy this weekend. The Tigers have lost at Tulane, but they could own head-to-head tiebreakers over SMU and Houston if they win out their next/last two outings.

-- Memphis lost 22-21 at Navy during a driving rainstorm – which was clearly advantageous to the Midshipmen and their run-heavy offensive attack -- and dropped a 31-30 decision to UCF at home. The Tigers’ other defeats came in lopsided fashion at Tulane (40-24) and at Missouri (65-33). All six of Memphis’s wins have come by margins of 17 points or more.

-- Memphis is ranked sixth in the nation in both total offense and scoring with its 44.6 points-per-game average. The Tigers are fifth in rushing yards and 38th in passing offense. They are led by junior running back Darrell Henderson, who is second in the country in rushing yards (1,446) and tied for an FBS-best 20 touchdowns. Henderson, who averages 9.2 yards per carry, has 17 rushing scores and three TD receptions. He has 15 catches for 283 yards and three TDs.

-- Brady White, a grad transfer QB from Arizona St., has completed 64.3 percent of his throws for 2,512 yards with a 22/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Junior WR Damonte Coxie has emerged as his favorite target, hauling in 58 receptions for 949 yards and seven TDs. Tony Pollard has 28 catches for 318 yards and three TDs, while John Williams has 28 grabs for 275 yards and two TDs.

-- Pollard is one of the nation’s premier all-purpose playmakers. As a freshman, he garnered AAC Special Teams Player of the Year honors and was on the Freshman All-American team as a kickoff return specialist. Pollard had four KO returns for TDs in 2017, easily leading the FBS in KO return average (40.0) and earning first-team All-American honors. Opponents have done their best not to allow him touches on special teams this year, as he’s turned 12 KO returns into just 258 yards. However, Pollard has made plays running the ball, producing 289 rushing yards and four TDs with a 7.0 YPC average.

-- Memphis is 1-2 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season, 5-4 ATS as a road ‘chalk’ during Norvell’s three-year tenure.

-- SMU (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) owns a 3-2 record both SU and ATS in five home games. The Mustangs have been home underdogs four times this season, compiling a 3-1 spread record with two outright victories vs. Navy (31-30 in OT) and Houston (45-31).

-- Sonny Dykes’s first SMU team started the season 0-3, losing 46-23 at North Texas, 42-12 vs. TCU and 45-20 at Michigan. Since then, however, the Mustangs have won five of seven games SU with their losses coming 48-20 at still-undefeated UCF and 26-20 at home vs. one-loss Cincinnati in overtime.

-- SMU saw its three-game streak of spread covers halted in last week’s 62-50 win at UConn as an 18-point road favorite. Sykes’s squad darted out to a 31-10 halftime lead and held three separate 21-point leads in the second half, including a 52-31 advantage early in the final stanza. But the Huskies scored 26 points in the four quarter, including a 14-yard TD pass from David Pindell to Hergy Mayala with 36 ticks remaining. SMU had extended its lead to 62-44 and had its backers at least poised to push when Kevin Robledo buried a 30-yard field goal with 3:35 left.

-- SMU junior QB Ben Hicks connected on 19-of-29 pass attempts for 276 yards and one TD without an interception. Xavier Jones rushed for 133 yards and two TDs on 11 attempts, while Ke’Mon Freeman turned 17 carries into 116 rushing yards and three TDs. Hicks ran four times for 50 yards, while junior WR James Proche had six receptions for 101 yards.

-- Hicks is already the school’s leader in career passing yards, surpassing Chick Hixson’s record-setting numbers that were compiled from 1968-70 earlier in the season. The junior has completed 56.5 percent of his passes for 1,919 yards with a 16/4 TD-INT ratio. Hicks has a 68/31 career TD-INT ratio. Proche has enjoyed a dynamite campaign, bringing down 70 receptions for 882 yards and nine TDs. Facing one of the nation’s premier defenses in Week 3 at Michigan, Proche had 11 catches for 166 yard and two TDs. Sophomore WR Reggie Roberson Jr., who started his career at West Virginia, has 42 receptions for 648 yards and six TDs.

-- Jones, the senior RB who was a second-team All-AAC selection in 2017 when he had 1,075 rushing yards for nine TDs, has taken a backseat to fellow senior RB Braeden West in the backfield this year. West has run for a team-high 536 yards and six TDs with a 4.5 YPC average, while Jones has 303 rushing yards, two TDs and a 4.5 YPC average. West also has 29 catches for 277 yards and one TD. Freeman, who rushed for 543 yards and 11 TDs in 2017, missed four games injured from mid-September to mid-October. He has been given the most touches in the past two games, however, rushing for 107 yards and two TDs on 20 carries in the 45-31 win over Houston.

