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Thread: Best Chance to make CFB Playoffs 2019

  1. #1 Best Chance to make CFB Playoffs 2019 
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    According to ESPN's Playoff Predictor, these teams have the best chance to
    make the CFB Playoffs and best chance to win the national championship
    for the 2019 season.

    Team....Make Playoffs Percentage....Win Championship Percentage

    Clemson.....83%.....36%
    Alabama.....71%.....27%
    Michigan.....41%..... 7%
    Georgia......40%......8%
    Oklahoma...35%......5%
    LSU...………..32%......6%
    N. Dame...….28%......4%
    Oregon...…..14%......1%
    Florida...…...10%......1%
    Penn St...…...8%...…<1%
    Auburn...…….7%...…<1%
    Ohio St...…...6%...…<1%
    Mich St...…...5%...…<1%
    Wash...………..4%.....<1%
    Tx AM...……...4%.....<1%
    Miss St...……..2%.....<1%
    Tenn...………...2%.....<1%
    Missouri...…...1%.....<1%
    Utah...………….1%.....<1%
    UCLA...………..1%.....<1%

    *Note Texas is not listed to make playoffs.
    *Note Ohio State at 6% to make playoffs.
    *Note Washington as highest Pac 12 team to make playoffs at 4 percent.

    Welcome your comments...…………………………….
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  2. #2  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    According to ESPN's Playoff Predictor, these teams have the best chance to
    make the CFB Playoffs and best chance to win the national championship
    for the 2019 season.

    Team....Make Playoffs Percentage....Win Championship Percentage

    Clemson.....83%.....36%
    Alabama.....71%.....27%
    Michigan.....41%..... 7%
    Georgia......40%......8%
    Oklahoma...35%......5%
    LSU...………..32%......6%
    N. Dame...….28%......4%
    Oregon...…..14%......1%
    Florida...…...10%......1%
    Penn St...…...8%...…<1%
    Auburn...…….7%...…<1%
    Ohio St...…...6%...…<1%
    Mich St...…...5%...…<1%
    Wash...………..4%.....<1%
    Tx AM...……...4%.....<1%
    Miss St...……..2%.....<1%
    Tenn...………...2%.....<1%
    Missouri...…...1%.....<1%
    Utah...………….1%.....<1%
    UCLA...………..1%.....<1%

    *Note Texas is not listed to make playoffs.
    *Note Ohio State at 6% to make playoffs.
    *Note Washington as highest Pac 12 team to make playoffs at 4 percent.

    Welcome your comments...…………………………….
    Auburn plays 5 of the top 9 teams and 7 of the top 15 in this poll during the regular season; just brutal. Oregon with a 14% chance to make it....interesting.
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  3. #3  
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    It will be interesting to see what happens with Texas this year. S&P has them in the 30s and the above rankings don’t have them listed, even though most preseason top 25s have them in the top 10. Herman isn’t a good ATS when favored. I tend to lean towards the analytics over the human polls.. Could be good fade material this year.
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  4. #4  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aces and Faces View Post
    Auburn plays 5 of the top 9 teams and 7 of the top 15 in this poll during the regular season; just brutal. Oregon with a 14% chance to make it....interesting.
    Oregon (Tx)...Tulane...Kent St...@Texas AM...Miss St....@Florida...Off...@Arkansas...@LSU...Ole Miss...Georgia...Samford...Alabama

    Talk about a stress test, South Carolina has to play Alabama, Clemson and Georgia. No wonder the Gamecocks are not listed.
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  5. #5  
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    Here is ESPN most difficult schedules.

