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Thread: Cnotes NFL 2019-2010 Football Schedule + News .Notes,Draft, Etc.

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  1. #1 Cnotes NFL 2019-2010 Football Schedule + News .Notes,Draft, Etc. 
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    Week 1 NFL spreads


    Packers @ Bears (-3.5, 46)
    Falcons @ Vikings (-4.5, 47.5)
    Redskins @ Eagles (-8, 46.5)
    Bills @ Jets (-3.5, 38.5)
    Ravens (-3.5, 37) @ Dolphins
    49ers @ Buccaneers (-2.5, 49)
    Chiefs (-5.5, 52.5) @ Jaguars
    Titans @ Browns (-5, 45)
    Rams (-2.5, 51) @ Panthers
    Lions @ Cardinals (even, 49)
    Bengals @ Seahawks (-7.5, 43.5)
    Colts @ Chargers (-3.5, 48)
    Giants @ Cowboys (-7.5, 46.5)
    Steelers @ Patriots (-6, 51.5)
    Texans @ Saints (-7.5, 53.5)
    Broncos @ Raiders (-2.5, 43)


    ******************************


    Thursday’s List of 13: Quick comments on the 2019 NFL schedule


    13) 100th season of the NFL starts with league’s oldest rivals (Packers/Bears) opening the season with a Thursday night game in Chicago September 5.


    12) Monday night doubleheader in Week 1: Texans @ Saints, Broncos @ Raiders.


    11) Cleveland Browns have four primetime games:
    — Week 2, at Jets (Monday night)
    — Week 3, Rams (Sunday night)
    — Week 5, at 49ers (Monday night)
    — Week 11, Steelers (Thursday night)


    10) Reunion games:
    — Bears @ Raiders, Week 5 (Khalil Mack against his old team)
    — Redskins @ Vikings, Week 8 (Kirk Cousins against his old team)


    9) Teams that open with two straight home games:
    Panthers-Dolphins-Jets-Raiders


    Teams that open with two straight road games:
    Bills-Colts-Chiefs-49ers


    8) Teams that finish with two straight home games:
    Broncos-Vikings-Patriots-Seahawks-Buccaneers.
    Teams that finish with two straight road games:
    Cardinals-Packers-Saints-Raiders-Steelers.


    7) Thanksgiving Day games:
    Bears-Lions, Bills-Cowboys, Saints-Falcons


    6) Pittsburgh plays five of its last seven games on road; they play Cleveland twice in three weeks, in Weeks 11, 13.


    5) Teams with three straight weeks on road:
    — Eagles, Week 6-8. This appears to be the only one in the whole league. Am guessing Philly brass won’t be happy with this.


    4) Miami plays one road game in the first six weeks; they have four home games and a bye, with only road game in in Week 3 at Dallas.


    3) Divisional games in Week 1:
    Packers-Bears, Bills-Jets, Giants-Cowboys, Broncos-Raiders, Redskins-Eagles


    2) Earliest byes: Jets, 49ers in Week 4.
    Latest byes: Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings in Week 12.


    1) No Thursday night game in Week 16-17.
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  2. #2  
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    YOU CAN FIND THE WHOLE SEASON SCHEDULE HERE


    http://www.nfl.com/schedules/2019/REG1
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    2019 NFL schedule release: Ten juicy revenge games on tap


    Professional athletes are a prideful lot. Setbacks can be crushing -- especially when the stink of defeat, of disappointment, of injustice is allowed to linger for an entire offseason.


    As we get our first look at the 2019 NFL regular-season schedule, let's put a spotlight on games that will allow players and teams the opportunity to settle some old scores. Yes, let's dig into the ancient art of revenge.

    New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams
    Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 15 at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX



    The Saints and their fans will never get over the blown pass-interference call that kept the Rams alive in last season's NFC Championship Game. How could you blame them? It was arguably the most impactful and egregious official mishap in NFL history. You do not want to be on the wrong side of that kind of history. Typically, you want matchups involving premier teams occurring deeper into the NFL schedule, but the circumstances here make this a sooner-the-better situation. In a just world, the Saints would get the chance to deliver revenge at the Superdome, a.k.a. The Scene Of The Crime. Perhaps they'll get that opportunity in January. For now, an early statement win in L.A. would register as a solid opening salvo.


    Cleveland Browns at New York Jets
    Week 2: Monday, Sept. 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN



    Bakermania was born on Sept. 20, 2018. The Browns -- riding an absurd losing streak that lasted 635 days -- were 0-1-1 and barely showing a pulse against the Jets. Late in the first half, starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor went out with a head injury, and Baker Mayfield seized both the starting job and the hearts of Clevelanders forever. The home team's 21-17 win served as the official start of an era of hope for the Browns and their long-suffering fans, while the Jets stumbled to a 4-12 finish that led to Todd Bowles' dismissal as coach. Enter Adam Gase and a much-improved Jets roster led by promising second-year QB Sam Darnold, the player everyone thought the Browns were going to take with the first overall pick last April, until Cleveland went with Mayfield instead. The Meadowlands will be rocking on Monday night.


    Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs
    Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 6 at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC



    The Colts are still probably trying to figure out what happened in last January's Divisional Round at Arrowhead Stadium. Indianapolis looked like the proverbial Team That No One Wants To Play after manhandling the Texans in its postseason opener. But by the end of the first quarter in Kansas City, the Colts were down 14-0 and outgained 185-12 in yards. Andrew Luck and Co. never threatened in the eventual 31-13 defeat. Will Luck fare better against a Chiefs defense in transition? We shall see.


    Eli Manning vs. New England Patriots
    Week 6: Thursday, Oct. 10 at 8:20 p.m. ET on FOX/NFL Network/Amazon



    We'll find out in a week if the Giants use one of their first-round picks to add a quarterback, but for the time being, we'll operate as if Eli Manning will remain under center for another season at the Meadowlands. No matter what happens, it remains very possible -- probable, even -- that this is Eli's final rodeo with the G-Men. If so, this matchup in Foxborough will mark the final time we'll see Eli's Giants face the Patriots.


    The history here is obvious. Eli has appeared in two Super Bowls, earning MVP honors both times with comeback wins over the Patriots. One can imagine a voracious pounding of this faded version of Peyton's little brother will provide some solace to fans along the Mass Pike, but let's face it: The Pats could sack Manning 10 times and win by 40 points in this one, and it won't change the fact that Eli's funny mug will always be the biggest blemish on the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick dynasty. The only real chance at revenge for New England is another Super Bowl showdown ... can't see that happening, though.


    Earl Thomas vs. Seattle Seahawks
    Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 7 at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX



    The Seahawks were not willing to give Earl Thomas the long-term deal he believed he deserved. The star safety sat out all of training camp and the preseason, then suffered a season-ending leg injury in Week 4. As he was carted off the field, Thomas made his disgust with the Seahawks' decision-makers clear, raising his right arm and extending a middle finger at his own sideline. It was an ignominious end to what had been a brilliant run in Seattle, including six Pro Bowl nods and a Super Bowl ring in nine seasons. Thomas is now the crown jewel of the Baltimore Ravens' secondary. You think he'll be amped to be hitting humans wearing Seahawks helmets in his return to Seattle?


    Case Keenum vs. Minnesota Vikings
    Week 8: Thursday, Oct. 24 at 8:20 p.m. ET on FOX/NFL Network/Amazon



    Keenum was disappointed -- and, one imagines, a little bit hurt -- when the Vikings allowed him to walk as a free agent after the 2017 season. After all, Keenum had just enjoyed a career campaign with them, and his walk-off touchdown pass to Stefon Diggs to beat the Saints in the Divisional Round might be the greatest moment in franchise history. But Minnesota opted for a fresh start with Kirk Cousins, who received a contract that dwarfed the deal Keenum would eventually sign with the Broncos. Keenum is in Washington now after going 6-10 with a TD-to-INT ratio of 18:15 in his one season in Denver, and there's no guarantee he'll be behind center when he returns to Minnesota in October. If he is, he gets a prime-time stage on which to stick it to the team that didn't think he was good enough to get them over the top. Delicious.


    Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles
    Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 3 at 1 p.m. ET on FOX



    Last season was something of a rebirth for Bears football. This exciting new reality in Chicago made kicker Cody Parkey's double-doink in the wild card loss to the Eagles at Soldier Field all the more painful. Parkey won't be around to exact any revenge -- any chance he had at redemption in Chicago surely ended when he expounded upon his disappointment to Hoda Kotb (as one does) -- but the rest of the Bears can strike back at a Philadelphia team that rudely cancelled their coming out party.


    Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys
    Week 13: Thursday, Nov. 28 at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS



    OK, OK -- we don't imagine the members of the 2019 Bills are holding onto Buffalo's lopsided losses to the Cowboys in Super Bowl XXVII and XXVIII. We can't imagine the Bills' collection of millennials dwells on defeats that occurred before "Friends" premiered. That said, there are thousands upon thousands of Bills fans who will always resent America's Team because of those two games, and this Thanksgiving matchup will be just the second nationally televised game between these teams since their last Super Bowl matchup. Something tells me the turkey will be served early this year in Western New York.


    Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
    Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 8 at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS



    AFC Championship Game. Overtime. 31-31. The Patriots win the toss, take possession of the ball, and Tom Brady leads New England on a 75-yard touchdown drive to clinch another Super Bowl berth. NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes never steps off the sideline in the extra period. You could say Mahomes has remained chained there all through the winter. True revenge occurs if and when the Chiefs can get past the Patriots and the rest of the AFC to make their first Super Bowl appearance in 50 years. A December road win in Foxborough could go a long way toward helping them achieve that goal.


    Le'Veon Bell vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
    Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 22 at 1 p.m. ET on CBS



    Le'Veon Bell didn't believe the Steelers properly valued what he meant to their offense. He told them he wouldn't play until they did. Usually, these things end with one of the sides blinking, but this was not your average contract impasse. The Steelers didn't budge, and Bell opted to sit out the entire 2018 campaign. Bell got his freedom, signed a huge deal with the Jets and will get an opportunity to stick it to his old franchise in a game that could have huge implications for both teams. It's hard to say who wants revenge against whom here. Let's call this the ultra-rare Double Revenge Game. Fun!
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    SuperBook posts Week 1 Odds
    April 17, 2019
    By VI News



    NFL Week 1 Opening Odds - per Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook


    Home Team listed on Bottom - (Total)



    Thursday, Sept. 5, 2019


    8:20 p.m. ET
    Green Bay Packers
    Chicago Bears -3.5 (46)


    Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019


    Games scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET



    Atlanta Falcons
    Minnesota Vikings -4.5 (47)


    Washington Redskins
    Philadelphia Eagles -8 (46.5)


    Buffalo Bills
    New York Jets -3.5 (38.5)


    Baltimore Ravens -3.5 (37)
    Miami Dolphins


    San Francisco 49ers
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (49)


    Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
    Jacksonville Jaguars


    Tennessee Titans
    Cleveland Browns -5 (45)


    L.A. Rams -2.5 (51)
    Carolina Panthers


    Games scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET - 4:25 p.m. ET


    Detroit Lions
    Arizona Cardinals PK (49)


    Cincinnati Bengals
    Seattle Seahawks -7.5 (43.5)


    Indianapolis Colts
    Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 (48)


    New York Giants
    Dallas Cowboys -7.5 (46.5)


    8:20 p.m. ET
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    New England Patriots -6 (53.5)


    Monday, Sept. 9, 2019


    7:10 p.m. ET
    Houston Texans
    New Orleans Saints -7.5 (53.5)


    10:15 p.m. ET
    Denver Broncos
    Oakland Raiders -2.5 (43)






    Odds Subject to Change – Updated 4.17.19
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    Wilson looking at next decade after new deal with Seahawks
    April 17, 2019
    By The Associated Press



    RENTON, Wash. (AP) When Russell Wilson and his representatives started negotiations with the Seattle Seahawks on a contract extension, they were looking far beyond five more seasons.


    Having turned 30 late last season, Wilson tried to project into the next decade and the chances of playing his entire career with one team.


    ''The next deal was going to be the place where, `Hey, if we're going to be in Seattle, wherever it's going to be, I want to make sure that's where I'm going to be for the next 10-12 years hopefully,''' Wilson said Wednesday, a day after signing the $140 million, four-year contract extension that made him the highest-paid player in the NFL. ''That was kind of my mindset, from (age) 30 to 40. And then you reassess, you add on, and everything else. But the reality was for the next 10 years.''


    His new deal will cover half that 10-year window. He has the highest yearly average salary at $35 million per season. He has the highest signing bonus ($65 million) and guaranteed money ($107 million) in league history. He's under contract through the 2023 season.


    The negotiations wrapped up just before midnight as Monday clicked over into Tuesday. It was the deadline Wilson set for getting a long-term extension done before accepting the likelihood he had only three more seasons in Seattle.


    The deadline was real in Wilson's mind.


    ''I have an obsession with football. I just want to play the game. I just want to be able to focus on that. I remember the first time, (with) the other contract, it was one of those things that took us all the way to the summertime, right before training camp - literally to 11:50 that night and everything else. The next day, we were practicing,'' Wilson said. ''For me, and for everyone involved really, the whole organization, it was really more so of a `Hey, let's make sure we don't have to drag out this whole process.'''


    All sides agreed the previous negotiations dragged on for far too many months. General manager John Schneider said the negotiations should have been wrapped up before reaching the cusp of training camp in 2015.


    This negotiation went almost to the deadline before an agreement was reached. Wilson guessed it was about 11:50 p.m. Monday when he got the phone call from agent Mark Rodgers. The deal was done and only needed the quarterback's approval.


    The no-trade clause, which means Wilson must approve any possible deal, was the final kicker.


    ''We talked about the idea of a no-trade clause just because we really wanted to be here. That was the thing we were really excited about and that's kind of what sealed the deal for us. I was really fired up about it,'' Wilson said.


    That wasn't the case several hours earlier. Wilson showed up for the first day of Seattle's offseason workouts Monday and he left the facility that afternoon uncertain whether he would return the next day with a new deal. There had been progress in the negotiations but no guarantees of reaching an agreement. Wilson and coach Pete Carroll spoke before the QB left the building.


    ''We said, listen we're getting there, that's for sure. ... I wasn't concerned because I knew at that point it was going to be what it's going to be and hopefully it was here and hopefully we could do something special,'' Wilson.


    While the day was mostly celebratory, there was a twinge of sadness Wednesday as well. Wilson's deal was the first major signing by the team since the passing of owner Paul Allen last fall. Schneider became choked up briefly, saying, ''This is a day that Paul Allen would have been extremely proud of,'' and later recalled a story of the day Wilson was drafted in 2012.


    ''Paul called in and was like, `So you took the little guy huh?' And I was like, `Yeah, I did, I did Paul. We did. We did.' And he just hung up,'' Schneider recalled. ''I gave the phone back to Pete and he was like, `What did he say?' and I was like, `He didn't say anything, man.' He was super fired up.''


    Wilson, Carroll and Schneider all praised the involvement of Allen's sister, Jody, the chairman of the Seahawks organization, in making sure one of the centerpieces of Seattle's success over the past seven seasons wasn't going anywhere.


    ''Russ has ignited an energy about the games that we play and the style from the offensive side,'' Carroll said. ''I thought it was really important for us. We think we have a really good team and we're really fired up about it, and to be able to maintain this continuity was extremely important for us.''
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    Garoppolo recovering well from major left knee injury
    April 18, 2019
    By The Associated Press



    SANTA CLARA, Calif. (AP) Jimmy Garoppolo has resumed throwing and taking drop backs as he rehabilitates from a major knee injury that derailed his first full season as San Francisco's starting quarterback.


    The process of coming back is going smoothly and Garoppolo hopes to be able to take part in seven-on-seven drills when the 49ers begin OTAs next month and be fully cleared by the time training camp starts in late July.


    Once the season begins Sept. 8 in the opener at Tampa Bay, Garoppolo believes the only difference will be the brace he will wear on his surgically repaired left knee.


    ''I wore one initially as a rookie,'' he said. ''Then, I kind of got away from it. I think this year it's a certainty. But, we'll see how it goes down the road.''


    Garoppolo said he doesn't believe the brace will impact his mobility a bit since the new ones are so lightweight that it's almost ''like you're not wearing anything sometimes.''


    The 49ers are counting on Garoppolo being back to the player he was when they acquired him during the 2017 season from New England and he won his first five starts with the team to end that season.


    He was rewarded with a five-year, $137.5 million contract that offseason to be San Francisco's franchise quarterback only to go down with the season-ending ACL injury in a Week 3 loss at Kansas City last season.


    ''I think initially probably was the hardest part, the acceptance of everything,'' he said. ''The first couple weeks, really, you can't put any weight on it with the meniscus and all that stuff. Probably the first month or two was the worst. But, after that, you get running and everything and you start to feel like yourself again.''


    Garoppolo was helped in his rehab by the fact that running back Jerick McKinnon tore his ACL earlier in September and was a good guide and partner during the process that has continued throughout the offseason.


    Garoppolo said it took some time to get the trust back in his knee, but now feels comfortable running and throwing the ball.


    ''It's encouraging,'' he said. ''Every day gets easier and easier. Able to make this throw better than I was a week ago. It's small victories like that. Throughout the whole process, it's all about small victories because you're not going to jump out and be able to throw it 60, 70 yards again. Small victories.''


    Having a healthy Garoppolo and McKinnon will be key this season for the 49ers, who are coming off a 4-12 season in coach Kyle Shanahan's second year with the team.


    Shanahan let the players know as they gathered this week for the start of the offseason program that improvement is necessary.


    ''His big thing was the past couple of years we really needed to get the culture and everything,'' defensive lineman DeForest Buckner said. ''He feels like the culture is here and we have the talent. Now we have to go out and execute. We had setbacks on the way, especially last year. We had big expectations for the team and we didn't achieve those expectations and those goals.''


    Buckner was one of the few bright spots for the Niners last season with a career-high 12 sacks. The seventh overall pick in the 2016 draft proved he was a foundation piece for the 49ers.


    Now the team will have to start planning on how to keep Buckner. He is eligible for a contract extension this summer if the 49ers want to lock him up long term before he can become a free agent following the 2020 season.


    ''We had conversations here and there,'' Buckner said. ''It's very early. Just because I'm eligible for a new contract going into my fourth year, it's still very early in the process.''
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    NFL draft draws record numbers in Nashville and on TV
    April 29, 2019
    By The Associated Press



    The NFL draft drew record numbers both on site and on television.


    The league said Monday that more than 600,000 attended over the three days in Nashville, easily eclipsing the 250,000 that came to watch two years ago in Philadelphia.


    Nielsen reports that the draft on ESPN, ABC and NFL Network averaged 6.1 million viewers at any given time over the three days. The draft averaged 5.5 million viewers last year, which was the first time all seven rounds were on broadcast television.


    The average numbers were up despite the ratings for Thursday's first round being flat. The combined average for the three networks was 11.1 million, which was down from last year's 11.2 million. The ABC broadcast averaged 4.5 million, which was up 21 percent from last year's 3.7 million that watched on Fox.


    ''By every metric - from the hundreds of thousands of fans who filled the streets of Nashville to the record-breaking ratings and viewership - this event was an unqualified success,'' Peter O'Reilly, the NFL's executive vice president for club business and league events, said in an email.


    Next year's draft is slated to take place in Las Vegas and will be the first significant event hosted by the Raiders in their new home city. The Raiders will play their final season in Oakland this year before moving to Nevada.
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    · Dolphins acquire QB Rosen from Cards


    · Seahawks WR Baldwin considers retiring


    · Browns coach OK with OBJ camp absence


    · Raiders have busy day 3 of NFL draft


    · Chiefs owner 'deeply disturbed' by Hill


    · Redskins take RB Love in 4th round


    · Bears select WR Ridley in draft's Round 4
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    NFC South Odds Outlook
    June 10, 2019
    By BetDSI



    NFC South Future Odds


    The New Orleans Saints are odds-on favorites to win the NFC South this season and it is hard to argue, as New Orleans has a potent offense and an underrated defense. If you are willing to go against the Saints you can get some decent value, as the Falcons are nearly 4-1 to win the NFC South this season, while the Carolina Panthers are almost 6-1. If you want to take a big flyer, you can get the Bucs at 12-1. Let’s look at the odds at BetDSI and analyze each team.


    Odds to Win NFC South (per BetDSI)
    New Orleans Saints -182
    Atlanta Falcons +375
    Carolina Panthers +550
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1200



    New Orleans Saints


    The Saints are loaded on offense with a potent passing attack led by Drew Brees and a good running attack led by Alvin Kamara. The question that must be asked is how much does Brees have left? He was simply not the same quarterback late last season, as his arm strength was definitely down. In the last four games, Brees threw three TDs and had three interceptions. The Saints did lose Mark Ingram in the off-season, but they picked up Latavius Murray and he should plug in right where Ingram was. The Saints will not have an easy slate in 2019, as they have some tough road games, including visits to the Rams, Seahawks, Jaguars and Bears. There is simply no value at all in taking the Rams at this price to win the division.


    Atlanta Falcons


    It is hard to know what to expect from the Falcons from year to year. It was thought that Dan Quinn was a good coach, but who knows. Matt Ryan can look like a great quarterback at times and then struggle at other times. If the offense struggles at all this team has no chance because the defense isn’t any good. It is shocking to think that a former defensive coordinator like Quinn would have a rotten defense, but that is the reality. The schedule doesn’t do the Falcons any favors, as they have the Vikings, Eagles, Colts and Titans in the first four weeks and it doesn’t get much better with the Texans, Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks in the next four weeks. It is tough to bet on Atlanta simply because they are so inconsistent from year to year.


    Carolina Panthers


    You can almost say exactly what we said about Atlanta with Carolina. They have a coach in Ron Rivera who might be overrated, a quarterback in Cam Newton who is inconsistent and a defense that simply isn’t that good. If the Panthers had a quarterback who could be trusted then this team might be worth a flyer to win the division. The defense would figure to be better with the additions of Gerald McCoy, Bruce Irvin and Brian Burns. The offense has the potential to be really good with Christian McCaffrey and Greg Olsen leading the way, but again, how much do you trust Newton? The schedule is actually pretty favorable for Carolina, so if you have faith in Newton, the Panthers are a decent value.


    Tampa Bay Buccaneers


    The most interesting team in the NFC South this season just might be the Bucs. They have a new head coach in Bruce Arians and newfound optimism. Whether or not they deliver on the optimism probably comes down to how well Jameis Winston plays. He has been up and down in his career, as he can look like an All-Pro at times and then inexplicably do stupid things the next week. The offense should be good under Arians, so if the defense improves under Todd Bowles there is reason to think Tampa could contend. The problem for the Bucs is the schedule, as Tampa has a brutal slate. They have a really tough start with games against the 49ers, Panthers, Giants, Rams, Saints and Panthers. We would like to make a case for Tampa, but the schedule seems too difficult.


    NFC South Predictions


    There is simply no value in betting the Saints at odds-on, so if you are going to bet on a team to win this division it is going to be either Atlanta or Carolina, as the schedule for Tampa is brutal. The Falcons look to have the better overall team, so they would be the pick, but keep in mind that Atlanta is just as likely to go 7-9 as they are to go 11-5.
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    NFC West Odds Outlook
    June 10, 2019
    By BetDSI

    NFC West Future Odds


    The Los Angeles Rams will try and avoid having a Super Bowl hangover, as they begin the 2019 season as favorites to win the NFC West. The Rams are getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers, as they are -200 to win the division. The Seattle Seahawks are the 3-1 second choice, while the San Francisco 49ers are listed at odds of just over 5-1. The Arizona Cardinals with rookie quarterback Kyler Murray are the 25-1 longshot. Let’s look at the odds at BetDSI and analyze each team.


    Odds to Win NFC West (per BetDSI)
    Los Angeles Rams -200
    Seattle Seahawks +300
    San Francisco 49ers +550
    Arizona Cardinals +2500



    Los Angeles Rams


    Everything went right for the Rams last season until the Super Bowl when they lost to the New England Patriots. The Rams were 13-3 and had an offense that scored more than 30 points per game. The question that must be asked about the Rams for 2019 is how healthy is Todd Gurley. He was great in the regular season for the Rams, but he was almost invisible in the playoffs. The Rams drafted running back Darrell Henderson as some insurance for Gurley not being 100%. The defense should be improved with the additions of Eric Weddle and Clay Matthews. The Rams will have a target on their back this season and Super Bowl runner-ups have traditionally struggled.

    Seattle Seahawks


    The Seahawks are no longer the power of the NFC West, but they are still a good team under Pete Carroll. Seattle had a good offense a season ago, as they were 7th in the NFL in points per game, but the defense was just average. The team did lose Doug Baldwin to retirement, but the Seahawks took D.K. Metcalf in the draft and he could be a star for Seattle this season. The defense doesn’t look to be any better than it was a year ago, as they traded away Frank Clark. If Seattle is going to win this division they will need Russell Wilson to have another big year.


    San Francisco 49ers


    You almost have to throw out what the 49ers did last season because they didn’t have Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback. The team went just 4-12 last season but they didn’t have their main man. He returns this return to the field this season and the offense should be vastly improved. San Francisco did add running back Tevin Coleman and they get a healthy Jerick McKinnon returning. The concern is a defense that was 28th in the league in points allowed. The 49ers did not sit still in the off-season, as they went all-in to improve the defense. They signed Dee Ford and Kwon Alexander and they took Nick Bosa with the second pick in the NFL Draft. The 49ers have a difficult early season schedule, but if they can survive, they have a favorable second half slate.


    Arizona Cardinals


    The Arizona Cardinals were a mess last season under Steve Wilks and he is not even getting a second season. The team went out and brought in Kliff Kingsbury who has never coached in the NFL and they hired Vance Joseph to run the defense. Arizona took Kyler Murray with the No. 1 pick in the draft and basically turned the offense over to him. The Cardinals still have David Johnson, but their offensive line is terrible and they have no receivers for Murray to throw to other than the aging Larry Fitzgerald. The defense for Arizona should be better with the additions of Terrell Suggs and Jordan Hicks.


