Thursday Service Play March 28, 2019

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Goodfella

Big Dance GOY 3* on OREGON DUCKS +9 (-115)





This is flat out my biggest bet of the entire Big Dance tournament and I personally have a bit more than our normal 3* size big bets. Just letting you folks know that I have fired a bit larger here. Please adjust according to what your bankroll is and don't over-bet this game, nor any game. I expect this Oregon team to give Virginia a serious battle & why I don't expect the outright win from the Ducks, I also would not be surprised if they did pull it off. I simply love Oregon catching 9 points here and I'm all over the OREGON DUCKS on Thursday Night.
 

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Goodfella

3*GOY
Oregon +9

2*
tampa bay rays +1.5
 

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Ben Burns

3*GOM
Toronto -143
 

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King creole

2*
Denver Nuggets / Houston Rockets under 218
 

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CAL SPORTS BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (657) Texas Tech at (658) Michigan
Date/Time: Mar 28 2019 9:39 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 126.5 (-110)

View Analysis

3% UNDER Texas Tech/ Michigan

Game: (667) LSU at (668) Michigan State
Date/Time: Mar 29 2019 7:09 PM EDT
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Michigan State -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

4% Michigan St -6 LSU

Game: (669) Virginia Tech at (670) Duke
Date/Time: Mar 29 2019 9:39 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 144.5 (-110)

View Analysis

3% UNDER Virginia Tech/ Duke
 

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Stephen Nover

3*
Gonzaga / Florida St. Under 147

2*
Washington -127
 

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Fezzik

2*
St.louis -100


3*
Season Wins

Cubs UNDER 88 wins, 3 stars best bet (fine to play UNDER 87.5)
 

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JR ODONNELL

3*
Virginia-8.5
 

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Sleepyj

3*
Michigan / Texas Tech Under 126
 

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Brandon Watson (CBB - Sweet 16)

Tennessee -1
Michigan -2
 

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Ken Thomson

3*

Tennessee -115
 

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Spartan

3*
Oregon +8
 

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Stats Analytics Sports (CBB)

3* Tennessee/Purdue Under 147
 

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Marco D'Angelo/Sports Unlimited

PLAY: (656) GONZAGA -7.5
RATING: 5% PLAY

Love the set up we have in this Sweet 16 match up. Florida St looked as good as a team could look with their Blowout win over Murray St. Florida St simply had too many weapons for Murray St as Florida St shot over 50% after shooting 31 & 38% in the two games before that. Gonzaga however is the best Offensive team in the country hitting 53.2% of their shots this season. I don’t see this Florida St team being able to trade points with Gonzaga. Gonzaga is also the 6th best team in the country defensively allowing teams to hit just 38.7% of their shots this season. When we get to the end of the game and Florida St has to foul they will be fouling the 18th best free throw shooting team in College Basketball as Gonzaga hits 76.2% of their free throws. So Gonzaga should be extending their lead late in the game. If that wasn’t already enough which it is there’s that little thing called Revenge as Florida St knocked Gonzaga out of the Big Dance last year. Lastly Gonzaga is 14-6 ATS this season after scoring 80 or more points in 2 straight games this year. The market has over reacted to Florida St blowout win and gives us tremendous line value with Gonzaga. My numbers have Gonzaga Winning by 12-15 points.

TAKE GONZAGA as MARCO’S 5% SWEET 16 GAME OF THE MONTH
 

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Rooster

657 TEX Tech +2 ( 2%)
655 Florida st 7.5
 

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Vegas Sharp 3/28 CBB

4 Tennessee -1
3 Texas Tech +2
 

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Adam Rompin Thompson


COLORADO -145


COLORADO @ MIAMI | 3/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
3:06 PM
The Marlins batted .228 against LHPs in 2018, so on Opening Day they get Kyle Freeland, the Rockies lefty who finished fourth in NL Cy Young voting last year and has a big-hitting lineup behind him. The Marlins have lost five of seven Opening Day games at home, and Jose Urena was 3-9 at home last year. The Rockies’ batters should do more than enough to get Freeland and Opening Day win.

12-5 IN LAST 17 COL ML PICKS | +599

3-0 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +300


HOUSTON -118


HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 3/28 | 4:00 PM EDT
3:04 PM
Blake Snell was a monster for the Rays last year en route to the Cy Young Award. But Houston kept its lineup basically intact from last year, a lineup that ranked No. 1 in MLB in hitting against lefties. Justin Verlander was a ridiculous 12-2 with a 2.14 ERA on the road last year, and he's backed by a bullpen that was tops in the league in ERA.

