Sunday Play

A slight down day yesterday because of too much on the faves. Houston came through. Not sure why Blake Snell was pulled after 82 pitches, and replaced by freaking Chaz Roe in a 1-0 game. Moving on...


NY Mets TT over 4.5 (-115)
Ny Mets RL (+115) Will be a strong wind blowing out to left at Sun Trust Park, which is a hitter's park even w/o the wind. Teheran has become a fly ball pitcher, especially this season. The Mets have been hitting the ball well, and could get a good shot at the weak part of the Braves BP since Teheran is a 5 inning pitcher at best. Teheran's velocity has decreased in recent years, has become a nibbler, and if the Mets are patient, can work the count, walking, and waiting for the dinger pitch. DeGrom finally had a bad start last week, the worst in 2 years. Got a feeling he'll rebound and pitch deep into this game. DeGrom can also hit, much better than most NL pitchers.

Might have some small plays later.

Small:

Arizona -1/2 F5 (-115) Arizona hot and cold this year, but definitely much better vs. LHP like Lauer. They've hit him well in the past. Look for Greinke to give his team 4-6 good innings here. The velocity has been down for the past few years, but he still has great stuff otherwise, and usually good command.

NYM -1/2 F5 (-120) See above write-up.

Also small:

Texas TT under 4.5 Risky taking any under in Texas, but Brett Anderson has dominated these Ranger hitters, is a decent ground ball pitcher, and is backed by an excellent BP. The Rangers are only hitting .237 at home so far, and the bottom of their lineup is weak.