    NFC West Predictions


    History is against the Los Angeles Rams in 2019, as more than 40% of Super Bowl runner-ups have missed the playoffs in the last 25 years. The Rams had a lot of things go right last season and it could be a lot tougher this season. There is certainly no value in taking the Rams at -200 to win the NFC West. The value could be on San Francisco, as they should be vastly improved on defense and they finally have Garoppolo healthy. There is a lot to like about the 49ers heading into the 2019 season and they are the pick to win the division at odds of +550.
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  12. #12  
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    Future Outlook - Dolphins
    June 11, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    Miami Dolphins - Season Win Total Outlook


    The Miami Dolphins are expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL in 2019, as they are in the midst of a rebuild. However the addition of an intriguing quarterback with a draft-day trade may have a slight effect on the team’s fortunes.


    The Dolphins are expected to be in the market for a quarterback in next year’s draft -- that is, unless former top-10 pick Josh Rosen can prove capable of being the team’s franchise quarterback this year. If Rosen does better than in his poor rookie season with the Arizona Cardinals, he could make Miami more competitive than expected.


    The Dolphins’ over/under win total on the season is low so it wouldn’t take much for this team to surpass expectations in NFL gambling.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The win total for the Miami Dolphins in 2019 is listed at 4.5, which is the lowest in the NFL. The “over” is the -135 favorite while the “under” is listed at +112. The Dolphins have to face the New England Patriots twice as they play in the same division, and that is nearly two automatic losses before the season begins. However, Miami also gets to play the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets two times, and neither of them are world beaters.


    The other teams on the schedule are the Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Chargers, Washington Redskins, Philadelphia Eagles and Cincinnati Bengals at home; and the Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts, Cleveland Browns and New York Giants on the road. It is a tough schedule and Miami needs to pick up some home victories because the road may not be kind to this team.


    Rosen was added in a trade for a second-round pick during the draft. He was available because the Arizona Cardinals took Kyler Murray with the No. 1 overall choice in the draft. Rosen is only heading into his second season so there is plenty of time to turn his career around, but the Dolphins don’t have as much invested as the Cardinals did, so his leash could be short. Rosen will battle veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick for the starting quarterback job. Fitzpatrick may begin the year as the starter but Rosen will likely see the field at some point.


    No matter who is at quarterback, this team could have trouble scoring points in 2019. Running back Kenyan Drake is talented and the team will need to rely on him because the wide receiver corps is not that exciting.


    The defense could be asked to do the heavy lifting. Cornerback Xavien Howard is a star and versatile defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick is also a promising player. The Dolphins took defensive lineman Christian Wilkins with their first-round pick and new coach Brian Flores is hoping to form a tough identity on defense with this group.


    Free NFL ATS Picks

    There is a reason why the win total for the Dolphins is so low. If Rosen can get everything to click and become an average quarterback, then suddenly the fortunes for this team will change. While Laremy Tunsil is a standout on the offensive line, there isn’t much else there, and the lack of playmakers on the outside makes it a tough task for any quarterback.


    Add in a challenging schedule, and it wouldn’t be a surprise at all to see the Dolphins finish with the worst record in the NFL in 2019. The win total is going to make the “over” the more popular wager, but that’s not the right one. Miami will be a futile team this win and is only going to win three or four games all season because the level of talent just does not stack up with their opponents in NFL betting.


    NFL Future Pick: Miami Dolphins to win “under” 4.5 games in 2019
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  13. #13  
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    Future Outlook - Patriots
    June 14, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    New England Patriots Season Win Total Outlook


    So many teams have come and gone as Super Bowl contenders over the past couple of decades, but one thing has remained the same: the New England Patriots are always in the mix. Star quarterback Tom Brady is in his 40s and yet he is showing no signs of slowing down, which has helped make New England the team to beat once again in 2019.


    The Patriots have a nice division setup this season and their regular season win total has been placed at a gaudy number by the oddsmakers. Even though New England will need a great season to hit it, bettors know to go against coach Bill Belichick and his dynasty at their own risk in NFL gambling.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Patriots have a regular season win total listed at 11, which is the highest among any team in the NFL. The “over” is listed as the heavy -150 favorite with the “under” accepting wagers at +124. The Patriots went 11-5 in last year’s regular season and then went on to win the Super Bowl.


    Brady was his typical stellar self, and at this point it is hard to doubt him. However, there is the reality that he is extremely old for an NFL player. The end of Peyton Manning’s career came quickly, and if Brady begins to lose some of his ability it could lead to trouble for the Patriots.


    New England must deal with the loss of star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who decided to retire this offseason. He was the best tight end in the NFL, although injuries forced him to miss a good number of games throughout his career and the Patriots were able to keep winning without him. It will be interesting to see what New England’s offense looks like without him. Slot receiver Julian Edelman is back and will likely have a huge year as Brady’s security blanket.


    The Patriots defense was fantastic in the Super Bowl and it may be leaned on more this season. Cornerback Stephon Gilmore is one of the group’s standouts and linebacker Jamie Collins is back in the fold this year after a couple years with the Browns.


    One of the main reasons for such a high win total beyond New England’s talent is the schedule. It plays in the AFC East and will get six combined games against the New York Jets, Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins. All of them have young quarterbacks and it would be a surprise if the Patriots can’t rack up victories against their divisional foes.


    Outside of the division, New England’s home games are against the Steelers, Giants, Browns, Cowboys and Chiefs. They will play on the road against the Redskins, Ravens, Eagles, Texans and Bengals. The out of division schedule is much tougher but the Patriots will still be favored in the vast majority of these contests.


    Free NFL ATS Picks

    It is hard to win double-digit games in the NFL, but the Patriots have proven the ability to do it consistently with Brady at the helm. Despite his age, look for another great season from one of the best quarterbacks of all-time.


    New England will lose a handful of games this season but they will find a groove at the end of the year and surpass the 11 victory mark, rewarding the bettors who have faith in them in NFL betting lines.


    NFL Pick: New England Patriots to win “over” 11 games in 2019
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  14. #14  
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    Future Outlook - Jets
    June 17, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    New York Jets Season Win Total Outlook


    It’s been an extremely topsy-turvy offseason for the New York Jets, who made some major splashes in free agency and then turned around and dumped their general manager. They also have a new coach in Adam Gase so there are a ton of moving pieces surrounding the organization.


    In the end, the Jets’ success could come down to how well quarterback Sam Darnold develops and if the addition of some offensive weapons like running back Le’Veon Bell will lead to demonstrative improvement. The Jets are hoping to make some serious strides in 2019 although the oddsmakers have not placed their season win total too high.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis

    The Jets’ over/under win total is set at seven games for the 2019 regular season. The “over” is the favorite at -145 odds while the “under” is the underdog at +125. So far the bettors believe like the Jets are more likely to finish with a record of .500 on the season moreso than flopping with six victories.


    The Jets went 4-12 a season ago but that was not totally unexpected as they were in the midst of a rebuild. Some win-now moves in free agency are giving fans optimism.


    Darnold had an up and down rookie season but finished strongly. He ended his debut campaign with 2,865 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Even though he didn’t put up numbers like Baker Mayfield, Darnold did not have as much talent around him. He needs to take a step forward or else the Jets will have no shot at surpassing seven victories.

    Bell sat out all of last season with the Steelers and the Jets signed him to a lucrative contract in free agency. He is an elite threat both carrying the ball and catching it, and while it remains to be seen if the contract is worth it for the Jets, Bell should be a playmaker in 2019. The wide receiver group does not seem super dangerous and that could be an issue trying to move the ball through the air this year.


    C.J. Mosley is a gifted player who was added in free agency and is expected to anchor the defense. The Jets tried to get outside linebacker Anthony Barr but he changed his mind on a verbal agreement and went back to the Vikings. The Jets took defensive tackle Quinnen Williams with the No. 3 overall pick in the draft as he is another key piece in 2019.


    New York will play the Patriots, the Bills and the Dolphins two times apiece as their AFC East foes this season. Additionally, the Jets have a home schedule that features the Browns, Cowboys, Raiders, Giants and Steelers. Their other road games will come against the Eagles, Jaguars, Redskins, Bengals and Ravens.


    NFL Pick

    The surprising firing of GM Mike Maccagnan seems to point to some dysfunction in the front office of the Jets. Gase reportedly wasn’t getting along with him and wasn’t thrilled about some of the moves made in free agency.


    If that is true, it is not a good way at all to start the 2019 season. Darnold should be better this season but there are still too many holes on this roster. The Jets are not going to be as good as predicted, and with these odds, there is an easy choice on the Jets’ season win total.


    There is going to be more losing than hoped once again for a team that has struggled to turn things around in the past several seasons.

    NFL Pick: New York Jets to win “under” seven games in 2019 at +125 odds
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  15. #15  
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    Future Outlook - Ravens
    June 18, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    Baltimore Ravens Season Win Total Outlook


    It’s the Lamar Jackson show now in Baltimore, as the Ravens’ second-year quarterback will take over full control of the offense and try to prove that a player with electric legs and only a decent arm can find success in the NFL. Baltimore gambled by choosing the dual-threat signal-caller in last year’s first round and he had some ups and downs as a rookie.


