Super Bowl Plays

XENO · Jan 28, 2019

Ok opening today using -3 -115 56 1/2

from what im hearing both joe pub n Sharps on Pats early - an if this keeps up we could see 3.5 but I kinda doubt it- early bettors who got pats vips +1.5 n +1 openings will surely play rams +3 n 3 1/2 would be huge. Also mostly under wagers so far but that could change - I wonder also if more might lean pats after they saw nfc look horrible on both ends , despite lack of incentive. Just a thought.

Loves2kickass · Jan 28, 2019

There is no way this line goes to 3 1/2. Vegas could stand to lose a ton of money if the game landed on 3. I doubt if it even goes back to 3.

XENO · Jan 28, 2019

Well maybe your right

Loves2kickass · Jan 28, 2019

XENO said:
Well maybe your right

Your prob correct more than me in this area...Just my opinion.

BROOMSKI · Jan 28, 2019

i got 3.5

Loves2kickass · Jan 28, 2019

BROOMSKI said:
i got 3.5

Where

Jebisfullofcrap · Jan 28, 2019

How about prop bets with good value ?

XENO · Jan 28, 2019

all i am saying there is a bunch of $$$ so far on Pats from public and sharps.vegas got caught off guard according to my source,and we need to see Ram money to start showing up 3 is out there,but still a long week off.

Jebisfullofcrap · Jan 28, 2019

I’m going Pats money line -140 if they win I win

wtd03 · Jan 28, 2019

How heavy is pats money right now?

is it still oretty even

Serbone · Jan 28, 2019

The now famous Rams CB mouths off about Brady:

"Age has definitely taken a toll. For him to still be doing it, that's a great compliment for him. But I think that he's definitely not the same quarterback he was," Robey-Coleman told Bleacher Report. "Movement. Speed. Velocity. Arm strength. He still can sling it, but he's not slinging it as much. Whatever he was doing -- because of his age and all that -- he's not doing as much of that anymore. He's still doing the same things; he's just not doing as much of it. And sometimes, it's not the sharpest. But it still gets done."

I am still on NE, not affected by line movement and all that malarkey.
The KEY to the game is whether or not Rams great DL can disturb Brady. Belicheat knows this, and will have the Pats prepared. But can the Pats stop them, and run the ball, too? I think the Pats OL is damn good, and Brady will pepper the Rams with screens and quick slants, White is outstanding... when the Rams tire a bit he will go to deeper patterns to his WRs.
We shall see!
GL!

Serbone · Jan 28, 2019

Rams getting 3?
Can it be said "THEY want you to take them?"
You can look at it both ways...

XENO · Jan 29, 2019

I’m holding at 3 I’m a small book relatively speaking so - I want to draw some ram money - but so far a few in an it’s all on pats - but way too early - late sat n early sun I should get clearer picture for sure- 50% of money in Vegas usually comes in last 48 hrs - n onward

XENO · Jan 29, 2019

according to many so called experts in Vegas - they feel there will be a ton of late money on rams - los Angeles bettors they say come with Heavy pockets of cash - an see the line dropping back - let’s see if there right

wizard1183 · Jan 29, 2019

XENO said:
according to many so called experts in Vegas - they feel there will be a ton of late money on rams - los Angeles bettors they say come with Heavy pockets of cash - an see the line dropping back - let’s see if there right

back to what? 2.5? I dont think it'll go less than 2.5. I wouldn't be surprised if it holds at 3 though

Loves2kickass · Jan 29, 2019

Brady is ranked last in the league against the blitz. LAST. For some reason the Charges and Chief's chose not to blitz. The Rams need to bring pressure with the blitz if they want to win this one. I believe they will.

star11redsox1 · Jan 29, 2019

XENO said:
all i am saying there is a bunch of $$$ so far on Pats from public and sharps.vegas got caught off guard according to my source,and we need to see Ram money to start showing up 3 is out there,but still a long week off.

Vegas, with all due respect Xeno, never gets caught off guard particularly on championship games in any sport. with respect to you I know you're a huge book. they (vegas) has this, they will capitalize any expenditures on the side and or total with props alone

star11redsox1 · Jan 29, 2019

I bought Pat's at pk 110 and rams at 3.5 115 the middle will happen

rams win by 3 take the pts and some moneyline at 145

Serbone · Jan 29, 2019

Rushing and blitzing Brady, this year even more than most, does not work very well.

Regular season, the Patriots had the # 1 OL as it relates to pass protection according to Football Outsiders. Pats allowed the 3rd fewest sacks behind NO and Indy. Pats also had the # 3 OL for run blocking.

So getting to Brady is going to be difficult, though the Rams have a great DL and Phillips is a top DC.

In a dome Brady is even more lethal. He sees the D, knows which receiver to go to, and the ball is gone, boom. There will be multiple screens and short patterns at the beginning of the game, and as all DLs do, the Rams will tire a bit and Brady will go to more mid & long patterns later.

RUN BLOCKING	PASS PROTECTION
RK	Team	Adj. Line Yards	RB Yards	Power Success	Power Rank	Stuffed	Stuffed Rank	2nd Level Yards	2nd Level Rank	Open Field Yards	Open Field Rank	Rank	Sacks ▾	Adjusted Sack Rate
4	IND	4.83	4.55	59%	28	17.8%	9	1.34	6	0.74	22	2	18	4.0%
2	NO	5.19	4.60	70%	9	14.5%	1	1.29	14	0.77	21	3	20	4.4%
3	NE	5.03	4.24	58%	29	15.9%	4	1.19	21	0.64	25	1	21	3.8%
15	PIT	4.43	4.36	71%	5	15.9%	5	1.20	20	0.80	19	4	24	4.4%
16	KC	4.37	4.66	72%	4	18.1%	13	1.27	18	1.01	11	5	26	5.4%
9	BAL	4.61	4.53	78%	1	14.6%	3	1.32	7	0.67	24	8	32	6.1%
11	CAR	4.55	4.62	67%	18	17.0%	7	1.27	17	0.97	12	10	32	6.1%
1	LAR	5.49	5.00	68%	13	14.6%	2	1.58	1	0.84	16	6	33	5.4%
28	CHI	3.91	3.83	67%	18	20.5%	22	0.96	31	0.63	26	7	33	6.0%

XENO · Jan 29, 2019

im not anywhere near a huge book,but it has served me well, i pass off to a guy in new jersey that has 1,100 players.he has a few phones from 11-1 pm that takes only teasers cfb and NFL. Nfl dwarfs all other sports. my guess is that we will see pats -1 1/2 nearing sunday if my info is correct. so far Ram money is still amazingly absent at this time.

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