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Trump says:


  • "Russia" -260
  • "Caravan" -260
  • "Racism" +400
  • "Fake News" +360
  • "Crime will Fall" +280
  • "National Emergency" +105

Or you can wager the other way, that he does not...

Serbone SOTU LOCK OF THE YEAR is he will say "National Emergency"
 
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You can get much better odds on 3 of those at Betonline

National Emergency +275

Russia -120 either way

Fake News +600
 

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huge list up at 5d

shouldn't "health care" over 1.5 -120 be a lock?

hmmm "abortion" over 0.5 +400, "DACA" under 1.5 -140
 

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Yes the odds are changing quickly and they've added a lot of new ones since I posted...
 

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Number of lies Over/Under 17.5 (based on 80 minutes....adjust if longer)

Daniel Dale of the Toronto Star who has methodically tracked Tiny's "falsehoolds & lies" since Jan 20, 2017 notes that last year there were just 12 lies in 80 minutes.

He accurately adds that while that is a rather low ratio for Trump lies/minutes, (especially given his overall year of 2018 being almost double the pace of lying compared to 2017), the level of dishonesty is much lower when he is speaking "on script" which presumably most of tonight will be.

Dale - "While Trump is clearly a pathological liar, the people who write his scripted speeches are for the most part honest (save for S Miller).It is only at his "rallies" where he gets really loose with more rampant lying"

Basically, the level of dishonesty linked closely to his pre-speech Adderall dose

I personally won't watch it live as I am pretty sure I have never watched any POTUS give a SOTU.....hope those who do find it entertaining
 

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Number of lies Over/Under 17.5
coincidentally that is the same over/under for the number of race and ethnicity classifications that barman will claim in 2019 ... we've got white, jewish, and native american already on the books.
 

Libatards Suck
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Number of lies Over/Under 17.5 (based on 80 minutes....adjust if longer)

Daniel Dale of the Toronto Star who has methodically tracked Tiny's "falsehoolds & lies" since Jan 20, 2017 notes that last year there were just 12 lies in 80 minutes.

He accurately adds that while that is a rather low ratio for Trump lies/minutes, (especially given his overall year of 2018 being almost double the pace of lying compared to 2017), the level of dishonesty is much lower when he is speaking "on script" which presumably most of tonight will be.

Dale - "While Trump is clearly a pathological liar, the people who write his scripted speeches are for the most part honest (save for S Miller).It is only at his "rallies" where he gets really loose with more rampant lying"

Basically, the level of dishonesty linked closely to his pre-speech Adderall dose

I personally won't watch it live as I am pretty sure I have never watched any POTUS give a SOTU.....hope those who do find it entertaining

Wonder who determines those lies, the commie demoncrats I would imagine
 

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coincidentally that is the same over/under for the number of race and ethnicity classifications that barman will claim in 2019 ... we've got white, jewish, and native american already on the books.

12.5% Cherokee
87.5% White Euro (18th century Great Britain)
29.5% Jewish (increases by 1.5 for each year of marriage to the full-blooded SheBar)
9.632% Gay (We're all *a little bit* gay)
 

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Wonder who determines those lies, the commie demoncrats I would imagine

Mostly....although Daniel Dale is Canadian.

Outside of Democrats and Canadians, Donnie Trump is viewed as the most honest man in the history of United States politics
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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Wonder who determines those lies, the commie demoncrats I would imagine

They think they write the rules. In libtardville, if they disagree with you, it's a lie.

For example, if Trump says his policies have created economic growth, they can call that a lie.

If Trump says Kavanaugh was wrongly attacked, they call that a lie.

If Trump says CNN is biased or the Democratic press creates fake news, they call that a lie.

While I (we) agree with Trump on all of that
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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Now, what are the biggest lies in modern American history?

1) The clusterfuck known as Obamacare, never mind be wrong about all his predictions, the POS Obama admitted he was lying when he was telling people they could keep their insurance and their doctors if they wanted to.

2) Obama's economic stimulus, the only thing it stimulated was the deficit. Again, wrong about everything. Then the fucking idiots compound that lie by throwing Obama's stimulus spending into Bush's final budget and claim Obama reduced the deficit from numbers he increased substantially

3) Obama's QE I, QE II, QE III into infinity and beyond

4) Obama's ending of the Iraq war was his greatest achievement. He didn't end the Iraq war, the surge he opposed did and the war was ended before he took office. However, his pulling out our security forces was yet another epic clusterfuck

5) Everything about Russian Collusion, from start to finish, they don't get one issue right.