    There is a nice collection of talent surrounding Jackson on this team, but its win total will likely be tied to how well he plays in 2019.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Ravens’ season win total in 2019 is set at 8.5. The “under” is the favorite at -130, with the “over” the slight underdog at +108. The oddsmakers and bettors alike believe Baltimore will be taking a step back from last year.


    The Ravens finished 10-6 in 2018 and won the AFC North. They played in the AFC Wild Card round but fell to the Los Angeles Chargers. Joe Flacco began the season as the quarterback but Jackson eventually took over the job. He finished his rookie season with 1,201 yards passing with six touchdowns and three interceptions in seven starts. The Ravens won six of those games as Jackson also contributed with his legs, carrying the ball 147 times for 695 yards and five scores.


    Flacco was traded to the Broncos in the offseason and the team also lost other big-name players like linebacker C.J. Mosley, edge rusher Terrell Suggs and wide receiver John Brown. Baltimore took speedster Marquise Brown in the first round of the draft to give Jackson a deep threat in the passing game. Mark Ingram was added to the backfield and the Ravens are hoping for some great things out of him and Jackson in the running game.


    Earl Thomas was added in free agency and he should give the team a huge boost at safety. The Ravens also have Marlon Humphrey, Jimmy Smith and Tony Jefferson in their secondary, so that group should be strong, which is a big key in the AFC North.


    The Ravens will play the Steelers, Browns and Bengals two times apiece in 2019. The team’s other five home games this year will come against the Cardinals, Patriots, Texans, 49ers and Jets. The other road games will be against the Dolphins, Chiefs, Seahawks, Rams and Bills. The schedule is an interesting one because it has a handful of very winnable games, as well as some against the elite teams in the NFL.


    NFL Pick


    The Ravens dealt with a lot of movement this offseason, but the team’s fate is likely going to be tied to Jackson. The defense is good enough to win some games by leading the way, but in matchups against high-powered opponents like the Rams, Chiefs and Patriots, Jackson is going to have to play like a star. That seems too much to ask as he is still a young player.


    Jackson only connected on 58.2 percent of his passes in 2019, which is not a high enough number in today’s NFL. Opponents are going to load the box, and until Jackson can regularly beat them deep, the Ravens are going to be inconsistent. This team is going to be close in a bunch of games, but it’s not easy to rally with a young, run-first quarterback at the helm.


    Jackson has an intriguing skillset but will still experience growing pains in 2019, which will leave the Ravens short of the win total this season.


    NFL Pick: Baltimore Ravens to win “under” 8.5 games in 2019 at -130 odds
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  16. #16  
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    Future Outlook - Bengals
    June 19, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    Cincinnati Bengals Season Win Total Outlook


    It is a new era for the Cincinnati Bengals, as longtime coach Marvin Lewis and the team mutually agreed to part ways after a third consecutive losing season in 2018. Zac Taylor is hoping to reinvigorate the team’s offense this year with some new schematic ideas, and will do so with a lot of the same pieces from the past few seasons.


    It’s a make-it-or-break-it campaign for veteran quarterback Andy Dalton, who is a serviceable player but needs to make the jump to true franchise guy or risk getting replaced soon with a new regime in place. Cincinnati could be looking at some changes at the end of this season if the team can’t surpass expectations.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Bengals’ win total for 2019 is set at six games. The “over” is the slight -118 favorite with the “under” at -102 odds.


    Cincinnati went 6-10 last season. The defense was the big problem, as it allowed nearly 30 points per game. Linebacker Vontaze Burfict left for the Raiders in free agency, but defensive lineman Geno Atkins and cornerback William Jackson III return to lead the group. The Bengals’ defense may not be great, but a few tweaks can turn this into a competent unit. Look for some improvement this season.


    Dalton missed five games a season ago and finished with 2,566 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Superstar receiver A.J. Green missed seven games, and the Bengals are going to need good health from those two to have any chance of making a playoff push.


    Joe Mixon had 1,168 yards rushing on nearly 5.0 yards per carry in 2018 and he is expected to have a big role offensively. Former top-10 pick John Ross has done virtually nothing in the NFL and this could be a defining year for him. Tyler Boyd emerged last season as a solid receiving option.


    The Bengals drafted Jonah Williams with their first-round pick and hope he can nail down one of the offensive tackle spots. Taylor’s offense might have good ideas but it can only do so much if the line doesn’t protect Dalton.


    Cincinnati has a tough division and they will have to face the Browns, Steelers and Ravens two times apiece. The Bengals’ other home games consist of matchups with the 49ers, Cardinals, Jaguars, Jets and Patriots. Their other road games are against the Seahawks, Bills, Rams, Raiders and Dolphins.


    NFL Pick


    The coach may be new, but this is a veteran team. Even though Dalton may not be a star, he is talented enough to keep his team in games. The big worry is that Cincinnati will go toward a youth movement at quarterback and give rookie Ryan Finley some playing time late in the season if the team is eliminated from playoff contention.


    However, that won’t happen too soon. The Bengals aren’t a great team but this win total is too low. It’s easy to imagine Cincinnati claiming seven or eight victories in 2019, with a push at six wins a nice cushion to have. This is one of the most intriguing season win total wagers on the board among any NFL team.

    NFL Pick: Cincinnat Bengals to win “over” six games in 2019 at -102 odds
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  17. #17  
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    Saturday’s 6-pack


    Updated spreads for Week 1 NFL games:


    — Chiefs @ Jaguars (-3.5, 51.5)


    — Titans @ Browns (-5.5, 45.5)


    — Rams (-3, 51) @ Panthers


    — Lions (-1.5, 48) @ Cardinals


    — Bengals @ Seahawks (-8.5, 43.5)


    — Colts @ Chargers (-3, 47.5)
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  18. #18  
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    Tuesday’s 6-pack


    Caeser’s posted NFL player props for this season:


    — Lamar Jackson over/under passing yards: 2,679.5


    — Baker Mayfield passing yards: 4,331.5


    — Ben Roethlisberger passing yards: 4,405.5


    — Andy Dalton passing yards: 3,511.5


    — Matthew Stafford passing TD’s: 25.5


    — Kirk Cousins passing TD’s: 28.5


    Quote of the Day
    “I don’t want to overreact to the term because, as I said earlier, people end up twisting themselves into knots avoiding the use of the word ‘owner’. But we moved away from that term years ago with the league. We call our team owners ‘Governors’ of the team and ‘alternate Governors’. So I think it makes sense. As I said, I don’t want to overreact … but I’m sensitive to it, and I think to the extent that teams are moving away from the term, we’ll stick with using Governor.”
    NBA commish Adam Silver, taking political correctness to a new high


    Tuesday’s quiz
    Which major league franchise used to call Milwaukee, Boston home?


    Monday’s quiz
    Liam Neeson plays the police chief of a small Kansas town in the Steve Martin movie, Leap of Faith.


    Sunday’s quiz
    In 2001, Albert Pujols’ rookie season, he played 55 games at third base, 42 at first base, 39 in left field, 39 in right.


    *******************************


    Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……


    13) Long time ago when I was in college, had a summer job for New York State; I worked in an office, had to dress like an adult— think I was 18. Six of us were hired for the summer.


    One of the other guys played college hockey; at the end of the summer, we all had to write a letter of resignation that they put in the file- for some reason this guy didn’t do that, so in the last hour of the last day we’re there, someone tells him he has to write the letter- the rest of us had all handed in typed letters of resignation.


    He takes a notebook, rips out a piece of paper, and with a magic marker writes “I QUIT!!!!” on it and signs the bottom and hands it in to the boss and walks out, so to this day, somewhere in the archives, there is this letter.


    Not sure what reminded me of that today, but it was funny as hell when it happened.


    12) Former NBA star Stephon Marbury said Monday that he’s been named head coach of the Beijing Royal Fighters, a Chinese Basketball Association team. Marbury is 42 now; he retired as a player last year.


    11) Mets had a news conference Monday afternoon where manager Mickey Callaway didn’t apologize for cursing out a Newsday reporter Sunday; couple hours later, they had another news conference, where Callaway apologized for not apologizing the first time. Not sure if he actually apologized for cursing out the writer, but he did apologize for something. What a mess.


    10) Right now, the Lakers’ over/under win total for next year is 53.5; how do you bet on this either way, without knowing who the hell is going to be playing for them? As the roster stands right now, they’re not a 54-win team.


    9) Fantasy baseball tip: I’m in a Monday-Sunday head-head league; we get four pickups a month and I was down to my last pick-up this month, needing to find a shortstop for the next two weeks (Story/Seager are both on IL).


    Was deciding between Brock Holt/Chris Taylor Friday night, but in a rare fit of wisdom, decided to wait until Sunday night to make the call. Good thing; Holt hurt his hamstring Saturday, which made it unnecessary to make the decision. Hope Taylor has a hot couple of weeks.


    8) With Marlins’ C Jorge Alfaro on the IL, 35-year old Wilkin Castillo was brought up from AAA and he had a big hit in Saturday’s 5-3 win in Philly.


