Forum: Soccer Forum - Discuss anything related to betting Soccer. Post Your Picks in Here! World Cup coming soon. Here is where World Cup info will be found. Forum will be moved to top in early May.

Thread: Predictive Analysis Picks

  1. #1 Predictive Analysis Picks 
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Nov 2018
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    2
    Gents -
    I know little about science, but I like predictive analytics using available data. Here is what I have for this weeks soccer matches. If it is in green, the numbers indicate value making it worth a deeper look, and potentially a wager.

    ITALY SERIE A STATS ODDS & VALUE
    Expected Goals per Game Exp G/A % vs League AVG Projected Goals Neutral Projected Goals Home Field 1 X 2 H +0.5 A +0.5 H +1.5 A +1.5 H -1.5 A -1.5 o2.5 u2.5 o3.5 u3.5
    Home Genoa 1.19 99.72% 1.19 1.40 My Odds 2.24 3.73 3.49 1.40 1.80 1.12 1.27 4.69 9.16 2.24 1.81 4.27 1.31
    Away Sampdoria 1.30 100.07% 1.29 1.06 Bookie 2.63 3.34 2.91 1.47 1.54 1.98 1.89 3.45 1.36
    Adj Kelly 1.06 -0.45 -0.87 1.03 -2.70 -1.18 0.49 -0.78 1.09
    Home Udinese 1.17 99.96% 1.17 1.38 My Odds 3.31 4.30 2.15 1.87 1.43 1.33 1.15 7.48 3.99 1.65 2.54 2.61 1.62
    Away Roma 2.14 100.11% 2.14 1.76 Bookie 4.45 3.77 1.86 2.05 1.24 1.78 2.13 2.86 1.44
    Adj Kelly 1.00 -0.45 -1.54 0.91 -5.60 1.04 -1.44 0.52 -2.51
    Home Juventus 2.11 100.38% 2.11 2.48 My Odds 1.42 5.95 7.80 1.15 3.37 1.04 1.94 2.07 23.73 1.49 3.04 2.20 1.83
    Away SPAL 2013 1.18 99.97% 1.18 0.97 Bookie 1.16 8.11 23.24 5.84 1.56 2.65 2.43 1.63
    Adj Kelly -12.09 0.51 0.89 1.51 0.81 -0.78 0.73 -1.76
    Home Inter 1.53 100.26% 1.53 1.79 My Odds 1.54 4.52 7.83 1.15 2.87 1.03 1.63 2.60 31.11 2.27 1.79 4.36 1.30
    Away Frosinone 0.78 99.70% 0.78 0.64 Bookie 1.24 6.44 14.10 4.44 2.25 1.71 1.56 2.63 2.47 1.62
    Adj Kelly -8.15 0.78 0.61 1.60 3.08 -4.77 -5.56 2.90 -2.95 3.99
    Home Parma Calcio 1913 0.82 99.78% 0.82 0.97 My Odds 3.47 3.48 2.35 1.74 1.40 1.23 1.12 9.65 5.30 2.64 1.61 5.50 1.22
    Away Sassuolo 1.51 99.99% 1.51 1.24 Bookie 3.05 3.38 2.50 1.43 1.93 1.94 3.31 1.37
    Adj Kelly -0.60 -0.12 0.42 0.38 -2.92 2.16 -1.72 3.25
    Home Bologna 0.77 99.85% 0.77 0.91 My Odds 3.83 3.53 2.19 1.84 1.35 1.27 1.10 11.21 4.75 2.63 1.61 5.48 1.22
    Away Fiorentina 1.58 100.15% 1.58 1.30 Bookie 3.93 3.35 2.12 1.81 1.29 2.17 1.76
    Adj Kelly 0.09 -0.22 -0.30 -0.17 -1.51 -1.50 1.19
    Home Empoli 1.19 99.93% 1.19 1.40 My Odds 2.69 3.96 2.66 1.60 1.59 1.21 1.21 5.81 5.73 1.88 2.14 3.22 1.45
    Away Atalanta 1.71 100.16% 1.71 1.41 Bookie 4.99 3.92 1.75 2.21 1.40 3.08 1.69 2.30 2.71 1.50
    Adj Kelly 2.15 -0.04 -4.62 3.14 3.93 -2.22 -1.44 0.57 -0.93 0.67
    Home Napoli 1.79 100.16% 1.78 2.10 My Odds 1.40 5.38 9.82 1.11 3.48 1.03 1.86 2.16 39.70 1.94 2.07 3.39 1.42
    Away Chievo 0.78 99.64% 0.78 0.64 Bookie 1.13 9.42 24.83 1.41 3.04 1.99 1.88
    Adj Kelly -15.17 0.89 0.64 -6.62 2.30 -4.17 3.68
    Home Lazio 1.36 100.05% 1.36 1.60 My Odds 2.55 4.23 2.69 1.59 1.64 1.22 1.24 5.12 5.53 1.64 2.56 2.59 1.63
    Away AC Milan 1.88 100.06% 1.89 1.55 Bookie 1.85 3.77 4.54 1.25 2.08 1.81 2.09 2.94 1.43
    Adj Kelly -3.26 -0.39 1.94 -8.83 2.45 1.25 -1.69 0.70 -2.92
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #2  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Nov 2018
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    2
    Last edited by Degenerate Frog; 11-24-2018 at 05:11 AM. Reason: screenshot
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •