Week 14 #’s

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Week 14

Ari 109
Atl 120
Bal 123
Buf 110
Car 120
Chi 123
Cin 114
Cle 116
Dal 122
Den 119
Det 119
Gb 118
Hou 121
Ind 119
Jax 116
Kc. 129
Lac 128
Lar 128
Mia 112
Min 122
Ne. 123
Nor 132
Nyg 115
Nyj 112
Oak 109
Phi 121
Pit 126
Sf. 111
Sea 126
Tb. 119
Ten 116
Was 114

Pts..............home favs.............................road favs..............................home pick
1pt.............lwwwwwww............................lwlwllwl..............................-1L,+1L,-1L
2pts...........wlwllwlw.................................lllwwwwllllww.......................-2.5L
3pts...........wlllw......................................wlllllwllwlwppwllwl...............-3W.-3.5L.-3P.-3.5L.
4pts...........lwwlll.....................................wwwwww...............................
5pts...........wlllllwlpwww............................wllw.......................................
6pts...........llwllwww.................................wwwwlwl................................
7pts...........lwwwwwwll.............................lll.........................................-7W.-7W
8pts...........lwllw......................................wllwllw..................................
9pts...........wlwww...................................pwlwww................................
10pts.........lwplw.....................................wpww.................................-10L
11pts.........llw.........................................lwllwll...................................
12pts.........l............................................llwpl.....................................
13pts.........wll....................................................................................
14pts.........lww.......................................wwl........................................
15pts......................................................l...........................................
16pts.........w..........................................w.............................................
17pts..................................................................................................
18pts......................................................lw.........................................
19pts.........w.......................................................................................
20pts.........l.........................................................................................
21pts..................................................................................................
22pts..................................................................................................
23pts..................................................................................................
24pts.....................................................l............................................
25pts...................................................................................................

#’s selections
Carolina
Miami
Detroit
Dallas

Bal at KC(6.5) 53...
Bal 13-4 ats as a dog in 2nd of b2b road games s 99
KC 3-9 ats after playing Oak s 12
KC 2-11 under after playing Oak s 11

Ind at Hou(5) 48...
Ind 12-5 over on the road off a su road loss s 00
Series..split ats wins 10 of last 13 years s 04 (Hou covered 1st)
...........the road team is 7-2-2 ats in last 11 s 13
...........su winner is 16-0-2 ats in last 18 s 09
...........pt total has been higher in Hou 8 of last 9 years s 09 (71 pts in Ind)

NO(8) at TB 55...
No 23-8 ats off a su loss of 6pts or less s 06
No 1-5 ats as div road favs s 13
Series.. road favs are 1-4 ats s 11
...........home team covered 10 of last 15 s 11
...........8 of last 10 played in Tb have went under s 08
...........one game goes over, one game stays under 5 of last 6 years (1st game went over)

Nyj at Buf(3.5) 38...
Ny 1-4-3 ats as div road dogs s 15
Buf 22-9-1 ats off a su road loss s 12
Buf 8-31 ats after playing Mia s 97
Series..home team covered 9 of last 13 s 12
...........favs of 4+pts are 3-10 ats s 00 (check game time line)

NE(8) at Mia 47...
Ne 16-2 su in game 13 of reg sea s 99
Mia 5-12 under in game 13 of reg sea s 01
Series..split ats wins 15 of last 19 years s 00 (Ne covered 1st)
...........home team covered 12 of last 13 s 12
...........home team covered 12 of last 14 dec match ups s 00

Nyg(3.5) at Was 41...
Ny 2-4 ats as div road favs s 10
Ny 0-16 under as a road fav of 3.5-7pts s 92 (check game time line)
Was 4-2 ats as div home dogs s 15
Series..su winner is 33-3-1 ats s 00

Den(5) at Sf 44.5...
Sf 2-10 ats off a su loss of 21+pts s 12
Sf 6-12-1 ats vs afc s 14
Sf 7-17-1 under as home dogs of 4pts or less s 03

Cin at Lac(14) 47.5...
Cin 2-9 su in game 13 of reg sea s 07
La 3-11 ats before playing kc s 10

Phi at Dal(3.5) 43.5...
Phi 3-9 ats after playing on mnf s 11
Dal 4-1-1 ats as div home favs s 16
Dal 10-4 over after allowing 10pts or less s 11
Series..fav covered 5 of last 6
...........road team covered 11 of last 14 s 11
...........dog covered 8 of last 10 dec match ups s 04

