~ NFL Divisional Games ~ Predictions & Analysis And Power Ratings By Hårr¥THëHÄT~

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots
The Chargers pass rush and Philip Rivers’ passing ability would be the two areas where they’ll have the edge in this game. Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa seemed like they were in the backfield all day during the wild-card game. Historically, the way to beat the Patriots is to rush four linemen and get constant pressure without blitzing. Tom Brady is one of the few quarterbacks left in the NFL who is strictly a pocket passer. Disrupt Brady’s timing and it will open up the ability for the secondary to close in on the opposing receivers.
Chargers are averaging 7.3 points per game. Patriots have played well against the spread, winning six of their last seven divisional playoff games and four of their last five January games. The Chargers have struggled against the spread, losing five of their last seven games after allowing less than 150 passing yards in their previous game and six of their last eight games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Patriots will win the first half of this game because they have outplayed the Chargers in the first half of their last three games, averaging 14 points per game. Weather forecast for Foxboro will not affect my bet.

Prediction Half-Time Side.
New England Patriots -3


*Rating Power>Patriots Home Rating 96.5 & Road Rating 94.0


*Rating Power> Chargers Home Rating 95.0 & Road Rating 92.5


* Power Rating New England Patriots +4


Prediction: New England Patriots Halftime Side.

New England Patriots -3 & Moneyline [$-200 Laying 2-1] Note> Power Rating Is Same As the Point Spread



Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs will win. Home field, and a very loud stadium will work on the Colts as well. Along with Mahomes, Kelce will have another heavy work load, Damien Williams should have at least 1 TD along with 2 from Tyreek. The KC Defense is strong at home and will contain the Colts. KC wants a Bowl this year and if Eric Berry is in and I think he will be; no problem with a win but not cover spread. I believe the total goes over?

Kansas City’s secondary was picked on frequently this season as it allowed the second-most passing yards per game, but the Chiefs did finish in a tie for most sacks per game at 3.2. However, Indianapolis gives up the fewest sacks per game and threw for the sixth-most passing yards per game. If Andrew Luck has time to scan the defense and throw some incredible passes he might score some points, keep this game close.... Note> Kansas City is 1-10 SU in its last 11 playoff games dating back to 1994, with its only win coming against the Texans in the 2015 wild-card game. Indianapolis Mike Mitchell suffered a calf strain during the Wild Card victory and is listed as questionable for this matchup. This will be not be easy game for the NFC west champs! I got them winning, but not enough to cover the spread. The Colts were extremely balanced on Saturday, rushing for 200 yards and throwing for an 222 yards. Luck has been there and done that, while this is Mahomes’ first playoff game and he may have some jitters.

*Rating Power Chiefs>>Home Rating 96.0 & Road Rating 93.5

*Rating Power Colts>> Home Rating 92.5 & Road Rating 90.0

*Power Rating>> Chiefs +6
Prediction: Colts +6 [ This match will be close according to rating] Buying the hook ]



Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

The best play on this game is to buy the hook to -6.5 on the Rams. The Cowboys are a bit different with Cooper, but they are also +14 points on the season through 17 games and basically even in yards per play differential. There is a smoke and mirrors element to this team and the Rams are plenty good enough to expose them. People want to talk about the cowboys defense OK they're good but I think the rams defense is better. The Cowboys defense has done a terrific job this season limiting points and yards, but they are going to have a difficult time keeping the Rams off the scoreboard on Saturday night. Overall as a team the Rams are better offensively they're very explosive and find ways to hurt you on both sides of the field don't surprised if this on looks finished by halftime. The Rams beat teams in so many ways that I don’t think the Dallas offense will be able to keep up. Dallas will score points, but not enough to cover the spread. Throw in the fact the Rams have lost just once at home this season and you can understand why I’m rolling with the Rams on Saturday night.

*Power Rating>> Dallas Home 91.5 Road Rating 89.0

*Power Rating>> Rams Home 97.0 Road Rating 94.5

*Power Rating>> +8 Rams

Prediction: Rams -6 1/2 [ Buying the hook ]


Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

Philadelphia struggled offensively during the regular season because their offense was one-dimensional after losing their starting running back to a season-ending injury. The team averaged 22.9 points per game during the regular season. The Eagles played well defensively, giving up 21.8 points per game. They have been great in their last two games, giving up 7.5 points per game. They will need to continue playing well to give themselves a chance to beat the Saints. The unmistakable playoff magic of Nick Foles may not be enough to pull off the upset here, but the Eagles are playing with a different kind of swagger that was missing with Carson Wentz behind center.I’ll take Philadelphia plus the 8 1/2 points to keep it close. l look for this game to go over the total. Both teams should move the ball and both teams should have red zone success. My opinion I think it’s going to be closer than sportsbooks think, however, as the Eagles continue to achieve seemingly improbable feats behind Foles. I think the Eagles’ run stops here, but I expect them to keep it close and cover the spread in the process.