-- SMU has two key members of its secondary listed as ‘questionable’ vs. Memphis, including Rodney Clemons and Jordan Wyatt. Clemons is the Mustangs’ third-leading tackler with 64 stops, 2.5 TFL’s, three PBU, one forced fumble and one interception. Wyatt has 16 tackles, four PBU, one interception and one TFL. Also, junior DT Demerick Gary is suspended for the first half due to a targeting penalty issued in the second half of last week’s non-covering victory over UConn. Gary has produced 23 tackles, 2.5 TFL’s, 0.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

-- When these teams joined the AAC in 2011, SMU won three in a row over Memphis both SU and ATS. However, it has been all Tigers since 2014 with four wins both SU and ATS. In fact, they’ve throttled the Mustangs by scores of 48-10, 63-0, 51-7 and 66-45. In last year’s encounter at the Liberty Bowl, Memphis covered the number as a 10.5-point home favorite in the win by 21 points. The 111 combined points soared ‘over’ the 71.5-point tally to prevent a third straight ‘under’ from appearing in this rivalry. Henderson stole the show with a 64-yard kickoff return, 147 rushing yards and two TDs on only 10 totes and a 15-yard reception. Hicks held his own in the losing effort. His accuracy wasn’t great with merely 15 completing on 34 attempts, but he threw for 218 yards and four TDs without an interception. Jones rushed 20 times for 175 yards and two TDs, while Proche had four catches for 70 yards.

-- The ‘over’ has cashed in three consecutive Memphis games to improve to 6-4 overall, 2-2 in its road contests. The Tigers have seen their games average combined scores of 75.1 PPG.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (5-5) for the Mustangs, who have watched their games average combined scores of 69.1 PPG.

-- ESPN will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

*Boise State at New Mexico**

-- Most books had Boise State (8-2 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) listed as a 19.5-point road ‘chalk’ early Thursday. The number for ‘over/under’ wager was 62.5 points, while the Lobos had +700 odds to win outright (risk $100 to get $700).

-- Bryan Harsin’s team needs a win in this spot to remain just one game back of Utah State in the Mountain West Conference’s Mountain Division. If BSU were to lose at UNM, it would remain alive in the division race only if Colorado State can upset Utah State on Saturday in Ft. Collins. If BSU and Utah State both win or both lose, it’ll set up a showdown for the MWC’s Mountain Division title on the smurf turf in Boise on Nov. 24. The winner would most likely face Fresno State, which can clinch the MWC’s West Division with a home win over San Diego St. this weekend.

-- Speaking of Fresno State, it saw its eight-game winning streak both SU and ATS snapped in last Friday’s 24-17 loss at Boise State. BSU won outright as a 2.5-point home underdog in its first home ‘dog role since losing to Boston College in the 2005 Humanitarian Bowl. The Broncos had not been regular-season home underdogs since 2001. Trailing 17-3 midway through the third quarter, BSU got a seven-yard TD run from Alexander Mattison to cut the deficit in half. Then on the opening play of the fourth quarter, Mattison’s one-yard TD plunge tied the game at 17-17. With 9:22 remaining, senior QB Brett Rypien found Khalil Shakir for a 49-yard scoring strike to provide the game-winning points. Rypien completed 24-of-29 passes for 269 yards with one TD and one interception. Mattison ran for 144 yards and two TDs on 30 workmanlike attempts.

-- Boise State took its two defeats at Oklahoma State (44-21) and at home vs. San Diego State (19-13). Since the loss to the Aztecs, Harsin’s squad has won five consecutive games while going 2-2-1 ATS.

-- BSU is ranked 21st in the nation in total offense, 13th in passing yards and 23rd in scoring with its 36.6 PPG average. Rypien, a two-time All-MWC first-teamer and a second-team All-MWC choice in 2017, has connected on 68.9 percent of his passes for 3,048 yards with a 25/7 TD-INT ratio. He has 12,921 career passing yards with potentially four games left to play (or three if BSU doesn’t make the MWC Championship Game), but he’s unlikely to catch Kellen Moore’s school record (14,667). For his career, Rypien has an 85/29 TD-INT ratio.

-- Rypien is generous with his ball distribution. Sean Modster has 50 receptions for 723 yards and four TDs, while A.J. Richardson has 44 grabs for 719 yards and eight TDs. John Hightower has caught 30 balls for 496 yards and six TDs, and C.T. Thomas has 31 catches for 407 yards and three TDs.