12-5 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS | +551

8-3 IN LAST 11 TB ML PICKS | +447


KANSAS CITY -109


CHI. WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY | 3/28 | 4:15 PM EDT
3:00 PM
Two teams looking to forget 2018 seasons facing off. Brad Keller had a solid season, but he was most-effective at home last year, going 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and .220 average against. The White Sox didn’t fare great against him in seven appearances, batting only .250. Carlos Rodon couldn’t get out of his own way. He allowed batters to hit just .223 in road games against him, but his 4.68 road ERA was more than a run higher than his home split, and the Royals’ Opening Day roster is a lifetime .405 against him.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CHW ML PICKS | +390

3-1 IN LAST 4 KC ML PICKS | +219


BOSTON -200


BOSTON @ SEATTLE | 3/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
2:59 PM
Seattle has a lot of things going for itself on this Opening Day. For one, the Mariners are already 2-0 on the season with the wins over the A’s in Tokyo. And starter Marco Gonzales is already 1-0. The team has won five of six Opening Day games, too. But when healthy, Chris Sale is about as unstoppable as it comes. And he’s healthy for Opening Day. He’s also been amazing in Seattle, going 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA in five appearances. And this Red Sox lineup is considerably stronger than the A’s lineup hit Gonzales for four runs in six innings.

23-8 IN LAST 31 BOS ML PICKS | +1326


PHILADELPHIA -186


ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 3/28 | 3:05 PM EDT
2:58 PM
The new-look Phillies face a familiar foe in Julio Teheran and the Braves. For all the changed faces in Phillies’ lineup, most of them have seen Teheran often. Bryce Harper has six homers and 16 RBI in just 30 at-bats against him. Meanwhile, Braves hitters haven’t been particularly strong against Aaron Nola -- the entire lineup is a combined .237 against him lifetime. Look for the Harper era to get off to a good start in Philly.

17-4 IN LAST 21 ATL ML PICKS | +1544

14-4 IN LAST 18 PHI ML PICKS | +1046


Adam Thompson is a thoughtful, Midwestern-based handicapper who destroyed sportsbooks with his MLB picks in 2018. SportsLine's top MLB handicapper hit on 61 percent of his money line picks all season for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players (+$3,655, 60 percent for all picks), ending the season on a 22-4 run, including 100 percent on World Series games. He's also run red-hot streaks in the NFL and college football. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB, NBA and major college sports.
 

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Stephen Oh My Gosh


UNDER 232.5 L.A. CLIPPERS @ MILWAUKEE | 3/28 | 8:00 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 8:42 PM
My data sees the Bucks and Clippers combining for approximately 224 points Thursday, providing value on the Under against the hefty total. The Bucks are on a 4-1 run to the Under, while the Clippers have played Under in right of their past 10 road games against opponents with winning records.

86-64 IN LAST 150 NBA PICKS | +1621
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC O/U PICKS | +90


OVER 218 DENVER @ HOUSTON | 3/28 | 8:00 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 8:38 PM
My projections see the Rockets and Nuggets putting up at least 223 combined points Thursday, clearing the Over with room to spare. The Over is on a 4-1 run in this series and the Nuggets have played Over in four straight following a straight-up defeat. Houston is on a 4-1 Over spurt against winning opponents.

86-64 IN LAST 150 NBA PICKS | +1621
4-0 IN LAST 4 DEN O/U PICKS | +400


L.A. DODGERS -155


ARIZONA @ L.A. DODGERS | 3/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:18 PM
No Clayton Kershaw (shoulder) on the hill for Los Angeles, but Hyun-Jin Ryu is a more than adequate replacement as he comes off a career-best 2018 campaign that included an ERA of 1.97. With Paul Goldschmidt now in St. Louis and Steven Souza Jr. (knee) out for the year for the D'Backs, that lineup isn't very potent. My simulations like the Dodgers to win this one 70 percent of the time, making them a great value on the money line in this opener.

19-12 IN LAST 31 ARI ML PICKS | +815

19-12 IN LAST 31 LAD ML PICKS | +434


GONZAGA -7


FLORIDA ST. VS GONZAGA | 3/28 | 7:09 PM EDT
SUN 3/24
I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Zags in the Sweet 16, despite FSU's impressive seven-game win streak. Gonzaga averages just under 89 points per game, most in the nation, and has put up 87 and 83 in the NCAA Tournament thus far. Look for the Zags to get to 80 again and cover.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +161
 

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