*
Rating Power>Saints HomeRating 97.5 & Road Rating 95.0


*Rating Power> Eagles Home Rating 93.5 & Road Rating 91.0


* PowerRatingSaints +6 1/2


Prediction + 8 1/2 Eagles


**********~Sinopsis~*********



Rams -6 1/2 [ Buying the hook ]


Colts +6 ] Buying the hook ]


New England Patriots Halftime Side.

New England Patriots -3 & Moneyline [$-200 Laying 2-1]


Eagles +8 1/2

*****NOTE:: Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

*****NOTE:::All Bets Were Made Thursday >> The handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media and other sources connected with NFL Sports.*****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Maseys Powering Rating [ Las Vegas NV, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL



 

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Good luck with your plays
 

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Mr. H/hat...…..good looking plays buddy...….BOL with all your action this weekend......indy
 

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Chargers are averaging 7.3 points per game

To clarify, this is only the first half of the last 3 games. They are actually averaging 14.2 in the first half of all games and 13.4 first half points on the road this year. Remember, this team was 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS on the road this year. Not saying it's a bad bet, just some skewed numbers thrown out there.

Good luck
 
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Chargers are averaging 7.3 points per game

To clarify, this is only the first half of the last 3 games. They are actually averaging 14.2 in the first half of all games and 13.4 first half points on the road this year. Remember, this team was 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS on the road this year. Not saying it's a bad bet, just some skewed numbers thrown out there.

Good luck
Thank you for the feedback Great Stats !!! You must have done your homework Cheddar.....
 
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The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also known as ROI.

The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also
known as ROI. A sports bettor’s return on a investment is a calculation based on
his winning percentage and the amount of money invested overall. In my opinion
you should work out ROI[return on investment]based on how many games you wager
on and how much bet per game. Like with any business understanding the return on
your sports betting investment is key to maintaining a profit. Bankroll
management[ I use Bob Martins money management system that works for me year
after year]. Its called a press concept to learn, but a difficult one to keep in
practice. All gamblers have a tendency to want to take a big risk in search of a
big payoff, but sticking to a fairly rigid set of rules about your bankroll can
keep you from blowing your budget based on a hunch or an emotional wager.
Figuring out why you’re betting on NFL, whether it’s just for fun or as a way to
make a living, is a big part of managing your bankroll. Quitting while you’re
ahead is not the same as quitting.
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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Thanks Harry

Whats Bob Martins bankroll system?

My BR has grown a bit over the past 12 months [2.5x], but I am struggling to increase bet sizing. Everytime I have increased bet sizing I seem to go on a bad run with bad beats eg Bama v OKLA.

I tried Kelly but its pretty difficult to assess the EV.
I tried betting to win a certain amount but it didn;t really work out any different to flat bet sizing over a decent sample.
I am now trying bet sizing according to how confident I am of the outcome.

Bob was a legend and very smart so I am interested in learning more about his approach.
 
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Reply To ~Croaker~ My Real Good Friend Rx Sports Forum~~The Bob Martin Money Strategy~~

Thanks Harry

Whats Bob Martins bankroll system?

My BR has grown a bit over the past 12 months [2.5x], but I am struggling to increase bet sizing. Everytime I have increased bet sizing I seem to go on a bad run with bad beats eg Bama v OKLA.

I tried Kelly but its pretty difficult to assess the EV.
I tried betting to win a certain amount but it didn;t really work out any different to flat bet sizing over a decent sample.
I am now trying bet sizing according to how confident I am of the outcome.

Bob was a legend and very smart so I am interested in learning more about his approach.
Press win on point spreads is worth +3 game win and your original investment[ Nickel bets are always pressed[ If you don't press Nickel bets [ $500] or even dollar bets [$100} you don't win on short end of money management[ Late Bob Martin[ My Mentor teached me this theory and other management money skills. This is not really a completed system so you have study the concept.... Croaker I am writing this strategy best I can for you. I might have a couple flaws in this thread, but I did take time to write this for you. If you have any questions on what wrote to you croaker please let me know, You my friend arestand-up in my in my book "croaker" along with other members that are my friends on Rx.
I use press money line bets when I am laying money to plus money line bet[ If I like the action in following week Monday & Thursday night games included. If you don't press laying money[-] line bets to plus[+] money line bets the lay will kill you if you lose to many bets on the lay. You are actually hedging money line against the point spread. Betting point spread with money line on same game is must!!! Just One or two money lines a week with your point spread bet. Keep one money line bet you won as hold card for following week. My betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to a Original money line bet after the press Win Or Lose... Use the win on money line you bet as your hold card, use the money on following week bet all back called a press on the money line choose. Remember croaker when you press you are betting minus -money line that you won to plus + money line on a team, or plus + money line that you won to a chalk bet.

