Woodbine 12-02-2018

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Woodbine 12-02-2018

Last post (at DED) 3 wins and 3 exactas were not enough to turn a profit. Needed more and didn't produce.
Hope you enjoyed the Navarro show yesterday on the Claiming Crown card at GP ... 3 winners (16-1, 14-1, 3-2). The interesting Navarro entry ... Monster Racing sent one .... ran 3rd at 53-1 beaten a length, in race 2.


race #1 - 6f
#3 9-2 NASHVILLE KNIGHT - might get stubborn on the frontend
#1 1-1 TOUCH OF DISNEY - logical McKnight/Dasilva
#2 3-1 TED W

race #2 - 7f
... 2yo MSW with a few first-timers plus DayPhillips/DaSilva with a second start runner (#1 4-1 BOBBY BITTMAN). They ALWAYS hold their debut runners and send them in 2nd start but still not sure if good enough for these.
#2 8-5 MYSTERY MESSENGER
#4 10-1 CHANGE AT THE TOP
#5 9-5 TRICKY MAGICIAN

race #3 - 7f
#7 5-2 BOURBON SOUL
#4 6-1 CONSTANTINO - Campbell rides back after goofing up last time
#8 2-1 ADMIRALS COVE - speed horse will take money and could clear with our top pick running blocker (uncoupled McKnight runners)
#5 12-1 WILLY'S CASTLE - had dead-aim on top pick in last, DaSilva aborts but Emma will come with one big run late

race #4 - 6f
... pace should be quick.
#4 8-1 PIRANO - gonna take a shot with this turf to dirt runner, thinking she should stalk here
#9 9-5 DIRTY GIRL - pretty quick and adds bug
#1 5-2 SUBZERO PLUS - DaSilva will have to rate this one on the rail .... if he sends, then he's screwed ... and the blinks go on! Smell something burning?
#10 10-1 HURRICANE EMILY - exotic booster

race #5 - 6f
#7 6-5 KRPAN - pick to click
#2 7-2 OH DANNY BEAR
#9 12-1 DOT'S LAST CALL

race #6 - 6f
#6 3-1 TRAVOLTA
#5 4-1 HEDEMAN
#4 2-1 ROMAN NOMEN - jock+

race #7 - 9f
#5 7-5 FLORIDA WON
#4 5-2 GOLDEN SPEAR - lone speed
#3 5-1 WHERE'S THE WIDGET

race #8 - 8.5f
#3 12-1 BOREAL SPIRIT - speed threat
#4 7-2 SILENT POET - logical
#1 6-1 KING AND HIS COURT - stakes race and Casse/Dasilva click at 45% .... very real threat

... rest to follow shortly ...
 

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race #9 - 6f
#3 6-1 FRESH DREAMS
#7 5-2 LOVE TO LEARN
#2 2-1 GOLD LACE

race #10 - 6f
#6 5-2 IN VIEW - logical
#5 7-2 FROBISHER BAY - speed threat
#3 12-1 TEQUILA STATE - bomb alert

race #11 - 6f
#6 6-1 EXCOMMUNICATE
#11 9-2 REDEAL
#2 4-1 LA VIE EN ROSE


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, with straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
 

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