-- Mattison has rushed for 870 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 4.2 YPC. Hightower has turned eight rushing attempts into 163 yards and two TDs, while Mattison has 21 receptions for 121 yards.

-- Boise State is 2-2-1 with one outright defeat in five games as a road ‘chalk’ this season. During Harsin’s five-year tenure, the Broncos have posted a 16-9-1 spread record in 26 games as road favorites.

-- BSU is down three defensive starters – DT David Moa, LB DeAndre Pierce and LB Riley Whimpey – to season-ending injuries. Moa, a first-team All-MWC selection in 2016 and a second-teamer last year, was lost in early October. Whimpey, the team’s leading tackler, went down in a 21-16 non-covering home win over BYU two weeks ago. Three other starters – Hightower, junior NT Sonatane Lui and junior OG Eric Quevedo – are listed as ‘questionable’ at UNM due to undisclosed injuries.

-- New Mexico (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) is an abysmal 1-3 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. Since winning its MWC opener by a 50-14 count at UNLV, UNM has lost five games in a row while limping to a 1-4 ATS ledger. The Lobos are off a 42-24 loss at Air Force as 14-point road underdogs. They only trailed 21-17 at intermission and were ahead of the number going into the fourth quarter. However, the Falcons extended a 35-24 lead to 42-24 on a Cole Fagan three-yard TD run with 10:01 remaining and kept the backdoor closed from there.

-- UNM lost starting sophomore QB Tekava Tuioti to season-ending injury in late September. He had completed 55.8 percent of his throws for 439 yards with a 5/2 TD-INT ratio. Tuioti had rushed for 100 yards and one TD on 15 attempts.

-- Sheriron Jones has taken most of the snaps under center since then, with Coltin Gerhart getting some playing time in the past three games. Gerhart is ‘questionable’ vs. BSU, though, due to a leg injury. Jones has completed 54.4 percent of his passes for 1,311 yards with a 13/11 TD-INT ratio. He has 213 rushing yards and a 3.5 YPC average. Gerhart has connected on 25-of-42 throws (59.5%) for 235 yards with a 3/2 TD-INT ratio. He has one rushing score.

-- In addition to the win at UNLV, UNM’s two other wins came vs. Incarnate Word (62-30) and at New Mexico St. The Lobos have lost by margins of 17 points or more four times.

-- UNM senior RB Tyrone Owens has rushed for a team-high 628 yards and six TDs, but he’s averaging merely 3.9 YPC. He has six catches for 42 yards and one TD. Owens has just one 100-yard effort, producing 110 yards and one TD on 30 carries in the win over NM St.

-- Senior WR Delane Hart-Johnson has team-highs in receptions (29), receiving yards (430) and TD catches (five). Elijah Lilly has 21 grabs for 365 yards and five TDs, while Anselem Umeh has caught 16 balls for 316 yards and two TDs.

-- New Mexico is 1-1 ATS in a pair of games as a home underdog this season. During Bob Davie’s seven-year tenure (one that this space wants to last forever out of fear for being forced to agonizingly listen to him broadcast second-tier SEC games that sometimes include my Gators and bring four hours of automatic chafeness to my life!), the Lobos are 10-11 ATS in 21 games as home ‘dogs.

-- Totals have been an overall wash for the Broncos (5-5), but the ‘over’ is 3-2 in their five road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 59.6 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 8-2 overall for the Lobos, 3-1 in their home games. They’ve seen the ‘over’ hit in three consecutive contests and their games have average combined scores of 66.0 PPG throughout the entire year.

-- Since joining the MWC, BSU is 6-1 SU but only 1-6 ATS in seven games against the Lobos. When these teams met on the blue carpet last year, the Broncos won a 28-14 decision but failed to cover as 14-point home ‘chalk.’ The ‘under’ is 4-3 in the past seven games of this rivalry.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports Network.
 

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Preview: Boise State at New Mexico


After moving back into the Mountain West championship picture with a critical victory last week, No. 24 Boise State looks to avoid a letdown Friday against host New Mexico, which has lost five straight. The Broncos rallied from a 17-3 third-quarter deficit against Fresno State last week and knocked the Bulldogs out of the College Football Playoff rankings with a 24-17 victory.