    Castillo hadn’t been in the major leagues since batting three times in four games for the ’09 Reds. Imagine what he must’ve felt like, being back in The Show for the first time in a decade?


    7) Baseball stuff:
    — Minnesota signed P Cody Allen to a free agent contract.
    — Cardinals closer Jordan Hicks (torn UCL) is on the IL.
    — Astros activated OF George Springer, P Collin McHugh from the IL.


    6) Phoenix Suns declined Jimmer Fredette’s team option, Warriors say he’ll join them in summer league, so summer league just got a little more interesting. Summer league starts at the end of next week; if you like the NBA, do yourself a favor and go watch it in person some time.


    Its in Las Vegas, so even if you wind up hating summer league, chances are you’ll find something to occupy your time, of that I am not uncertain.


    5) Portland Traiblazers are trading Evan Turner to Atlanta for Kent Bazemore.


    4) NBA fined the New York Knicks $50,000 for refusing to credential the New York Daily News for a press conference last week. Tough week for the media in the Big Apple.


    3) Steven Matz’s first inning ERA this season is 10.93; in 15 starts, he’s allowed 10 first inning home runs. No bueno.


    2) There have already been seven games this season where both sides hit 4+ homers; all of last season, there were only three games like that.


    1) Mike Conley won both the 2018-19 Twyman-Stokes Teammate of the Year Award and NBA Sportsmanship Award, right after he gets traded to Utah. Wonder what the fans in Memphis are thinking when such a good guy/popular player (12 years with Grizzlies) gets traded away?
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  19. #19  
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    Future Outlook - Browns
    June 25, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    Cleveland Browns Season Win Total Outlook


    The Cleveland Browns have been the laughingstock of the NFL for several years, but there is a significant buzz surrounding this group as the 2019 season approaches. Quarterback Baker Mayfield looks like a star in the making and the team has loaded up with weapons around him.


    The Cleveland fanbase has struggled through plenty of fruitless years and the crowd is excited about the potential of this group. Making the leap to contender is not an easy one but there is no doubt the Browns have the talent to do so. New coach Freddie Kitchens will aim to keep things rolling after a strong finish to last year.


    The oddsmakers agree with the fans that the Browns have what it takes to have a successful year, and that is reflected in their season win total.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Browns’ regular season win total is set at nine for 2019, which is much higher than in past years. The “over” is the favorite at -125 while the “under” comes in at +104.


    The Browns finished last season with a record of 7-8-1. They started the year slowly but looked really good down the stretch, which is why there is such optimism for this year. Cleveland does not have the easiest division as it will have to beat out the Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals for the AFC North title, but the Browns are looking like the favorite.


    Mayfield was the No. 1 overall pick in the draft a year ago and lived up to the billing. He threw for 3,725 yards with 27 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Quarterbacks often take a big jump heading into their second season, and if Mayfield follows that script than the offense could be explosive.


    Cleveland has some serious weapons on offense. The Browns traded for star receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. in the offseason and he will be added to a wide receiver corps which also includes Jarvis Landry and Antonio Callaway. Nick Chubb looks like a star in the making at running back and the team added Kareem Hunt, who was released from the Chiefs last season for violence against a woman.


    The Cleveland defense also has a set of stars. Cornerback Denzel Ward was great as a rookie and the team drafted Greedy Williams in the second round. If he can be another sticky cover corner the Browns will be in good shape in the secondary. The Browns have a great pass-rusher in Myles Garrett while Olivier Vernon and Sheldon Richardson were added this offseason.


    The Browns will play the Steelers, Ravens and Bengals once apiece at home and away in 2019. The other home games for Cleveland this year will come against the Titans, Rams, Seahawks, Bills and Dolphins. Their other road games will come against the Jets, 49ers, Patriots, Broncos and Cardinals.


    NFL Pick


    It’s not easy to make the leap from average team to great one, but there seems to be every reason to believe in the Browns. This is one of the most talented teams in the NFL, and Mayfield is poised to break into stardom. Some bettors may feel like this is a too-good-to-be-true season for the Browns and that something will go wrong.


    However, the talent is too good to ignore. The win total is much higher than Cleveland is used to and yet it is still too low. The Browns should hit double-digit victories in 2019.


    NFL Pick: Cleveland Browns “over” nine wins at -125 odds
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  20. #20  
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    Friday’s Den: Trends for NFC teams……


    Arizona Cardinals- Last four years, they’re 7-13 vs spread as a home favorite.


    Atlanta Falcons- Last six years, Falcons are 8-2 vs spread as a home underdog.


    Carolina Panthers- Last three years, Carolina is 1-7-1 vs spread when laying points on the road.


    Chicago Bears- Over last decade, Bears are 8-15-1 as a road underdog in division games, 16-17-1 in non-division games.


    Dallas Cowboys- Over last decade, Cowboys are 27-17 vs spread as a road underdog; since 2010, they’re 17-34-1 as a home favorite.


    Detroit Lions- Over last decade, Detroit is 12-24 vs spread when a divisional underdog.


    Green Bay Packers- Last six years, Green Bay is 7-14-1 vs spread as a road underdog.


    Los Angeles Rams- Under McVay, Rams are 26-10 SU, their first winning seasons since 2003; LA is +19 in turnovers in its last 32 regular season games.


    Minnesota Vikings- Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite.


    New Jersey Giants- Over last decade, Giants are 11-19-1 vs spread as a favorite in division games.


    New Orleans Saints- Last five years, over is 26-14 in New Orleans home games.


    Philadelphia Eagles- Last three years, under is 16-7 in Philly home games.


    San Francisco 49ers- Niners were minus-25 in turnovers LY, are minus-38 the last four years; since getting rid of Jim Harbaugh as coach, SF is 17-47 SU.


    Seattle Seahawks- Over last decade, Seahawks are 15-6 vs spread as a home underdog; they’ve had seven straight winning seasons, going 7-5 in playoff games during that time.


    Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Last five years, Tampa Bay is 4-13 vs spread as a home favorite; they’re 7-1 as home underdogs the last two years.


    Washington Redskins- Since 2013, Washington has been an underdog in 25 home games (12-13 vs spread), favored in only 22 (9-13)
    .
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  21. #21  
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    Monday’s Den: AFC trends to think about this season……


    Baltimore Ravens- Over last decade, Ravens are 9-16-1 vs spread when a home favorite in a division game.


    Buffalo Bills- Last three years, over is 18-6 in Buffalo’s home games.


    Cincinnati Bengals- Over last decade, Bengals are 20-8-2 vs spread as an underdog of 3 or fewer points.


    Cleveland Browns- Since 2010, Browns are 7-14-2 vs spread as a home favorite.


    Denver Broncos- Over last decade, Denver is 10-19-1 vs spread in AFC West home games.


    Houston Texans- Texans won their last four season openers, scoring 32.3 ppg; under O’Brien, they’re 17-22-1 vs spread as an underdog, 22-14-1 as a favorite.


    Indianapolis Colts- Over last decade, over is 32-23 in Colts’ games on natural grass, under is 57-46-2 in their games on artificial turf.


    Jacksonville Jaguars- Jaguars’ turnover ratios the last four years:
    -14 (5-11), +10 (10-6), -16 (3-13), -10 (5-11)


    Jaguars are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 games as a home underdog.


    Kansas City Chiefs- Since 2013, under is 31-17 in Kansas City home games.


    Los Angeles Chargers- Over last decade, they’re 9-21 vs spread in AFC West home games; Bolts are 6-9 vs spread in their home games in Carson the last two years- this is their last year there, before the new dome opens in LA.


    Miami Dolphins- in three years under Gase, Miami was 7-3-1 vs spread as a home underdog, 7-15 vs spread as a road underdog. Over last decade, Dolphins are 8-19 vs spread when laying points at home against a non-division opponent.


    New England Patriots- Last four years, under is 20-11-1 in New England road games. Since 2015, Patriots are 28-13-3 vs spread as a home favorite, 9-5-2 in AFC East games, 19-8-1 in all the other games.


    New Jersey Jets- Over last decade, underdogs are 22-8 vs spread in Jets’ AFC East home games. Since 2011, Jets are 8-18-2 vs spread as a road underdog outside their division.


    Oakland Raiders- Last two years, Silver and Black is 3-12-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Over last decade, they’re 22-33-3 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


    Pittsburgh Steelers- Since 2012, Steelers are 15-7-1 vs spread as a road underdog; they’ve won SU in Week 17 the last 11 years (7-4 vs spread, 0-3 last three years).


    Tennessee Titans- Since 2011, Titans are 5-17-2 vs spread as an underdog of 3 or fewer points. Over last decade, Tennessee is 8-21-1 vs spread in AFC South road games.
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  22. #22  
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    Future Outlook - Texans
    July 1, 2019
    By Bookmaker
    by Kyle Markus



    Houston Texans Season Win Total Outlook


    The Houston Texans finished with one of the best records in the NFL a season ago but are not expected to be among the contenders in the AFC in 2019. The oddsmakers believe a team that went 11-5 a year ago will take a step back.


