Mahomes is a DIFFERENT ROOKIE lol. Hes used to this environment for some reason. :think2:
He isn't a rookie. It isn't about rookies it is first time playoff start as a home favorite
The three teams that did cover are odd teams
Jets(Pennington) beat colts 41-0 as a 6 point favorite
Bears(Cutler) beat Seattle by 11 as a 10 point favorite
Texans(Schaub) beat Bengals by 6 as a 4 point favorite
The only thing that sticks out is theQB (that lost)didn't really have great years that season and the teams that covered had a good defense Two of (QBS)had less than average years
To me, this makes the Colts and Chargers wins last week seem less impressive. The Chargers got really sloppy and let a QB running a high school offense put a big scare into them. The Colts went 38 minutes of football without even getting a field goal after getting the big lead.
The Eagles allowed Trubisky to complete 60% and 303 yards. What is Brees going to do to them in the dome when it is their 5th road game in 6 weeks?
I can understand wanting to bet against KC given their bad playoff history and Mahomes is in his 1st playoff start. I'm really leery of the other dogs.
The Eagles allowed Trubisky to complete 60% and 303 yards. What is Brees going to do to them in the dome when it is their 5th road game in 6 weeks?
I can understand wanting to bet against KC given their bad playoff history and Mahomes is in his 1st playoff start. I'm really leery of the other dogs.
Makes perfect sense to me. Obvious but the lack of experience is much more important in the playoff's than reg season. You saw it with Lamar Jackson when they threw a different look at him. Same wish Deshaun who is somewhere between a rookie and second year starter since he missed half of last year anyways. Coaches start developing better game plans toward the end of the season when they know more about the teams. Defenses start tightening up and fighting for every single yard like their life depends on it - compared to regular season where there are less meaningful games and defenses have more let up spots. Not to mention, traditionally rookies can get away with a lot more earlier in the season since coaches haven't developed a good strategy vs their tendencies.
It should play a big role in anyone's post season handicap, in my opinion. I think Mahomes and Goff will find themselves playing a completely different game than the regular season if history is any indicator. And if one of them rises up, I think it's the exception rather than the rule.
It should play a big role in anyone's post season handicap, in my opinion. I think Mahomes and Goff will find themselves playing a completely different game than the regular season if history is any indicator. And if one of them rises up, I think it's the exception rather than the rule.
Excellent! Nailed it.
Overrated Watson was terrible, very inaccurate, threw the ball down and away a lot, Indy is solid but will not be able to deal with the rested Chiefs. I worry about the snow, cold, wind, and turf, will it slow down Mahones & company. Yes Indy is a dome team but do not know how the weather will affect the game.
The Bears were way too cautious with Trubisky, they kept running to no avail into the buzzsaw 7 man Eagle front, but when the had to throw Trubisky put up > 300 yds and had a higher passer rating than superman Foles... I like Foles but damn, the narrative is over doing it. Eagle weakness is their DBs, Bears did not go after them till it was late in the game. All time great Brees, in a dome, will attack early and often, then run successfully with their two top backs when they open it up.
I'll check that out right now.
When it comes to the divisional round, home quarterbacks making their first career post-season start and are favored against a QB with at least one career post-season start are 14-19-2 ATS s/'78.
