Saints averaging NFL-best 37.2 PPG this season. They have scored on 61% of their drives, the highest rate since NFL expanded to 16-game schedule in 1978.
Cowboys allowing 19.4 PPG this season, 3rd fewest in NFL. They are the only team yet to allow a 30-point game this season.
Cowboys allowing 19.4 PPG this season, 3rd fewest in NFL. They are the only team yet to allow a 30-point game this season.
Hope this is OK NYK to ADD:
New Orleans won its last 10 games, covered its last nine; they are 5-0 on road, 2-0 as road favorites. Last four years, Saints are 6-1 as an AF- they led last four games by 14+ points at the half, they’ve run ball for 187 yards/game the last four weeks- great balance. Dallas won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-1 at home, losing 28-14 to Titans; Cowboys converted 21 of last 43 on 3rd down. Under Garrett, Dallas is 10-7-2 as home dogs. Saints won nine of last 11 series games; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Dallas, last of which was in ’14. Four of Saints’ last six games stayed under; three of last four Dallas games went over. NFC East underdogs are 11-6 vs spread this season as a non-divisional underdog.
New Orleans won its last 10 games, covered its last nine; they are 5-0 on road, 2-0 as road favorites. Last four years, Saints are 6-1 as an AF- they led last four games by 14+ points at the half, they’ve run ball for 187 yards/game the last four weeks- great balance. Dallas won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-1 at home, losing 28-14 to Titans; Cowboys converted 21 of last 43 on 3rd down. Under Garrett, Dallas is 10-7-2 as home dogs. Saints won nine of last 11 series games; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Dallas, last of which was in ’14. Four of Saints’ last six games stayed under; three of last four Dallas games went over. NFC East underdogs are 11-6 vs spread this season as a non-divisional underdog.
Thursday night insights from Will Bernanke, lead analyst for CG Analytics in Vegas, and Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Vegas.
CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Vegas Strip, have seen this line bounce back and forth throughout the week, between Saints -7 and -7.5. The total has dipped from the opener of 53 to 51.5.
“Fifty-five percent of all pointspread dollars are on the Saints,” Bernanke said of a game drawing good two-way spread action, but lopsided moneyline play. “Eighty-eight percent of moneyline dollars are on Dallas. Right now, it looks like we may need the Saints to win, but Dallas to cover in a game that goes over the total.”
At The SuperBook, New Orleans opened -7 and spent much of this week at -7.5 before ticking back to the opener today.
“We’re at Saints -7 (-120) right now. We’ve seen almost all Saints money, so we will need the Cowboys, but the market is obviously moving the other way,” Osterman said, while noting moneyline action is running opposite of CG books. “We get so much moneyline parlay action, so Saints action on the moneyline far outweighs Cowboys action.”
The total opened at 53 at The SuperBook, dipped to 51.5, then nudged up to 52 today.
“The total is not really a factor at this point,” Osterman said. “We just took a pretty decent-sized bet on the Over from a house player, but we’ve taken quite a bit on the Under, too.”
CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Vegas Strip, have seen this line bounce back and forth throughout the week, between Saints -7 and -7.5. The total has dipped from the opener of 53 to 51.5.
“Fifty-five percent of all pointspread dollars are on the Saints,” Bernanke said of a game drawing good two-way spread action, but lopsided moneyline play. “Eighty-eight percent of moneyline dollars are on Dallas. Right now, it looks like we may need the Saints to win, but Dallas to cover in a game that goes over the total.”
At The SuperBook, New Orleans opened -7 and spent much of this week at -7.5 before ticking back to the opener today.
“We’re at Saints -7 (-120) right now. We’ve seen almost all Saints money, so we will need the Cowboys, but the market is obviously moving the other way,” Osterman said, while noting moneyline action is running opposite of CG books. “We get so much moneyline parlay action, so Saints action on the moneyline far outweighs Cowboys action.”
The total opened at 53 at The SuperBook, dipped to 51.5, then nudged up to 52 today.
“The total is not really a factor at this point,” Osterman said. “We just took a pretty decent-sized bet on the Over from a house player, but we’ve taken quite a bit on the Under, too.”
