Anybody think Fed loses tomorrow?

RunMaker

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• #1

Has been shit all tournament. He got lucky to face Coric in the semis who was absolutely mentally awol in the match today.


Tsitsipas is the new replacement for Murray, IMO. He will be in the Tier 1 of the elites of tennis. He will occupy one of those slots. Absolutely guaranteed. Not like any of those bitch fakers like Dimitrov and so many of the other fake young promises in the game. This guy is the real deal.

+222 odds is incredibly generous. See this as a 50-50 type of match tomorrow and likely Tsitsipas winning.

 

RunMaker

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• #2

Sometimes you can look at a line and instantly see that it is off.

Got a -270 fave and a spread of just -2.5. That is all wrong in this match.


Sometimes they'll do that in Isner matches against a decent opponent and you'll have a fat money line and a narrowed spread.

If you like Fed, you should just take him on that cakewalk spread. If can't take the spread, then you are in fear of 3 sets... and this is the kind of match this looks like. A 3-setter or Tsitsipas 2-0.

 

RunMaker

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Got a parlay of the Sakers and Tsitsi... and Sakers start out 8-0. Nice job asholes

 

RunMaker

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• #4

Down 16-5. fuckign joke

 

RunMaker

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down 26-11 at home.... fucking joke

need a fucking miracle

 

RunMaker

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11 pts in 1st q
0 in 2nd q.... almost 4 minutes in.

They've been on an over rampage. wtf?


need a huge comeback

 

busterhyman

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• #7

threw 50 bucks on

 

RunMaker

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down 6 with 2 minutes to go in 1st half.

 

RunMaker

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34-29 ht

down 5.


Playing at home.... in their last game they blasted them by 30 points on the road. Got a shot.

 

RunMaker

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Came back and won by damn near 20 points. Fucking needed that.


Fed may roll, but this is a great opportunity. I remember when Murray was in a similar position versus Federer (everybody knew Murray was the future and a supreme elite player but was very young) and Murray was a dog of about +2400 (may have been as low as +1600) in Cincinatti ... and he beat Fed there.

Tits will be Top 10 after this match and by the end of the year he will qualify for the Finals.

Tits has held 36 straight times versus Fed. Has not been broken once.



Similar situation in odds to Miami semis in 2017 when Kyrgios was about a +190 or +200 dog versus Fed. Fed should've lost that match but got lucky.

Also, remember Tits took Djok as a +300 dog in Canada last year and in that same run beat Thiem (-110), Djok (+300), Zverev (+280) and Anderson (+209).


Lost in Canada and the AO against Nadal b/c Nadal eats up those one-handers like fish being thrown to a piranha.

 

RunMaker

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• #11

Also, with respect to the suggested lines, the offered total of 24 says it all. Combined with the spread, it's all out of whack.

You can now get +288 on Tits.


50-50 match here and actually favor Tits. Also, this might be the longest winning streak of his career at around 8 matches. In the future he'll produce streaks of 20+ wins... should be good enough for that.

 

RunMaker

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Pinnacle line just plummeted almost instantly.

Was about -330... now at -279.

 

RunMaker

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That was a real bitch move.

Got broken first game of match. Then holds all thereafter.

5-3* in first.

 

RunMaker

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• #14

Very important to finish this last service hold.

If not, Fed serves first in 2nd set and odds plummet dramatically.


*15-30

 

RunMaker

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• #15

Holds to 30.

5-4

Fed will hold for the 1st.

Still like the chances here. If gets 2nd, think he can win the match.

 

RunMaker

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• #16

40-0

40-30

if a 2nd serve, might have a shot

 

RunMaker

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• #17

deuce!!

Tits hit like 3 lines.

 

RunMaker

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• #18

break point!

breaks here... and he'll win the match

COME ON!

 

RunMaker

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• #19

huge mistake.... Fed went awol and can't keep it in.... should've made that

dc

 

RunMaker

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• #20

bp again

Fed can't keep it in the court