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Thread: 2019 achandicap soccer plays

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  1. #1 2019 achandicap soccer plays 
    RX Junior
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    New year, new thread, but hopefully the same kind of consistent winning that was 2018. After a slow start (including an awful World Cup), I came back strong with the Europa and Champion League opening rounds. I play England, Italy, Ireland, Colombia, Brazil, plus international tournaments. My plays are 1 to 5 units. Here we go...

    TUESDAY
    ENGLAND
    Leicester +.5 -117/Everton, 2 units
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  2. #2  
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    Happy new year achandicap! Thanks for your continued posts. Have a great 2019.
    The Poet
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  3. #3  
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    Thanks, Poet. I'll keep posting, and hopefully keep winning. Unbeaten in 2019!

    WEDNESDAY
    Bournemouth/Watford DRAW +252, 2 units
    Southampton +1.5 +103/Chelsea, 1 unit
    Burnley +.5 -132/Huddersfield, 1 unit

    Record: 1-0, +2.00
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  4. #4  
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    I can't believe I'm still unbeaten two days into the new year. My strategy is to be plus-side bets and maybe hit 45 percent. To be 4-0 is outstanding. I've always thought that if I hit 50 percent, I'll win 100 units. That said, I also can't believe I have a 5-star play on the big match today. It seems like a reach, but the numbers say this is a strong side. I guess Liverpool is suffering their first loss of the season today.

    THURSDAY
    ENGLAND
    Manchester City -.5 -102/Liverpool, 5 units

    Record: 4-0, +9.07
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  5. #5  
    RX Junior richporter's Avatar
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    on fire to start the new year great stuff as always
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  6. #6  
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    I'm basing these plays on the theory that the bottom of the Premier League is really bad this year.

    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND (FA CUP)
    Sheffield Wednesday -.5 +133/Luton Town, 1 unit
    Birmingham +1 -105/West Ham, 1 unit
    Barnsley +.5 +111/Burnley, 1 unit
    Gillingham +.5 +104/Cardiff City, 1 unit
    Lincoln +2 +120/Everton, 1 unit
    Derby PK -106/Southampton, 2 units
    Blackburn +.5 +114/Newcastle, 1 unit
    Bristol City -.5 +129/Huddersfield, 1 unit

    Record: 5-0, +14.07
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  7. #7  
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    nice hit
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by achandicap View Post
    I'm basing these plays on the theory that the bottom of the Premier League is really bad this year.

    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND (FA CUP)
    Sheffield Wednesday -.5 +133/Luton Town, 1 unit
    Birmingham +1 -105/West Ham, 1 unit
    Barnsley +.5 +111/Burnley, 1 unit
    Gillingham +.5 +104/Cardiff City, 1 unit
    Lincoln +2 +120/Everton, 1 unit
    Derby PK -106/Southampton, 2 units
    Blackburn +.5 +114/Newcastle, 1 unit
    Bristol City -.5 +129/Huddersfield, 1 unit

    Record: 5-0, +14.07
    4 wins
    3 loss
    1 push

    thabks for posting. That Barnsley looked like it was going to draw. Goal at the last min. Anything for tomorrow?
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  9. #9  
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    Most importantly, a 1.62 unit profit. Lost a couple tough ones in Gillingham and Barnsley, but really can't complain. FA Cup 3rd Round weekend is always fun.

    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND (FA CUP)
    Oldham +1.5 -102/Fulham, 1 unit
    Woking +2 -106/Watford, 1 unit
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  10. #10  
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    Quote Originally Posted by achandicap View Post
    Most importantly, a 1.62 unit profit. Lost a couple tough ones in Gillingham and Barnsley, but really can't complain. FA Cup 3rd Round weekend is always fun.

    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND (FA CUP)
    Oldham +1.5 -102/Fulham, 1 unit
    Woking +2 -106/Watford, 1 unit
    Can you explain, including vig, how this is 1.62 profit? Iím showing 1 unit . I bet your plays for tomorrow and intend to follow you moving forward. Thanks so much!
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  11. #11  
    RX Member PAZ's Avatar
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    FYI

    I believe you won the Gillingham play they won 1-0
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  12. #12  
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    Volcanoes, here's the breakdown. I appreciate the question because there are so many posters who either never post their units won/lost or fudge their numbers (or just don't know what their doing). The way I bet, I plan on winning less than 50 percent over the course of the year but finish with a unit profit because I make a lot of plus-price plays.

