Oaklawn 04-11-2019
Last post was a disaster ... 3/8 wins ($16), 3 exactas ($26 from $64).
Only positive was the held-back horses we get to put in our watchlist. But that's typical with tracks like Mahoning.
Today we go up-scale to Oaklawn. Slight chance of rain today. I'm guessing the track dried out nicely over the last 2 days, so I'll cap towards a fast and quick strip.
race #1 - 6f
#3 3-1 BIG TRIP - trainer 48% w/blinks off
#6 5-1 MARSHALL HILL - Court on for Fires, we'll likely see the best this horse has to offer today
#1A 4-1 SHEBA HAZELWOOD - ships in for the purse suggesting Duhon confident but this field is speedy as well.
#7 20-1 CURLINATE - exotic booster, do we really want to ignore Diodoro/Mojica claimee at 20-1?
race #2 - 6f
#7 7-2 CANDY FOR THREE
#2 5-2 MATCH PLAY
#5 9-2 SUTTON IMPACT
race #3 - 5.5f
#3 9-2 E RATED
#8 3-1 ALEXANDROS
#4 7-2 OVERANALYZFAKENEWS - Asmussen/Santana are 0/27 with non-favorite claimers this meet, but ITM 44%.
race #4 - 6f
#3 5-2 SAY IT SOFTLY
#1 7-2 ESSIE'S REWARD
#9 20-1 SPUNKY TOWN - speed to clear
race #5 - 6f
#8 5-2 EMMETT'S DREAM
#2 3-1 SAMMY WONDER STONE - Broberg/Cohen off the claim
#4 8-1 ALLIDOISDREAMOFYOU
#6 15-1 TARPYS ZAPPER - exotic booster
race #6 - 8.5f
#3 6-5 BABADOOOK
#2 8-1 GONE DANCING
#11 9-2 CADDO DADDO
#8 30-1 TROPHY DADDY - exotic booster
race #7 - 8.5f
#8 5-1 LONG GRAY LINE
#9 7-2 DOWNTOWNER
#4 5-1 LETHAL MOVE
race #8 - 6f
#7 4-1 WEAST HILL - might shake loose
#2 9-2 ROCK CITY ROADHOG
#5 3-1 GUSKA MON SHOES
race #9 - 8.5f
#9 5-1 CLIFF'S PLACE - new barn
#8 4-1 BRING THE DOUGH - claim back
#6 7-2 RONAMO
FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
Last post was a disaster ... 3/8 wins ($16), 3 exactas ($26 from $64).
Only positive was the held-back horses we get to put in our watchlist. But that's typical with tracks like Mahoning.
Today we go up-scale to Oaklawn. Slight chance of rain today. I'm guessing the track dried out nicely over the last 2 days, so I'll cap towards a fast and quick strip.
race #1 - 6f
#3 3-1 BIG TRIP - trainer 48% w/blinks off
#6 5-1 MARSHALL HILL - Court on for Fires, we'll likely see the best this horse has to offer today
#1A 4-1 SHEBA HAZELWOOD - ships in for the purse suggesting Duhon confident but this field is speedy as well.
#7 20-1 CURLINATE - exotic booster, do we really want to ignore Diodoro/Mojica claimee at 20-1?
race #2 - 6f
#7 7-2 CANDY FOR THREE
#2 5-2 MATCH PLAY
#5 9-2 SUTTON IMPACT
race #3 - 5.5f
#3 9-2 E RATED
#8 3-1 ALEXANDROS
#4 7-2 OVERANALYZFAKENEWS - Asmussen/Santana are 0/27 with non-favorite claimers this meet, but ITM 44%.
race #4 - 6f
#3 5-2 SAY IT SOFTLY
#1 7-2 ESSIE'S REWARD
#9 20-1 SPUNKY TOWN - speed to clear
race #5 - 6f
#8 5-2 EMMETT'S DREAM
#2 3-1 SAMMY WONDER STONE - Broberg/Cohen off the claim
#4 8-1 ALLIDOISDREAMOFYOU
#6 15-1 TARPYS ZAPPER - exotic booster
race #6 - 8.5f
#3 6-5 BABADOOOK
#2 8-1 GONE DANCING
#11 9-2 CADDO DADDO
#8 30-1 TROPHY DADDY - exotic booster
race #7 - 8.5f
#8 5-1 LONG GRAY LINE
#9 7-2 DOWNTOWNER
#4 5-1 LETHAL MOVE
race #8 - 6f
#7 4-1 WEAST HILL - might shake loose
#2 9-2 ROCK CITY ROADHOG
#5 3-1 GUSKA MON SHOES
race #9 - 8.5f
#9 5-1 CLIFF'S PLACE - new barn
#8 4-1 BRING THE DOUGH - claim back
#6 7-2 RONAMO
FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!
