Fight Night 140 - Argentina

NewYorkKnight

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• Nov 16, 2018

• #1

Still looking over a few things ... Will post my action later tonight


Worth noting ...

A surge of late money has dropped Michel Prazeres to -125

He opened at -400

 

NewYorkKnight

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• #2

Another interesting note

Ricardo Lamas is 0-3 against Team Alpha Male fighters (Emmett, Mendes, Castillo)

He will look to end that streak against Elkins ...

 

NewYorkKnight

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• #3

From MMA Analytics

Early computer picks ...

Ponzinibbio (51.5%) over Magny
Elkins (59.1%) over Lamas
Cannetti (53.2%) over Vera
Pantoja (58.5%) over Sasaki

 

Enfuego

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• #4

New York Knight said:

From MMA Analytics

Early computer picks ...

Ponzinibbio (51.5%) over Magny
Elkins (59.1%) over Lamas
Cannetti (53.2%) over Vera
Pantoja (58.5%) over Sasaki

Click to expand...

Elkins 59.1 over a fighter who's a big fav?

 

NewYorkKnight

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Yes ... Lamas not that big of a favorite


Elkins +145
Lamas -165

 

Enfuego

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New York Knight said:

Yes ... Lamas not that big of a favorite


Elkins +145
Lamas -165

Click to expand...

Oh wow, I looked this morning ant it was like -200 or something.

Are these analytics predictions decent?

 

NewYorkKnight

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They aren't bad ... The computer definitely wins more than it loses.

 

Enfuego

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New York Knight said:

They aren't bad ... The computer definitely wins more than it loses.

Click to expand...

Nice tool thanks.

 

NewYorkKnight

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Glad to help. I like to check those out before every event

 

NewYorkKnight

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Played ...

Poliana Botelho -165

 

Enfuego

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New York Knight said:

Played ...

Poliana Botelho -165

Click to expand...

I played Calvillo early on betmma and am starting to regret that play.

 

NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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NewYorkKnight

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Biggest line movement since open


Khalil Rountree -285 ... -170
Cynthia Calvillo -165 ... +150
Michel Prazeres -400 ... -130
Laureano Staropoli -320 ... +105


No other significant line movement.

 

NewYorkKnight

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Worth noting ...

Since joining the UFC this year, Nad Narimani has had 5 different opponents scheduled and only 1 fight.

His opponent tonight, Anderson dos Santos, is his 3rd scheduled opponent for this card