Forum: International and Other Sports Forum - Discuss betting important International sports such as tennis and golf etc. with sharp handicappers from around the world.

Thread: Fore! 2019

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  1. #51  
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    Through 15 weeks:
    Outrights YTD: 17-200 (+13.56*)
    Matchups YTD: 7-15 (-8.17*)


    RBC Heritage:

    Outrights:

    Jim Furyk(33/1) e.w.
    Patton Kizzire(100/1) e.w.
    Aaron Baddeley(80/1) e.w.
    Webb Simpson(25/1) e.w.
    Justin Harding(80/1) e.w.
    Brandt Snedeker(66/1) e.w.
    Sungjae Im(40/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(50/1) e.w.
    Russell Henley(110/1) e.w.


    GL
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  2. #52  
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    Mitsubishi Electric:

    Outrights:

    Woody Austin(28/1) e.w.
    Darren Clarke(100/1) e.w.
    Billy Andrade(40/1) e.w.
    - - 100/1 winner here last year with Steve Flesch, a play I felt really good about from the start, but no such feelings or expectations this time.

    GL
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  3. #53  
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    Trophee Hassan II:

    Outrights:

    Christian Bezuidenhout(35/1) e.w.
    Adrian Otaegui(50/1) e.w.
    Benjamin Herbert(60/1) e.w.
    Ashley Chesters(100/1) e.w.
    Edoardo Molinari(250/1) e.w.

    GL
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  4. #54  
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    Zurich:

    Outrights:

    Finau/Stanley(18/1) e.w.
    Reavie/Glover(40/1) e.w.
    Hoffman/Watney(40/1) e.w.
    Harmon/Kizzire(66/1) e.w.
    Kim/Bae(80/1) e.w.
    Kim/Im(100/1) e.w.
    Castro/Tringale(175/1) e.w.

    GL
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  5. #55  
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    Friedeggpaulie picks so far:

    Week 18: Wells Fargo Championship
    Updates:

    • Key Attributes and Outrights posted 6:08pm CST Monday


    Key Attributes:
    Players who have success at this course typically succeed in 3 key areas:

    • Length off the tee


    • This is one of the longest courses on Tour and allows players to hit driver on most holes.


    • Mid to long iron prowess


    • With the course playing so long, players who aren’t insanely long off the tee will be forced to have a lot of approaches from 175-225.


    • Chipping/Pitching:


    • With long approach shots combined with rough that is difficult to judge iron shots out of and firm greens we see a larger than normal percentage of greens missed. The scores typically aren’t super low here so grinding out pars after errant shots is key.


    Outrights:

    • Mickelson +3000 (.83 for 25) True Line +2200


    • 12th or better 11 of the last 14 years at this event. He has been working this year to increase his distance off the tee which he has which should help him even more on this course. 30/1 is just too high of a number for a world class player at one of his favorite courses.


    • Glover +5500 (.45 for 25) True Line +4000


    • Glover has 3 top 4 finishes at this event including a win in 2011. He has been in great form this year finishing 17th or better in 10 of his last 13 starts.


    • An +6000 (.41 for 25) True Line +4500


    • An is a great statistical fit for this course and we get some higher odds than normal after his MC at the Heritage where he was 40/1 in a just as strong field.


    • List +8000 (.31 for 25) True Line +6000


    • List is an elite ball striker who will win on the PGA Tour eventually. His length and consistency off the tee will give him a massive advantage this week.


    • Mitchell +8000 (.31 for 25) True Line +6000


    • Mitchell will have an advantage this week with his length off the tee. He is a brand new player after capturing the win at the Honda. He isn’t afraid to contend with the best players in the world. He finished 34th here in his debut last year as PGA Tour rookie when he wasn’t even playing that well. 80/1 is just too high for a guy with this much upside.


    • Holmes +8000 (.31 for 25) True Line +6500


    • Holmes is a long hitter who won here in 2014 and also won earlier this year at Torrey Pines. 80/1 is just too high for a guy who we know can win on Tour when his game is on.


    • Mullinax +11000 (.23 for 25) True Line +8000


    • If you watched the Zurich last week, you would have seen how well Mullinax played (carried Stallings most of the event) and how good his swing looks right now. His game is firing on all cylinders and he is one of the longest players on Tour which bodes well for this week.

    Total outlay: 2.85 units
    Top 10/20:
    Tuesday
    Tournament HTH
    Tuesday
    Round 1 HTH
    Wednesday
    First Round Leader
    Wednesday
    DK Sportsbook Bets
    Tuesday/Wednesday
    Monkey Knife Fight Props
    Wednesday
    One and Done League Advice
    Wednesday
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  6. #56  
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    Wells Fargo:

    Outrights:

    Tony Finau(20/1) e.w.
    Phil Mickelson(28/1) e.w.
    Webb Simpson(20/1) e.w.
    Byeong Hun An(60/1) e.w.
    Luke List(80/1) e.w.
    Harold Varner(150/1) e.w.
    Roberto Castro(175/1) e.w.
    Jason Kokrak(35/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(50/1) e.w.

    GL
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  7. #57  
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    Byron Nelson:

    Outrights:

    Pat Perez(66/1) e.w.
    Marc Leishman(25/1) e.w.
    Jimmy Walker(90/1) e.w.
    Lucas Bjerregaard(60/1) e.w.
    Cameron Tringale(200/1) e.w.

    GL
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  8. #58  
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    PGA:

    Outrights:

    Rickie Fowler(20/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(110/1) e.w.
    Tiger Woods(12/1) e.w.
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat(200/1) e.w.
    Jason Day(22/1) e.w.
    Phil Mickelson(50/1) e.w.
    Phil Mickelson(70/1) e.w.
    Pat Perez(100/1) e.w. Top American
    Steve Stricker(150/1) e.w. Top American
    Ryan Palmer(90/1) e.w. Top American
    Matt Wallace(40/1) e.w. Top European
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat(33/1) e.w. Top ROW


    GL
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  9. #59  
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    Made in Denmark:

    Outrights:

    Benjamin Herbert(45/1) e.w.
    Sam Horsfield(80/1) e.w.
    Ashley Chesters(125/1) e.w.
    Thongchai Jaidee(150/1) e.w.
    Ashun Wu(150/1) e.w.

    GL
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  10. #60  
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    Senior PGA:

    Outrights:

    Steve Flesch(125/1) e.w.
    Stephen Ames(80/1) e.w.
    Tom Lehman(40/1) e.w.
    Darren Clarke(150/1) e.w.

    GL
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  11. #61  
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    Charles Schwab:

    Outrights:

    Chez Reavie(55/1) e.w.
    Brandt Snedeker(60/1) e.w.
    Rory Sabbatini(50/1) e.w.
    Ryan Palmer(75/1) e.w.
    Ian Poulter(40/1) e.w.
    Graeme McDowell(66/1) e.w.
    Pat Perez(80/1) e.w.

    GL
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