UCF up to -16 Lock or Sucker Bet

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Was thinking USF. They have lost the last four. Last two they played pretty good. 16 is alot at home. UCF has all the pressure. UCF has two roas wins against pure garbage and a 1 point win against Memphis they should have lost. Inflated line because of last week and their streak? Ehhh.
 

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Was thinking USF. They have lost the last four. Last two they played pretty good. 16 is alot at home. UCF has all the pressure. UCF has two roas wins against pure garbage and a 1 point win against Memphis they should have lost. Inflated line because of last week and their streak? Ehhh.

You are thinking the right thoughts, USF is a decent club, getting 14 at more, rivalry, all of that. UCF coming off the big win over Cincy, peeking ahead to Championship game vs Hou or Memphis. UCF tends to surprise and get points in bunches. USF coach is a knucklehead IMO.
I have no answers, ha, am passing on this one.
 

my clock is stuck on 420 time to hit this bong
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Very tough game with spread . Any thoughts on wash wazzou tonight . Thinking this game could be defense defense and more defense.
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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I like UCF, I don't believe in locks. I think they've had a lot of pressure on them the last few weeks and have responded well
 

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I like UCF, I don't believe in locks

I would lean to them they have a chip on their shoulder about the playoff system, want to pile it on and look good even though winning out they wont get into the 4 team playoff.
It is their schtick, they get a lot out of the publicity that they coulda shoulda woulda won last year (ha) and same this year.
Good club, unusual motivation, but it is real.
 

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USF is a fraud. Their defense is structurally weak, and UCF pose nightmarish matchups at basically all skill positions. USF played this game tight last year because of Quinton Flowers’s dynamic play alone. Without him under center this offense has been bland and predictable. UCF’s defense as a whole has been getting progressively better.I think UCF wins this by 20+ though I wouldn’t ever call it a lock.
 

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USF is a fraud. Their defense is structurally weak, and UCF pose nightmarish matchups at basically all skill positions. USF played this game tight last year because of Quinton Flowers’s dynamic play alone. Without him under center this offense has been bland and predictable. UCF’s defense as a whole has been getting progressively better.I think UCF wins this by 20+ though I wouldn’t ever call it a lock.

Wow top 10 avatar, there
 

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Looking like a stay away game based on bad play late in the year. Haven't had much of a chance to see them last few games. Very tempting to take the points though. Will think on it some more
 
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I wouldn’t factor home field in your handicapping for this game. Over 50k tickets were sold to this game but at least 75% of the fans will be UCF fans.

Its that bad that Dunkin’ Donuts were offering free tickets to USF fans
 

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I wouldn’t factor home field in your handicapping for this game. Over 50k tickets were sold to this game but at least 75% of the fans will be UCF fans.

Its that bad that Dunkin’ Donuts were offering free tickets to USF fans

Yeah. Thought about that too. Wasn't sure what the % was going to be though Good to know
 

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USF is a fraud for sure, played cream puffs early on, played good teams last 4 and lost them all going 2-2 ATS, 4-7 ATS for the year

UCF I either bet on or nothing, 7-3 ATS this year and 16-6 including last year ATS, they have to much talent, plus they want in a NYD bowl so I think they pour it on, if anything its a good teaser play with a team tomorrow or tonight
 

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Hope that makes the difference Ser, took it live in game at -16.5. Hope the sophomore isn't a phenom waiting in the wings.
 

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He looks ok, not a frightened deer in headline kid.
0-0 the fail so far is UCF offense.
Long way to go!
 

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