Found this:
"Since the 2000-01 season, Duke teams are 5-12-1 ATS prior to facing UNC for the first meeting of the season, which includes a 3-7-1 ATS record when they are at home. That's the exact spot the Blue Devils find themselves in this week, and neither of those numbers present a great case for laying the chalk with Duke on Saturday.
But if you want to take it a step further and look at all Duke games prior to a UNC meeting in that same time frame (since 2000-01), their ATS record checks in at 9-26-1, and is 5-16-1 ATS when they are at home prior to facing the Tar Heels."
I say that if you add in that crazy come back against Louisville and the battle against Va last saturday you are looking at a game where Duke will be happy just getting the W. NC. State should put up a fight and will lose but only by 12 or less.