We're on to Cincinnati (err Atlanta). What are your favorite 1 or 2 prop wagers and why?

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Gurley mvp 14-1


Posted earlier in the NFL forum. Thats a crazy line. Rams have a good chance to win. If they do can't see it being without Gurley having a big game. Since the Patriots first SB, I think it was, 11 out of 17 years that a QB has won mvp and no rb has some it since Terrell Davis. Not too mention Gurley is more highly regarded than Goff. If Lar does win it seems like it's his to lose.
 

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Also like the value of the Gurley MVP play.

Here are a couple:

1) Patterson over 20.5 rush/rec yards - he usually gets the ball on at least one carry and has been thrown to 3-5 times per game. Has ability to run after the catch and I think LAR loads up on Gronk which should create opportunities for both Patterson and Hogan.

2) Devlin over 3.5 rush/rec yards - may pick up a yard on a carry, but he has been catching balls out of the backfield. When he lines up in front of the running back, they hardly ever cover him as 90% of the time he goes right into the line to block. He may only have one reception, but I think this is a very low number.

3) LAR first penalty - young team, probably will have to get used to the big stage. NE has had a limited number of penalties in past SB's. A lot of juice at some books, but I have seen it at only -115 if you shop.

4) I think Burkhead and Woods will have big games so I have $$ on them for yardage (receiving for both) and each to get a TD...I also have Burkhead to get two touchdowns.

5) Every year I take the first pass for each QB to be incomplete. Have split for 3-4 years running which is plus money since you can find at least +165.

6) Have two bets...tie at half and then each team winning. Got +1600 and +1800.

7) Michel under 17.5 rush attempts...expect the Pats go give the ball to the more experienced backs and throw a lot to their on RB's rather than running into the line

8) Historically, no TB on the opening kickoff has been a winning bet

9) I think LAR could return a punt for a TD so I will be on the ST/DEF TD = yes and then also a punt return TD = yes
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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Sony Michel to score first TD

1) because Patriots score first TD
2) because Michel scoring the first TD is a trend this post season
3) why not?
 

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