Quarterback Brett Rypien became the Mountain West all-time leading passer in both yards and completions with a stellar outing against Fresno State, which had only allowed three touchdowns in conference play before facing the Broncos. Rypien had 269 yards passing with a touchdown along with 30 yards rushing against the Bulldogs while the team’s injury-depleted defense held Fresno State well below its previous season average of 40.4 points per game. Safety Kekoa Nawahine had 10 tackles to lead a Broncos defense that played without three starters, including leading tackler Riley Whimpey (torn ACL). The Broncos have won five in a row following a loss to San Diego State and are heavy favorites to extend the streak against struggling New Mexico, which allowed five sacks in last Saturday’s 42-24 loss to Air Force.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network. LINE: Boise State -20.5

ABOUT BOISE STATE (8-2, 5-1 Mountain West): After failing to run the ball consistently this season, the Broncos received a statement game from Alexander Mattison (144 yards on 30 carries and two touchdowns) against Fresno State. Rypien threw for 11 touchdowns against two interceptions over the past four games and has speed on the outside in freshman wideout Khalil Shakir, who caught a 49-yard pass for a score last week. Linebacker Tyson Maeva has taken on a larger role of late, moving into third on the team in tackles (45) with a total of three sacks and six tackles-for-loss.

ABOUT NEW MEXICO (3-7, 1-5): Coach Bob Davie used both Coltin Gerhart and Sheriron Jones at quarterback against Air Force in hopes of kick-starting the offense, but the duo was limited to a combined 186 passing yards and one interception. Safety Stanley Barnwell Jr. has 62 tackles to lead the defense, which is looking to bounce back after allowing Air Force to rush for 478 yards and control the clock a week ago. “We’re not real good right now,” Davie told reporters. “They muscled us. We had a hard time with the fullback. We had a hard time with the quarterback.”

EXTRA POINTS

1. Boise State is 8-1 all-time against New Mexico - including 4-0 in Albuquerque

2. New Mexico has recovered nine fumbles in the last two games after recording a total of 10 in the previous 19 contests.

3. Boise State is holding opponents to a 31 percent conversion rate on third downs, which leads the Mountain West.

PREDICTION: Boise State 45, New Mexico 13
 

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ATS Trends
Boise State

Broncos are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Broncos are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Broncos are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

New Mexico

Lobos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Lobos are 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Lobos are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Friday games.
Lobos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Lobos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Lobos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Lobos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.

OU Trends
Boise State

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on grass.
Over is 9-3 in Broncos last 12 Friday games.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games in November.

New Mexico

Over is 4-0 in Lobos last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Lobos last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 8-2 in Lobos last 10 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-2 in Lobos last 7 Friday games.

Head to Head

Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
 

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Preview: Memphis at SMU


SMU is in the driver's seat of the American Athletic Conference's West Division heading into Friday's home game against Memphis. Back-to-back wins moved the Mustangs into a first-place tie with Houston and Tulane - teams they have already beaten.

The Tigers, who own an outside chance to winning the division, have won four straight in the series - outscoring SMU 228-62 in that span. Junior Darrell Henderson has recorded a dozen 100-yard rushing performances in his past 15 games for Memphis and leads the FBS with 9.2 yards per carry. He needs 183 yards to tie the American's single-season record (1,629 by Tulsa's James Flanders in 2016). SMU junior quarterback Ben Hicks has been solid since regaining his starting job four games ago but the Mustang defense had trouble slowing Connecticut's ground game last week - allowing 365 yards.

TV: 9 ET, ESPN2. LINE: Memphis -9

ABOUT MEMPHIS (6-4, 3-3 American): Henderson leads the league with 1,446 rushing yards, shares the top spot with 17 rushing scores and is tied for the FBS lead with 20 total touchdowns. Junior Brady White (2,512 yards, 22 touchdowns and three interceptions) has connected with sophomore Damonte Coxie (58 catches, 949 yards) for a team-high seven touchdowns. John "Pop" Williams (28 catches, 275 yards, two touchdowns) leads the league in punt return average (12.9 yards) after a 72-yard return for a score last week against Tulsa.

ABOUT SMU (5-5, 4-2): Hicks (1,919 yards, 16 touchdown passes, four interceptions) has 10 touchdowns and two interceptions in his past four games. Healthy running backs Ke'Mon Freeman and Xavier Jones join Braeden West to combine for 1,110 rushing yards and 13 scores - including six rushing touchdowns in last week's win at UConn. Sophomore Reggie Roberson Jr. (42 catches, 648 yards, six touchdowns) has at least one touchdown catch in four straight games while leading receiver James Proche (70 catches, 882 yards, nine touchdowns) has three 100-yard games this season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Memphis is 15-1 in regular-season weeknight games since 2014.

2. Henderson's 3,082 career rushing yards are second in Memphis history, trailing only DeAngelo Williams' 6,026 yards.

3. SMU has allowed 10 non-offensive touchdowns (four interceptions returned, three fumbles returned, two kickoff returns, one punt return).