6) Judge Kavanaugh was a serial rapist, their arguments would put him on the sex offender list rather than the SC.


Unlike libtard nation, all our predictions about their failed policies came true, while they just make one asinine statement after another and then just drift away

And then we have all the classics

Republicans war on women
Republicans hate women
Republicans are sexist
Republicans are racists
Republicans are white supremacists
Republicans want you to die
There is systematic racism in every law enforcement agency in this country (another Obama classic)
There is oppression in this country
Asking somebody for an ID to vote is racist

I can go on for ever, suffice to say "they're just fucked in the head".

It's genetics

We need a pill people

And time always does it's thing
 

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^ Guy who clapped at all of Obama's lies is very, very concerned about the President lying.

LOL

Last night converted me. Tiny Trump is greatest POTUS since Millard Fillmore, hands down!
 

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^ Guy who clapped at all of Obama's lies is very, very concerned about the President lying.

LOL

I'm just a gambler looking for an edge. The best fact checkers still need to fully peruse the transcript but it's possible the Under 17.5 may have hit.....My $20 on Over could go down in flames
 

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I'm just a gambler looking for an edge. The best fact checkers still need to fully peruse the transcript but it's possible the Under 17.5 may have hit.....My $20 on Over could go down in flames
NYT reported 5 lies

there were a few "misleading" and "exaggerated" statements but 5 untruths. one of them boasted about the US GDP expansion is only false because we're being outgrown by, ahemm, Latvia.

so another MOWstradamus prediction down in flames :)


and it wasn't for lack of trying. Here are the fact checkers that consulted on the article at NYT:
Reporting was contributed by Eileen Sullivan, Michael Tackett, Linda Qiu, Edward Wong, Eric Lipton, Eric Schmitt, Adam Liptak, Binyamin Appelbaum, Caitlin Dickerson, Charlie Savage, Coral Davenport, Glenn Thrush, Helene Cooper, Jim Tankersley, Julian E. Barnes, Katie Benner, Matt Phillips, Robert Pear and Thomas Gibbons-Neff.
 

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NYT's Trump "LIES"


1) lead world in rate of GDP growth. we're actually being outpaced by Latvia and Poland. I guess they count???....


2) created 5.3M jobs with 600k in manufacturing. exact #'s are 4.9M and 454k. should be classified as exaggerated and not a LIE


3) El Paso's crime rate fell with fence and is one of safest cities in nation. they called it a lie because it is the SECOND lowest violent crime of similar sized cities :)


4) Gov of VA stated he would pass legislation that would executive a baby after birth. Lie because he would approve abortion UP TO time of birth but not after


5) Cut more regulations than any other presidency. untrue because Reagan cut more
 

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NYT's Trump "LIES"


1) lead world in rate of GDP growth. we're actually being outpaced by Latvia and Poland. I guess they count???....


2) created 5.3M jobs with 600k in manufacturing. exact #'s are 4.9M and 454k. should be classified as exaggerated and not a LIE


3) El Paso's crime rate fell with fence and is one of safest cities in nation. they called it a lie because it is the SECOND lowest violent crime of similar sized cities :)


4) Gov of VA stated he would pass legislation that would executive a baby after birth. Lie because he would approve abortion UP TO time of birth but not after


5) Cut more regulations than any other presidency. untrue because Reagan cut more

Did they list Abraham's lies ? or whatever that fat fuck said last night
 

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Great speech, I was stunned at how good it was.

Unfortunately, the Dem party has so many under informed dumb ass voters, and they mostly did not watch it. Those that did, mostly did not understand it.

The media/press completely misrepresented what Trump said, other than our safe haven comfort channel, Fox News.

Unfortunately, the media/press is controlled by the globalist socialists.

The extreme demographic shift to the radical far left is inevitable: 13% AA, 17% Hispanic, Muslim-Jewish-Asians) + gays, government workers, union workers, and dumb ass brainwashed female millenials. Most do not understand the issues, just do as they are told by their handlers or vote blindly along race lines (look at the nutcases voted in recently Cortez et al).

I cannot see this being overcome in the long run.

RE 2020, Dems will go to PA, FL, Ohio, Mich, Wisc, Ia, NC, places fat ass Hillary ignored. They will not make that mistake again.
 

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