We made it to the last round on the card. Still standing.
last week 7-4-1 +289
YTD 83-77-1 +297
This week's research:
Since the NFL went to each team playing a Division game on the last week of the season in 2010 there have been 20 Home Division Double Digit Favs. Those Favorites are 15-5 ATS. We have 5 such games this week so I'll start by playing them all:
New England -14 -102 (vs NYJ)
Pittsburgh -14 -102 (vs Cincy)
Kansas City -14 -109 (vs Oak)
LA Rams -10' -102 (vs San Fran)
Seattle -14 -107 (vs Azo)
Add:
Miami +5 -105 (@ Buff)
Buffalo, with Josh Allen behind center, is a turnover machine. In 11 games Allen has fumbled 9 times (losing 2) and thrown 11 picks. Miami has the sixth best turnover differential in the NFL at +8. I'll take the +5 and expect to win the turnover battle that usually interprets to a winner.
Detroit +8' -104 (@ GBy)
The Motown Wrecks have beaten the Pack 3 straight and haven't lost to them by more than a TD in 8 games. Line is too generous.
Dallas +7 +105 (@ NYG)
Sure. Dallas is locked into the NFC #4 seed. No chance to go up. No chance to go down. But the Little Giants will be hard pressed to beat the Dallas scrubbs by more than a TD.
Tampa Bay +2' -103 (vs Atl)
Right now, the Bucs are the better team. Scoop the home points before anyone notices.
Cleveland +7 -110 (@ Balty)
The Brownies have won 7 games this season. A tremendous success for a team that was 4-44 coming into the season. The cherry on top would be beating the Div Champs in their park to close out. Cleveland has the 4th ranked NFL turnover differential. I think they get Lamar Jackson to cough up a couple.
last week 7-4-1 +289
YTD 83-77-1 +297
This week's research:
Since the NFL went to each team playing a Division game on the last week of the season in 2010 there have been 20 Home Division Double Digit Favs. Those Favorites are 15-5 ATS. We have 5 such games this week so I'll start by playing them all:
New England -14 -102 (vs NYJ)
Pittsburgh -14 -102 (vs Cincy)
Kansas City -14 -109 (vs Oak)
LA Rams -10' -102 (vs San Fran)
Seattle -14 -107 (vs Azo)
Add:
Miami +5 -105 (@ Buff)
Buffalo, with Josh Allen behind center, is a turnover machine. In 11 games Allen has fumbled 9 times (losing 2) and thrown 11 picks. Miami has the sixth best turnover differential in the NFL at +8. I'll take the +5 and expect to win the turnover battle that usually interprets to a winner.
Detroit +8' -104 (@ GBy)
The Motown Wrecks have beaten the Pack 3 straight and haven't lost to them by more than a TD in 8 games. Line is too generous.
Dallas +7 +105 (@ NYG)
Sure. Dallas is locked into the NFC #4 seed. No chance to go up. No chance to go down. But the Little Giants will be hard pressed to beat the Dallas scrubbs by more than a TD.
Tampa Bay +2' -103 (vs Atl)
Right now, the Bucs are the better team. Scoop the home points before anyone notices.
Cleveland +7 -110 (@ Balty)
The Brownies have won 7 games this season. A tremendous success for a team that was 4-44 coming into the season. The cherry on top would be beating the Div Champs in their park to close out. Cleveland has the 4th ranked NFL turnover differential. I think they get Lamar Jackson to cough up a couple.
