Bowl Stats O/U, ATS and more

HotRocks · Dec 21, 2018

I keep track of this every year, figured I'd share, if you see a mistake let me know

Favorites 7-1
Over/Unders 4-4

MWC = 2-1 (2-1 ats, under 3-0)
AAC = 1-1 (1-1 ats, over 2-0)
MAC = 1-2 (2-1 ats, under 2-1)
SUN = 2-1 (1-2 ats, over 2-1)
PAC12 = 0-1 (0-1 ats, under 1-0)
CUSA = 2-2 (2-2 ats, over 3-1)

Today:
CUSA vs MAC
IND vs MAC

Serbone · Dec 21, 2018

IMO, go against The Pac 12 in most of their bowls, you will do well.

HotRocks · Dec 21, 2018

Favorites 7-2
Overs 5-4

MWC = 2-1 (2-1 ats, under 3-0)
AAC = 1-1 (1-1 ats, over 2-0)
MAC = 1-3 (2-2 ats, totals 2-2)
SUN = 2-1 (1-2 ats, over 2-1)
PAC12 = 0-1 (0-1 ats, under 1-0)
CUSA = 3-2 (3-2 ats, over 4-1)

Next up:
IND vs MAC

Celebdawg · Dec 21, 2018

Pac12 homer here. Bet against all Pac-12 teams except for Utah and Washington. Two best coaches(outside David Shaw). But Stanford giving 6.5 on a neutral field is scary. My bigger plays of the bowl season are on Michigan st, fresno st and Iowa st.

TimmyRules · Dec 21, 2018

Lotta luv for Cal....

HotRocks · Dec 21, 2018

Favorites 8-2
Overs 6-4

CUSA = 3-2 (3-2 ats, over 4-1)
MWC = 2-1 (2-1 ats, under 3-0)
SUN = 2-1 (1-2 ats, over 2-1)
IND = 1-0 (1-0 ats, over 1-0)
AAC = 1-1 (1-1 ats, over 2-0)
PAC12 = 0-1 (0-1 ats, under 1-0)
MAC = 1-4 (2-3 ats, overs 3-2)

Next up:

ACC vs AAC
AAC vs IND
MAC vs SUN
CUSA vs MWC

HotRocks · Dec 26, 2018

Favorites 10-4
Overs 8-6

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
MWC = 2-2 (2-2 ats, under 4-0)
SUN = 3-1 (2-2 ats, over 3-1)
IND = 2-0 (2-0 ats, over 2-0)
AAC = 1-3 (1-3 ats, over 3-1)
PAC12 = 0-1 (0-1 ats, under 1-0)
MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
ACC = 1-0 (1-0 ats, and 0-1)

Next up:
ACC vs MWC
B10 vs ACC
B12 vs PAC12

HotRocks · Dec 27, 2018

Favorites 11-5
O/U 8-8

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
MWC = 2-2 (2-2 ats, under 4-0)
SUN = 3-1 (2-2 ats, over 3-1)
IND = 2-0 (2-0 ats, over 2-0)
AAC = 1-3 (1-3 ats, over 3-1)
PAC12 = 0-2 (0-2 ats, under 2-0)
ACC = 1-1 (1-1 ats, und 2-0)
B10 = 1-0 (1-0 ats, under 1-0)
B12 = 1-0 (1-0 ats, und 1-0)

MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)

Next up:
ACC vs AAC
ACC vs B10
SEC vs B12

HotRocks · Dec 28, 2018

Favorites 11-8
Overs 10-9

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-1 (2-2 ats, over 3-1)

B10 = 2-0 (2-0 ats, under 2-0)
B12 = 2-0 (2-0 ats, o/u 1-1)
IND = 2-0 (2-0 ats, over 2-0)
MWC = 2-2 (2-2 ats, under 4-0)
ACC = 2-2 (2-2 ats, und 3-1)
AAC = 1-4 (1-4 ats, over 4-1)

MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 0-1 (0-1 ATs, overs 1-0)
PAC12 = 0-2 (0-2 ats, under 2-0)

Next up:
SEC vs B10
ACC vs B12
B10 vs P12

indiana · Dec 28, 2018

H/Rocks.....appreciate the info buddy.........indy

Serbone · Dec 28, 2018

Good stuff, I follow conference strengths, last few years, see if they carry over to this year, and often this works. Sometimes I adjust after a few results. I wish there were 3 more Big 10-ACC match ups!
Again, go against MAC (too late) and Pac 12, little doubt in my mind, with a few exceptions, and look at going against the ACC, but go WITH Big 10 and SEC (especially SEC dogs). AAC-Big 12-CUSA-Sun you are on your own.
Big remaining opportunity is to go against overrated-again Pac 12 (at this point, pending weather-injuries etc: Ia St small or pass, Mich St small or pass, NW BIG, Ohio St BIG + BIG, Pitt BIG).
So far a lot of teams have quit, were not pumped up to play in these small meaningless ca - ca bowls (Temple, Miami yesterday for example... VD seemed to not care much, either, on defense they missed tackles, got beat in coverage, and laughed).
GL!