Pit(10.5) at Oak 51.5...
Pit 14-4 ats after allowing 28+pts s 13
Pit 2-8 under as favs of more than 10pts s 11 (check game time line)
Oak 2-13 ats in game 13 of reg sea s 03
Oak 4-8 ats after hosting kc s 06

Min at Sea(3.5) 45.5...
Min 9-2 ats in 2nd of b2b rd games s 12
Min 3-8 su+ats on mnf s 09
Min 1-5 under on mnf s 12
Sea *su winner in mnf games involving Seattle is 26-2-3 ats s 80

Leftovers...
Cle 4-11 ats vs nfc s 15
Ari 20-4 ats as a dog of less than 4pts s 12
Chi 5-24 su in game 13 of reg sea s 89

Sorry I’m late

GAME.
 

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I have to share this with you, since it’s a true testament to how powerful your system is ...

Remember about 3 or 4 weeks ago when I drew your attention to GB 118 (and I had GB 119)? I was never quite sure if you went back and corrected GB’s # or not, since you and I continued to have a different # for GB for a week or two after I mentioned it. Long story short, it doesn’t matter if you changed it, didn’t change it, or if I was somehow in error on my end about GB’s # ... because the system somehow corrected itself and we’re back on the same # again. Our different #’s gave one of us a “10” (i.e., adjusted them down 1 point) and the system gave one of us a “9” (i.e., damn close, but no adjustment) and now we have the same #’s for GB again! Blew me away! It almost makes me wonder (and believe) that you could intentionally make an error with this system and eventually (perhaps within 3 or 4 weeks) the system will auto-correct itself.
 

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Hey SD,
I always have the correct # written down in the book, sometimes I just make the error when transferring it to screen.
A couple of years back I had misplaced the final #’s from the year before so I used week 16’s #’s from the year before that figuring it won’t be that different, and it should adjust itself anyway...this was back when I would first pop them up in week 4 or 5...
The first 3 weeks results had w’s and l’s scattered all over the board, my kid called me up and said, “what the f@#k”, this shit isn’t even close to working.
I had to go back to the previous year and rework every game for the last 2 weeks to get the correct #’s and then rework every game for the 1st 3 weeks of the current season to get it back to right...that’s the reason I write everything down on paper and keep all records.
I’ve been doing this without fail every week since 1977...( the #’s since about 1990)
That’s a long time to do anything other than breathe.
So it makes a difference if a mistake goes unnoticed, the price of correcting it is monsterous

GAME.
 

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Any stats for GB/Atlanta? Thanks for all you do game!

Yep...Green Bay sucks, they have no defensive backfield, no offensive line and are still giving points for some reason....

They should lose generously.

GAME.
 

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A couple of years back I had misplaced the final #’s from the year before so I used week 16’s #’s from the year before that figuring it won’t be that different, and it should adjust itself anyway...the first 3 weeks results had w’s and l’s scattered all over the board...I had to go back to the previous year and rework every game for the last 2 weeks to get the correct #’s and then rework every game for the 1st 3 weeks of the current season to get it back to right...that’s the reason I write everything down on paper and keep all records.

I could only imagine! You must have been freaking out! Yeah, no doubt that an error, any error, would instantly goof up the forth-coming #’s each week, as well as the resulting W-L record and it would continue to raise havoc. And no doubt that such things (A) need to be prevented from happening at all, and (B) need to be corrected ASAP when they do occur. But I still maintain that eventually the system will indeed correct itself. Or at least it certainly will in the case of a “1-point” error for a single team. It may not happen quickly, but it will iron itself out in the long run, albeit while producing jacked up results during the interim. Obviously I’m on your side of the fence in terms of agonizing efforts to ensure 100% accuracy (errors can not be allowed to occur), but this just illustrates the rock solidness of your system.

BOL this week GAME!
 

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Chargers 128 @Chiefs 129 is a strong chart play for Thursday.

BW....this whole week will produce monsters, Im looking forward to it, unfortunately tonight I need the impossible....
An outright win by the purple gang in a low scorings game, and I just don’t see that happening.

GAME.
 

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BW....this whole week will produce monsters, Im looking forward to it, unfortunately tonight I need the impossible....
An outright win by the purple gang in a low scorings game, and I just don’t see that happening.

GAME.
Come on Game!! Be a purple believer!!! I am....!!! Go Vikes..!!
 

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BW....this whole week will produce monsters, Im looking forward to it, unfortunately tonight I need the impossible....
An outright win by the purple gang in a low scorings game, and I just don’t see that happening.

GAME.

I did a quick run through and came up with 6 or 7 plays. Will wait to see what you post though to verify.

A few go against sides I really like.
 

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