Here is example for you croaker let's say you bet 4 games and one of your bets is a money line bet[ you have to bet at least one money line week that choose[ Monday & Thursday night games included] with your four games that you bet. let's say you won Falcons on chalk bet money line you won as minus $- 140. [ a plus+ to plus+ also can be used if you won a plus +bet on your original bet use started with] Your next bet will be on following week on money line bet team has to be plus+ money line example 49ers + $ 130 with a press[ $100 that you won with $ 40 lay $240 you bet all it back ... $100 that you won with original bet on a plus+ game on a game the following week which is 49ers + $130. You win the press, well you just turned $240 into 2 times bet you won on a win +$130 bet. Well if you do the math croaker you can see how much money you won on a press.. croaker you can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads That's another subject.. Well my friend if you win more press bets on season, it might overcome your losses or just maybe with your wins [ bankroll] keep you in plus margin for remainder of season croaker. My goal is 3x times my bankroll but I will take 2x times bankroll /LOL!!! [ Bob Martins money line strategy]

You can't win with the ~Bob Martin money strategy~ If you don't press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction,with the same assumption of each about its probability to win. Remember,my method is not risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of Bob Martins Money Strategy. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise. My friend you can not win them all on your bets for season with strategy, but you will overcome your losses with wins on presses.
Best Of Luck To You Croaker In The Division & Conference Games My Friend/ Lets Just Win !!!!!
 
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Reply To ~Croaker~ My Real Good Friend Rx Sports Forum [ Bob Martin philosophy on Strategy]

While history does not always repeat itself perfectly, it does provide some valuable insight into behaviors and/or outcomes of certain events. If we ambitiously assume we can win 60% of 175 games, for a total of 105 wins and 70 losses, then we should never assume that any individual event within those 175 stands a chance greater than 60% of hitting. There are no guarantees, no “locks” and certainly no promises that any one game will end as predicted. The main point is to trust that the games played are the most advantageous, and will yield the highest result over the long-term. I have been diligent in my philosophy this is why I choose to use power ratings and many other sources in evaluating games that I bet.[ More Information I gather better the analysis of the games I bet }. I Use money lines as a evaluation,with and against the point spreads, Weather,injures, Power ratings, Defense and Offense analyzes,Team coaches comparisons from DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL

Ps>>>>>> I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula. Remember, my method is not a risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of predictions & Bet. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise.
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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Halftime scores of Pats games at Gillete this year:

21-6
24-0
24-3
24-9
17-10
10-7
14-0
21-3

They've only given up 2 1st half TD's at home all year.


Good luck Harry.
 
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Halftime scores of Pats games at Gillete this year:

21-6
24-0
24-3
24-9
17-10
10-7
14-0
21-3

They've only given up 2 1st half TD's at home all year.


Good luck Harry.
Thank you for the feedback Great Stats Acebb !!! You must have done your homework... Best of luck to you with divisional & conference games as they say Acebb "Lets Just Win''
 

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Press win on point spreads is worth +3 game win and your original investment[ Nickel bets are always pressed[ If you don't press Nickel bets [ $500] or even dollar bets [$100} you don't win on short end of money management[ Late Bob Martin[ My Mentor teached me this theory and other management money skills. This is not really a completed system so you have study the concept.... Croaker I am writing this strategy best I can for you. I might have a couple flaws in this thread, but I did take time to write this for you. If you have any questions on what wrote to you croaker please let me know, You my friend arestand-up in my in my book "croaker" along with other members that are my friends on Rx.
I use press money line bets when I am laying money to plus money line bet[ If I like the action in following week Monday & Thursday night games included. If you don't press laying money[-] line bets to plus[+] money line bets the lay will kill you if you lose to many bets on the lay. You are actually hedging money line against the point spread. Betting point spread with money line on same game is must!!! Just One or two money lines a week with your point spread bet. Keep one money line bet you won as hold card for following week. My betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to a Original money line bet after the press Win Or Lose... Use the win on money line you bet as your hold card, use the money on following week bet all back called a press on the money line choose. Remember croaker when you press you are betting minus -money line that you won to plus + money line on a team, or plus + money line that you won to a chalk bet.

