2019 nfl wild card weekend picks

Took 6 years off gambling to re-group. Giving it another go... cheersgif


Top Pick Chicago Bears ML/-5.5, Strong Pick Chicago/Eagles UNDER 41, Secondary Pick Indy Game Plays, Outsider Picks/Small Plays Chargers, Seahawks.





Saturday, January 5th 4:35 PM ET



INDY VS HOUSTON
PICK INDY ML, INDY +1, INDY +3

1) Will take the experienced quarterback and rejuvenated defense here.The Colts are the hottest team in the league right now and head to the playoffs winners of eight of nine. Texans are ranked 28th vs pass.

2) Texans lack of an offensive line. Way to much pressure to be put on even a very mobile running QB. That type of pressure should lead to wild throws, fumbles, interceptions. Turnover's in playoff games well we all know how deadly they are.

3) The "Mack Attack". Not so sure Texans have an answer for Indy's running game.

4) Texan's have a huge question mark at the most important spot on the field. QB Watson is a runner more than a thrower. That might work in College but it doesn't last long in the NFL playoff's. Just ask Michael Vick and see what he says. The QB issue alone is a good enough reason to bet Indy. Throw in all the other variables and this game deserves to be a top tier play (second only to Chicago).






Saturday, January 5th 8:15 PM ET



SEATTLE VS DALLAS
PICK SEATTLE ML +114


1) Trap Line - That Dallas line being so low tells you right away something is not right. Whenever you encounter a set-up like that it is a must to play the other-side or not at all. Probably one of the hardest thing's to do beside's money management in sports gambling is to avoid or take advantage of a trap line.

2) Value Play - Take the better, higher ranked, more experienced/consistent QB. Dak Prescott isn't exactly consistent. When it comes to my money I want a consistent/trust-worthy/battle tested QB. I see immature mistakes being made this Saturday by the Dallas QB. You are getting great value on Russell Wilson vs Dak Prescott.

3) Not a big fan of the Dallas coach Jason Garrett. Just another reason to bet Seattle. I'm sure Garrett will find a way or two to screw things up for Dallas.

4) Momentum/Streak - Dallas is cursed in the playoff's. Go with the momentum. Until their playoff losing streak is over Dallas is a no play! No F'ing Way!






Sunday, January 6th 1:05 PM ET



CHARGERS VS RAVENS
PICK UNDER 41.5, CHARGERS ML +133, CHARGERS +3.5 (buy line up to 3.5pts).

1) UNDER 41.5 - Should be a ton of clock being used. Balt runs the ball more than any other team in the NFL. River's is not exactly on fire right now and can Lamar Jackson even throw the ball consistently???? The under is probably a stronger play vs the Chargers side play.

2) QB POSITION - Once again we got the old War-Horse facing the rookie Dancing Queen. I will take the frustrated experienced War-Horse over rook Dancing Queen any day; especially if Michael Jackson think's he is going to moonwalk his way to victory. Eventually he is going to have to settle into the QB position, stay in the pocket and get the ball down field consistently. I don't see that happening this weekend or ever frankly.

3) Every Dog Has It's Day - Might be P. Rivers last chance to have some playoff success. I mean if he can't get it done here well I don't know. Going with the vet on this one but the under is a stronger play in my opinion.






Sunday, January 6th 4:40 PM ET


EAGLES VS BEARS
PICK BEARS ML, BEARS -5.5 (buy it down), UNDER 41pts.

1) UNDER 41 - Should be lot of ball control from both sides. Philly will need to run the ball and make short throws to have a chance in this one.

2) NO SOLID RUNNING GAME - As the saying goes "Defense Wins Championships" , well so does a solid running game. Philly's ground game ranks 28th. Without the solid ground game they had last year ranking 3rd overall Foles is Fcked! No run-pass options, nada! Foles is in for another beating!

3) DEFENSE - The Bears have it in spades and are consistent. Eagles defense is inconsistent. It wouldn't surprise me to see the Bears defense put up as many points as the Eagles offense.

4) WALKING DEAD - Philly is super banged up from the QB on down (bunch of DB's, bunch of positional/situational players on IR) etc...







PARLAY WARNING!!!- Most always a complete waste of money. I will use them very sparingly and for a small amount this weekend. Probably the last Parlay play for a while...


PARLAY +443 INDY ML/BEARS ML/BEARS-EAGLES UNDER 41 PTS.

H/S......welcome to the RX NFL forum, sure you will enjoy the site...…..many good cappers here...…..good luck...…...indy

On all of them except Seattle. I feel like Seattle plus points is the trap. Public perception is Seahawks have lots of recent playoff experience and Dallas does not. Seems like public is taking the bait and bringing down this line. Dallas is a different beast at home. This crowd will affect Seattle and Dallas will use the energy on defense. Dallas wins by at least 7 IMO. Good luck with your play!

I am thinking you have it backwards. Dallas is America's team. The Cowgirls have a lot more fans than Seattle lol. Not to mention they are at home, have a much better running game, and a stronger defense. A lot of people when they seen the line said I can't believe it is so low. Many people were/are thinking like you and thinking Dallas wins by a TD or more. Either way we will see and time will tell. What we do know is one of us is correct lol. Thank you for the feedback and BOL on all of your plays this weekend! Happy Holidays.

Thanks Indiana. Goooo Indy! lol

I think a lot of people looked at this line and said holy shit Seahawks are getting points. My first thought public play going to be huge on Seattle.

ML moved a little bit. Seattle went from being +114 to +117. I am thinking Big $ is going to come in all Dallas late but if it does not than maybe i do have it assbackwards! lol You still playing on Seattle Brendan?

I’m on fence on this game great cappers here that I look too are evenly divided so personally I might play home team just purely on home team and strength of schedule.

Why don't you jump ship and throw the money down on the Chargers instead?...

That Seattle vs Dallas game reminds me of that New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys January 13, 2008 game. That was a trap line/game. I think Dallas opened as a -2pt fav and it closed as a pickem if I remember correctly. Giants also had great running game back then.

similar card to mine except I like Dallas.

The LAC game is interesting, I have no doubt the Chargerswill keep Balt offense in check the entire game comes down to can LAC do abetter job on the OL and the RB’s picking up the blitz than last time wherethey were effectively monstered most of the night….I read some LAC OL sayingthat Balt confused them with tactics similar to pick plays in b/ball, if LACcan learn from last time and provide Rovers a little more time I think they cancome away with the W—but they can’t allow Rivers to be pressured on 31 of 36drop backs like last time!

Yes that is ridiculous " pressured on 31 of 36drop backs" .. I am sure they have corrected somethings but how much is the question? lol For me I am going with experience all the way through Wild Card weekend except for Trubisky. I think this weekend will be a good reminder that an experienced QB still is the way to go money wise. God I hope I'm right! hahahah

DUMPING THE Strong Pick Chicago/Eagles UNDER 41.

THE EAGLES ARE AVERAGING 28PTS AT HOME AND I FEEL THE UNDER IS DOOMED!

Upgrading Seattle pick from a small play to a very strong pick. In fact Im hitting Indy, and Seattle hard!

Great start haute . Stink on shit