HotRocks · Dec 29, 2018

Favorites 13-9
Overs 11-11

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-1 (2-2 ats, over 3-1)

B10 = 2-1 (2-1 ats, under 2-1)
B12 = 2-2 (3-1 ats, under 3-1)
IND = 2-0 (2-0 ats, over 2-0)
MWC = 2-2 (2-2 ats, under 4-0)
ACC = 3-2 (3-2 ats, und 4-1)
AAC = 1-4 (1-4 ats, over 4-1)

MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 1-1 (1-1 ATs, overs 2 -0)
PAC12 = 1-2 (0-3 ats, under 3-0)

Next up:
SUN vs MWC
SEC vs B10
SEC vs ACC
B12 vs ACC
IND vs ACC

Serbone · Dec 29, 2018

Good stuff!
Conference match ups matter.
Go against Pac 12! Stay away from ACC in general. Love those SEC dogs, especially.

HotRocks · Dec 31, 2018

Favorites 15-12
Unders 15-12

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-2 (2-3 ats, over 3-2)
B10 = 2-2 (2-2 ats, o/u 2-2)
B12 = 2-3 (4-1 ats, under 4-1)
IND = 2-1 (2-1 ats, over 2-1)
MWC = 3-2 (3-2 ats, under 5-0)
ACC = 5-2 (5-2 ats, und 6-1)
AAC = 1-4 (1-4 ats, over 4-1)
MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 3-2 (2-3 ats, overs 3-2)
PAC12 = 1-2 (0-3 ats, under 3-0)

Next up:
ACC vs AAC
ACC vs P12
B10 vs P12
SEC vs B12
B10 vs P12
ACC vs SEC

indiana · Dec 31, 2018

H/R's...…...BOL today buddy...….Happy New Year to you and your family...….indy

HotRocks · Jan 1, 2019

Dogs 17-16
Unders 18-15

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-2 (2-3 ats, over 3-2)
B10 = 3-3 (3-3 ats, under 3-3)
B12 = 3-3 (5-1 ats, under 5-1)
IND = 2-1 (2-1 ats, over 2-1)
MWC = 3-2 (3-2 ats, under 5-0)
ACC = 5-5 (7-3 ats, und 7-3)
AAC = 2-4 (1-5 ats, over 5-1)
MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 4-3 (3-4 ats, overs 4-3)
PAC12 = 3-3 (1-5 ats, under 5-1)

Next up:
B10 vs SEC (3-3 ats, under 3-3) vs (3-4 ats, overs 4-3)
B10 vs SEC *same as above*
SEC vs AAC (3-4 ats, overs 4-3) vs (1-5 ats, over 5-1)
P12 vs B10 (1-5 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-3 ats, under 3-3)
B12 vs SEC (5-1 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-4ats, overs 4-3)

XENO · Jan 1, 2019

1 fav yest so im thinking a few favs for sure

Serbone · Jan 1, 2019

Big 12, ACC have done well (both mild surprises)

AA, and of course The Pac 12 and the MAC have done poorly (AA is a mild surprise)

SEC is still the best conference overall, so these final games with their top teams you need to recognize it and not be as attached to the conference records (earlier game like this for SEC was # 10 Florida, took apart Michigan though Michigan was missing several impact players, NFL sitters)

Today for conference match up assessment and other reasons, Miss St and OSU (wind a concern though) stand out for me, plus KY & LSU are good sides but not big, not sure of final game worried about motivation, will wait for live in game to see how LOS looks.

GL!

HotRocks · Jan 1, 2019

Dogs 18-16
Unders 18-16

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-2 (2-3 ats, over 3-2)
B10 = 4-3 (4-3 ats, over 4-3)
B12 = 3-3 (5-1 ats, under 5-1)
IND = 2-1 (2-1 ats, over 2-1)
MWC = 3-2 (3-2 ats, under 5-0)
ACC = 5-5 (7-3 ats, und 7-3)
AAC = 2-4 (1-5 ats, over 5-1)
MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 4-4 (3-5 ats, overs 5-3)
PAC12 = 3-3 (1-5 ats, under 5-1)

Still playing:
B10 vs SEC (3-3 ats, under 3-3) vs (3-4 ats, overs 4-3)
SEC vs AAC (3-4 ats, overs 4-3) vs (1-5 ats, over 5-1)

Next up:

P12 vs B10 (1-5 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-3 ats, under 3-3)
B12 vs SEC (5-1 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-4ats, overs 4-3)

HotRocks · Jan 1, 2019

Dogs 19-16
Unders 18-17

CUSA = 4-2 (4-2 ats, over 4-2)
SUN = 3-2 (2-3 ats, over 3-2)
B10 = 4-4 (4-4 ats, over 5-3)
B12 = 3-3 (5-1 ats, under 5-1)
IND = 2-1 (2-1 ats, over 2-1)
MWC = 3-2 (3-2 ats, under 5-0)
ACC = 5-5 (7-3 ats, und 7-3)
AAC = 2-4 (1-5 ats, over 5-1)
MAC = 1-5 (2-4 ats, overs 4-2)
SEC = 5-4 (4-5 ats, overs 6-3)
PAC12 = 3-3 (1-5 ats, under 5-1)

Still playing:
SEC vs AAC (3-4 ats, overs 4-3) vs (1-5 ats, over 5-1)

Next up:

P12 vs B10 (1-5 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-3 ats, under 3-3)
B12 vs SEC (5-1 ats, under 5-1) vs (3-4ats, overs 4-3)

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