Monday Service Play Thread 4/1/2019

Dave Essler
1* Baltimore +1.5(-125)
1* South Florida -125

Sleepyj
3* Charlotte +11.5

Stephen Nover

3*TOW

Seattle / LA ANGLES over 8.5

baseball33

Atlanta Braves - Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs

SAS Wins

They fucking blow. Fade away

nba
Suns-2(2)
mlb
Indians-156(2)
Dodgers RL-1.5(1)

Jack Jones
20* South Florida
20* BROOKLYN

Fezzik


CBB -
1* - South Florida ML -127

If anyone finds DeMarco's pick for tonight, can you post it. It's his 1st MLB play of the year and he's usually pretty decent with MLB plays. Thanks

sailfish said:

Dave Essler
1* Baltimore +1.5(-125)
1* South Florida -125

Click to expand...

2* Dallas +6
3* Brooklyn +2

Anyone have Goodfella nba triple? Tia

Goodfella
3* Portland -3

CAL SPORTS BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (701) Depaul at (702) South Florida
Date/Time: Apr 1 2019 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: South Florida -1.0 (-108)

View Analysis


#702 4* USF -1.5 DePaul 7 PM
Must-win for USF as the next two games in those best of three format are at DePaul. DePaul has played all 3 tourney games at home so they are now playing in a hostile setting for the first time since March 9th. The Blue Devils have shot 52.5&, 59% & 58.9% % their last 3 games but as mentioned all 3 were at home and came against the #207, #23 & #198 D’s of Cent Mich, Longwood & Coastal Carolina and now play the #41 D on the road.

TONY FINN BASKETBALL PLAYS

FINN MON NBA PRIVATE PLAY (5-1)
Game: (567) Orlando Magic at (568) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: Apr 1 2019 7:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Orlando Magic 7.0 (-108)

View Analysis

Play Orlando Magic +7 (good to +5)
4% game rating

(567) Orlando Magic at (568) Toronto Raptors
The bare-bottom truth is that nobody want to play the Magic come postseason time. Orlandowere displaced and efficient in their 121-116 road victory over the Indiana Pacers on Saturday.
The club has five games left in the regular season, including tonight's event, and is an obvious statement to suggest that every game is an important one and the Disney World troop has won seven of their last eight games.

The Raptors would be happiest if the regular season was in the books. This rather than have to dress and travel across their final handful of contests. Coach Nurse isn't going to over-extned his players and the "good use" of the final five games of the season that Nurse was referring to was getting his bench more minutes.

"It's not like I'm saying we haven't done this enough or that enough or he hasn't played enough," Nurse said. "We're ready to roll but since it's not time to roll and there is time to polish a few things up then we are going to do that."

Orlando has a vested interest in winning this game and they matchup well against the Raptors first unit... The Magic are head and shoulders more talented that Toronto's second unit.

ORLANDO MAGIC +7

TONY FINN MON DOUBLEHEADER GAME 1

Game 905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Apr 1 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Atlanta Braves +105

View Analysis

PLAY: Atlanta Braves +105 (good to -110)
LIST PITCHERS Newcombe vs Hendricks
3% game rating

