~NFL Predictions & Analysis for Sunday Week #12 By Hårr¥THëHÄT~

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Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer & Jerry Nyles Exclusive ratings There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Complements From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
~Buffalo Bills Host The Jacksonville Jaguars~
To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more[ power rating] In this game 5.15+ For the Jaguars. The teams combine to average 31.3 points per game on the year, and despite Buffalo’s recent outburst, we will not see a repeat on Sunday. While Jacksonville is the favorite, it’s hard to believe in betting on a 3-7 road team, with Bortles at quarterback, as a favorite. It’s also difficult to bet on the Bills at any time, so I’m going to play it safe and go with conventional math: Bad offenses + good defenses = UNDER. Although this is a matchup of teams that have both struggled to score this season, it should see them both put points on the board. Keep in mind, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Buffalo. The over is also 5-1 in the last six games over between these two teams.

My Bet> 2 Team 7 point teaser Buffalo+10 At Home & Under 44 points

Note>>>The Bills prevail in this one, Jax going into freezing weather, possible snow, outside, a warm weather team in the frozen field of Buffalo.
~ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Host The San Francisco 49ers~ Partly cloudy with temps in the low 80s with 76 percent humidity. So, warm and muggy. Winds shouldn’t play a factor. Tampa Bay has had their fair share of struggles, but they have the more potent offense between two teams.Tampa Bay leads the league in passing and total offense but is eighth in scoring offense and last in scoring defense. It should see them push forward for a comfortable win at home. Furthermore, the Tampa Bay defense has fared well at home where they are holding opponents to only 22.5 points on the season. The 49ers are playing an undrafted QB in Nick Mullens who tossed two interceptions last week, so I am not concerned with the Bucs’ pass defense. What should be noted is that the home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings between both ball clubs. Tampa Bay has put up some big numbers on offense between Fitzpatrick and Winston under center. The 49ers have not put up big numbers and are on their third quarterback of the season in Nick Mullens.It should see them push forward for a comfortable win at home. What should be noted is that the home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings between both ball clubs. San Francisco has failed to cover 6 of its last 7 versus teams in the NFC and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 following a bye week. Final Score Prediction> Tampa Bay Buccaneers win and cover ATS 30-24. My Bet Buccaneers -3 Baltimore Ravens Host The Oakland Raiders~

  1. Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Jerry Nyles Exclusive Top rating >>Jerry Nyles>>>> Although the Raiders are coming off a win, the Ravens’ defense should pose a huge challenge for them to get on the board. Meanwhile, Jackson provides another element to the offense that should present plenty of issues for Oakland defensively. Oakland Raiders are just a mess of a football team right now on both sides of the ball, as every part of this team is struggling and the players are throwing coaches and others under the bus. Baltimore has a very good defense and will be facing a mediocre at best offense for the Raiders. The Ravens must win out the rest of the season to have a hope of making the playoffs. The home team (Ravens) in this matchup has covered 6 of the last 8. Baltimore has covered 5 of the last 6 against Oakland in Baltimore.
    Jerry Nyles>>The Baltimore Ravens managed to pull out a close contest last week against the Cincinnati Bengals, and they'll be forced to go with their rookie quarterback again. The Oakland Raiders have failed to cover four of their last six games as a double-digit underdog. What should also be noted is that the Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings against the Ravens on the road.
    That could also mean a lot of running plays to take the pressure off quarterback Derek Carr and give the Raiders defense extra rest. The added running plays not only should keep Oakland in the game, but should also keep the score down, making the under an interesting bet. However with total at 42 1/2 with a 7 point teaser to make under 49 1/2 and Ravens - 3 1/2 with the -7 points. My Bet Ravens - 3 1/2 & Under 49 1/2 ~
    Carolina Panthers Host The Seattle Seahawks ~ Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer >>>> Seattle surrenders just 97.7 rushing yards per game on the road, the seventh-fewest in the league. Seattle Seahawks are on a different level right now as they are heading into this game with some momentum and needed win right now. They have the better defense and offense at the moment as I’m even putting in a bet that they win straight up. The Seahawks have also been a juggernaut rushing team themselves, leading the NFL in team rushing. Seattle is as good a team as any to help limit Carolina’s strength, while also being able to try to beat the Panthers at their own game. With that area of the field likely being a no-fly zone for Carolina on Sunday, look for the Panthers to stick to their signature running game, as well as lots of short passes to running back Christian McCaffrey, as well as taking deep shots downfield. Carolina has dropped back-to-back games to Pittsburgh and Detroit to all but fall out of the NFC South race with New Orleans running away with the division. As for the Panthers, they just haven’t looked good over their last couple of games, giving up 52 to the Steelers and posting just 19 against the vulnerable Lions (but still were in a position to push overtime). I’m not ready to trust them here just yet, so I’m sticking with Seattle on the cover and they may win this game straight up +3 1/2. My Bet Seattle+3 1/2