    1. South Carolina
    2. Southern Cal
    3. Florida
    4. Stanford
    5. Georgia

    Three of the top five come from the SEC and two are from the Pac 12.
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  6. #6  
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    These predictions are based on FPI (Football Power Index) and FPI doesn't consider Justin Field's transfer to Ohio State based on his lack of experience. Big oversight. That gives them a chip on their collective shoulders.
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  7. #7  
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    In early January the Ohio State 2019 QB depth chart was 1. Justin Fields, 2. Tate Martel, 3. Matthew Baldwin.
    Martell left and now Baldwin too. I'm not liking their QB depth now!
    A 6% chance to make the playoffs is looking better.
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasKnows View Post
    In early January the Ohio State 2019 QB depth chart was 1. Justin Fields, 2. Tate Martel, 3. Matthew Baldwin.
    Martell left and now Baldwin too. I'm not liking their QB depth now!
    A 6% chance to make the playoffs is looking better.
    Also, the way Fields performed in the spring game wasn't a confidence builder. I've heard some Georgia
    loyalist say Justin Fields is not the QB many think he is. He was like 4 of 14 in the spring game. We shall
    see come September.
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  9. #9  
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    Quote Originally Posted by No Coke View Post
    It will be interesting to see what happens with Texas this year. S&P has them in the 30s and the above rankings don’t have them listed, even though most preseason top 25s have them in the top 10. Herman isn’t a good ATS when favored. I tend to lean towards the analytics over the human polls.. Could be good fade material this year.
    With Texas the analytics don't need to be very sophisticated. They only outscored their opponents by 5 points per game, outgained them by 19 yards per game, and were outgained by 1/10 of a yard per play. The only concern is that apparently Herman really sandbags when he's a favorite, which skews the numbers.
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  10. #10  
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    I wouldn't be surprised if Ohio State picked up Francois. Wouldn't that be something!
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  11. #11  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    Also, the way Fields performed in the spring game wasn't a confidence builder. I've heard some Georgia
    loyalist say Justin Fields is not the QB many think he is. He was like 4 of 14 in the spring game.
    It was a joke that some people equated him with Lawrence or even rated him ahead. Still, that doesn't mean he won't have a major impact in Columbus even if early returns were discouraging.
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  12. #12  
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasKnows View Post
    I wouldn't be surprised if Ohio State picked up Francois. Wouldn't that be something!
    I don't know why any program would want Deondre Francois. He's proven at Florida State he's a walking time
    bomb for trouble. True dickhead!

    The name I'm hearing as a possible graduate transfer is Kentucky's Gunnar Hoak who will graduate in June and
    would have two years of eligibility left. He's from the Columbus area, his father played for Ohio State and his
    uncle coached with the Buckeyes. Word is there is some interest from the Bucks.

    Ohio State is down to two scholarship QBs with Fields and 5th year senior Chris Chugunov. They also have
    a walk on QB. Not the best of situations for the new coach.
    "There's no traffic on the extra mile." (Old Coach)
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  13. #13  
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    Quote Originally Posted by mws View Post
    With Texas the analytics don't need to be very sophisticated. They only outscored their opponents by 5 points per game, outgained them by 19 yards per game, and were outgained by 1/10 of a yard per play. The only concern is that apparently Herman really sandbags when he's a favorite, which skews the numbers.
    MWS, you probably have a better read on Texas than others here. Beating Georgia in the bowl game really
    started a buzz with the public for the Horns. Over hype might be a good way to say it. Truth be known, the
    Longhorns have depth and inexperience concerns...especially at linebacker where they are trying to sign
    some grad transfers. Behind the starting QB there is no depth or experience and the same can be said for
    the offensive line where there will be 3 new starters. A couple of key injuries (especially QB or LB) and this
    team will be in trouble. My thoughts...what do you think?
    "There's no traffic on the extra mile." (Old Coach)
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  14. #14  
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    Quote Originally Posted by cloverleaf View Post
    I don't know why any program would want Deondre Francois. He's proven at Florida State he's a walking time
    bomb for trouble. True dickhead!

    The name I'm hearing as a possible graduate transfer is Kentucky's Gunnar Hoak who will graduate in June and
    would have two years of eligibility left. He's from the Columbus area, his father played for Ohio State and his
    uncle coached with the Buckeyes. Word is there is some interest from the Bucks.

    Ohio State is down to two scholarship QBs with Fields and 5th year senior Chris Chugunov. They also have
    a walk on QB. Not the best of situations for the new coach.
    So true, I was just taking a shot at tOSU. But wouldn't be surprised, especially if Urban was still HC.

    I'm not so sure about Hoak. He hasn't decided whether he will transfer or not. Has only appeared in four games throwing for 13 out of 26 for his career. In the Kentucky spring game he was 14 of 15, 2td's. Has a better chance of starting at Kentucky than tOSU.
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  15. #15  
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    Hoak has entered the transfer protocol. So chances are good he's heading to Columbus.
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