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Capped Purdue at -7 1/2 ...open - 12 ... even though Value with Minn here ...line down to - 11 1/2

Never trust Minny on the road ...and Purdue solid at home .......sm lean Boilers !...Hope line goes down to - 10 ...
 

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Boomer—- you’ve gotta be the hardest working m’fer on the board. I never see you take a break. We all appreciate your contributions. GL my brother
 

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Boomer—- you’ve gotta be the hardest working m’fer on the board. I never see you take a break. We all appreciate your contributions. GL my brother

LOL !! I may not win all my games bro , but I'm going to find new angles to help me starve off dem losers ... LOL !

I'm relentless ..and hate losing.

Retired guy who enjoys gambling on College Sports ... some NFL ( find some nuggets once in awhile ) , bases and fav sport to cap is horse racing ... I have some very nice payouts in ponies, even though I don't know as much as many do with capping horses.

Your work is very solid brotha ...and often tail your action ...much respect ...and continued success ...

Boom
 

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So Dak St at Denver... since these 2 teams started meeting in 2014 on a yearly basis .... take a quick look at the Total

In Denver Only .. the total results ... 4 Overs to 1 Under

2018 / O/U was 151.5 .... Result Over

2017 / O/U was 149.5 .....Result Over

2016 / O/U was 131 .....Result Under

2015 / O/U was 126.5 ....Result Over

2014 / O/U was 129.5 ....Result Over

Teams change yearly we all know that ...but last 2 years when this game has been played in Denver .... Both Covered by Denver .. 2018 Lost 77-81 ( 159 pts scored ) .... 2017 Denver Won 91-82 ( 173 pts scored ) ....

This year's Denver team on Def is ranked # 323 Kenpom ...last year's Denver team on def was ranked # 203 Kenpom

Both teams bring back similar experience from last year .

Going to wait to see if line drops a bit ...and play a rare try at an Over/Under here for me since I like nothing on the card today ...

Play ...Over ........but waiting

GL !!
 

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If Purdue could dismantle Michigan at home they should be able to dispose of Minn easily. Purdue is a tough place to win as a road team.
 

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One glaring stat that concerns me about going with PURDUE is: Home favorites in Big X games are 8-17-3 vs spread so far this season
 

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Kaboom, Thanks for all your input and good capping, always enjoy checking in on your picks and comments. Great job and much
appreciated. Thanks again.
 

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3 out of Purdue's last 6 wins would have failed to cover that number. MINN is 3-0 ATS their last 3 with two outright wins and 1 cover. Mich, Iowa and Illinois. They seem to be running on all cylinders. When analyzing a game I try to look at everything including the O/U. I am no pro but, I think the easiest play here is the over. PURDUE has averaged just over 83 points in their last three games PENN ST., MICH ST. & OHIO ST. and if you exclude PENN ST. (99) it is still 76 points. MINN has averaged just over 78 in their last 3 ILL, IOWA & MICH (57) and if you eliminate MICH then it is north of 80 in the last two. I see this game finishing around 79 - 72 PURDUE.
 

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Kaboom, Thanks for all your input and good capping, always enjoy checking in on your picks and comments. Great job and much
appreciated. Thanks again.

You are welcome bud ! ...always appreciate you guys stopping in to let me know that I'm an asset to the forum ...means a lot to me .

GL on the Bowl !
 

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3 out of Purdue's last 6 wins would have failed to cover that number. MINN is 3-0 ATS their last 3 with two outright wins and 1 cover. Mich, Iowa and Illinois. They seem to be running on all cylinders. When analyzing a game I try to look at everything including the O/U. I am no pro but, I think the easiest play here is the over. PURDUE has averaged just over 83 points in their last three games PENN ST., MICH ST. & OHIO ST. and if you exclude PENN ST. (99) it is still 76 points. MINN has averaged just over 78 in their last 3 ILL, IOWA & MICH (57) and if you eliminate MICH then it is north of 80 in the last two. I see this game finishing around 79 - 72 PURDUE.

Keep that solid info coming my new friend !

That's my play bro

Over
 

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If Purdue could dismantle Michigan at home they should be able to dispose of Minn easily. Purdue is a tough place to win as a road team.

You do know it doesn't work that way? Not saying it isn't part of capping.....but if it was only that easy.
Line concerns me as it is so high
Kaboom mentioned can't trust Minny on the road......they beat Wisky and almost Michigan. So, not sure where that comes from. Teams aren't going to keep covering even though better teams will cover more often than not. Just when everyone thinks Purdue is the shit.....and everyone jumps on them that is when they lose or don't cover. We see it time and time again
 

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You do know it doesn't work that way? Not saying it isn't part of capping.....but if it was only that easy.
Line concerns me as it is so high
Kaboom mentioned can't trust Minny on the road......they beat Wisky and almost Michigan. So, not sure where that comes from. Teams aren't going to keep covering even though better teams will cover more often than not. Just when everyone thinks Purdue is the shit.....and everyone jumps on them that is when they lose or don't cover. We see it time and time again


I guess I meant ...any team that loses at Illini by 27 has issues from time to time is what that's about bro ... just my opinion

plus Minny lost at BC by 12 ...and by 26 at Ohio St ....

Feel Purdue might be a bit better than those 3 teams ......Illini, BC and Ohio St ???
 

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I guess I meant ...any team that loses at Illini by 27 has issues from time to time is what that's about bro ... just my opinion

plus Minny lost at BC by 12 ...and by 26 at Ohio St ....

Feel Purdue might be a bit better than those 3 teams ......Illini, BC and Ohio St ???

Could be they play up to the level of their opponents. Also teams improve or decline if their talent or team element isn't there. But fair enough
 

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Could be they play up to the level of their opponents. Also teams improve or decline if their talent or team element isn't there. But fair enough


Agree this team ...pretty hard to gauge ... I'm staying away ..

GL bro ...enjoy the Bowl !
 

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