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seer
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Jun 23, 2006
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bets: (may add more later)
first the spread - +3 bodog - some other places have it but i opened acct cuz of this
make this for 15*

ml +125 make this for 4*

winning margins
all rams
1-6 +375 for 2*
7-12 +600 for 1.5*
13-18 +900 for for +1.25*

teaser
rams +10/ 49.5 over

rams 27 tm ttl over for 3*

ttl over 56( diff book)

51-60 pts scored +240 2*
61-70 +350 1.25*

mvp goff +200 3*
donald +1400 1*

littleton most tackles +175

rams by: for 1* each
3 +137
4 +157
5+170
5 +270
-7.5 +320 greek

not good with w/us seems someone will always ridicule it but here goes:
i really believe either saints, eagles and this rams team would top the pats
so for me the sb was 2 weeks ago between the rams and saints

i have read quite a few threads on why either team wins but i have seen very few mention the oline mismatch of the pats vs the frontline of the rams.
i still contend that (sos) of schedule adv has to be taken into account. sure the pats might seem to have the better d stats but they also have an sos of 22 compared to rams 12. rams had to play seattle twice while pats get no competition in their own division- unless you want to count the lowly phins winning lol.

before this superbowl the nfc was favoured to win at -135 - actually all throughout the season this was the line but never a dog least the outlets i shopped around at.
the nfc is the MUCH better conference.

*A small number of sharps like the Patriots at -1 or better.
*The vast majority of sharps would love the Rams at +3, but might have to decide if they want to settle for +2.5 of +2 this weekend.
*The vast majority of “early” square money from the public has been on the Patriots.
here is how the line shifted.

just about everyone who doesnt follow football raise eyebrows at me and look at me as if i am weird to think that the so called goat would lose this sb.
this sb still reminds me of the seahawks vs broncos
same public reaction. same switch away from nfc winning to afc team winning.
nearly same line movement- likely wont go to -3.5

so can a first year team win? sure seattle did it against the record setting year that manning had. they were statistically the best offence ever for that one year and yet they managed 8 measly pts in the sb.

i see many of forum posters want to debate pats d is better...etc...
minus the x's and o's
in the end i dont see any pats players in the top 10 of tackling / sacks where it matters, but..
the rams do. aaron donald is the nfl sack leader. suh has not had such a good year...but we all know how capable he is of harassing the goat.
then there is littleton where i put my money on. he is the best tackler left of the 2 teams still standing.
this to me will be the difference between 2 fairly evenly matched teams.

the giants beat these patsies twice as a dbl digit dog...those giants teams were mediocre at best except where it mattered most against exploiting the pats- THEY HAD A GOOD PASS RUSH.
and on sunday feb 3 suh, donald and company will use the same blueprint to knock off the goat and company



 

Member
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seer...…..appreciate the info and thought's buddy......BOL with all your action today...…...enjoy the game...……..

thank you for all your time and effort this past season...…….indy
 

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Good luck Seer! At the end of all your wagers, may it be a winning day!!
 

Member
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Today is the day seer.... let’s win and have some fun.... RAMS......!!!!
 

seer
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thanks gents! let's win this. more prop bets on the way...
 

seer
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shortest fg 25.5 over

pats score every quarter no -150

pats rush yds 128.5 under -145

burkhead 22.5 rush yds under -135

michel 76.5 rush yds under -115
 
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Just playing devil's advocate.

Kansas City led the NFL with 52 sacks. How'd they do at getting to Brady? Make that an ofer. Just like the Chargers before them who had 38 sacks during the regular season, and 7 in the Wild Card game vs Balty.

The Rams had 41. Don't get seduced by big names. The Pats O line is healthy and the best in the NFL right now. Pass protecting and run blocking.
 

seer
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nfc is the better conf. kc doesnt have a guy like donald. pats will dbl team him leaving suh,
brokers possibly unguarded. either way.. they will disrupt brady's timing.
talib and co wont allow the pats to run like they did against the 30th ranked run d of kc
 

seer
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Just playing devil's advocate.

Kansas City led the NFL with 52 sacks. How'd they do at getting to Brady? Make that an ofer. Just like the Chargers before them who had 38 sacks during the regular season, and 7 in the Wild Card game vs Balty.

The Rams had 41. Don't get seduced by big names. The Pats O line is healthy and the best in the NFL right now. Pass protecting and run blocking.

betting with your heart?
 

The Miracle Worker
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Seer, Go Rams, Lets do this. GL tonight.
 

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