Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (11)

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I always suspected that SB teams normally don’t do well the next yr due to player turnover & having the bull’s-eye on their backs all yr. It’s obvious that coaching turnover is also a large reason for that. PHI losing DeFilippo & Reich has really affected their “O”. 2 wks to prep for a pivotal div gm, @ hm on primetime & they did awful. 3 pts in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP]half. And play design was really vanilla, like DAL usually is, but Garrett actually had great play-calling. PHI’s “D” broke down in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP]Q, but PHI had 2 shots @ tying gm, & it still goes back to being anemic in 1[SUP]st[/SUP]half. Then ATL does the unthinkable & gets blown out by the lowly Browns. I thought there was a great chance for CLE to win that gm, but not by that much. Pathetic effort that likely doomed the Falcons’ season.

Regular Season POW 6-4, Teasers 7-3, GOY 0-0, Overall 27-21-1 (28-21-1 undocumented).

HOU/WAS Under 42: I rarely have totals as a POW due to unpredictability of TOs, field position & in-gm injuries. However, there comes a time when 2 good “D”s & struggling “O”s matchup for a dream punting main event. For these 2 “D”s, we have #4 scoring vs #7, #9 vs #17 in ypg, & #5 vs the run vs #6. And in case you were wondering, this is the #7 punter going against the #8 punter (in amount of punts). If all that wasn’t enough, the true key for me here is WAS’ oline health. They’ve lost 2 starters for the yr, & All-pro LT Trent Williams is playing hurt. It’s no coincidence that WAS’ “O” has gone downhill the last 2 gms due to these Hog injuries. Against the anemic “D”s of ATL & TB, they’ve scored 14 & 16 respectively. Even w/a healthy club for most of the yr & AP having a renaissance yr, WAS is 6[SUP]th[/SUP]lowest scoring team @ 19 ppg (only TEN, JAX, OAK, ARI & BUF are worse). HOU is only a little better @ 24 ppg, which is largely helped by their 42 & 37 pt outbursts vs MIA & IND. Both squads have very reliable kickers who they use a lot (Fairbairn 19-22 & Hopkins 17-19). HOU is a big-play “O”, so hopefully WAS’ secondary doesn’t allow the over-the-top plays from big-armed Watson to DeAndre. Helping there should be S DJ Swearinger, who is playing w/a chip on his shoulder thanks to Bill O’Brien apparently bad mouthing him after he left HOU 3 yrs ago. Both teams are an identical 6-3 Under so far this yr. The teams that they faced w/those Overs included GB, ATL, IND & NOR. Obviously not those types of “O”s or QBs here.

HOU 20
WAS 9
4 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit KC +3 ½: Dream matchup here on MNF. Gm got moved back to LA, where the wildfires are still impacting the community. Players & coaches’ families & friends are being impacted by the fires & have to be a continuing distraction for them. In what should be a tight gm anyway, getting over a FG is a must-play.

1 Unit LAC -6 ½: This is LAC’s 1[SUP]st[/SUP]gm @ hm since Oct 7! And they have been cruising in all of those rd gms including nice wins @ SEA & vs TEN in London. They too are affected by the wildfires but w/Joey Bosa possibly coming back & Gordon pacing the “O” on the ground, LAC are a tuff team to beat, while DEN looks painfully avg under Vance Joseph.

1 Unit NOR -6 ½: As mentioned above, I’m not impressed w/PHI coaching staff this yr. Very middle of the rd w/adequate talent. And middle of the rd isn’t going to cut it @ NOR. Nuff said (homage to Stan Lee!).

1 Unit MIN +2 ½: MIN off the bye should have a good gameplan against mediocre Trubisky, who are on a 3 gm win streak & lead the North. However, every win CHI has this yr are against sub-500 teams. Every gm against a winning team has been a loss. I knew the return of Everson Griffen was going to have an impact on MIN’s “D”. Even against NOR, an ugly pick-6 by Cousins & a 52 yd FG were the difference in a 10 pt loss.

3 Unit Wormy Teaser

DAL +16 ½
MIN +15 ½
TEN +15
PIT +8

Going big again on Teaser as I’ve only had 3 losses out of 40 selections & once again feel confident on these 4.
 

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W/Pix......solid card buddy.....on Houst. un, Minn. and chargers with you....probably KC on Mon......get'em this week buddy...…...indy
 

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Wormy,BOL on your picks for Sunday as I like a few of those myself !
 

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Thanks Gravy & Indy! Hope we all win this wk. It was a ruff one last wk. Hate losing!
 

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We can guarantee the fins don’t lose this weekend!! I like the Texans. Not sure how Wash scores in this one. Can’t get a read on the Texans offense though. Regardless, best of luck!
 
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Good luck man. I love Texans this Sunday. I'll follow on that one.
 

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gl my friend. Any advice?
I didn't see your message yesterday! I'll take a look now.

We can guarantee the fins don’t lose this weekend!! I like the Texans. Not sure how Wash scores in this one. Can’t get a read on the Texans offense though. Regardless, best of luck!
Lol, I said that to several friends too (MIA)! HOU, & particularly Watson, have been trending up. But Watson still waits a lot on receivers getting open first, then throwing ball. He needs to fix that or smart "D"s will always defend the pass well.

Good luck man. I love Texans this Sunday. I'll follow on that one.
Awesome Road. Only reason why I didn't play HOU was it's a highly public play & makes WAS a hm dog, which we all know is normally a good bet. BOL buddy.
 

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Thanks Hache! Please let this be a winning wk!! Not that you control that, but you are a super moderator!
 

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