    Houston has a lot of the same pieces returning so it’s a bit of a surprise that so much regression is projected. The Texans would love to buck that narrative and make a push for the playoffs.


    The Texans had a bit of chaos this offseason when General Manager Brian Gaine was fired. It seemed like the team was expecting to hire Nick Caserio to replace him but the Patriots wouldn’t let Caserio go and Houston dropped the pursuit. While that wasn’t an ideal scenario, the major personnel choices were already made and the team has enough talent to compete this year.


    We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.


    Odds Analysis


    The Texans’ regular season win total has been placed at 8.5 wins for 2019. The “over” is the underdog at +129 odds while the “under” is listed at -156.


    Houston made it to the AFC wild card round a year ago but was beaten by the Colts. The Texans were above average offensively a year ago and a top-5 defense.


    Houston’s offense has many of the same pieces returning. Quarterback Deshaun Watson is one of the more talented young quarterbacks in the NFL. He threw for 4,165 yards with 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions a season ago. If he can take another step forward in 2019 it will give Houston a good chance of finishing the year above .500.


    His main target will once again be DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins had 115 catches for 1,572 yards and 11 touchdowns a year ago and is one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. There are some other solid weapons in the pass game, and the Texans will need to do well there because the running game doesn’t figure to be super strong. The offensive line is the biggest concern on offense. Houston took Tytus Howard in the first round and is hoping he can fill a role quickly.


    The defense lost safety Tyrann Mathieu but the pass-rush should again be elite with J.J. Watt, Jadeveon Clowney and Whitney Mercilus leading the way. Clowney is unhappy with his contract and there is talk he could sit out for some stretch of training camp or the season but that seems unlikely. If Clowney doesn’t show up it would obviously be a big deal as he is one of the best players on the team.


    The Texans will play the Jaguars, Colts and Titans twice apiece in their divisional schedule. Their other home games will come against the Panthers, Falcons, Raiders, Patriots and Broncos. The other road matchups will be against the Chiefs, Ravens, Saints, Chargers and Buccaneers. It is a really tough first-place schedule which will test Houston considerably.


    NFL Pick


    Houston’s defense was really good last year but it also got a full season out of Watt. He is injury-prone and 30 years old, and if he misses time it will hurt this team. Watson can help combat that by taking a step forward but there is a worry that the offensive line is so bad that he will be under too much pressure consistently.


    The Texans have a lot of star players but there is some worry about the depth of this team. Houston isn’t going to be quite as good as last season and the schedule will result in a .500 season or worse in 2019.


    NFL Pick: Houston Texans “under” 8.5 wins at -156 odds


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  23. #23  
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    Tuesday’s Den; NFL knowledge with camp only a week away…….


    13) Kansas City was +9 in turnovers, +27 in sacks LY, as QB Mahomes exploded onto the scene; KC was 12-4 LY, with three losses by 3 or fewer points. Last three years, Chiefs are 8-3 ATS as an underdog. In his last 10 years as a HC, Andy Reid is 2-7 in playoff games, after going 10-7 in playoff games before that.


    12) Minnesota was #31 in NFL LY in $$$ spent on their offensive line; last summer, their OL coach died suddenly before training camp started, and team went 8-8 after going 13-3 the year before, when Keenum was their QB. Cousins is 34-37-2 as an NFL starter, 0-1 in playoff games; he makes $28M a year. It is unclear if he is better than Keenum.


    11) Colts have had only two losing seasons since 2001, but last year was first time in four years they made the playoffs. Indy was 4-1 LY in games decided by 3 or fewer points in Reich’s first season as a head coach; under is 21-10 in their home games the last four years.
    10) Madden video game ranked Eli Manning as the worst starting QB in the NFL- he’ll be 39 in January. Last six years, Giants are 38-59 SU; last two years, they’re 1-4-1 vs spread as a favorite. Giants went for it on 4th down only eight times LY, and Saquon Barkley carried the ball on only one of the eight plays. Will they play first round draft pick QB Jones at all this season?


    9) Miami hasn’t made the playoffs since 2008; their last playoff win was in 2000, six coaches ago. Dolphins were last in NFL LY in $$ spent on offense, then they went and hired a defensive assistant from New England as their new HC. Josh Rosen is the new QB; he started 13 games as a rookie for a bad Arizona team LY.


    8) Last year in Oakland for the Raiders, who haven’t won a playoff game since 2002- they’ve made playoffs once since then, going 10-22 last two years after a 12-4 season in 2016. Oakland was #31 in $$$ spent on defense LY; they had three first round picks in April, using two on defenders, which should help. Raiders had only 13 sacks LY, while giving up 52.


    7) Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown are both gone now; Steelers were last in NFL LY in $$$ spent at both RB and WR- they were -11 in turnovers, after going +8 the previous three years. Big Ben is 37; he threw 675 passes LY. Last three years, under is 18-5 in their road games. Last six years, Steelers are 7-3-1 vs spread coming off a loss.


    6) Jaguars were #4 in $$$ spent on defense LY, #28 on offense, but now Nick Foles is their QB; can he survive a 16-game schedule? Foles has never started more than 11 games in a season, and started 9+ games in a season only twice. Last four years, Jaguars TO margin is minus-30, and that was with a +10 season in 2017.


    5) Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010; they went 14-34 the last three years. Adam Gase went 23-25 as coach in Miami, got fired, but division rival Jets hired him to tutor QB Darnold who started 13 games (4-9) LY. Gang Green was minus-10 in turnovers LY, are minus-34 the last three years. Over is 19-11-1 in their home games the last four years.


    4) New England has won six Super Bowls since 2001; Brady will be 42 in a few weeks, but he is 12-2 in playoff games the last five years. Over last decade, NE is 46-27-3 as a home favorite; they have to replaced retired TE Gronkowski. In red zone LY, White was targeted 22 times, Edelman 19 times, Gronkowski only seven.


    3) Last two years, while playing with very little home field advantage in Carson, Chargers went 11-3 vs spread in true road games. LA’s new dome opens next year; Chargers need lot of wins this year to sell tickets for their ’20 home games. Philip Rivers will be 38 in December; he’s started every game since ’06, but Bolts did a smart thing and added Tyrod Taylor as a backup.


    2) Carson Wentz started 13-11 games the last two years; he is 23-17 as an NFL starter, and Nick Foles is in Jacksonville now, so Wentz better stay healthy. In Weeks 4 and 7 LY, Eagles led by 14+ points in 3rd quarter, but lost both games. 12 of their 16 games were decided by 8 or fewer points, which makes the -6 turnover ratio more damaging.


    1) New Orleans had 29 more sacks than they allowed LY; they were 5-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points. Last eight times Saints made postseason, they won their first playoff game seven times. Drew Brees will be 41 in January. Red zone targets LY; Thomas 31, Kamara 29, Tre’Quan Smith 11. Last five years, over is 26-14 in the Superdome.
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  24. #24  
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    Playoffs Props - Yes/No
    July 4, 2019
    By VI News



    Eight weeks down and now just a month to go before that Hall of Fame game kicks off, and after the past month has been dedicated to individual pieces and futures like most passing yards, rookie of the year awards, and other yardage leader props, it's back to the big picture perspective now with time before the season starting dwindling away.


    The first third of these weekly features dealt with individual win totals for a handful of teams, so with that already covered, this piece is about who will end up being involved in January's playoff action. Every year in the NFL, there are at least a few teams that make the playoffs that didn't the year prior, and while it's easy to assume (and correctly I may add), that the teams that did get featured in those win total pieces would have correlating plays on the Yes/No playoff prop, but they won't be the teams I'm discussing today.


    Yet, the message defensively will be just as stern this time around, as they can't go around giving up easy yards and points like they did and expect to win too many games. But if we can use last year as any indication, we should expect the Riders defense to step up from here on out, because last season's visit to Ottawa in Week 2 was the only time all year Saskatchewan allowed more then 34 points against. Welcoming a Toronto team that looked awful last week for the home opener is a great situation for this Riders defense to get back on track, and it's hard to believe that they won't be able to to some degree.


    For those that are wondering, we'd have Baltimore (+175), Chicago (-140), and San Francisco (+200) as those 'over' season win total plays as teams to be in the “YES” side of making the post season, while Indianapolis (+200) and Atlanta (-180) on the “NO” side of that equation.


    So with NFL football action just a month away, let's continue to project forward and take a stab at some “Will they make the playoffs” betting selections.


    NFL Teams to Make the Playoffs: YES


    Jacksonville Jaguars (+260)
    Dallas Cowboys (+100)



    Starting with the Jags, 2019 should be a season of redemption for this team who is out to prove that their 2018 campaign was the anomaly, not their 2017 year where they were a win away from the Super Bowl. Jacksonville went out and got the Super Bowl MVP from that 2017 season – who they would have faced had they won that AFC Championship two years ago – in Nick Foles to be the man that leads this offense for them in 2019.