PREDICTION: Memphis 48, SMU 40
 

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ATS Trends
Memphis

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Tigers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games in November.
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Southern Methodist

Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Mustangs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

OU Trends
Memphis

Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in November.
Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 20-7 in Tigers last 27 games following a ATS win.
Over is 16-6 in Tigers last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 games following a straight up win.
Over is 17-8 in Tigers last 25 games overall.

Southern Methodist

Over is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 games in November.
Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-2 in Mustangs last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head to Head

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, November 16

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BROOKLYN (6 - 9) at WASHINGTON (5 - 9) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-57 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 410-480 ATS (-118.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 116-159 ATS (-58.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 153-205 ATS (-72.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (6 - 8) at INDIANA (8 - 6) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 223-168 ATS (+38.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-81 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (12 - 3) at BOSTON (8 - 6) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 9) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 8-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (8 - 6) at MEMPHIS (8 - 5) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (4 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 4) - 11/16/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 408-479 ATS (-118.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Top NBA Over Referees (min. 5 games, based on Over %):

1. Leroy Richardson 8-1
2. Mark Lindsay 10-2
3. Aaron Smith 8-2
t4. Mike Callahan 8-3
t4. Dedric Taylor 8-3
t6. 5 tied at 7-3 (S. Twardoski, M. Ervin, P. Fraher, T. Brown, M. Smith)
 

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Top NBA Under Referees (min. 5 games, based on Under %):

1. Scott Wall 6-1
2. Kevin Scott 9-2
3. Gediminas Petraitis 11-3
t4. Rodney Mott 9-3
t4. Justin Van Duyne 6-2
t4. JB DeRosa 6-2
t4. Brett Nansel 6-2
8. Kane Fitzgerald 8-3
 

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Friday, November 16

Nets lost their last three games; they’re 1-3 in last four games as a AU. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Washington won its last three games after a 2-9 start; Wizards won/covered their last three home games. Three of their last four games went over. Wizards won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Nets are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits here.

Heat lost six of their last nine games; they’re 3-3 SU on road, 2-1 as AU. Seven of their last eight games went over total. Indiana lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-3 as HF. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Pacers won three of last four games with Miami; last five series games went over. Heat covered two of their last three visits to Indiana.

Utah won three of last four games, but lost by 50 in Dallas Wednesday; they’re 5-3 on road, 2-1 as AU. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Philly split their last six games; they’re 7-0 at home, 4-3 as HF. Three of their last four games went over the total. 76ers beat Utah LY after losing previous eight series games; under is 8-1 in last nine series tilts. Jazz are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Philly.

Toronto lost its last two games after a 12-1 start; they’re 5-1 on road, 2-0 as AU. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Celtics lost four of their last six games; they’re 4-1 at home, 3-2 as HF. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last eight Toronto-Boston games; Raptors are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Beantown. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Portland won seven of its last nine games; they’re 3-2 on road, 1-0 as AF. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total. Timberwolves won its last two games after a 5-game skid; Minnesota is 6-1 at home, 2-1 as HU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Home side won last eight Portland-Minnesota games; Trailblazers covered three of last four visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Kings lost three of last five games after a 6-3 start; they’re 4-3 on road, 4-3 as AU. Sacramento’s last four games stayed under the total. Memphis won three of its last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, 4-0 as HF. Four of their last six games stayed under. Kings/Grizzlies split their last eight meetings; Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in their last five trips to Tennessee. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

New York lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-6 on road, 3-4 as AU. over is 4-4 in their road games. Pelicans won three of their last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, 3-3 as HF. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Knicks lost four of last five games with New Orleans; NY is 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total.

Bulls lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-5 on road, 4-3 as AU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Milwaukee is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 7-0 start; Bucks are 6-1 at home, 4-2 as HF. Seven of their last eight games went over. Road team won last five Chicago-Milwaukee games; Bulls covered four of their last five visits to Milwaukee. Five of last six series games went over total.
 

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Friday, November 16

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Trend Report
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Miami Heat
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami


Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Brooklyn is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Brooklyn is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Brooklyn is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing Washington
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


Utah Jazz
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Utah
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Portland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Portland is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland


Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
Sacramento is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Sacramento is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Memphis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento


New York Knicks
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
New York is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New York is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New York is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New York is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against New York


Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
 

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(705) UTAH @ (706) PHILADELPHIA | 11/16/2018 - 7:05 PM
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 271 Overs and 661 Unders since 1996 (+362.90 units)
 

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(711) SACRAMENTO @ (712) MEMPHIS | 11/16/2018 - 8:05 PM
Play ON MEMPHIS using the money line in Home games off an upset win as an underdog
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.90 units)
 

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