    Sheffield Wednesday -.5 +133/Luton Town, 1 unit (L, -100)
    Birmingham +1 -105/West Ham, 1 unit (L, -105)
    Barnsley +.5 +111/Burnley, 1 unit (L, -100)
    Gillingham +.5 +104/Cardiff City, 1 unit (W, +104)
    Lincoln +2 +120/Everton, 1 unit (W, +120)
    Derby PK -106/Southampton, 2 units (Push)
    Blackburn +.5 +114/Newcastle, 1 unit (W, +114)
    Bristol City -.5 +129/Huddersfield, 1 unit (W, +129)

    That works out to +1.62 units. Add in the Sunday victory (Oldham) and push (Woking) for another unit.

    No play today.

    Record: 10-3, +16.69
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  13. #13  
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    Totally forgot about the return of EPL today. Here's a play for Sunday.

    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND
    Bournemouth +.5 +121/Everton, 2 units
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  14. #14  
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    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND
    Leicester +.25 -111/Wolves, 2 units
    Brighton +1.5 -105/Manchester United, 1 unit
    Cardiff +.5 -102/Newcastle, 2 units
    Southampton/Everton DRAW +243, 1 unit
    Burnley +1 -127/Watford, 1 unit
    Arsenal PK +124/Chelsea, 3 units

    ITALY
    Torino +1 -126/Roma, 1 unit
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  15. #15  
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    Quote Originally Posted by achandicap View Post
    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND
    Leicester +.25 -111/Wolves, 2 units
    Brighton +1.5 -105/Manchester United, 1 unit
    Cardiff +.5 -102/Newcastle, 2 units
    Southampton/Everton DRAW +243, 1 unit
    Burnley +1 -127/Watford, 1 unit
    Arsenal PK +124/Chelsea, 3 units

    ITALY
    Torino +1 -126/Roma, 1 unit
    thanks for posting! Question, burnley is down to +3/4. Would you okay that or no?
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  16. #16  
    RX Junior richporter's Avatar
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    but fuck was that early one a bad beat.. there has been less draws than what there has been historically you would think some regression to the mean climb back up to around 25% of draws where it generally sits
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  17. #17  
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    Volcano: If the line changes, whether to bet depends on the price. In this case, I would have only bet +.75 -107 or better. It was a very weak 1-unit play to begin. Rich: Things always revert to the mean. It may take a while, sometimes a long while, but everything becomes normal eventually.

    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND
    Tottenham -.5 -137/Fulham, 1 unit

    ITALY
    Frosinone +1.5 -130/Atalanta, 2 units
    Sampdoria +.5 +104/Fiorentina, 1 unit
    SPAL/Bologna DRAW +205, 2 units
    Cagliari -.5 +103/Empoli, 1 unit
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  18. #18  
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    WEDNESDAY
    LIBERTADORES
    La Guaira/Garcilaso U2 +100, 1 unit

    Record: 16-9, +17.69
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  19. #19  
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    SATURDAY
    ITALY
    Milan +.5 -140/Napoli, 1 unit

    Record: 17-9, +18.69
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  20. #20  
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    MONDAY
    ITALY
    Empoli/Genoa DRAW +243, 2 units

    Record: 18-9, +19.69
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  21. #21  
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    TUESDAY
    ENGLAND
    Fulham/Brighton DRAW +227, 2 units
    Burnley +1.5 +118/Manchester United, 2 units

    Record: 18-10, +17.69
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  22. #22  
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    English Championship

    Swansea-0.5 +108 10units
    Under 2 +144 10 units

    Bolton vs Reading Under 2 +126 5 units
    Draw+193 5 units
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  23. #23  
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    English Premier League

    Arsenal vs Cardiff Over 3.5 +106 5 units

    Brighton & Hove Albion pk +123 5 units
    Under 2 +114 5 units

    Huddersfield Town+0-0.5 +108 5 units
    Under 2 +125 5 units
    S
    Wolverhampton Wanderers-0.5-1 +142 5 units
    Over 2.5-3 +129 5 units

    Manchester United-2 +142 5 units

    Newcastle United vs Manchester City Under 3 +112 5 units
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  24. #24  
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    Italy Cup

    Napoli -0.5 +121 5 units
    Under 2 +142 5 units
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  25. #25  
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    France League Cup

    Guingamp-0-0.5 +144 5 units
    Over 2.5 +129

    Spain Cup

    Valencia-1 +169 5 units
    Under 2 +117 5 units

    Scotland FA Cup

    Stenhousemuir+2.25 +95 5 units
    under 3.5 +71 5 units

    Queen Of South pk +89 5 units
    Under 2.5 +94 5 units
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