    Foles may be a guy that's just recently hit his full potential, as career long numbers don't suggest he's an elite QB in this league, but he's played like one when called upon in Philly the past two seasons, and some guys just bloom later than others. Getting a QB that they can trust, and who's accurate with the ball and strong in his decision-making was the #1 priority for Jacksonville this year, and even if Foles falls somewhere between his performances in his early Philly and Rams days and his Super Bowl MVP playoff run, that's still a huge upgrade over Blake Bortles for the Jags.


    Jacksonville is still built to win with defense and their running game, so it's not like Foles has to come and be the savior, he's just got to be better then what a below average Bortles brought the Jags. He's got capable weapons around him in the passing game, and if that 2017 Jacksonville defense returns this year, a “game-manager” style of QB could have this team winning the AFC South again with double digit wins.


    The South really is a division that's up for grabs in 2019 in my opinion, and to have these kind of odds on this Jacksonville team who was there just 24 months ago is something I don't believe you can pass up. It's not like a Wildcard spot is out of the question either if Jacksonville ends up with a 9-7 SU record or something, as the rest of the AFC is pretty top heavy in that it's a conference full of 'haves' and 'have nots' again. Jacksonville's in a great spot to be in the former category here in 2019.


    Regarding the Cowboys, the NFC East is another division where it's likely a two-team race between the Cowboys and Eagles, and at plus-money the Cowboys appear to be the play. Washington and New York are dealing with transitional years within their respective organizations, and Philly, well more on them in a bit.


    Dallas is built in a similar fashion to Jacksonville in that running the ball and playing sound defense are the cornerstones of any success they find, and as the defending division champs in the NFC East, Dallas comes into 2019 loaded with confidence in terms or repeating. They've got a full year of WR Amari Cooper this season which is great from the outset, and added Randall Cobb on the outside as well.


    As long as Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott, and the rest of that O-line can stay healthy this year, another division crown should be firmly in their sights, and it starts with taking care of business in their two games with the Eagles.


    NFL Teams to Make Playoffs: NO


    Philadelphia Eagles (+160)



    Speaking of those Eagles, they went out and made the “right” choice in letting Foles go and extending Carson Wentz as their QB of the present and future, but had the two QB's been the same age, I'm not sure the word “right” would apply.


    Eagles fans have unquestionable love for Wentz, but he's a guy that's already proved to be somewhat injury prone in his young career, and when you really boil it down, he's had what, 16 games of upper echelon QB play in this league. His 2017 campaign was a phenomenal one before it got cut short by injury, and there is always going to be the caveat that 2018 was not going to be nearly as good because it does take time to come back from an injury like the one Wentz had.


    However, I'm not a big believer in Wentz as most are, as it's really only been about a 16-game sample size of him being worth what he got paid this spring, and it's not like we haven't seen QB's in the NFC East have a great first year or two in the league before flaming out in a big way; RG III anyone.


    Wentz is a totally different signal caller then RG III and is definitely better, but I think we've got to hold off on anointing this guy as the next face of the league type guy at this position for a variety of reasons. His health is obviously one, as a repaired knee and back at just 26 years old is concerning, and with more film on him with each passing year, opposing coordinators can continue to come up with better ways to slow him down ala what happened to RG III after his first couple of years in Washington.


    Wentz still has the prototypical QB build to be a successful pocket passer in this league – something RG III does not – but the Eagles caught lightning in a bottle in 2017 from start to finish, and quite frankly they've been overrated ever since. To me they are decidedly the 2nd best team in this division, in 2019, and this is a year where we probably only see the division champion from the NFC East make it to January.


    Finishing the season with four straight divisional games – vs NYG, @ Washington, vs Dallas, @ NYG – could end up being a blessing or a curse for the Eagles playoff hopes, and I figure it's more likely to be the latter. By then, the Giants and Redskins would love to play the spoiler role if they are already out of things as expected, and if they aren't well then it's more tough games late that Philly's got to deal with.


    There is no safety net behind Wentz anymore with Foles now gone should he get hurt again, and they've just got the look of a team that needs everything to go right for them, every single week out there, just to get to 10 wins. At plus-money odds to bet against that happening, it's easy to make this play.


    NFL Win Total Predictions


    1) Baltimore Ravens
    2) Indianapolis Colts
    3) Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers
    4) Atlanta Falcons




    Individual Props


    5) NFL ROY
    6) Passing Yards
    7) Receiving Yards
    8) Rushing Yards
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  25. #25  
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    Divisional Best Bets
    July 11, 2019
    By VI News



    Here we are, a day after the MLB All-Star break has officially come and gone and now just three weeks away from that first NFL preseason game of the year. It's at this point in the calendar where much of the handicapping industry shifts the bulk of their focus to the upcoming football seasons – college and pro – as it's those two leagues that dominate action each and every year.


    Readers of this weekly piece know that 2019 NFL work here started months ago as we've been breaking down various futures plays, and after working our way through things somewhat chronologically, we've arrived at the point where it's time to start talking about potential Super Bowl champions. We are still two weeks away from dissecting those completely, but after last week's piece covered playoff Yes/No props, it's on to division winners from the AFC Conference this week.


    Predictably, there will be a bit of overlap between these division winner plays and last week's playoff predictions (and next week too with the NFC), but there are also a few things that have yet to be touched on, even if they've got the look and feel of the 'flavor of the day' right now.


    Let's get right to it:


    To win the AFC South


    Jacksonville Jaguars (+500)



    Starting off with the South here, as this play piggybacks off last week's piece on the Jags being a playoff team this year. It was there where I really discussed how the South is a division that definitely feels up for grabs in 2019, as I'm not ready to announce and hand over this division to the Colts after one solid return campaign from Andrew Luck. The Colts didn't even win the division a year ago, and yet as the prohibitive (-105) favorites to win the South in 2019, the general consensus is that we will see Luck and the Colts reach double-digit wins again.


    Well who knows how healthy Luck stays in 2019, and with the other three teams in the AFC South all building their organizations with a defense-first mentality, all it takes is a slip up or two from the Colts this year and they'll be finding themselves in the division basement yet again.


    The Jags defense is out to make a redemption statement this year after a tumultuous 2018 season, and having finally decided to bite the bullet and move on from Blake Bortles at QB, this offense should be able to take that next step. Scoring points will still be a struggle at times for the Jags, but with the defense and overall schedule they've got, that's probably not a concern that is be all, end all for a play like this at this price.


    To win the AFC North


    Cleveland Browns (+110)



    Cleveland has become a franchise that's taken on plenty of hype this off-season with the moves they've made on both sides of the ball, but you've really got to applaud them for taking full assessment of what they had internally, and the climate of the division around them, and going out and doing what they did.


    The Browns were plenty happy with what they got from QB Baker Mayfield last year to be convinced he was the right pick for this organization, so they went out and got plenty of offensive playmakers to put around him. This team is now quite deep at every offensive playmaking position which is always nice to have when making a future play like this – injuries to happen – as should health not end up being a concern for them, who knows how far this team ends up going. There is no more internal turmoil with the coaching staff to worry about now that Freddie Kitchens is confirmed as the head man in charge, and when you enter a season with unity at the top and an influx of talent in-between the lines, chances are success isn't too far behind.


    At the same time, Cleveland looked around and saw a Pittsburgh team take a noticeable decline in talent with all their departures and turmoil they've dealt with over the past six months. Baltimore still look goods, but they've moved on to the Lamar Jackson era and the jury is still out if he's a capable passer in this league, and Cincinnati moved on from the Marvin Lewis era (finally) as they give the Dalton/AJ Green duo one more kick at the can under a new regime.


    Chances are that can doesn't get too far down the street before new Bengals HC Zac Taylor gets antsy to move on to his own regime, and while I am considerably higher that seemingly most of the market on Lamar Jackson's ability to be a quality starter in today's NFL, in head-to-head matchups with Cleveland I do believe you've got to give the Browns the edge.


    And then there is Pittsburgh who may end up suffering a hastily fall in this division with Big Ben on his last legs already and the internal issues they've got within that franchise still likely needing some sorting out. It can't always be guys just being disgruntled on their way out, there's got to be plenty of truth involved in the issues Antonio Brown and LeVeon Bell brought up on their way out the door, and it make take the Steelers moving on from Roethlisberger – whenever that happens – for them to be completely ironed out.


    So you can't blame the Browns for taking their shot and going for it in 2019, as they've been an organization that's been starved of success for far too long. It is a big jump for them to make to all of a sudden become division favorites, especially when they are still fairly young and learning how to win, but with so much chaos and uncertainty around them in the AFC North, things do appear to be aligned for them to win their first division crown since realignment happened.


    Win Totals


    1) Baltimore Ravens
    2) Indianapolis Colts
    3) Chicago Bears and SF 49ers
    4) Atlanta Falcons


    Individual Props


    5) NFL ROY
    6) NFL Passing Yards Leader
    7) NFL Receiving Yards Leader
    8) NFL Rushing Yards Leader


    Playoff Futures


    9) Make Playoffs Yes/No
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