Stink Week 14

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Dec 11, 2006
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Last Week 5-6 -123
YTD 66-62-5 +146

Thursday:

Tenny -5' -110 (vs Jax)
See OMAR's homework. Bad spot for Jax off a home shutout.
 

Dain Bramaged
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Mar 21, 2008
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Last Week 5-6 -123
YTD 66-62-5 +146

Thursday:

Tenny -5' -110 (vs Jax)
See OMAR's homework. Bad spot for Jax off a home shutout.

Agree :103631605


:toast:
 
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Thanks guys. See if we can win some more.

Sunday starter:

Just read that Beckham was out tomorrow. Catching Wshington before I lose line value.

Washington +3' -109 (vs NYG)

 
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Good luck to you, Mr Coldweather. And, yes, it's cold here north of Boston right now.

OK guys. It dawned on me yesterday that this is fast becoming a league with successful running QBs. Here are all the running QBs and their team's SU records when they start:

7-5 Russell Wilson
9-3 De Sean Watson
10-2 Pat Maholmes
6-6 Cam Newton
7-3 Mitch Trubisky
7-5 Dac Prescott
6-6 Marcus Mariotta
3-3 Jameis Winston
3-0 LaMar Jackson
3-5 Josh Allen

Take a hard look at that list. There is only one losing record there of 10 QBs. And the guy who runs the most is 3-0.

So I isolated all their starts and looked at their ATS records. Here's what I got:

11-3 ATS Home Dogs
20-12 ATS Home Favs
20-12 ATS Road Dogs
5-13 ATS Road Favs

Let's take advantage of this phenomenon before the world catches up.

Add these plays for Sunday:

Home Dogs
Tampa +9' -104 (vs NOr)
Chicago + (vs LAR) (waiting on line. Not gonna pay extra juice)

Home Favs
Houston -4 -102 (vs Indy)
Buffalo -5 -101 (vs NYJ)
Dallas -3' +105 (vs Philly)
Seattle -3 -105 (vs Minny) (Monday night)

Against Road Favs
Clev +1 -110 (vs Car)

more coming
 
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Add:

Miami +9' -108 (vs NEn)
- Brady is 1-5 SU in Miami in Dec (25-2 in Dec against all other Div rivals)
- Over the past 10 years Brady is 3-6 SU when the temperature is 80 degrees or higher.
 
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Forgot to post my Chicago line. Got +3 -112

The running QB stuff only went 3-3 ATS yesterday. There is one more tonight. I'm already down (see above).

Monday:

Seattle -3 -105 (vs Minny)
 

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