*****G-Man's College Play Of The D.E.C.A.D.E.! MICHIGAN VS OHIO STATE

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Michigan -4 VS Ohio State


Ive been waiting for this day to come. The Buckeyes were my best play when they were dogs to Alabama a few years back. We know what happened in that game.

Todays Buckeyes are not even as good as any Buckeye teams of the last four years. And even though they own Michigan, this week they will have to turnover the keys to the Ferrari - because the long joy ride is over on Saturday at NOON!

Michgan is exactly where they need to be, as the best defensive team in college this year. Make no mistake - I don't like Michigan as a lifetime Ohioan - but you have to call it as you see it - and the Buckeyes and all the distractions have diluted the teams performance all season.
They dominated no one except weaklings Oregon State and In-a-rut, Rutgers! All other opponents hung around and the Buckeyes never covered one point spread against a winning team except 6-5 Michigan State.

Ohio state and Michigan both played MSU and won the games by similar scores. Michigan holding MSU to 7 points and the Buckeyes holding MSU to 6 points. In those two games Mich was favored by 7, and Ohio State was favored by 3. that how you get the point spread for this game at Mich -4. That line is a public perception line IMO, as the true line should more like 8-9 or more.

In the opening game on the year, Michigan lost to Notre Dame narrowly. Notre Dame, is in fact, the most under rated team in the top ten standings and I mentioned that In my play on them against Syracuse.

The Buckeyes are so bad on defense, that they have allowed over 26 points per game or more, to winning teams all year.! NONE of those teams had a defense and thats the only reason that the Buckeyes won those games.
Michigan has a great defense and will shut down the Buckeys and control the game defensively.

The Wolverines haven't allowed any team all year over 21 points except Notre Dame which scored 24 at home. In addition, they only allowed 21 to Maryland and that's when Maryland was still whole on offense. Ohio State just gave up 51 points to the Terps and almost lost except for some penalties my MD very late in the game.

5Dimes has the line right now at Michigan -4 . Ive already made that play and if it goes up or down it won't matter because I feel The Wolverines will win the bet regardless of line movement.

I'll be posting other College Plays on Saturday in another thread.

Play On: Michigan.

I
 

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Agree.
Something is wrong, Ohio State isn’t Ohio State this year and Harbaugh/Michigan is Michigan except finally has a decent QB.
 

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this is simple, osu has had problems all year on the o line, they cannot run the ball... at all.. they are now one dimensional going up against one of the best pass defenses in cfb.. I ve read plenty about urban meyer getting points, this and that ( last time he was a dog was against Clemson I believe and they lost by 30) and trends and smart money this and that but for me this game comes down to the trenches where Michigan should just whip these dudes on both sides.. unless Patterson turns it over, or special teams shit themselves, I see very few scenarios where osu stays within 10 points here.. this is one of the worst urban teams ive seen and they just don't have the horses up front.. I played the UM ML
 

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sounds good to me
good luck

Thanks

Agree.
Something is wrong, Ohio State isn’t Ohio State this year and Harbaugh/Michigan is Michigan except finally has a decent QB.

Buckeyes seemed to never dominate teams they should have...

this is simple, osu has had problems all year on the o line, they cannot run the ball... at all.. they are now one dimensional going up against one of the best pass defenses in cfb.. I ve read plenty about urban meyer getting points, this and that ( last time he was a dog was against Clemson I believe and they lost by 30) and trends and smart money this and that but for me this game comes down to the trenches where Michigan should just whip these dudes on both sides.. unless Patterson turns it over, or special teams shit themselves, I see very few scenarios where osu stays within 10 points here.. this is one of the worst urban teams ive seen and they just don't have the horses up front.. I played the UM ML

Thanks for the feedback. Like I said, they are not as good as any Buckeye team in the last four years.
 

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Michigan isn't dominant enough to lay the points on the road here. JMO. Bama is the only team in this situation I would trust to do it. I really like Ohio St BIG. At least one of us will make some money GL
 

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Michigan isn't dominant enough to lay the points on the road here. JMO. Bama is the only team in this situation I would trust to do it. I really like Ohio St BIG. At least one of us will make some money GL

Michigan doesnt have to be dominate against tOSU, they are not a home powerhouse this season. Im sure you like Ohio State but both teams have been favorites in every game up to today. Now, if the betting habits show you that two favorites are playing each other today, where do you need the money to go for this game if you're the one taking the bets?

By habit, you know exactly where the money has gone for 12 weeks. Also by habit, you know what team is better based on overing the spread. It appears that Ohio State is more attractive at +4 than favored at home at -4 to get bettors to go where Vegas needs them to go..

I feel that most of the public will bet on OSU today and if I think I can win the money from the losers by having more money on OSU, then thats why my line is set this way.

As far as Bama being the only team to lay points on the road that is another majority perception that will be adjusted for in big games. I remember when Bama was favored against Ohio State. Not only was the line large, back then I picked the Buckeyes then and said the line was on the wrong side. I posted a blog that predicted that OSU would win SU. Chaa-Ching! The following week I did the same with the Oregon game. In those games Ohio State had it all. great offense, great running game and great defense.
Today they are not as complete as any team they were in last 4 years.
Thanks for the feedback. Gl to you today.
 

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Michigan lost 13 of last 14. Buckeyes own them hope you factored that. Good luck bud

Yep. In the second paragraph of the blog above, in case you didn't read it.

Gl today
 

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It was like the Ali-Forman fight of the century..
I got Rope-a-Doped by the lousy play all season by the Buckeyes only to have them knock out Michigan.
It was truly a round-by-round event (game after game on the season) and then, just when it was NOT expected, the Wolverines ran out of gas.


Everything showed in Michigans favor all season, until today.

The Buckeyes came off the ropes and kicked ass today.
Congrats to the Buckeyes.
 

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It was like the Ali-Forman fight of the century..
I got Rope-a-Doped by the lousy play all season by the Buckeyes only to have them knock out Michigan.
It was truly a round-by-round event (game after game on the season) and then, just when it was NOT expected, the Wolverines ran out of gas.


Everything showed in Michigans favor all season, until today.

The Buckeyes came off the ropes and kicked ass today.
Congrats to the Buckeyes.

Classy.

Hard to bet against Urban when he is a DOG.
 

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Classy post. Get your Michigan money back tonight with Notre Dame!

ND is the most under rated team in the top 10. I mentioned that a few weeks back.

Thanks
 

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Classy post. Get your Michigan money back tonight with Notre Dame!

Hard to bet against pac teams as home double digits dogs. I capped this and its close.

Gl to you.
 

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