Here is example for you croaker let's say you bet 4 games and one of your bets is a money line bet[ you have to bet at least one money line week that choose[ Monday & Thursday night games included] with your four games that you bet. let's say you won Falcons on chalk bet money line you won as minus $- 140. [ a plus+ to plus+ also can be used if you won a plus +bet on your original bet use started with] Your next bet will be on following week on money line bet team has to be plus+ money line example 49ers + $ 130 with a press[ $100 that you won with $ 40 lay $240 you bet all it back ... $100 that you won with original bet on a plus+ game on a game the following week which is 49ers + $130. You win the press, well you just turned $240 into 2 times bet you won on a win +$130 bet. Well if you do the math croaker you can see how much money you won on a press.. croaker you can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads That's another subject.. Well my friend if you win more press bets on season, it might overcome your losses or just maybe with your wins [ bankroll] keep you in plus margin for remainder of season croaker. My goal is 3x times my bankroll but I will take 2x times bankroll /LOL!!! [ Bob Martins money line strategy]

You can't win with the ~Bob Martin money strategy~ If you don't press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction,with the same assumption of each about its probability to win. Remember,my method is not risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of Bob Martins Money Strategy. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise. My friend you can not win them all on your bets for season with strategy, but you will overcome your losses with wins on presses.
Best Of Luck To You Croaker In The Division & Conference Games My Friend/ Lets Just Win !!!!!


Thanks Harry

I appreciate the time you took to give the explanation, there are very few people who take sports betting seriously and are successful.
You explained it very well and I will definitely be using this method and applying the principles.

I like the numbers and I am pretty sure this approach will help me a lot.

BOL for the weekend's games...
 
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Thanks Harry

I appreciate the time you took to give the explanation, there are very few people who take sports betting seriously and are successful.
You explained it very well and I will definitely be using this method and applying the principles.

I like the numbers and I am pretty sure this approach will help me a lot.

BOL for the weekend's games...
.... You Welcome ~Croaker~ If you have any questions on Bob Martin's Betting Strategy, Don't hesitate Contact Me.. You might want to wait to next season so you will have advantage of 17 weeks & Play-offs BOL !! Croaker you are looking at yield with the highest result over the long-term. all 17 weeks & play-offs
 

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I'll take it slow, only 7 games left.

I've taken Colts ATS and ML [each for .5u], if I hit the +ML I will press 50% on the Patriots -ML 1H.
and if the spread hits I will press 50% on the Patriots -3 1H. Not exactly as per system but in the spirit.....

1u = 1% of BR.

BOL
I think Colts have decent shot of winning regardless, but if Kelce goes down [like he did in last year's game] the Colts should romp home.
 
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Reply To ~Croaker~You are starting to see concept of this strategy, excellent croaker !!!

I'll take it slow, only 7 games left.

I've taken Colts ATS and ML [each for .5u], if I hit the +ML I will press 50% on the Patriots -ML 1H.
and if the spread hits I will press 50% on the Patriots -3 1H. Not exactly as per system but in the spirit.....

1u = 1% of BR.

BOL
I think Colts have decent shot of winning regardless, but if Kelce goes down [like he did in last year's game] the Colts should romp home.
Slow moves my friend croaker, slow moves !!! You are starting to see concept of this strategy, excellent croaker !!! Hats Off To you !!!!!!!!! Here is special note for you>> Point line press [ point line to point line if you "win" is worth 3x your bet + your original investment, its like winning 3 games if you were betting same amount. [ example you bet $100 you win, you press next game $200 and win $400] You can also press money lines into point spreads which will increase your bankroll.
Remember My Friend Croaker 1 press and 1 press only a week with your other bets. You can also save that particular win as hold card for following week of play. Money line press to a point spread or point spread to money line has to be on same game [ not different games or combo's or any thing else off a press]. I see you on your bets that you are pressing 50% that's ok[ what ever % in pressing will also increase your bankroll over long term even its 25%. I personally press 100% amount because I am greedy buddy//LOL !! ******** You might want to wait to next season so you will have advantage of 17 weeks & Play-offs BOL !! Croaker you are looking at yield with the highest result over the long-term. all 17 weeks & play-offs
PS... All you need is 3 even 4 press bets to wins for the season.. Will help you overcome some of your loses, if you win, for 17 weeks long term.
Best Of Luck To you of remainder of season !!!!!
 

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