Sun ...Finds ..Game Talk

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Last 4 Meetings between Niagara / Iona

Over / Under Total Line Set at / ...then total points scored in game

168 / Points scored 185

167.5 / Points scored 169

165 / Points scored 191

157.5 / Points scored 166

Today's Total opens at 164 ? ...a bit lower than I thought it might be ?

Yet line is down to 163 on the Total ... So Under is getting bet here ???

With what these have put up in last 4 games ....The Over might look like the side ...or is it ???

Any thoughts ?

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

UCF at SMU ... the Total Set at 135.5 ??? Seems very high for these 2 teams ....

Far from great at spotted possible plays on Totals ...but this Total line is set way too high and I feel is fishy ....

Thoughts ?

Breakdown

Last 4 Games between the 2 teams

Totals Line Set at / Then Points Scored in Game

124 / Points scored 89

128.5 / Points scored 107

129 / Points Scored 129

125.5 / Points scored 125

Today's Total set at 135.5 ??? Really ??? Why ????

Bit surprised the Total line has not dropped here ...but I believe it will ..... regardless of how the public moves this total ...I will take a shot at the Over ...before tip ....

I feel on shorter cards like today Vegas makes less mistakes on lines ....so with the total set so high ...I feel it's a tell ?

Been wrong many times before .... we will see ?

TimmyRules · Feb 10, 2019

Plenty wrong plays everywhere yesterday so don't worry

but hey, it's a new day!

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Have a 2 Unit Play for Monday

Back up the Brinks Truck ....LOL !!!........I call these Money Makers !!! .... Just messin around guys ... see what happens when I get some sleep ???

Pumped .... Hope we cash it ?

The Play

Baylor Minus the Points ....

Last 8 Times Baylor has lost a home game .....the next home game played where there was a line given .... Baylor is a perfect 8-0 Ats ...

Realize Oklahoma needs this game ....but Sooners got smoked at Baylor by 23 points last year ( Baylor was - 4 )

on Monday ...I expect Baylor to be at least a 3 Point Favorite .... If u want to play it a bit safer ...grab the Money Line ( your call ) ...

I will be on Baylor - 3 or so ....

Been wrong many times before ....but had to share the wealth here ( I hope ? ) ....Your call

Thoughts ?

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Timmy Rules said:
Plenty wrong plays everywhere yesterday so don't worry

but hey, it's a new day!

Went 5-4 brotha ... can't complain

TimmyRules · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
UCF at SMU ... the Total Set at 135.5 ??? Seems very high for these 2 teams ....

Far from great at spotted possible plays on Totals ...but this Total line is set way too high and I feel is fishy ....

Thoughts ?

Breakdown

Last 4 Games between the 2 teams

Totals Line Set at / Then Points Scored in Game

124 / Points scored 89

128.5 / Points scored 107

129 / Points Scored 129

125.5 / Points scored 125

Today's Total set at 135.5 ??? Really ??? Why ????

Bit surprised the Total line has not dropped here ...but I believe it will ..... regardless of how the public moves this total ...I will take a shot at the Over ...before tip ....

I feel on shorter cards like today Vegas makes less mistakes on lines ....so with the total set so high ...I feel it's a tell ?

Been wrong many times before .... we will see ?

Maybe Vegas is putting more into how both teams have been scoring in their last 4-5 games this year...those games have been mid 130's or higher

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Just messing around with an angle I use for my picks and noticed that when the opening line is a 1/2 pt or more less than my predicted line and the opening line moves down 1 1/2 points or more ....

Dogs are 29 -14 Ats / 67% Winners ....which is really solid ...imo

Always tweaking shit to get any advantage ....like us all ...

No Plays so far for Sunday with this angle ...

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
Just messing around with an angle I use for my picks and noticed that when the opening line is a 1/2 pt or more less than my predicted line and the opening line moves down 1 1/2 points or more ....

Dogs are 29 -14 Ats / 67% Winners ....which is really solid ...imo

Always tweaking shit to get any advantage ....like us all ...

No Plays so far for Sunday with this angle ...

Adding to above

When opening line was down 1/2 point or more from my line and that opening line went down exactly 1 point on the nose .... 22 Dog Ats winners ....many SU .....vs 11 Favorites Ats won ...

