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Thread: *****************G-Man's NFL Divisional Plays*******************.

  1. #1 *****************G-Man's NFL Divisional Plays*******************. 
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    Last week sides went 3-1 with lines on game day. Seattle was a push at +2 on early post.
    Totals went 2-2.

    I mentioned in last weeks Wild Card game thread, that there were only 4 teams that beat KC this season and that 2 of them were dogs last week. Both covered and the Chargers actually won SU as you know.
    This week we have the Chargers remaining as one winner going to New England, who was a winer this season against KC and the Rams as the other winner at home against Dallas. How many team that are now playing who beat KC will be winners again this week?
    Here's my take...


    Saturday 4:30pm

    Kansas City -5.5 over Indy.
    Under 56.5

    Colts were lucky to play against a team with no offense last week. The Colts really only scored once without help from Houston Mistakes.
    Cant bet on a team that was shut out in the second half last week, against a Houston team that had no offense. Colts only put up 21 points and that won't be enough to beat KC as the Chiefs don't punt much and that will limit Lucks opportunities. This is the first team that the Colts are facing with any kind of offense since they started their win streak to make the playoffs.
    Indy would have to hold the Chiefs to a season low in scoring to win this and that won't happen in Chief Town.

    Also- KC had only 2 games all season where the lined total in the game was over 56 points. They both went over and KC lost them both SU, but they were on the road against the Rams and Patriots.

    Play ON KC and Under 56.5

    LA Rams -7 over Dallas.
    Under 49
    Cowboys are 9-0 this season in games where they score 20 points or more. Last week they put up 24 at home against a Seattle team they had only 11 first downs and the Seahawks still covered. Dallas also had the ball for 35 minutes in that game and they played too carefully like they were playing against the clock.
    The time of possession will be far less for Dallas in LA and the Rams will score enough to win this even against the improved Dallas defense.
    Cant see Dallas scoring anywhere near 24 again and I like the Rams to put up enough to keep this under 49 and cover the 7 against Dallas.

    Play ON RAMS and Under 49



    Sunday 1PM

    Chargers +5 over New England.
    Over 47

    LA travels back-to-back across the country to face the Patriots. Chargers have been successful traveling to the far east this season, beating Pittsburgh , Cleveland and Buffalo and last week, the Ravens.. Pittsburgh was as good as New England is, but Cleveland was still sorting out their offense. Buffalo was a practice squad game, but still the Chargers traveled and won.

    The big change this season is the Charger defense. Its improved enough to compete with NE in this game. I dont know if they can win it, but the Patriots have little defense when compared to what Baltimore had at home last week. That being said, pulls me to the Chargers with the 5 points and if New England cant beat the Chargers secondary, they could lose this SU. Brady has looked a bit slow at moments in some games this season but he's still the best until proven otherwise.
    New England will have to put up more than 34 points to win and cover and against the Chargers and that may not happen.

    Pats will play the short passing game all day if they cant go deep and that will give the edge to LA.

    Play on Chargers and over 47.

    4:30Pm
    Eagles +8.5 over Saints.
    My boy Foles still has it. I Jumped on him late in the season when he got the starting job back, just like last year. They continue to do what they did a year ago. Bears defense was number 1 this season and the Eagles matched up well against them in Chicago. This Eagle defense will give Brees some trouble with this big spread to cover. They are nothing like they were earlier this year when the Saints slaughtered them early this season. Expect a much more competitive game.
    I think the Saints could prevail, but I think its decided late.

    Play ON; Philly and Under 51
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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  2. #2  
    RX Senior JohnnyMags's Avatar
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    Love that Eagles call man ..... Don't forget there's the Revenge factor for the Birds and the Saints have to be tremendously confident .... perhaps over confident
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyMags View Post
    Love that Eagles call man ..... Don't forget there's the Revenge factor for the Birds and the Saints have to be tremendously confident .... perhaps over confident
    Eagles should cover but I wouldn't count on the ML. Saints didn't get this far to drop the game at home. Foles is good in Philly but a repeat is asking too much. They hit lightning in a bottle last year. Their luck will run out. Good luck with your plays
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    Quote Originally Posted by SaintsFan1977 View Post
    Eagles should cover but I wouldn't count on the ML. Saints didn't get this far to drop the game at home. Foles is good in Philly but a repeat is asking too much. They hit lightning in a bottle last year. Their luck will run out. Good luck with your plays
    Its the Saints turn to get to the SB. I just want to win the money with the points. But Foles is dangerous and the Saints did struggle with the Browns earlier this year which could be the case with Foles at QB for the birds.

