Thursday: Maybe 3 Large

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Pretty good week, third winning day in a row following Sunday's deGrom loss.

NYY RL (-105)
Have avoided betting on the Yankees mostly, except Paxton's recent game. Too much juice for an above average team with injuries. But.. tomorrow I'll takes a risk. German and Homer Bailey both have command issues. Bailey hasn't had a good year since 2014, and that's in the no DH NL. So I'm not buying his last outing shutting down the weak hitting Indians. He's a strike machine to a fault, too much of the plate, too much hard contact, and in Yankee Stadium, I think it'll cost him. The Royals coming off the bench clearing emotional game with Chisox, extra innings, and fly into NY. Besides, the Royals suck. Alex Gordon the only bat, and a lousy BP. Taking German for the Yanks is the risk part. Electric stuff, but also struggles with command. Could dominate or get roughed up. Like the Yanks improving BP so maybe they finish this game well.

Two more possible large plays tomorrow.

Small:
SF Giants ML +190 Pomeranz is good 5 inning pitcher, and is backed by a solid BP. Now the Giants are off the West Coast, their bats are coming alive..perhaps. Corbin a left, a good one, but the Giants have hit lefties better this year than RHP. At +190, what the hell.

Milwaukee ML +113 Not sure if I'm ready to drink the Dodger Kool-Aid yet. Two good hitting teams, two questionable starters, but the Brew Crew plays well at home, and other than a series in Anaheim, have played very well. Great BP. Dodgers travel from sunny LA to play a pretty cold game in Milwaukee.
 

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With you on the Yanks RL. Good work. Thanks for posting. I almost always look at your plays. Brief relevant info. Thanks!
 

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With you on the Yanks RL. Good work. Thanks for posting. I almost always look at your plays. Brief relevant info. Thanks!
Thanks. Good luck with your plays.

Atlanta -1/2 F5 (-105)
The Braves have been snakebitten by pitching injuries this year, but this is an organization with so many good, young arms. Soroka is the next one up, and I think he'll shine here. He has excellent command over his pitches, great sink, and has that pitch ability of a an almost veteran. Luke Weaver is a fair pitcher, but honestly the D-Backs did not get enough for Paul Goldschmidt, and Weaver is a back end of the rotation guy. The Braves BP could blow this so tread lightly on the game bet.

Small:

Chicago WS ML F5 (-105) Most of this play is based on the woeful Tigers lineup, which has only 7 HRs this season. Seven. It's a declining Miguel Cabrera and the 7 dwarfs. Ivan Nova will give the Sox, I think, a good 5 innings, but like the Braves, the Sox BP is not too good. However, I do have a little on the ML play for the game.
 

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Small because the line is ridiculous, but maybe it's telling us something:

Tampa -1/2 F5 (-150)!! I guess Hunter Wood and probably Ryan Yarborough is a great choice over the O's and Cashner, at least by the lines makers and bettors. Hard to find bettors willing to take Baltimore, even with great + lines.
 

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Weaver is dominating Freeman! Lmao Soroka keeps hitting the batters with his pitches!
 

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