First off I am a believer that whilst NE played very well vsLAC they were the benefactors of an incompetent game-plan by the LAC coachingstaff in playing cover 3 rather than man and pressing the NE receivers—until itwas 35-7….the other side of the ball was nearly as incompetent as LAC continuedto run on first down with no success leaving themselves in 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] andlong the entire first half—this despite the fact they had some success passingon first down…..add this incompetence to the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] week on the road,an early start and cold weather and you had a perfect storm.
Different situation entirely this week.
The Chiefs are well rested, they have been at home the last4 weeks (plus an extra day of rest and no travel here helps) and are 8-1 athome and but for some Rivers magic would’ve been 9-0, importantly their defenseplays above itself at home and only concedes 17 points per game. The Chiefs passrush is elite with Houston, Ford and Jones and we will see a lot more mancoverage this week with KC counting on that pass rush to get pressure on Brady,and we all know he’s not the same QB when under constant pressure. Several oftheir road losses the Pats have been held to 20 points or less, I can’t seethem winning unless they get well into the 30’s and I just don’t see thishappening.
The Pats are only 3-5 on the road this season and 2 of thosewins came against the awful Bills and Jets….the Pats are not the same team onthe road as at home and their defense will not look like world beaters thisweek.
Offensively we know the Chiefs are electric….they willbenefit from Watkins being more healthy now and the OL is also looking healthy.Last week NE had great success at forcing Rivers outside of the pocket where heis not comfortable and seemingly always threw the ball away in this situation,but when you do this to Mahomes he’s the master at extending the play andeither running for a 1[SUP]st[/SUP] down or waiting until one of his manytargets fights their way open and his arm strength is incredible…on the flipside, when Mahomes has a clean pocket his record is extraordinary with 41 TD’sand only 4 picks! So there is no easy way to defend Mahomes.
I think the Chiefs offense will roll this weekend and be fartoo much for NE to handle….will Brady put up some points, sure but I think theKC defense will make enough big plays and bring enough pressure to prevent thepats keeping pace with a truly great offense.
KC win and cover the 3
Different situation entirely this week.
The Chiefs are well rested, they have been at home the last4 weeks (plus an extra day of rest and no travel here helps) and are 8-1 athome and but for some Rivers magic would’ve been 9-0, importantly their defenseplays above itself at home and only concedes 17 points per game. The Chiefs passrush is elite with Houston, Ford and Jones and we will see a lot more mancoverage this week with KC counting on that pass rush to get pressure on Brady,and we all know he’s not the same QB when under constant pressure. Several oftheir road losses the Pats have been held to 20 points or less, I can’t seethem winning unless they get well into the 30’s and I just don’t see thishappening.
The Pats are only 3-5 on the road this season and 2 of thosewins came against the awful Bills and Jets….the Pats are not the same team onthe road as at home and their defense will not look like world beaters thisweek.
Offensively we know the Chiefs are electric….they willbenefit from Watkins being more healthy now and the OL is also looking healthy.Last week NE had great success at forcing Rivers outside of the pocket where heis not comfortable and seemingly always threw the ball away in this situation,but when you do this to Mahomes he’s the master at extending the play andeither running for a 1[SUP]st[/SUP] down or waiting until one of his manytargets fights their way open and his arm strength is incredible…on the flipside, when Mahomes has a clean pocket his record is extraordinary with 41 TD’sand only 4 picks! So there is no easy way to defend Mahomes.
I think the Chiefs offense will roll this weekend and be fartoo much for NE to handle….will Brady put up some points, sure but I think theKC defense will make enough big plays and bring enough pressure to prevent thepats keeping pace with a truly great offense.
KC win and cover the 3