  1. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS host the MIAMI DOLPHINS DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer >>>> The Dolphins are well rested after coming off the bye and will be looking to get some good news on the injury front for the first time this season. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill hasn’t played since Week 5 due to a shoulder injury and could return in this game. Note>Osweiler has actually thrown for more passing yards and less interceptions than Tannehill. The Colts have played well against the spread, winning three of their last four games. They have also won three of their last four games against AFC opponents. The Dolphins have struggled against the spread and have lost their last four road games. The Colts have the better quarterback and more dependable skill players to extend their win streak to five games and continue riding the upset train.
  2. Recent Betting Trends:
    Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    Colts are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November.
    Under is 28-13 in Dolphins last 41 games on fieldturf.
    Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games in Week 12.
    The difference maker in this game will be Tannehill, but even if he does come back he has been off so long it could be hard to get him as a good player to really rely on in the game. Look for the Colts offense with Luck guiding it to really control the game and bring home a big time win here. Final Score Prediction, Indianapolis Colts win and cover ATS 35-14. My Bet Colts -8
    *****NOTE:::The handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media and other sources connected with NFL Sports.*****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Complements From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

 

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Great stuff.......as usual. THANKS HARRY.

One point to weigh in the Car game. They are 5-0 at home. 2 recent losses were on the road. Add that Sea has been less dynamic on the road, and add the fact that Sea, travels east to play the early game. I'm leaning the other way.

BOL my friend.
 

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MR. H/hat...….solid info and great write ups buddy...….BOL with your weekend action...….indy
 

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Hi Harry,
You posted your betting, hedging, and pressing strategies combined with Mr. Martin's advice. Can you please post them again for and avid follower of your teachings.
 
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hi harry,
you posted your betting, hedging, and pressing strategies combined with mr. Martin's advice. Can you please post them again for and avid follower of your teachings.
ok will get back with you
 
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For OCYRUS>> Bob Martins betting style with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating*systems.*

[QUOTE=OCYRUS;12699593]Hi Harry,
You posted your betting, hedging, and pressing strategies combined with Mr. Martin's advice. Can you please post them again for and avid follower of your teachings.[/QUOTE]>>>>>
(
 
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[QUOTE=OCYRUS;12699593]Hi Harry,
You posted your betting, hedging, and pressing strategies combined with Mr. Martin's advice. Can you please post them again for and avid follower of your teachings.
>>>>>([/QUOTE]For OCYRUS>> Bob Martins betting style with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating*systems. >>>>> Theory about Sports ratings systems use a variety of methods for rating teams, but the most prevalent method is called a power rating. The power rating of a team is a calculation of the team’s strength relative to other teams in the same league or division. The basic idea is to maximize the amount of transitive relations in a given data set due to game outcomes. For example, if A defeats B and B defeats C, then one can safely say that A>B>C.Jeff Sagarin’s systems, the NY Times system, and the Dunkel Index, are some good examples. I personal use DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating systems. Bob Martins betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating I use [is based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record]. This should go without saying, but - I'll say it anyway, Bob Martin system does not take into account injuries, weather conditions, yardage gained, the importance of the game, whether it was a Monday Night game or not, whether the quarterback's grandmother was sick, or anything else besides points scored and points allowed. This is why I choose to wait until at least after the 1st or 2nd week of the NFL season before making my bet with predictions. While history does not always repeat itself perfectly, it does provide some valuable insight into behaviors and/or outcomes of certain events. If we ambitiously assume we can win 60% of 175 games, for a total of 105 wins and 70 losses, then we should never assume that any individual event within those 175 stands a chance greater than 60% of hitting. There are no guarantees, no “locks” and certainly no promises that any one game will end as predicted. The main point is to trust that the games played are the most advantageous, and will yield the highest result over the long-term. Weather,injures, Power ratings, Defense and Offense analyzes, Team coaches comparisons I also use with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating with Bob Martins betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to a Original bet after the press Win Or Lose... One Bet at time ...You can't win? if you don,t press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction,with the same assumption of each about its probability to win. Remember, Bob Martins method is not risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of predictions & Bet. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise.
[FONT=&quot]Hårr¥THëHÄT[/FONT]
 
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*** add on bet

My Bets For Sunday as follows >>>> My Bet: 2 Team 7 point teaser Buffalo+10 At Home & Under 44 points


My Bet: 2 Team 7 point teaser Ravens -3 1/2 and under 49 1/2


My Bet: Buccaneers -3


My Bet: Seattle +3 1/2


My Bet: Colts -8


*** ADD ON >> This wager is mainly because of how poor the Jets offense is and I can’t see them topping 20 points based on their quarterback play. I expect the Patriots to come out with a vengeance and stomp a team that looks like it has quit on its coach. I have communicated with a lot of NFL bettors on social media and some might be scared of this high point spread. Easy Fix. If you want put this in an NFL teaser and that will solve the problem. However I’m still 100% confident in this line as the Patriots will easily take care of the Jets. I mean, they lost to the Bills !! C'mon My Bet: 2 Team 7 point teaser Patriots - 5 & Over 39 1/2
 

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