So Dogs are coming in 22/33 times or yet again hitting at 67%

So in summary

When Opening Line has been 1/2 Point or more lower than my predicted line ....and that opening line went down 1 or more points ...

Record

51 Dog Ats Winners to 25 Favorite Ats Winners ..... Dogs are hitting at 67% ....also ...out of those 51 Dog Winners ... 24 Won Straight Up at really decent odds ....47% Straight Up Dogs Winners .... Wow !!!

Pumped on the new find ...is all ....had to share

TimmyRules · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
Adding to above

When opening line was down 1/2 point or more from my line and that opening line went down exactly 1 point on the nose .... 22 Dog Ats winners ....many SU .....vs 11 Favorites Ats won ...

So Dogs are coming in 22/33 times or yet again hitting at 67%

So in summary

When Opening Line has been 1/2 Point or more lower than my predicted line ....and that opening line went down 1 or more points ...

Record

51 Dog Ats Winners to 25 Favorite Ats Winners ..... Dogs are hitting at 67% ....also ...out of those 51 Dog Winners ... 24 Won Straight Up at really decent odds ....47% Straight Up Dogs Winners .... Wow !!!

Pumped on the new find ...is all ....had to share

Look forward to that trend continuing!

TimmyRules · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
Went 5-4 brotha ... can't complain

I made WAY too many wagers....thank goodness for peanut plays:hammerit

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Timmy Rules said:
Look forward to that trend continuing!

Hope so bro ... it hot a rough patch about 1 week ago ...

Yesterday ... Dog Trend went 9 - 5 / 64 % Winners

Some game we will get destroyed ....others ... Dog wins Straight Up !!!

Yesterday Straight Up Dog Winners ....which I did not play ....Included ...I put Juice before the Dog Winners 5/9 Winners won SU !!

+ ????? St John's ...could not find the plus juice

+ 135 K St ...when they were still a dog

+ 300 Kennesaw St

+ 280 Nicholls St

+ 135 San Diego St

Not too bad

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
UCF at SMU ... the Total Set at 135.5 ??? Seems very high for these 2 teams ....

Far from great at spotted possible plays on Totals ...but this Total line is set way too high and I feel is fishy ....

Thoughts ?

Breakdown

Last 4 Games between the 2 teams

Totals Line Set at / Then Points Scored in Game

124 / Points scored 89

128.5 / Points scored 107

129 / Points Scored 129

125.5 / Points scored 125

Today's Total set at 135.5 ??? Really ??? Why ????

Bit surprised the Total line has not dropped here ...but I believe it will ..... regardless of how the public moves this total ...I will take a shot at the Over ...before tip ....

I feel on shorter cards like today Vegas makes less mistakes on lines ....so with the total set so high ...I feel it's a tell ?

Been wrong many times before .... we will see ?

Going to wait until closer to tip ....feel total should drop a bit more

On a hunch ...Playing Over here eventually

MMfan · Feb 10, 2019

Do you ever do live wagering in O/U

candylicker · Feb 10, 2019

Damm Kaboom..Loking forward to those doggie plays that fit those situations

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

MMfan said:
Do you ever do live wagering in O/U

No I don't ...any advice ?

TimmyRules · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
No I don't ...any advice ?

yeah, DON'T start doing it LOL

MMfan · Feb 10, 2019

Kaboom said:
No I don't ...any advice ?

It's enticing but I can see it really screwing you up. LOL. I don't have any real advice. If you're able to watch the game and jump in during the 2nd half you could make a good call.

MMfan · Feb 10, 2019

Timmy Rules said:
yeah, DON'T start doing it LOL

LOL! I agree. It can be a killer and time suck as you sit there watching the game and live lines moving each possession. lol

stomie · Feb 10, 2019

Baylor has some injuries

Kaboom · Feb 10, 2019

candylicker said:
Damm Kaboom..Loking forward to those doggie plays that fit those situations

Bro ... crunching my numbers this morning try to see what I can find ....then I discovered this angle which I had been using but didn't realize as much the opening line in how if were to go down 1 or more points in the games I'm on ... Crazy man ...

We will see if it holds ...but look at what it's done since I started ?

Here's the catch ... come tournament time .... all this goes away .....sad...but true ...

But

I do have some nice angles for the Tournament as a few guys in here already know ...

GL today !

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