(905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Atlanta Braves
The Chicago Cubs visit SunTrust Park in Cumberland, Georgia to square off against the Atlanta Braves. Chicago received a solid outing from their season opening starter Lester but since then have scuffled to locate the play and register outs.
Chicago offense found them recording 17 hits in Sunday's loss to Texas, their second straight, and head to face the Braves with a 1-2 overall mark. The Braves are the only team in the bigs without a win losing their first three events. Pitching has been the Braves Achilles through their trio of season openers. The Braves pitching staff allowed 23 runs and 20 walks to the Phillies lineup. The Atlanta offense generated scored eleven runs in the season opening series on the road.
The Northsiders, the Cubs, send RH Kyle Hendricks (2018: 14-11, 3.44 ERA) to the mound to square off against Braves LH Sean Newcomb (2018: 12-9, 3.90)
To somewhat of a surprise Hendricks received a four-game contract extension before the season. Hendricks is an innings eater. The right-hander saw the first inning more than any ChiTown pitcher a year ago tossing a total of 199 innings. Hendricks missed facing the Braves last year but has four career appearances against Atlanta has a 1-0 mark with a 2.33 ERA.
The Braves starter Newcomb carried his success of 2018 into Spring Training despite his surface numbers. Newcomb closed the exhibition slate vs the Reds. The lefty allowed two runs on three hits (one homer) and no walks with five strikeouts in four innings. The Atlanta southpaw looked comfortable in the closing stages of last season and is in great form for tonight's start.
Newcomb walked 15 in 21 March innings but it isn't relevant to tonight's event. Newcomb was his usual self with his arsenal this spring. And the coaching staff and Newcomb were working on some release point changes and had little concern that Newcomb wouldn't improve this year on his career 4.7 BB/9 rate. The lefty was 8-5 with a 3.51 ERA in the first half of last season. He closed, after the All-Star break, with a 4-4 mark but his adjusted peripherals were solid. Despite losing his final three starts in 2018, versus Washington, at New York Mets and at Philadelphia, the lefty induced nearly as many ground balls as fly balls and in the month of September allowed just 14 hits in 19 innings of work. He struck out 22 while walking 12. August, following the break, was part of his '18 campaign in which he hit a wall, suffered from some dead-arm issues. Outside of that there wasn't a 2018 month in which he allowed more hits than innings pitched.
Most notably is his ability to limit home runs, in a pitcher-friendly park, with a 0.95 HR/9 mark across 264 career innings.
In addition Newcomb saw his splits fall more in line with what his pay grade suggests. Newcomb's righty vs lefty numbers in 2018 were much more drastic than that of last year. And the reason is the addition of a quality changeup in 2018. He increased the usage of the pitch by 8.5% and his split against right-handed hitters dropped .038 points to .299.
While Newcomb saw his hard contact last season climb he ranked with a number of the best pitchers in baseball at avoiding hard contact within the zone. The lefty has over-the-top good stuff with crazy good movement and his contact rate on pitches within the strike zone was 14th best in 2018 at 83.9%.
Top Five Pitchers -- contact within the strike zone
1. Max Schertzer
2. Justin Verlander
3. Jacob deGrom
4. Gerrit Cole
5. Blake Snell
14. Sean Newcomb
Hendricks' meager strikeout rate caps his upside. His pedestrian swing and miss percentage isn't a terrific fit to hitter-friendly SunTrust, as well.
The Cubs slashed just .260/.333/.398/.730 a year ago and ranked 25th in the bigs in home runs against left-handed pitching with just 31 long balls. Chicago's splits, slash and power numbers against right-handed pitching vs lefties had a ridiculous lean. Again the Cubbies hit just 31 HR's against left-handers a year ago while hitting 136 versus righties.
The Braves slash line of .252/.320/.407/.726 versus right-handed pitching ranked sixth on the senior circuit.
The Braves closed their home portion of their schedule a season ago with a perfect 6-0 record vs RHP.
Braves lefty Sean Newcomb came within one strike of a no-hitter Sunday, going 8 2/3 innings vs. the Dodgers while allowing one run on one hit and one walk with eight strikeouts. Newcomb didn't yield a hit until there were two outs in the top of the ninth, when Chris Taylor laced a 2-2 pitch through the left side for a single that scuttled Newcomb's bid at history
Newcomb is primed to come into his own this season. He has earned a slot in the rotation for the second straight season and, again, with expected improvement in his walks to nine innings ratio this season with a simplified delivery there is serious upside here. The lefty has never failed to strike out a batter an inning at any level, and despite relatively low-to-average GB rates his in the zone hard contact limits home runs.
As much as a half walk per nine innings for Newcomb allows him to close in on 15 wins this season and be a reliable every fifth day starter for the Braves.
BRAVES +105

TONY FINN MON NITE NHL HI-ROLLER

Game 45) Colorado Avalanche at (46) St. Louis Blues
Date/Time: Apr 1 2019 8:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Colorado Avalanche +141

View Analysis

PLAY: Colorado Ave's +141 (good to +130)
3% game rating
(45) Colorado Avalanche at (46) St. Louis Blues

The return of Gabriel Landeskog from an upper-body injury can't be emphasized enough. Landeskog does everything and anything to contribute. The captain of the Ave's steered Nathan MacKinnon's power-play goal into the net in Friday's 3-2 shootout win over Arizona. Colorado is playing desperate hockey as the currently hold the final wild-card slot in the Western Conference standings.

The Blues are a solid 27-10-4 run since appearing dead in the postseason water. St Louis is in the hunt for the top points in the Central Division and sit just two-points behind the Preds for the fourth best record in the West.

As well as the Blues have executed since the break and just two-points away from owning one of the top four point totals in the West this game sets up extremely favorable for the Ave's.

Expect nothing short of Colorado scoring first in their ninth straight game while G Philipp Grubauer continues his dominant play. Grubauer is 6-0-1 with a 1.55 goals-against average and .957 save percentage in his last seven starts.

COLORADO AVALANCHE +141

WORLDS WORST PICKER
NCAA BB
Regular Play

South Florida

Play ON the OPPOSITE


WORLDS WORST PICKER
MLB
All Regular Plays

Milwaukee Brewers Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Angels

Play ON the OPPOSITES

sailfish said:

Goodfella
3* Portland -3

Click to expand...

all a *1 on Brewers

Dwayne Bryant
4% Pistons/Pacers Under 204

Steve Budin - CEO

Monday's Play

The New York Crew has its 50 Dime play on Toronto at home against Orlando. The Raptors are -7 at 4:30 PM Eastern as I put my site live.