    GL
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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    RX Senior wizard1183's Avatar
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    Saints will struggle no doubt. Especially after that annihilation in reg season. But they (Eagles) still lose SU. And only one reason for that. Saints aren’t losing in a divisional round again. Especially on ANOTHER fluke. It’s Eagles blow them out the water? Or Saints Win SU and lose ATS.
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  6. #6  
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    Quote Originally Posted by SaintsFan1977 View Post
    Eagles should cover but I wouldn't count on the ML. Saints didn't get this far to drop the game at home. Foles is good in Philly but a repeat is asking too much. They hit lightning in a bottle last year. Their luck will run out. Good luck with your plays
    They lost to Dallas who aren't that good and they ended the season a little on the flat side.
    Big picture your probably right but I have to believe.
    Stranger things have happened.
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    What does beating KC during regular season have anything to do with these playoff games?
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Avenger View Post
    What does beating KC during regular season have anything to do with these playoff games?
    A lot.
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    GMan: I like what you are thinking, and appreciate the write ups with your fine tuned assessment in each case!
    GL!
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Avenger View Post
    What does beating KC during regular season have anything to do with these playoff games?
    It means that only playoff teams beat them. If I put down every reason on how I cap games, it would take longer to read them, than it does for the game to be played.

    Now look at the Patriots for example.. All the Patriot losses were to teams that didn't make the playoffs. IMO they are very overrated and even though they are at home against the Chargers, they could still lose...
    Losing to those teams tarnishes their value badly.

    Thanks for the feedback and questions.

    GL this week.
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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  11. #11  
    RX Senior JohnnyMags's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyMags View Post
    They lost to Dallas who aren't that good and they ended the season a little on the flat side.
    Big picture your probably right but I have to believe.
    Stranger things have happened.
    Just to clear things up the team I'm reffering to with the Dallas loss and a little flat is N.O. not the Eagles.
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyMags View Post
    They lost to Dallas who aren't that good and they ended the season a little on the flat side.
    Big picture your probably right but I have to believe.
    Stranger things have happened.

    Im still mystified why they (Saints) were so out-of-sync in Dallas and Carolina???. Bres only passed for 127 yards at Dallas. He usually does that in one quarter.
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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    Quote Originally Posted by G-Man! View Post
    Im still mystified why they (Saints) were so out-of-sync in Dallas and Carolina???. Bres only passed for 127 yards at Dallas. He usually does that in one quarter.
    Any given Sunday
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    Quote Originally Posted by G-Man! View Post
    Im still mystified why they (Saints) were so out-of-sync in Dallas and Carolina???. Bres only passed for 127 yards at Dallas. He usually does that in one quarter.
    Offensive line injuries and playing 3 games in 12 days. They are ready for the playoffs. They might not look extremely strong in every game of the playoffs but they will do whatever it takes for Brees to go out on top. They will blow out a team in the playoffs or super bowl if they make it.
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    ​BOL and hope you win da football money!
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    Quote Originally Posted by G-Man! View Post
    Im still mystified why they (Saints) were so out-of-sync in Dallas and Carolina???. Bres only passed for 127 yards at Dallas. He usually does that in one quarter.
    It is WHEN you play em.
    Vs Dallas the Saints were off a long winning streak and let down whereas the Cowboys were fired up, needed a win to survive.
    Vs Carolina, Saints really had nothing to play for, on the road, season almost over, were not fired up.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coldweather View Post
    ​BOL and hope you win da football money!

    Thanks.

    Off to a good start.
    Like I said. The Chiefs don't punt much
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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  18. #18  
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    One pass interference play on Dallas' last attempt on fourth down to end the game by the Rams, to kill what should have been a 4-0 day. 3-1 aint bad. Lets hope we have as good a day today or better.
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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  19. #19  
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    Finished the weekend at 6-2. Sides 3-1 Totals 3-1
    TRENDS? Just remember - that the teams that made those trends, aren't on the field today for this game...
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